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USOILSPOT trade ideas

WTI CRUDE OIL: Massive 4H MA50 bearish breakout.WTI Crude Oil has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.933, MACD = 2.900, ADX = 47.682) as it just broke with force under the 4H MA50. Every time this has taken place in the recent past, a strong downtrend followed. The last such selling sequence dropped by -23.71%. The 4H RSI is on the exact same spot as then. We are bearish, TP = 59.00. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
US oil Oil prices could rise due to high geopolitical uncertainties Prices Poised to Rise Amid Heightened Geopolitical Tensions Oil prices have remained steady in recent days, driven by the anticipation of potential diplomatic resolutions between Iran and Israel. However, with diplomacy now off the table and news emerging of a U.S. strike on Iran, the market is reacting swiftly. Given the current geopolitical climate, it’s normal to expect a surge in oil prices. However, traders should be aware that oil is highly volatile—it tends to spike rapidly but often struggles to maintain upward momentum. While a price increase is likely, as illustrated in the attached chart, the level of risk remains elevated. Please exercise caution when trading under these conditions. More details are provided in the chart. Thank you, and good luck!
TVC:USOILLong
by m4yaseen
Tariff Panic = Opportunity | WTI Long SetupWTI Oil has finally dipped into my long-watched buy zone, driven by macro fear and an aggressive tariff agenda. The current drop aligned perfectly with my long-term execution plan. I’ve placed this trade based on key historical demand levels with my stop-loss and take-profit clearly defined. I’m prepared for deeper drawdown, but this area remains high-conviction for me. Execution > Prediction. Technicals: • Key Level: Price tapped into a major demand zone dating back to 2021 lows, which had been protected ever since. • Liquidity Sweep: This drop mitigated every low formed post-2021 — clearing out late longs and stop hunts. • Trendline Break Anticipation: I expect a potential trendline breakout from the long-term descending structure. • SL/TP Defined: This trade has structure. It’s not a hope-based setup, it’s pre-planned and managed. • Consolidation + Accumulation: This is where strong hands prepare, and I’m joining in. Fundamentals: • Tight supply, rising global demand, and structural underinvestment in oil exploration. • Chinese reopening + Russian ban tighten market availability. • Central banks expected to support demand via easing cycles. • Oil Bearish Catalyst (Short-Term): • US tariff wave: Trump announced a total 54% tariff on China and baseline tariffs on all trading partners. • Escalating fears of global economic slowdown pushed prices to $58.80, a 4-year low. The bearish panic gave bulls like us a gift. This is how real trades are born - not in euphoria, but in blood. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by AR33_
USOIL WTIKey Offshore Oil and Gas Installations at Risk of Iranian Attack Based on recent escalations and Iran's retaliatory capabilities, the following offshore installations are most vulnerable: Strait of Hormuz Infrastructure Why at risk: A critical global chokepoint handling 21 million barrels of oil daily. Iran has repeatedly threatened closure if provoked. Potential targets: Tanker routes, underwater pipelines, and monitoring stations. Qatar’s North Field Gas Facilities Why at risk: Directly adjacent to Iran’s South Pars field (recently attacked by Israel). Shared reservoirs mean disruptions could cascade. Vulnerability: Iran could target Qatari platforms to amplify global gas shortages. Saudi/UAE Offshore Fields Key sites: Saudi Arabia’s Safaniya (world’s largest offshore oil field). UAE’s Upper Zakum oil field. Why at risk: Iran views Gulf states as Israeli allies; striking them would disrupt U.S.-aligned economies. Israeli Mediterranean Gas Rigs Leviathan and Tamar fields: Provide 90% of Israel’s electricity. Already targeted by Iranian proxies (e.g., Hezbollah rockets in 2023). Bahrain/Kuwait Offshore Facilities Strategic value: Proximity to Iran enables rapid drone/missile strikes. Past attacks (e.g., 2019 Aramco) demonstrate capability. Why These Targets? Retaliatory logic: Iran’s energy infrastructure (e.g., South Pars) was damaged by Israeli strikes. Targeting adversaries’ assets aligns with its "escalate to deter" strategy. Global leverage: Disrupting Hormuz or major fields could spike oil prices 30–50%, pressuring Western governments. Technical feasibility: Iran’s naval drones, cruise missiles, and mines can penetrate offshore defenses. Immediate Threats Target Risk Level Potential Impact Strait of Hormuz Critical Global oil prices surge; 20% of LNG shipments halted Qatar’s North Field High 10% of global LNG supply disrupted; Europe/Asia energy crisis Israeli Gas Rigs High Israel’s energy security crippled; regional conflict escalation Conclusion Iran’s most likely retaliation targets are offshore installations in the Strait of Hormuz, Qatar, and Israeli Mediterranean fields, leveraging proximity and asymmetric tactics. Such attacks would aim to inflict maximum economic damage while avoiding direct confrontation with the U.S. or NATO. Global energy markets face severe disruption if hostilities escalate further. A successful breakout above this descending trendline and resistance zone (near $74–$75) would confirm a bullish reversal, potentially opening the way for further upside toward $80 and $100 as next target. US crude inventories have declined recently, reducing oversupply fears and supporting prices. Global oil demand is forecast to grow by 720,000 barrels per day in 2025, while supply increases are more modest. OPEC+ decisions to maintain production cuts or limit increases have also contributed to price support. Summary Oil prices are testing and potentially breaking out of a long-term descending trendline formed since mid-2022. breakout will be long buy hope that we see 80$ per barrel. #usoil #oil
GBEBROKERS:USOILLong
by Shavyfxhub
The situation escalates? Crude oil gains remain stable 💡Message Strategy The daily chart of WTI crude oil shows a 30% increase from late May to mid-June, with prices stagnating below resistance near $76. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) has been overbought since late May and is now approaching a potential buy signal below 100. Volatility peaked on June 14 and has since fallen back, suggesting that oil prices could see a correction if tensions in the Middle East do not escalate further. But now that the United States is out of the game and the situation could escalate at any time, crude oil is still in a bullish market. 📊Technical aspects From the daily chart level, crude oil prices have broken through the upper resistance of the range in the medium term and tested a new high of 75.00. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is upward. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fluctuated and then broke through upward, and the oil price tested a new high near 78.40. The moving average system gradually opened upward, and the short-term objective trend direction was upward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines opened upward near the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was dominant. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a high level of fluctuation upward. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:74.50-75.50，SL：73.50 Short-term target is around 77.00-78.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
WTI looks to end bearish run after bullish inventories dataWe have had some more bullish oil news from the weekly US inventories report. It remains to be seen whether the news is enough to lift the oil price. Following the API data overnight we had even more bullish-looking official inventories report from the US Department of Energy. The fact that crude stocks fell for the 5th straight week certainly points to strong demand, pushing stockpiles to their lowest levels since January. As well as the big headline draw, stocks of crude products fell sharply too. The 2 million barrel draw in gasoline inventories was much higher than the API report, and suggests the driving season is well and truly at full steam, when demand for gasoline tends to rise. In case you missed it, the DoE reported the following numbers: • Crude -5.84mm • Cushing -464k • Gasoline -2.08mm • Distillates -4.07mm Whether or not oil can now stage a meaningful rebound remains to be seen. It has certainly lost its entire risk premium associated with the Iran-Israel conflict. Perhaps it is up to the OPEC+ now to decide with the alliance due to hold discussions on July 6 to consider a further supply boost in August. Any hints of a slower supply boost could provide support to prices. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
Is WW3 Coming? Crude Waves Flash Warning which I DO NOT LIKE ITI’m getting a knot in my stomach looking at this chart, it feels like a warning about what’s coming. Chart Context • WTI jumped from the pandemic low of 6.62 up to 131.02 on March 6, 2022. • It then retraced to 59.86 (38 % Fib) by June 4, 2025. • That pullback seems complete, and now price is pressing against a descending wedge. Wave Map • Wave 3 could extend toward 207 • A full five-wave run points up near 330 • The pattern is squeezed in a tightening channel that looks ready to break any day Why It Feels Risky Breaking above 200 normally requires a major supply shock—think trouble at the Strait of Hormuz, surprise OPEC cuts, or a hit to U.S. shale. The Iran–Israel cease-fire is shaky, drones are still buzzing storage sites, and even a brief chokepoint shutdown would send tanker traffic into chaos. To me, the chart is flashing that tail risk. Trading Plan • I’ll watch the wedge’s upper trendline around 83 for my first signal • A weekly close above 93 would clear the path to 117, then 145 • If price closes below 51 on the week, this thesis is off Your Thoughts? Does this wave count make sense, or am I reading too much into it? Drop your views—especially if you’ve got the geopolitical angle covered. I hope this wave doesn’t play out, but pretending it’s not there feels reckless. (Not financial advice)
BLACKBULL:USOIL.FLong
by teconlab
The latest layout for crude oil today.With geopolitical risks gradually easing, oil prices have deviated significantly from macroeconomic and fundamental guidance. While Iran's situation has shown signs of mitigation, the single-day decline in oil prices was excessive. We believe current oil prices have reached a reasonable range: short positions can still be held, but chasing further shorting is no longer advisable. On the daily chart, crude oil formed a large bearish candlestick with both no upper and lower shadows, directly breaking below support and continuing to decline. After breaking above the previous high, the breakdown of support indicates that oil prices are falling back again to seek a new trading range. Today, the focus remains on the sustainability of the bearish momentum. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: sell@68.5-69.0 TP:64.5-64.0
FX:USOILShort
by MyronWilson
USOIL Buy- Go for buy if entry setup given - Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
TVC:USOILLong
by Vincent-DA
Cautious — this Chart is Slippery!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 🛢️After surging by over 35% in the past two weeks, USOIL took a hit following Trump's announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. However, from a technical perspective, USOIL is approaching a strong daily support zone marked in red. As long as this support holds, the bulls remain in control. 📊The next bullish impulse will be confirmed upon a break above the last minor high marked in blue. In such a scenario, a move toward the supply zone (also marked in red) would be expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TVC:USOILLong
by TheSignalyst
2
USOIL Is Very Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 73.546. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 79.365 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
Today's crude oil trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful toThree Driving Logics Behind Oil Price Collapse: From Geopolitical Ebb to Supply Loosening (1) The "Security Pledge" for Strait of Hormuz Materializes As the "lifeblood" for 30% of global seaborne crude oil, blockade expectations for the Strait of Hormuz were the core support for oil prices above $75. However, during the recent attacks, Iran deliberately avoided the strait's vicinity and even issued navigation safety bulletins via the International Maritime Organization (IMO)—this explicit signal of "no supply disruption" eliminated market panic over a "11 million bpd supply outage." Historical parallels show that after Iran attacked U.S. bases in 2020, oil prices surged 4.5% before rapidly reversing to a 1% decline due to the same "uninterrupted supply" logic—a pattern repeating today. (2) OPEC+ Production Hike Expectations "Undercut the Foundation" Despite escalating geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ has stuck to its plan to increase output by 411,000 bpd in July, with producers like Saudi Arabia hinting at "further capacity releases if necessary." This combination of "production pledge + supply stability" directly hedges against geopolitical risk premiums. More crucially, while U.S. crude inventories dropped by 11.47 million barrels last week, strategic reserve replenishment demand remains uninitiated, leaving markets focused on potential "oversupply" from OPEC+'s actual production increases. (3) Aftermath of Trump's "Ceasefire Smokescreen" Trump's earlier announcement of a "comprehensive Israel-Iran ceasefire"—though unconfirmed by official sources—planted expectations of "conflict resolution" in the market. When Iran opted for "symbolic attacks" over all-out retaliation, capital accelerated its exit from geopolitical risk exposures: data shows WTI net long positions have dropped from 179,100 contracts to 123,000 contracts, with the rapid exodus of speculative capital amplifying price declines. Today's crude oil trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you USOIL sell@64~64.5 SL:66 TP1:63.5~63
TVC:USOILShort
by David_Wilson1
U-oyela Ongahluziwe Nenkunzi.Considering the current countries in conflict - FX:USOIL is in the middle of it. This will lead in a high demand but low supply of the commodity resulting in a soaring bullish move, fundamentally. Technically, the commodity has created a LL in the current year, tapping lows last touched since 2021 and has further recovered from last years close of 71.899. FX:USOIL reaching highs of $110.00 is therefore likely. ***The best way to take advantage of this commodity or any other is to cherry pick stocks that are sensitive to it e.g. JSE:SOL is sensitive to FX:USOIL .***
FX:USOILEducation
by Dlamini_SS
USOILKey Offshore Oil and Gas Installations at Risk of Iranian Attack Based on recent escalations and Iran's retaliatory capabilities, the following offshore installations are most vulnerable: Strait of Hormuz Infrastructure Why at risk: A critical global chokepoint handling 21 million barrels of oil daily. Iran has repeatedly threatened closure if provoked. Potential targets: Tanker routes, underwater pipelines, and monitoring stations. Qatar’s North Field Gas Facilities Why at risk: Directly adjacent to Iran’s South Pars field (recently attacked by Israel). Shared reservoirs mean disruptions could cascade. Vulnerability: Iran could target Qatari platforms to amplify global gas shortages. Saudi/UAE Offshore Fields Key sites: Saudi Arabia’s Safaniya (world’s largest offshore oil field). UAE’s Upper Zakum oil field. Why at risk: Iran views Gulf states as Israeli allies; striking them would disrupt U.S.-aligned economies. Israeli Mediterranean Gas Rigs Leviathan and Tamar fields: Provide 90% of Israel’s electricity. Already targeted by Iranian proxies (e.g., Hezbollah rockets in 2023). Bahrain/Kuwait Offshore Facilities Strategic value: Proximity to Iran enables rapid drone/missile strikes. Past attacks (e.g., 2019 Aramco) demonstrate capability. Why These Targets? Retaliatory logic: Iran’s energy infrastructure (e.g., South Pars) was damaged by Israeli strikes. Targeting adversaries’ assets aligns with its "escalate to deter" strategy. Global leverage: Disrupting Hormuz or major fields could spike oil prices 30–50%, pressuring Western governments. Technical feasibility: Iran’s naval drones, cruise missiles, and mines can penetrate offshore defenses. Immediate Threats Target Risk Level Potential Impact Strait of Hormuz Critical Global oil prices surge; 20% of LNG shipments halted Qatar’s North Field High 10% of global LNG supply disrupted; Europe/Asia energy crisis Israeli Gas Rigs High Israel’s energy security crippled; regional conflict escalation Conclusion Iran’s most likely retaliation targets are offshore installations in the Strait of Hormuz, Qatar, and Israeli Mediterranean fields, leveraging proximity and asymmetric tactics. Such attacks would aim to inflict maximum economic damage while avoiding direct confrontation with the U.S. or NATO. Global energy markets face severe disruption if hostilities escalate further. A successful breakout above this descending trendline and resistance zone (near $74–$75) would confirm a bullish reversal, potentially opening the way for further upside toward $80 and $100 as next target. US crude inventories have declined recently, reducing oversupply fears and supporting prices. Global oil demand is forecast to grow by 720,000 barrels per day in 2025, while supply increases are more modest. OPEC+ decisions to maintain production cuts or limit increases have also contributed to price support. Summary Oil prices are testing and potentially breaking out of a long-term descending trendline formed since mid-2022. A confirmed breakout above the $74–$75 resistance zone would mark a bullish reversal, supported by tightening supply, geopolitical risks, and improving demand. Traders should watch for confirmation signals and potential corrective pullbacks before further upside. Failure to hold above key support levels could resume the downtrend. #usoil #oil
FX:USOILLong
by Shavyfxhub
Crude oil fluctuates in a narrow range, waiting for direction 💡Message Strategy Middle East ceasefire eases supply concerns, but risk premium remains Oil prices rose more than 1% on the day as investors weighed the status of the ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have announced an end to hostilities, US intelligence reports show that Iran's nuclear capabilities have only been temporarily damaged. ING analysts pointed out that although immediate concerns about supply disruptions have subsided, potential risks remain, a factor that may support spot prices in the short term. Previously, crude oil prices soared after the US military action on Iranian infrastructure, but prices have retreated as the ceasefire continues. Although the geopolitical premium has been reduced, it has not been fully digested. API shows a sharp drop in inventories, traders await EIA report Industry data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that US crude oil inventories fell sharply by 4.23 million barrels in the week ending June 20, far higher than the expected drop of 800,000 barrels. Gasoline and distillate inventories increased by 400,000 barrels each. Market focus now turns to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report scheduled for release on Wednesday. Traders were expecting a 1.2 million-barrel draw in inventories, and confirmation of that figure by the EIA, widely viewed as an industry benchmark, would reinforce expectations of tighter supply. 📊Technical aspects From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward in the medium term and tests around 67. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern. The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) is in a narrow range of consolidation, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines slowly rise below the zero axis, and the long and short positions are in a stalemate, with no obvious advantage on one side. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a consolidation pattern during the day. 💰Strategy Package Short Position：67.00-67.20，SL：67.80，Target: 65.50-64.50 Long Position:64.00-64.20，SL：63.50，Target: 65.50-66.50
TVC:USOILShort
by TheodoreSilas