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USOUSD trade ideas

USOIL FORECAST Q4 FY24 - FY25monthly timeframe just to show em we the big dogs The last post was short lived lasted a month then went to the bears in this analysis i see price going up higher for longer in the long run as i anticipate some serious global tensions to follow through, wont speculate on conspiracies only prices that said price didnt break our level yet again and from 12/22 to now price was in an accumulation distribution range as the big money slowly but sure buy up more inventory hidden in plain sight LIKE COMMENT FOLLOW need help i got you comment an instrument thats been bothering you all asset classes
FXOPEN:XTIUSDLong
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
Middle East Tensions Mount; Oil Prices RiseAccording to Israel, military forces have mounted a ground incursion across local communities around Southern Lebanon, in what it has described as a ‘limited operation’ against Hezbollah. The Israel Défense Forces (IDF) described the attack as ‘limited, localised, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence against Hezbollah terrorist targets and infrastructure in southern Lebanon’. This follows several days of airstrikes to eliminate Hezbollah’s leadership and destroy its weapons stockpiles, which resulted in the assassination of Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah. Despite reports of the Israeli ground assault, Hezbollah denies Israeli forces have entered Lebanon. Iran Preparing to Launch Missiles Into Israel? As per a senior White House official, as well as a Department of Defence official, there are reports that Iran is preparing to mount an attack against Israel, including the launch of a ballistic missile. You will recall that Iran attacked Israel earlier this year in April, launching more than 300 drones and missiles in which the US was actively involved in aiding Israel’s defence. According to sources, the US is anticipated to adopt a similar role in this situation should an attack materialise, supporting defence preparations. As of writing, it remains unclear when (if) an Iranian attack on Israel will occur. In addition, the US State Department has ordered diplomats and their families in Isreal to ‘shelter in place’, as the condition remains tentative. Oil Prices Advance Oil prices caught a sizeable bid in trading today amid escalation in the Middle East. As of writing, WTI oil is up 4.0% and technically gearing up to complete a daily AB=CD bearish configuration at US$73.58, which happens to share chart space with channel resistance, extended from the high of US$84.49, along with an ascending support-turned-potential resistance level, taken from the low of US$63.61. In light of the clear downward-facing trend this market has been in since early July this year, a test of the aforementioned resistance could result in investors taking profit and fresh sellers entering the fray.
TVC:USOILShort
by FPMarkets
USOIL SELL SHORTStructure: This chart shows a possible bearish setup following a recent rally that appears to be losing momentum as it approaches a resistance area around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The price action suggests a possible reversal or correction from this resistance zone. Trade Setup: The trade setup suggests a short position, targeting a downward move towards the 70.80 USD area (green zone), which represents the next significant support level. The stop loss is placed at 81.40 USD (red area), just above the recent high, to limit losses if the price breaks through the resistance and continues higher.
TVC:USOILShort
by Ninjia_Kitty
OIL: Three days short traders in the market Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance ✅ Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week Thursday DAY 2 Friday DAY 3 Closing Range 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout 3 Days Short Breakout ✅ Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump ✅ Dump&Pump Frontside Backside ✅ 4. THESIS: Long: secondary, although I'm not looking for any long setup at the moment, the market can still retest the current LOD (placed in London session), consolidate and reverse for a scalp eventually back inside the opening range. Short: primary, the market is currently breaking down, placing a lower low during London session and pumped back up into the previous LOD. If the market will retest that level (high of session as well), I will be willing to take a short trade back into the current LOD and don't forget that on the bigger picture it can also perform a 4 weeks pump and dump. Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. Gianni
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by GianniPichichero
1
WTI OIL Channel Down prevailed. Lower Low expected.WTI Oil (USOIL) eventually failed to recover the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the Resistance since August 13, and reversed the short-term rebound. The 3-month Channel Down appears to have prevailed and technically is now looking for its third Lower Low. The previous two declined by -18.47% and -15.18% respectively, so roughly we same % drop. As the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross today, we can claim that we have the necessary confirmation for a Bearish Leg that at best, we are half-way on it. Assuming the minimum drop of -15.18%, we expect to see at least $62.00 before this Leg prices the Lower Low. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Recent Decline , Prices began to drop at the end of September by 7.12%. This indicates a noticeable downtrend, which could be driven by various market factors. Support Level at 67.22 , Currently, prices are trading slightly above this key support level. If the price breaks below 67.22, it may trigger a further decline of 9.80%. Potential for Rebound , If the support level holds, a potential rise could occur. Two potential rise targets are a 3.48% increase and a 6.27% increase, depending on how strong the support level is and whether positive momentum returns. Technical Analysis: Current Support Level , The price of USOIL is currently above 67.22. This level serves as a critical support point; if prices remain above this, it suggests bullish sentiment. Target Range (FVG) , If prices hold above 67.22, the analysis predicts an upward movement toward a Fair Value Gap (FVG) area between 68.73 and 69.48. This implies potential buying interest or liquidity in that range. Further Resistance , If the price breaks through the FVG area, it could rise further to reach a resistance level at 71.74. This indicates a bullish outlook if the upward momentum continues. Conversely, if the price drops below 67.22, it suggests a bearish trend, potentially declining to 65.24. This indicates a shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Intraday Bearish Confirmation Update for WTI Crude Oil. Earlier, I share a very bearish setup on a daily. Analyzing the intraday time frames today, I spotted a strong bearish confirmation on an hourly. Retesting a recently broken horizontal resistance, the price dropped and violated a support line of a rising wedge pattern. It is an important sign of strength of the sellers. With a high probability, the price will drop at least to 67.15 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by VasilyTrader
1
Fundamental factors have the main impact on the WTI trendTVC:USOIL ended up slightly higher last Friday but fell more than 3% for the week as markets gauged expectations for increased global supply and considered new stimulus measures from major countries in Asia, which import leading crude oil exporter. - On one hand, OPEC+ plans to start increasing production in December, which has been particularly suppressive on oil prices and was the main negative factor for the oil market last week. - On the other hand, the withdrawal of many stimulus policies by major powers, expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further and the escalating conflict in the Middle East still provide some support for oil prices. Central banks of major Asian countries cut reserve requirements and interest rates last Friday, and governments of major Asian countries are launching a final round of stimulus to boost growth. The economy returns to the target of about 5% this year. Israel said it bombed Houthi rebel targets in Yemen on Sunday (September 29) and continued airstrikes in Lebanon, expanding its alliance with Iran in the region two days after killing the leader of Hezbollah. Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah during the confrontation. On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL Currently trading quite stable after recovering from the support level of 67.26USD. Note to readers in the previous issue. The recovery momentum is also being limited by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and the horizontal resistance level of 69.31USD. However, looking at the overall technical picture, WTI crude oil is having more bearish conditions with the main trend from the price channel, pressure from EMA21 and weak recovery momentum when the RSI Strength Index turns down. price reduction signal. In the near term, if WTI crude oil continues to be sold below the important technical level at 67.26USD it is likely to continue to decline more with a target level of 65.25USD. Even if WTI crude oil recovers further, it will still be limited by the EMA21, the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level and the upper edge of the price channel. The bearish trend in WTI crude oil dominates the daily technical chart, and notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 67.26USD Resistance: 68.74 – 69.31USD
TVC:USOILShort
by Xayah_trading
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 67.14 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 65.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support. Take profit is at 72.15 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Editors' picks
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
5
Crude Oil continues the downtrendOn Crude Oil , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 69.660. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. The S/R zone from the past and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading, Dale
FX:USOIL
by Trader_Dale
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USOUSD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 70.48 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 72.55 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 67.99 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
61.69% Probability for Bullish USOIL TP!Key Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Outlook: - OPEC+ Production Cuts: OPEC+ has implemented production cuts to stabilize oil prices, which can lead to a tighter supply and potentially higher prices for crude oil. - Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical issues, particularly in oil-producing regions, can disrupt supply chains, leading to increased prices as markets react to potential shortages. - Economic Recovery Signals: As global economies continue to recover from the pandemic, demand for oil is expected to rise, further supporting bullish sentiment in the market. By combining a bullish bias with a probabilistic approach to trading, I aim to position myself advantageously in the market while managing risks effectively. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below! 2W: 2H:
TVC:USOILLong
by Jasminex1x2