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USOIL trade ideas

WTI crude (USOUSD) short continuation .. the week of 12 MayWill price retest the support/resistance zone one more time? That is what I am hoping for. Note that we have been seeing consistently lower highs. Price then broke below the zone, did one retest already and seems to be trying to retest it once again. I am looking for price to enter the zone and then give me some bearish evidence. Stop – above the zone 1st target can be at 57.00 with the possibility to take this down to 52.00 This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
EIGHTCAP:USOUSDShort
by Trading_Vista
Oil Price Decline Using the Shark Harmonic PatternBased on the Shark Harmonic pattern, there’s a potential for a decline in oil prices. Traders and analysts, stay alert for market shifts and adjust strategies accordingly. The Shark harmonic pattern offers a structured approach to identifying potential price reversals in the oil market. By analyzing Fibonacci ratios and price movements, traders can assess the probability of a decline in oil prices and position themselves accordingly. However, as with any technical tool, it is crucial to use the Shark pattern as part of a broader analysis framework to account for market complexities and external influences.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by SEYED98
Oil Analysis: WTI Approaches the $60 Level AgainOver the past two trading sessions, oil has gained more than 4.5%, and is once again approaching the psychological barrier of $60 per barrel. This recent bullish movement persists despite OPEC+’s clear stance on increasing supply in June and the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) cautious outlook on global oil demand for the remainder of the year. As such, it appears that oil prices are currently benefiting from improving market sentiment, particularly as investors await the outcome of the upcoming U.S.–China trade negotiations. Persistent Bearish Trend Since mid-January, oil has maintained a steady downtrend, and so far, minor bullish retracements have not been strong enough to signal a meaningful reversal. Therefore, this downward technical formation remains the dominant structure to monitor in upcoming trading sessions. RSI The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hover around the 50 level, indicating a sustained balance between bullish and bearish momentum. As long as this equilibrium remains, a neutral bias could dominate short-term price movements. ADX The Average Directional Index (ADX) remains close to the 40 mark, though the line has recently begun to flatten. This could be interpreted as a sign of weakening trend strength in the short term, likely due to the price currently testing a significant resistance zone. Key Levels to Watch: $60 – Nearby resistance: A short-term psychological level. A break above this zone could reactivate a bullish bias and potentially lead to the formation of a new short-term uptrend. $63 – Main resistance: Aligned with the 50-period moving average. Sustained price action above this level could challenge the prevailing long-term bearish structure. $57 – Nearby support: A zone that matches recent multi-week lows. A drop below this level could reinforce bearish momentum and provide more room for the current downtrend to extend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
WTI Wave Analysis – 9 May 2025 - WTI reversed from support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 62.00 WTI crude oil recently reversed up from the strong support area between the support level 54.90 (which stopped wave 3 at the start of April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous impulse waves 5 and (3). WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 62.00 (former minor support from the middle of April).
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by FxProGlobal
USOILOPEC+ decisions have a significant and multifaceted impact on oil prices in the near future: Short-Term Impact Supply Increases Lead to Price Drops: Recently, OPEC+ agreed to increase oil production by about 411,000 barrels per day in May 2025, with plans to accelerate output hikes further in June and beyond, potentially adding up to 2.2 million barrels per day by November. This surge in supply amid weakening global demand, especially due to escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, has already caused oil prices to plunge to multi-year lows Market Surplus Pressure: The increased production is expected to exacerbate an existing surplus, putting downward pressure on prices in the near term unless demand recovers. Medium to Long-Term Impact Market Stability Through Gradual Adjustments: OPEC+’s cautious, phased approach to increasing production aims to reduce volatility and stabilize the market over time. By managing supply carefully, OPEC+ attempts to balance between preventing sharp price drops and avoiding excessive shortages. Dependence on Global Demand Trajectory: The effectiveness of OPEC+’s strategy heavily depends on global demand, which faces headwinds from the energy transition toward renewables and climate policies like the Paris Accord. If demand declines faster than expected, OPEC+ may need to adjust production cuts or increases accordingly. Geopolitical and Strategic Considerations: OPEC+ decisions also have geopolitical implications, influencing relations between member states and global powers. For example, Saudi Arabia’s recent moves to discipline overproducing members like Iraq and Kazakhstan reflect internal dynamics that affect production policies. Additionally, OPEC+ output decisions are intertwined with U.S.-Saudi relations and broader energy security considerations. Market Reaction Dynamics Volatility Around Announcements: OPEC+ meetings typically trigger immediate price volatility, with oil prices moving 3-7% depending on the size of production adjustments and market expectations. Trading Algorithms and Futures Positioning: Automated trading and futures market positioning amplify price swings around OPEC+ announcements. Hedging and Seasonal Effects: Consumer industries adjust hedging strategies based on OPEC+ signals, and seasonal demand (e.g., summer driving season) also influences price sensitivity In essence: OPEC+’s near-future decisions to accelerate oil output hikes are currently driving prices lower by increasing supply amid fragile demand. However, their gradual and flexible approach aims to stabilize the market over time. The ultimate impact on prices will depend on how global demand evolves, geopolitical dynamics within OPEC+, and the broader energy transition.
FX:USOILShort
by Shavyfxhub
USOIL: Oscillating and Declining within the RangeFor USOIL, its short-term trend has rebounded after hitting the bottom again. The oil price has repeatedly crossed the moving average system, and its objective short-term trend is in a sideways oscillation. Overall, it has formed a wide fluctuating range in its rhythm. In the early trading session, the oil price oscillated above the range, showing signs of insufficient upward momentum. It is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will mainly fluctuate within the range.   USOIL sell:60.5-61.5 tp:59.5-58.5 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
USOILCurrent USOIL Price Drop (May 2025) WTI crude oil (USOIL) has declined sharply in early May 2025, Key drivers include: OPEC+ Surprise Supply Increase: OPEC+ announced plans to raise output in June, reversing earlier production cuts and flooding the market with additional barrels. Tariff-Driven Demand Fears: U.S.-China trade tensions and retaliatory tariffs threaten global economic growth, reducing oil demand forecasts. Dollar Strength: The U.S. dollar (DXY) has rebounded due to delayed Fed rate cuts and safe-haven demand, pressuring dollar-denominated oil prices. EIA/Goldman Sachs Forecasts: The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and Goldman Sachs revised 2025–2026 oil price forecasts downward, citing oversupply risks and weaker demand. Shifting Dollar-Oil Correlation Historically, oil and the dollar were inversely correlated (strong dollar = lower oil prices). However, this relationship is weakening due to: U.S. as a Net Oil Exporter: The U.S. is now the world’s largest crude producer. Higher oil prices improve the U.S. trade balance (vs. worsening it when the U.S. was a net importer). Petrodollar Dynamics: As the U.S. exports more oil, revenue from oil sales strengthens the dollar, creating a positive correlation in certain scenarios. Geopolitical and Policy Shocks: Tariffs, OPEC+ decisions, and Fed policy now dominate price action, overshadowing traditional correlations. Future Directional Bias Bearish Factors OPEC+ Supply Surge: Increased production (post-June 2025) could push prices toward $50–$55/barrel (Goldman Sachs base case). Recession Risks: Weak demand from China/Europe and U.S. tariff impacts may trigger a global slowdown, further depressing oil prices. Dollar Strength: Fed rate cuts delayed until July 2025 or later could sustain dollar strength, capping oil’s upside. Bullish Catalysts Supply Disruptions: Escalating Middle East tensions or OPEC+ policy reversals could tighten supply. Weaker Dollar: If the Fed signals rate cuts or tariffs ease, dollar weakness could lift oil prices. Outlook: USOIL faces downside risks in the near term due to oversupply and demand concern Exogenous Shocks: Exogenous shocks to the U.S. real interest rate can cause a modest and short-lived decline in the real price of oil. Although there is a higher opportunity cost of holding inventories, oil inventories may increase, reflecting the decline in global real activity associated with higher U.S. real interest rate
TVC:USOILShort
by Shavyfxhub
USOIL Bulls Eye Breakout – Can Momentum Carry It to $64The 4-hour chart of USOIL shows a market that has recently experienced a sharp decline, followed by a consolidation phase near a key support level. This key support zone is clearly defined at 55.21 USD, where the price found strong buying interest and bounced back up. From there, the market started to climb, attempting to form a potential short-term bottom. The price is now approaching a previous trendline, which used to act as support during the uptrend and is now being retested as resistance. This retest area overlaps with horizontal resistance at around 60.00 USD, making it a critical decision zone. The two red arrows in the image mark failed attempts to break higher, indicating sellers are still active at this level. If the price manages to break through this resistance with strength, the next likely objective is Target 1, set at 64.76 USD. This level coincides with the prior support that was broken during the selloff and could now act as a strong resistance. Beyond that, Target 2 at 72.44 USD marks a major resistance zone from which the last downtrend began. From a trade setup perspective, the chart suggests a bullish opportunity: The entry is near 59.98 USD, just above the short-term consolidation area, ideally after a breakout. The stop loss is placed just below the recent swing low, at around 57.82 USD, providing room for volatility without exposing the trade to unnecessary risk. The take profit is positioned at 64.76 USD, giving this trade a clear structure with a risk-to-reward ratio of about 1:3.75, which aligns well with strong risk management principles. Additionally, the MACD indicator at the bottom supports the bullish bias. It shows a recent crossover of the MACD line above the signal line, with a rising histogram—indicating building upward momentum. In summary, this chart presents a well-structured bullish setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, clear entry and exit levels, and supporting momentum signals. However, the region around the trendline retest remains crucial. A strong close above this zone would confirm the breakout, while another rejection could signal the need for caution or reevaluation.
FX:USOILLong
by SupertradeOfficial
2
USOIL:Strategic Analysis on ThursdayThe Ministry of Energy of Kazakhstan stated that the country has no plans to cut oil production in May. The country has continuously exceeded production limits, creating tensions within OPEC+. The Ministry of Energy in Astana said that the largest oil-producing country in Central Asia will have an average daily production of crude oil and condensate of 277,000 tons in May, remaining the same as in April, while the average daily production in March was 260,000 tons. OPEC+ has agreed to significantly increase production for two consecutive months, surprising traders and pushing down oil prices. This move is largely driven by Saudi Arabia, the leader of OPEC, which hopes to punish member states such as Kazakhstan that have continuously exceeded production limits. Crude oil has shown a trend of stabilizing and rebounding at a low level today, stabilizing and rising around $57.7, and showing a volatile upward trend. The key today is whether the upward trend of crude oil can continue to break above the level of $60.6. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
TVC:USOILShort
by HilaryBloomer
USOIL:Strategic Analysis on ThursdayThe interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve is in line with market expectations. Regarding the trend of USOIL, the price of $57.5 serves as the watershed between the bullish and bearish trends, and whether this price level rises or falls will directly affect the subsequent market trend. At the same time, the conflict between India and Pakistan has recently escalated, with the most severe military confrontation in the past decade, and the civil war in Sudan is also intensifying. These geopolitical conflicts not only pose a serious threat to regional and global peace and stability but will also stimulate the commodity market. The potential threat of war to energy supply may also drive up the prices of energy sources such as crude oil. USOIL buy@57.5-58 tp:59-59.5 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
1
"US Oil Spot/WTI" Energy Market Bullish Heist (Swing Trade Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US Oil Spot/WTI" Energy Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Red Zone Level. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (59.700) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (57.400) Swing trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 63.000 (or) Escape Before the Target. 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💴💸"US Oil Spot / WTI" Energy Market Heist Plan (Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness🐂.., driven by several key factors.☝☝☝ ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
TRADU:USOILSPOTLong
by Thief_Trader
WTI Oil H4 | Heading into resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 60.44 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 63.80 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 56.05 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
1
WTI - Will Oil Return to the Uptrend?!WTI oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving within its medium-term descending channel. If the downward trend continues towards the zone, the next opportunity to buy oil at a good price will be presented to us. A break of the drawn downtrend line will also be another confirmation to enter the oil buying process. Goldman Sachs anticipates that the Federal Open Market Committee will maintain its pause on interest rate hikes. According to the bank’s asset management division, the continued strength of the labor market remains a crucial factor influencing the Federal Reserve’s decisions, prompting the central bank to adopt a cautious stance. In a recent note, Goldman Sachs stated: “The Federal Reserve is currently in a holding pattern, waiting for economic uncertainties to diminish.” Although recent employment data have exceeded expectations, the bank believes that initiating a rate-cutting cycle would require clear signs of labor market weakening—a development that could take several months to materialize. The note further stated: “Since the labor market has yet to exhibit any significant softening, the likelihood of another hold decision in the next meeting is high.” Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump, ahead of his upcoming trip to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates, responded to a question about the potential renaming of the “Persian Gulf” to the “Arabian Gulf” in official U.S. documents. He stated that a decision would be made following his trip and a related discussion. Trump acknowledged the sensitivities surrounding the issue, saying he does not wish to offend anyone. He also referenced his prior executive order to rename the “Gulf of Mexico” as the “Gulf of America,” which he described as a necessary move. He concluded by noting that a final decision regarding the name of the Persian Gulf would be made after the scheduled discussions.Additionally, the RIA Novosti news agency reported on Thursday that Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin had officially begun talks at the Kremlin. Prior to the discussions, Putin expressed his intention to engage with President Xi on “a broad range of bilateral relations,” emphasizing that the Russia-China partnership is mutually beneficial. He also expressed his willingness to visit Beijing for a celebration marking China’s victory over Japan. According to the report, the two leaders are expected to issue joint statements and address the media following their talks. A correspondent from the TASS news agency reported that the agenda for the Xi-Putin discussions is likely to include bilateral cooperation in various sectors, such as energy, the conflict in Ukraine, and the development of the “Power of Siberia 2” gas pipeline project.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND
Bullish bounce of pullback support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support support and could potentially rise to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 57.60 1st Support: 56.26 1st Resistance: 59.82 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
WTI CRUDE OIL: Short term rebound on RSI Bullish DivergenceWTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.958, MACD = -2.110, ADX = 28.985) as it remains on a multi-month Low. The 1D RSI however displays a HL Bullish Divergence and this can cause a short term price rebound. The Resistance is the Pivot Zone and short term the LH trendline is what maintains the downtrend. Consequently, we are now bullish, TP = 64.90. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope