WTI Technical Analysis – WTI (1H Chart)
Structure & Momentum:
WTI recently broke out of a short-term bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows.
However, momentum appears to be weakening, with divergence showing between price action and volume (or internal strength), hinting at a potential short-term pullback.
Liquidity & Reaccumulating:
There’s a visible liquidity pool resting below the recent swing lows, around the $62 level, which aligns with a bullish order block or prior consolidation zone on the 1H chart.
If price revisits this zone, it would likely be a liquidity grab followed by reaccumulating.
✅ Scenario Outlook:
"WTI might pull back to the $62 area to clear resting liquidity and mitigate previous demand imbalances. If the level holds with strong bullish intent, we can expect a continuation toward higher levels—targeting the $67–$70 range in the coming sessions."
Trade Setup Concept (SMC-style):
Wait for price to sweep the $62 level.
Look for a shift in market structure (CHOCH) on lower timeframes from bearish to bullish.
Entry: Post-CHOCH confirmation above local high.
SL: Below liquidity sweep.
TP1: $66.80
TP2: $69.90
🛢️ Geopolitical Context:
If Iran retaliates directly or if Strait of Hormuz tensions rise, crude could spike suddenly.
But U.S. SPR releases or weak global demand data might offset rallies—watch macro data.
USOILSPOT trade ideas
weekly price chart of WTI Crude Oil (CFDs on Crude Oil - WTI) 🔍 Key Observations:
1. Downtrend Line (Black Diagonal Line)
The chart has a descending trendline drawn from a previous high (around mid-2022), connecting lower highs.
This trendline represents a long-term resistance level — each time the price approached it, it was rejected.
2. Support Zone (Green Box)
A horizontal green zone marks a strong support area, roughly between $62–$67.
This area has been tested multiple times in the past (as both support and resistance), indicating it's a key level where buying interest appears.
3. Recent Price Action
The price recently dipped below the green support zone, forming a false breakdown or bear trap, then strongly rebounded back above it.
The price is now around $73.20, approaching the descending trendline (resistance).
🔧 Technical Interpretation:
Trend: Overall long-term downtrend (as seen from the descending trendline).
Current Momentum: Strong bullish bounce from the support zone.
Key Resistance: Around $74–$76, where price meets the descending trendline.
Key Support: Around $62–$67, the highlighted green zone.
🔮 What to Watch Next:
Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above the descending trendline and sustains above $76, it could signal a trend reversal or breakout.
Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at the trendline, it may retest the $67 zone or lower.
Volume: Not shown here, but would be important to confirm the breakout.
Strait of Hormuz risk priced in—or not yet?Iran has repeatedly threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz during periods of heightened tension with the U.S., notably in 2011, 2018, and 2020. The Strait is considered the world’s most critical oil chokepoint, with nearly 20 million barrels passing through daily.
Several banks warn that a full closure could push crude prices above $120–$150 per barrel, or higher if the disruption is prolonged. Still, most analysts view a complete shutdown as unlikely, since Iran also depends on the Strait to export its own oil.
Technically, recent WTI candles suggest that the risk premium may be fading. Price action near $74 shows hesitation, raising the risk of a developing double top—particularly if support at $70 fails. Unless tensions escalate materially, such as the U.S. becoming more directly involved, WTI may consolidate between $70–$74.
WTI OIL Overbought RSI = best time to sell!WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Down pattern and due to the recent Middle East geopolitical tensions, the price catapulted near its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
That made the 1D RSI overbought (>70.00) and every time that took place since September 2023, the pattern priced its Lower High and started a Bearish Leg. As a result, an overbought 1D RSI reading has been the strongest sell signal in the past 2 years.
The 'weakest' Bearish Leg after such sell signal has been -25.29%. As a result, we have turned bearish on WTI again, targeting $58.20 (-25.29%).
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WTI Crude Oil Regains Bullish MomentumWTI Crude Oil Regains Bullish Momentum
WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $70.00 and might extend gains.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices started a decent increase above the $65.00 and $68.50 resistance levels.
- There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at $71.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a decent upward move from $65.00 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $68.50 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls pushed the price above the $69.50 and $71.50 resistance levels. The recent high was formed at $74.80 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $69.55 swing low to the $74.83 high.
The RSI is now below the 60 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the $71.50 zone. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $71.50 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $69.55 swing low to the $74.83 high.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $69.50 zone, below which the price could test the $67.90 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $65.20. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $63.75 support zone.
If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $72.50. The next major resistance is near the $74.80 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78.50 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USOIL:The trading strategy of going short
USOIL: Consider shorting for now, as there are signs of a top above 74.5, but I think this is only a short-term high and will continue to surge higher. The trading idea is to sell short today and wait for the right position to be long.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@74-74.3
TP: 73.2-72.7
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USOIL - Near CUT n REVERSE Area? holds or not??#USOIL.. straight bounce after #IranvsIsrael war situation, and now market just reached near to his current Resistance Area / region
keep close that region and if market holds then drop expected otherwise not at all.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above region on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
Long on OIL amid Israel-Iran confilctFundamental trends:
Israel-Iran conflict does not seem to end soon, Israel might target iranian facilities more
Recent insights suggest US involvement which whould lead to oil price rising.
Technical trends:
Plot seems to develope an Elliot impulse wave with clear 1-3rd waves already built. This suggests the impulse wave must end with rising on 5th wave.
Conclution
Overall trends tell in favor of future oil prices rising.
What do you think about the situation? Please, leave your comments
OIL VS GOLD : COMMODITIESHELLO THERE.
Fine ? Me no, i'm tired.
OIL VS GOLD
We have a historical canal and OIL is very out if this. Do you believe it's for IRAN ? No, it's not, OIL just take an excuse for up.
Gold will fall ? No but oil will up because all currencies are destroy. So oil have to go up.
Imagine the consequences for the inflation now, when OIL WILL reach the white line of stabilisation : x3 versus GOLD.
Low indicator show a reversal.
Buy some OIL COMPANIES.
GL
Crude oil continues to decline - latest market trend analysisThe international oil market is currently experiencing a classic upward cycle of "geopolitical risk premium". In the short term, oil prices will be highly sensitive to any news regarding the security of the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil has continued its volatile upward trend in the short term, surging to test the price near $74. The moving average system is bullishly aligned with oil prices, and the objective short-term trend direction remains upward.
In early trading, oil prices hit a new high near $75.30, but then surged and fell, closing with a bearish real body K-line. The short-term momentum still favors the bulls, and it is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level volatile upward rhythm.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@68.5.0-69.5
TP:73.0-74.0
Oil (WTI) – Geo-Political Concerns Drive SentimentA quickly escalating conflict in the Middle East between Israel and Iran has seen Oil (WTI) volatility increase dramatically as the focus for traders has shifted overnight from worries about an on-going lack of demand due to a slowing global economy over to major supply concerns moving forward from this oil rich region.
This shift has seen Oil trade from lows of 60.17 on May 30th, to an early Monday high of 76.31, as weekend attacks by Israel on Iran's energy infrastructure introduced more uncertainty at the start of this new trading week regarding Israel's future strategy in this conflict. Prices have since settled down and moved back towards 72.80 (0830 BST) at time of writing but looking forward traders may need to balance the potential for further escalation/duration of this conflict against extra Oil production/supply from OPEC+ and the US.
Also important for Oil prices across the week could be the outcome of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision (Wed 1900 BST) and Press Conference (Wed 1930 BST). No change to interest rates is expected, but the updates from Fed policymakers to their inflation and interest rate expectations for the rest of 2025 could have a major impact on risk sentiment, the dollar and anticipated Oil demand.
Technical Update: Utilising Bollinger Bands
A rise in tensions in the Middle East last week prompted a sharp acceleration higher in the price of Oil. This saw price volatility increase, reflected by the widening upper and lower Bollinger bands and prices trading to levels last seen in late January 2025, as the chart below shows.
Traders will now likely be wondering if this type of price strength can continue, or if prices can enter a correction phase, even possibly a more extended period of price weakness.
Much will clearly depend on future market sentiment and price trends, and on any easing or escalation in geo-political tensions. However, with this in mind let's consider what may be the relevant support and resistance levels .
Potential Resistance Levels:
As the chart shows below, interestingly, last weeks price strength stalled against 75.99, which is equal to the February 3rd session high and with a setback in price developing from it so far today, this might be viewed by some as a potential first resistance.
As such, while not a guarantee of further price strength, closing breaks above 75.99 may be a sign of continued upside momentum towards 81.01, which is the January 15th price high and a potential next resistance focus for traders.
Potential Support Levels:
After such a strong advance in price, it might be harder to establish support levels, although, Fibonacci retracement levels on the recent May 30th to June 16th upside move in price, might prove useful. These retracement levels are highlighted on the chart below.
The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the price strength stands at 70.12 and this might prove to be a possible first support focus, if price weakness is seen over coming days. Closing breaks below 70.12, if seen, may then lead to declines towards 66.32, the deeper 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
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US OIL bullish rally !Technically, the $71-$74 range appears to be a reasonable short-term consolidation zone, provided no significant escalation in Iran tensions occurs. However, given the high likelihood of worsening tensions, USOIL may retest $80 and potentially even surpass $80 and can touch 86$, driven by geopolitical developments.
TVC:USOIL
entered @70$. SL 68.3$
partially booking @80
Holding rest till 85$ with Trailing SL
Massive Oil Move Incoming? Only One Thing Can Stop ItOIL – Overview
Oil Rallies to 5-Month High as Israel-Iran Tensions Escalate
Oil prices surged to a five-month high early Wednesday amid escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. The ongoing airstrikes between the two nations, along with reports that the Trump administration is considering military involvement, have intensified concerns over a broader regional war.
Since Israel launched a surprise strike on Iran last week targeting nuclear sites, oil has risen nearly 10%, fueled by fears of potential supply disruptions. President Trump has publicly called for Iran's "unconditional surrender," signaling heightened geopolitical risk.
Despite the ongoing conflict, Iran's oil exports remain largely unaffected, and the country has not yet disrupted shipping through the Persian Gulf — a critical route supplying around 20% of global oil demand. However, markets remain on edge over the potential for further escalation that could directly impact supply.
Technical Outlook:
Oil maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 72.21, with upside targets at:
➡️ 77.21
➡️ 79.50 — key breakout level
➡️ 85.40 — next resistance zone
➡️ Potential extension to 88.40 if momentum continues
🔻 A shift to bearish sentiment is only likely if negotiations begin between Iran and Israel, signaling potential de-escalation.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 73.20
• Resistance: 77.21 / 79.50 / 85.40
• Support: 69.55 / 68.33 / 66.03
Caution: Any signs of de-escalation or negotiations between Iran and Israel could quickly reverse the trend.
USOIL:Go short before you go long
The idea of crude oil is still to go long. Today, the more appropriate entry point is 72-72.3, there is still a little space at present, if you consider selling short first, then the more appropriate short point is 73-73.3 range. Give to the point to do, to wait to do more.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@73-73.3
TP: 72-72.3
BUY@72-72.3
TP: 73.7-74
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USOIL:A long trading strategy
Oil prices also fell sharply under the stimulus of the news, and then completed the correction rebound in the sub-session, and now back to around 71 again. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will be mainly in the form of shock consolidation.
Trading ideas than yesterday did not change too much, adjust the appropriate profit point.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@70.5-70.8
TP: 71.8-72.3
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USOIL 1 - Hour Chart AnalysisUSOIL 1 - Hour Chart Analysis
Key Levels
Support: ~69.50 (short - term), 67.70 (critical backup).
Resistance: 73.50 (major hurdle, tested before).
Trend, Pattern & Middle East Conflict
Price oscillates between support/resistance, with a potential “V - shaped reversal”. Middle East conflicts add high uncertainty:
Escalation: Fears of supply cuts could push price above 73.50 rapidly.
De - escalation: May pressure price down, but 67.70/69.50 still get support from lingering supply - risk worries.
Trading Strategies
Bullish: If 69.50 holds (e.g., long lower shadows/bullish candles), small - size long. Target 73.50; stop - loss ~69.20. Watch for sudden conflict news.
Bearish: If 69.50 breaks (consecutive closes below), short. Target 67.70; stop - loss ~69.80. Stay alert to conflict updates.
Note: Oil prices hinge on supply - demand, Middle East tensions, and the USD. Combine tech/fundamental analysis; manage risk strictly.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ USOil ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 70.50 - 71.00
🚀 TP 73.00 - 74.00
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
WTI crude oil Wave Analysis – 17 June 2025
- WTI crude oil reversed from round support level 70.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 78.00
WTI crude oil recently reversed from the round support level 70.00 coinciding with the upper trendline of the recently broken up channel from May.
The downward reversal from the support level 70.00 formed the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing – which increases the probability WTI will continue to rise in the active impulse wave C.
Given the strength of the active impulse wave C, WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 78.00 (target for the completion of wave (4), which reversed the price in January).
Oil Eyes $90+ as U.S.–Iran Conflict LoomsWTI Crude Oil — Bullish Reversal in Play as War Risk Escalates
Technical & Geopolitical Outlook — Weekly Chart | 17 June 2025
🧭 Current Market Condition:
WTI crude oil is breaking out of a multi-month falling wedge, a classically bullish reversal pattern, after bouncing from the $67–68 support region. This technical move is further amplified by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly fears of a potential U.S. military strike on Iran, which would threaten global oil supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz.
The current breakout attempt aligns with a sentiment shift from oversold to recovery mode, supported by a sharp rise in weekly momentum indicators.
📊 Key Technical Highlights:
Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout: Price breaking above descending resistance.
Key Resistance Levels:
$76.67 – immediate supply zone
$92.82 – prior breakout area; major target if breakout sustains
Key Support Levels:
$71.28 – breakout retest level
$67.00–$68.00 – wedge base, strong historical support
$52.00 – longer-term bearish invalidation (unlikely unless demand collapses)
Momentum: Weekly stochastic sharply rising from bottom, signaling strength building.
🔺 Bullish Scenario — If U.S. Attacks Iran:
If the U.S. carries out military strikes on Iranian targets, oil prices are highly likely to:
Price in geopolitical risk premium of $10–$20/barrel.
Spike toward $90–$100 range within days or weeks due to:
Fears of supply disruption (Hormuz choke point)
Panic buying and short covering
Strategic reserves hoarding
Technical Targets:
$76.67 → Break above confirms bullish continuation
$92.82 → First major upside target
$100–$110 → Stretch target if conflict escalates or prolongs
🛢️ Energy traders and institutions typically front-run geopolitical escalations, so price can jump before any physical conflict if tensions remain unresolved or rhetoric intensifies.
🔻 Bearish Scenario — Fake Breakout or De-escalation:
Rejection from $76.67 or failure to hold above $71.28 can trigger pullbacks.
If tensions cool and Iran conflict is diplomatically diffused:
WTI may slide back toward $68.00 and re-enter the wedge.
Below $67.00, oil could revisit $60–$52 range in a risk-off macro environment.
🛡️ Risk Management & Outlook:
Geopolitical events can override technicals, especially in commodities.
Gaps, whipsaws, and sharp reversals are common — caution with overnight positions.
Consider hedging strategies or limited-risk option plays if trading leveraged oil instruments.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Oil Surges on Israel-Iran Nuclear Strike Fears🛢️ Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites are pushing oil ( BLACKBULL:WTI , BLACKBULL:BRENT ) higher!
Bloomberg reports Trump’s G-7 exit and Tehran evacuation warning as Israel-Iran strikes intensify (June 17, 2025). Analysts warn of Strait of Hormuz risks, with 17M barrels/day at stake.
4H Chart Analysis:
Price Action: WTI ( BLACKBULL:WTI ) broke $75 resistance (June 2025 high), exiting a 3-week range. Brent ( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) mirrors at $78.
Volume: 4H volume spiked 15% vs. prior week, confirming breakout buying.
Key Levels:
Current Support: $75 (WTI), $78 (Brent) – former resistance, now support.
Next Support: $73 (WTI), $76 (Brent) – prior range lows, tested twice in June.
Context: Oil gained 2% this week, driven by Middle East supply fears, with WTI at a 1-month high.
Trading Insight: The $75/$78 breakouts signal bullish momentum. $73-$76 is a key support zone for dips. Watch Iran retaliation news and volume for supply disruption clues.
What’s your 4H oil trade? Post your setups! 👇 #OilPrice #WTI #Brent #IsraelIran #TradingView
WTI US OIL 17 JUNE 2025 TRADE IDEAThe WTI Crude Oil (US Oil Spot) chart shows price action still trading within a long-term descending channel, bounded by dynamic resistance and support dating back to mid-2022. Currently, price has bounced strongly off the $67–$58 demand zone, rallying toward the descending trendline around $76–$78, which also aligns with key historical supply levels. This area poses a significant challenge for bulls and may trigger short-term rejection. However, the recent impulsive bullish leg suggests renewed demand, possibly driven by geopolitical uncertainty and speculation of potential supply disruption.
From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, WTI recently swept liquidity below the $58.69 low and formed a bullish Change of Character (ChoCH) as price broke through short-term structure levels. This confirms that smart money may have accumulated long positions in the discount zone. The rally targeting the $76.77–$78.30 range appears to be part of a mitigation move toward a supply zone, and traders may anticipate either a reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts near that level.
Macro & Geopolitical Context:
This bullish momentum in crude oil comes amid elevated tension between Iran and Israel, which historically injects volatility into energy markets. Any escalation could threaten oil production or export routes in the Middle East, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant percentage of global oil supply flows. Such events can drive speculative and fundamental buying in oil, pushing prices higher in anticipation of reduced supply. However, oil traders must also remain aware of OPEC+ policy decisions and U.S. inventory data, which can quickly shift sentiment.
Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish until $76–$78 zone; watch for rejection or breakout.
Entry: Pullback entries between $70–$71 with bullish confirmation are ideal.
Stop Loss: Below $66 or invalidation at $64 (below structure support).
Take Profit: Conservative TP around $76.77; extended target at $78.30–$79.37.
Alternative View: Strong rejection at the descending trendline may result in a return to the $67 or even $58 support if risk-off sentiment declines or supply concerns ease.
In summary, oil is currently reacting to both technical and geopolitical catalysts. While the technical structure suggests a short- to medium-term bullish move toward the upper channel resistance, sustained upside will depend heavily on how the Iran–Israel conflict unfolds, and whether market participants anticipate further disruptions to global oil supply.
Crude Oil Challenges 2-Year ChannelAmid rising summer demand, an inverted head and shoulders breakout from oversold 2020 levels, and the recent outbreak of war between Israel and Iran, crude oil has tested the upper boundary of the declining channel originating from the 2022 highs. This test comes as supply risks for the coming month intensify.
This upper boundary aligns with the $77 resistance level. A confirmed breakout and sustained hold above this level could shift momentum more decisively to the bullish side, potentially paving the way for a retest of the $80 and $83.50 levels.
On the downside, if oil fails to maintain its gains and resumes a pullback, key support zones are located around $69, $66, and $64, reestablishing bearish dominance within the channel.
— Razan Hilal, CMT