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USOILSPOT trade ideas

Oil is Doomed: Time to SELL (Part 1/3)A Perfect Storm for Oil Has Begun The start of April triggered a brutal selloff in oil, and it's only the beginning. Here’s why: 🛑 Global Trade Wars On April 2nd, Trump launched a full-scale trade war. New tariffs could reach 23% — the highest in a century. China, the world’s largest oil importer, now faces 145% tariffs. Global trade slowdown = weaker demand for oil. Result? Oil dropped 10% in just 2 days — one of the worst drops in history. 📉 US at Risk Too Goldman Sachs raised recession odds from 15% to 35%. Atlanta FED sees weakening GDP. The whole world slows down — and so does oil demand. 🛢️ OPEC Surprise Output Hike OPEC+ has started increasing output — over 2.2 million barrels per day in 2025. The April hike alone was supposed to be 138,000 bpd, but turned out to be 411,000 bpd — triple the forecast. This is a MAJOR bearish shock to the market. Flashback: Spring 2020 — OPEC raised output during an economic crisis. Oil dropped 65% .
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by KenJi_Indicator_2
USOIL – Key Levels in Play. Here's What I'm WatchingAfter rejecting the 65.27 resistance, USOIL sold off sharply, dropping to the 59.5 support zone — just as anticipated. This confirms that the market is still respecting key support and resistance levels and trend lines. Current Scenario: Price is sitting around 59.5. If this support holds, we could see a corrective move (buy) back to the 62 region. But that zone is now a strong area of interest — previously a broken support, now likely to act as resistance. Here’s my game plan: – If price pulls back to 62 and fails to break above, I’ll be watching for a sell setup targeting the 57 or even 55 area. – If price breaks and holds above 62 with momentum, then I’ll re-evaluate for possible upside continuation. – Right now, a short-term buy from 59.5 to 62 is valid, but it's riskier. The safer bias remains to the downside until 62 is broken cleanly. So, while buyers might attempt something from current levels, the dominant trend and structure still favor the sellers — especially below 62.
TVC:USOILLong
by clementoyinlola
USOIL Crab Harmonic PatternThe potential for an increase in oil prices is on the horizon, especially as buyers seem to be showing interest at the golden Fibonacci level of 60.7 USD, which aligns with harmonic patterns resembling a crab. This fascinating interplay between market psychology and technical analysis highlights how traders often react to specific price levels. As we observe these developments, it’s essential to keep an eye on market trends and the underlying factors influencing oil prices.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by SEYED98
WTI CRUDE OIL: Buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.WTI Crude Oil turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.387, MACD = -1.000, ADX = 27.186) as it crossed under the 4H MA50. Still, it hit and is so far contained at the bottom of the Channel Up, which makes it a strong short term buy opportunity. Aim for the 4H MA200 (TP = 65.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is risng towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st suport which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 65.64 1st Support: 57.71 1st Resistance: 71.18 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
WTI Crude Oil selling pressure below 6200The price sentiment for WTI Crude Oil remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action shows an oversold rally, which has stalled near a previous consolidation zone around 6200 — a key resistance level. Key Resistance Level: 6200 This level marks a previous intraday consolidation area and could act as a ceiling for the current rally. Bearish Scenario: If WTI fails to break above 6200, it may resume its decline toward: 5860 (near-term support) 5713 5550 (longer-term support) Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout and daily close above 6200 would shift momentum and open upside targets at: 6375 6533 6700 Conclusion: WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure unless it breaks and closes above 6200. Traders should monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or breakout. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
Buy Opportunity🛢️ WTI Crude Oil (4H) – Bullish Reversal Setup WTI has hit a significant support zone near $59.30, aligning with a previous demand area and low-volume node from earlier consolidation. Price action suggests potential exhaustion in the selling momentum as indicated by the histogram flattening. 🟢 Entry: $59.32 🎯 Target: $64.69 – Previous swing high and key supply level 🛑 Stop Loss: $57.32 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.79 📆 Target Date: May 6, 2025 📈 Projected Move: +9.06% / +$5.37 🔍 Key Observations: Strong support area with prior reaction. Price now trading at low end of value zone (yellow-blue volume profile), often signaling reaccumulation. Histogram shows bearish momentum waning – potential for shift in trend. A move above $61.83 could accelerate bullish continuation. 📌 Bias: Bullish – Buy the dip with confirmation above $60 for safer entry.
TVC:USOILLong
by GODOCM
Could the price bounce from here?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 59.32 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 57.02 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 62.08 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
XTIUSD – 4H Short Position ExplanationI have entered a short position on XTIUSD (WTI Crude Oil) based on a multi-timeframe bearish confluence setup: Weekly and Daily Trend: The overall structure on both the weekly and daily charts is bearish, showing a consistent downtrend and favoring sell setups. Daily Chart Structure: Recently, price formed a lower high on the daily timeframe, indicating continued bearish pressure and a rejection from a key resistance zone. 4H Price Action: On the 4-hour chart, price has broken a major support level, confirming the bearish momentum. This breakdown increases the probability of further downside movement. Trendline & Structure: The pair is respecting a descending trendline, further supporting the bearish scenario. RSI Confirmation: The RSI has dropped below 40 and continues to trend downward, reflecting bearish strength without yet being oversold. This trade aligns with the higher timeframe trend, with a clear break of support and momentum favoring sellers. The risk is managed above the broken structure, and the setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
SKILLING:XTIUSDLong
by The_Trading_G3ek
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 61.64 1st Support: 59.89 1st Resistance: 63.13 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
#USOIL 4HUSOIL (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The chart is forming a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, which often signals a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly visible, and the neckline is an important support zone to monitor. Forecast: A sell opportunity may be considered if the price breaks and closes below the neckline with confirmation. This breakdown could indicate the start of a bearish trend continuation. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Look for a sell setup once the neckline is broken and retested as resistance. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Positioned above the right shoulder to minimize risk. - Take Profit: Target nearby support zones or use a measured move technique based on the pattern's height. Market Sentiment: As long as the neckline holds and the breakdown is confirmed, bearish momentum is likely. A failure to break below the neckline would delay or invalidate the selling setup.
TVC:USOILShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
Is this still the ‘Top Trade’ of 2025? (WTI crude oil)It’s not a big secret actually- I’m talking about crude oil! In the final week of 2024, the team and I highlighted two versions of the WTI crude oil weekly chart and asked ‘is this the top trade of 2024?’ Version 1 has already happened, WTI crude hit $55 per barrel, the downside objective of the smaller triangle pattern on the chart. Version 2 showed a much larger triangle pattern (which we show again this week) and had a downside target of nearly $30! It would take a lot of conviction to ride the price that far down, but could crude oil still move a lot lower this year? What’s interesting is that this is still one of the ‘less talked about’ situations in the market today because of the huge volatility seen in both stocks, forex and fixed income. And I like that nobody’st talking about it - because you don’t want everyone in on it - that means the move could already be over. Crude oil hit a five-year low. That’s meaningful. Strong markets don’t hit 5-year lows, weak markets do. And we like to sell weak markets. Of course, ‘oversold markets’ hit 5-year lows too - and that largely explains the ‘bottom feeders’ who bought WTI crude oil at $55. Downside volatility got extreme owing to Trump’s tariffs and mean-reversion helped it rebound on news of the 90-day pause, much like stock markets. I am completely open to the idea that $55 is a multi-year low and essentially marked the bottom. The huge Hammer reversal candlestick pattern adds weight to that idea. But with the price having hit $65 last week, buying the lows is yesterday’s trade. What do we do today? We will be looking to do what we said in Week 53 of 2024 in case crude oil turns out to be the ‘top trade of 2025’ as we imagined. By the way, Brent crude oil has a very similar setup so this is not a ‘US oil’ thing. There are two parts to trading ‘planning the trade, and trading the plan’. There isn’t much use in making a plan, and not taking the trade. There are always reasons not to take a trade- but if it’s a ‘good trade’ that fits the rules of your trading strategy, then those reasons are usually just ‘noise’. WTI Crude (USO/USD) Long term chart (weekly) Trend: Down Phase: Re-test of breakdown Resistance = $70 Support = $55 Price action: Price has broken down, rebounded and is now testing the breakdown level, while under the 30-week moving average. Should the price break back over the broken long term rising trendline then we know the idea, or at least the timing on the idea is not right. View: Bearish while under broken up-sloping long term support
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by jasperlawler
Bullish on USOILAs the chart shows, in the 1 - hour timeframe, USOIL is in an upward - trending channel 📈. The price fluctuates upwards between two trendlines. Despite pullbacks, the uptrend persists, suggesting short - term bullish dominance. Still, the frequent swings reveal ongoing bull - bear market battles.📈 ⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Buy@61.5 - 62.0 🚀 TP 63.5 - 65.0 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
TVC:USOILLong
by Sovereign-