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USOIL: Key Levels to Watch Amid CPI-Driven VolatilityUSOIL Analysis Today, WTI Crude Oil is positioned for potential volatility with the upcoming CPI release, expected at 2.6%. This inflation data could significantly influence market direction. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 68.53 Resistance Levels: 70.49, 71.78, 72.74 Support Levels: 67.03, 65.85, 63.51 Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: A break and close above the pivot line at 68.53 could drive prices toward 70.49 and potentially higher levels at 71.78. Sustained trading above these levels may further confirm the bullish trend. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 68.53 and breaks below 67.03, it could lead to a bearish move toward 65.85 and eventually 63.51, aligning with a potential market reaction to higher-than-expected CPI data. Today's CPI release is anticipated to cause notable volatility, so monitor these levels closely for potential breakouts in either direction.
TVC:USOILShort
by SroshMayi
Crude steadiesCrude prices managed to steady yesterday, having declined sharply since hitting a three-week high last Thursday. Front-month WTI was a touch firmer in early trade this morning as well. But it feels as if this could turn out to be nothing more than a brief pause before prices head downwards once again. The fundamental picture remains unchanged. Supply remains plentiful, and in the absence of a supply shock from either the Middle East or Eastern Europe, that situation is unlikely to change. The Trump election victory should encourage more US production through tax cuts and deregulation. The only question is whether US producers will want to increase output, given that they are already producing at record levels, and that crude prices are low. Meanwhile, demand isn’t keeping up with supply, and this explains why OPEC+ producers have extended their output cuts for an extra month, until the end of December. Chinese demand has fallen further than previously forecast. The world's biggest oil importer recorded a sixth consecutive decline in crude oil arrivals in October, and last week’s much-hyped fiscal stimulus will do little to change that. On Tuesday OPEC released its latest monthly report. It said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, down from last month’s forecast of 1.93 million bpd. It also reduced its demand growth forecast for 2025 to 1.54 million barrels per day, from 1.64 previously.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 70.38 1st Support: 67.68 1st Resistance: 72.82 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Crude Oil Alert: Potential Price Drop if $66.40 Support BreaksTechnical Analysis: Bearish Indicators for Crude Oil On the 4-hour chart, crude oil has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal signal indicating potential downward movement. The neckline is established at $66.40 per barrel. A decisive break below this level could trigger further declines, potentially leading to a significant drop in oil prices. Fundamental Factors Reinforcing the Bearish Outlook OPEC's Demand Forecast Reduction: OPEC has revised its global oil demand growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025, citing economic weaknesses in China and India. This marks the fourth consecutive downgrade for 2024, with demand now expected to rise by 1.82 million barrels per day (bpd), down from the previous forecast of 1.93 million bpd. Saudi Arabia's Reduced Supply to China: Saudi Arabia plans to decrease its crude oil supply to China in December to approximately 36.5 million barrels, the lowest since July, due to weakened demand from the world's largest importer. Saudi Aramco's Profit Decline: Saudi Aramco reported a drop in third-quarter profit to $27.56 billion from $32.58 billion a year earlier, attributed to lower oil prices and weak refining margins.
TVC:USOIL
by ClearTradingMind
WTI OIL forming multi-year bottom. $115 rally expected.WTI Oil (USOIL) is trading below its 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 4th straight month. The fact that it hasn't made a new Low yet, is a sign of strong long-term buying pressure here, hence a Support base. Technically the price is forming the new multi-year bottom of this Cycle, similar to the below 1M MA200 bottom formation during November 2001 - January 2002. As you can see, those two decade long patterns are very similar in terms of price action, something that is also visible on their 1M RSI fractals. The fact that a 1M Golden Cross was formed last May, makes the sequence even more bullish. The 2002 bottom initiated a rally, which in 1.5 year hit the Resistance Zone that was in place for more than 10 years. This time we have a Resistance Zone that goes back to 2011 and last time it rejected the price in March and June 2022 during the Ukraine - Russia war peak. When the price breaks the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) again and closes above it, we may have an even stronger rally (fueled by inflationary forces of course, as the Fed continues their Rate-cut Cycle), as long as the 1M candles keep closing above the 1M MA50. In any case, our Target for the next 12 - 18 months is $115.00 (just inside the Resistance Zone). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
1
Falling towards pullback support?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 67.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 65.84 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 69.05 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Again).Dear Colleagues, I believe that price is still in a five-wave downtrend. The mid-order wave “3” is in a small correction, but very soon the downward movement will continue. I believe that the price has already closed the gap and may reach the resistance area of 74, then I expect the price to decline to the support area of 67.046. There are 2 possible courses of action: 1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market. 2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
12
WTI in weekly chart (Update) Hello I have given my idea and most probable scenarios of WTI movements for its next weeks. Now I just want to reconsider that scenario I think is more probable. I am pretty sure that we are in a Triangle and I have gotten all confirmations and so what I expect for the next movement is to drop from here and make an ABC for the wave y cycle to end up wave (II) or (b) super cycle which may take around 300 days. If it wants to become true then we need reliable confirmations.
TVC:USOILShort
by AMA_FX
4
China's economic concerns drove oil prices lower Concerns regarding China's oil demand and the dollar's strength have decisively impacted oil prices, driving USOIL down to its lowest since October 29th. China's inflation data reveals significant weakness, intensifying fears of deflation. Additionally, the Trump administration's pressure on China is expected to exacerbate economic challenges for the nation, raising serious concerns about a potential downturn. After breaking the 70.00 threshold, USOIL retreated to 68.00. Both EMAs widen the gap, indicating a continuous bearish momentum. If USOIL breaks the trendline, which has extended since mid-Sep, the price may fall further to this year's low of 64.50. Conversely, if USOIL breaches the resistance at 70.00, where EMA21 coincides, the price could gain upward momentum toward 73.50.
TVC:USOIL
by inkicho_exness