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WTI Crude Oil Cash

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WTI - The fate of oil with Trump's policies!WTI oil is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour time frame and is moving in its upward channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, the next opportunity to buy oil with a suitable risk reward will be provided for us. Being in the supply zone of oil will provide us with the possibility of selling it with reimport at a suitable risk. The price of US crude oil futures (WTI) reached $75 per barrel, marking its highest level in the past three months. According to the American Petroleum Institute (API), US oil inventories dropped by 4 million barrels last week. If this reduction is confirmed by official data, inventories would reach their lowest levels since 2014. The severe cold in the United States has increased fuel demand and heightened risks of production disruptions, while Europe is also facing harsh winter conditions. Meanwhile, the Trump administration’s tighter sanctions on Iran, combined with a global supply reduction and persistent cold weather, could pave the way for further increases in oil prices. Last year, crude oil prices declined due to weak demand from China and oversupply. Market analysts predict that oil prices will remain under pressure in 2025. In its November report, the International Energy Agency projected that global oil demand would grow by less than one million barrels per day in 2025, a significant decline compared to the two-million-barrel-per-day increase seen in 2023. The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) forecasts that Brent crude prices will drop to $70 per barrel this year due to expectations of increased oil supply from non-OPEC+ countries, which could offset global consumption growth. In a December note, BMI stated that the global oil market would likely face an oversupply in the first half of 2025 as new and substantial production from the US, Canada, Guyana, and Brazil enters the market. However, if OPEC+ implements its voluntary production cut plans, this oversupply could exert even more downward pressure on prices. BMI also highlighted that the outlook for global demand in 2025 remains unclear, stating, “Global demand for oil and gas continues to face uncertainty, with sustained economic growth and rising fuel consumption potentially offset by the impacts of trade wars, inflation, and declining demand in developed markets.” Additionally, the recent disruption of Russian gas flows to several European countries by Ukraine on the first day of the new year has added further uncertainty to global markets. As long as this situation persists, gas prices are expected to remain elevated. Citi Bank also noted that colder weather in the US and Asia during the remaining winter months could keep prices at high levels. According to the Financial Times, Donald Trump, who will assume office on January 20, is set to take control of one of the most powerful economic governance tools, capable of significantly enhancing America’s influence abroad. This tool is unmatched since the Cold War. However, the US economic framework remains flawed due to poor coordination and conflicting political priorities, presenting Trump with significant challenges in developing and implementing it. Unlike Joe Biden’s efforts to create a multifaceted geopolitical approach similar to China’s, the US economic framework suffers from issues in coordination and goal-setting.
TVC:USOIL
by Ali_PSND
WTI Oil H4 | Falling towards an overlap supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 72.65 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 71.20 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 74.85 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
1
Potential bullish reversal?WTI oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot which could indicate a double bottom pattern which might lead to a potential price to the the 1st resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 72.98 1st Support: 71.99 1st Resistance: 74.22 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
Crude oil Is Approaching ResistanceCrude oil is coming higher on 4h time frame, out of a wave B bullish triangle that we have been tracking through December. Well, we know that moves out of a triangle are final in a sequence, so we can expect limited upside, and ideally, this will cause the completion of wave E rally of a larger bearish triangle pattern. It's now approaching an important resistance at 74-75, its gap from mid-October, right at the upper side of a triangle. There is a chance for a turn soon. A triangle appears to reflect a balance of forces, causing a sideways movement that is usually associated with decreasing volume and volatility. The triangle pattern contains five overlapping waves that subdivide 3-3-3-3-3 and are labeled A-B-C-D-E. It’s a region of horizontal price movement, a consolidation of a prior move, and it is composed of “threes.” That means each of the A-B-C-D-E waves have three subwaves. The triangle pattern is generally categorized as a continuation pattern, meaning that after the pattern completes, it’s assumed that the price will continue in the trend direction it was moving before the pattern appeared. However, triangles also indicate that the final leg is coming before a reversal and that’s why triangles are labeled in wave B, wave X or wave 4.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by ew-forecast
Crude oil - ready to correct?There’s undoubted skittishness in crude oil at the moment, in much the same way that it can be seen across US equities and stock indices. Again, this comes as traders and investors come to terms with a possible market turning point, and struggle to adjust accordingly. Crude looks as if it is breaking out from its long-running downtrend. This morning, front-month WTI hit its highest level since early October, coming within 25 cents of $75 per barrel. While recent dollar strength is providing a headwind to all dollar-denominated commodities, crude continues to make good upside progress. But it will need some sort of corrective pullback, followed by another significant advance, to garner the wider attention that a sustainable bull run requires. The daily MACD still indicates that momentum is to the upside, but it is approaching levels which have previously preceded a sell-off. The depth and shape of the next decline, whenever that may come, will provide clues as to whether this bull run has legs or not.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
Analysis of USOIL and Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialThe forex pair USOIL is currently priced at 75.000, with a target price set at 103. This indicates an expectation of significant upward movement. The technical pattern in focus is the Falling Wedge, a bullish reversal pattern often found in downtrends. In this setup, the price consolidates between converging trendlines, suggesting decreasing momentum in the downward movement. A breakout above the resistance line typically signals a trend reversal. Traders anticipate a breakout in this case, leading to a potential rally towards the target. This scenario implies increased buying pressure and positive market sentiment. Risk management is crucial, as breakouts can sometimes fail. Confirmation of the breakout, such as strong volume or a clear candle close above resistance, adds reliability to the trade setup. Monitoring key levels closely will help refine the strategy.
TVC:USOILLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
WTI OIL Critical crossroads on the 16-month Resistance.WTI Oil (USOIL) is having a strong rally in the past 30 days following the rebound on the 2-year Support Zone. This Zone has contained all 1W candle closings above it, so this rebound is coming as a natural technical reaction for buyers but it is about to face a critical Resistance Cluster. First is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but the most important level is the 16-month Lower Highs trend-line that started in late September 2023. Technically, as long as it holds, the price is more likely to get rejected now back towards the Support Zone, so at the moment we are bearish with a 68.00 Target. If the Lower Highs trend-line breaks and WTI closes a 1W candle above it, we don't expect the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) to offer much Resistance, so we will take the small loss on the short and switch to buying. Our Target in that case will be Resistance 1 at 84.50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
1
Waiting for Clarity: Insights on Oil and the 70 Put OptionsLet’s talk about WTI oil for a moment. In the upcoming monthly expiration series set for January 15, there’s some interesting action happening with the 70 put options. Traders aren’t just dumping these puts; they’re actively reselling them, and there are definitely buyers stepping in. What’s even more intriguing is that the same 70 puts are being picked up in the next options series as well. Now, if you look at the charts, it seems like prices have finally broken out of that range they’ve been stuck in for a while and are gearing up to move higher. With this kind of sentiment in play, I’m going to hold off on making any buys for now and wait for some clearer signals before jumping in.
TVC:USOILShort
by ClashChartsTeam
WTI reaches key resistance zoneCrude oil prices have been stealthily rising over the past couple of weeks, but now is the real test as prices have reached some important resistance levels. As per the chart, WTI faces a band of resistance from its bearish trend line, 200-day moving average, and prior support and resistance, all converging around the psychologically important $75.00 level. Specifically, the resistance range comes in between $74.55 to $77.50. Yesterday's bearish price candle was the first sign of a potential reversal, although we haven't yet seen any downside follow-through. Support comes in around $71.50, the base of the recent breakout. Below that, $70.00 is the next downside target, followed by the recent lows. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
TVC:USOILShort
by FOREXcom