WTI Crude bearish ahead of US weekly InventoriesThe WTI Crude Oil price action sentiment appears bearish, reinforced by the prevailing long-term downtrend. The recent price action indicates a potential oversold rally, approaching a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels and Price Action
The primary trading level to watch is 68.65, representing the current intraday swing high and falling resistance trendline. An oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could confirm continued downward momentum. In this case, the next downside support targets are at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80 over the longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a decisive breakout above the 68.65 resistance level, confirmed by a daily close, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could trigger further rallies toward the next resistance levels at 69.30 and 70.12.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 68.65 resistance level holds, with potential downside targets at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80. A confirmed breakout above 68.65 would shift the outlook to bullish, paving the way for potential rallies toward 69.30 and 70.12. Traders should carefully watch the price action around the 68.65 level to assess the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOUSD trade ideas
WTI OIL Massive 4-year Support hit. Bullish reversal ahead??WTI Oil (USOIL) hit on last week's 1W candle the 1M MA100 (red trend-line), a massive long-term Support level that has been holding since the week of April 26 2021, i.e. almost 4 years.
At the same time, the price entered the 2-year Support Zone, which has produced all major Bullish Phases (green Rectangles) during this time span. The last one got rejected twice on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Given the fact that this most recent rejection formed the current 2-month Bearish Phase (red Rectangle), which even based on 1W RSI terms, is similar to all previous Bearish Phases that found Support on the 2-year Support Zone, we have a massive long-term Support Cluster in front of us.
Naturally, until the 1W MA200 breaks, that should be the first Target of any buy attempts. As a result, we expect $80.00 to be tested by June 2025 the earliest.
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USOIL BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 66.90
Target Level: 73.40
Stop Loss: 62.52
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: Is the Downtrend Still in Play?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a quick analysis of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) . Let’s break it down.
📉 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
In the 4-hour time frame, WTI has shown a very strong corrective move, and despite trying to hold the support zone PRZ, it even failed to maintain it, suggesting a potential downtrend. Now, we have an opportunity to focus more on our short setups, but we’ll need to manage the risk as well.
🔮 Short Setup
For short positions, a break below the 4-hour support at 65.183 would be a good trigger to enter a short position. Place the stop loss just above the broken PRZ, around 67.024 , and keep an eye on price action as a sharp movement down could follow. If the support breaks, we’re likely to see a continuation towards the next support level, so the move could be pretty sharp, but make sure your stop loss is tight to manage risk effectively.
💡 Long Setup
For the long setup, we’ll wait for a potential fake breakout below the support and then look for a return above 67.024 . If we break above the resistance at 67.639 , we’ll look for a possible long continuation. However, since the current trend is bearish, we’ll reduce our risk and wait for confirmation from the 4-hour or daily time frames before entering.
Let me know your thoughts and ideas on WTI! 💬 Drop any questions in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
OIL / WTI PoV - LONGThe analysis of the current oil price highlights the $65/66 range as a critical level for a potential rally. After a period of consolidation and corrections in recent weeks, oil seems to have found strong support around these levels, with prices oscillating between $65 and $66 per barrel. These levels represent an important liquidity zone, as in the past, the price has found support here, suggesting that there could be an opportunity for a bullish rebound if the price manages to remain stable above this threshold.
A rally above the $65/66 level could be supported by several fundamental factors, including improved demand prospects, a reduction in global inventories, and potential policies from OPEC. If demand for oil increases, especially with economic recoveries in certain regions or a rise in industrial production globally, there could be further support for prices. Additionally, OPEC+'s stance in the production-limiting agreement and potential supply cuts could keep the market tight, pushing prices higher.
Geopolitical dynamics also play a significant role in determining the direction of oil. Any tensions or disruptions in supply from key producing countries, such as those in the Middle East, could serve as catalysts for further price increases. Another factor that could support prices is the depreciation of the dollar, which typically benefits oil, as the commodity is priced in dollars.
However, if the price fails to maintain stability above the $65/66 level, we might see a new correction phase, with prices possibly retreating to lower levels. A move away from these levels could mark the beginning of a new bearish phase, with the risk of prices sliding back towards $60 per barrel or even lower if demand weakens or if there are supply excesses in the market.
In summary, the $65/66 level is crucial for the price of oil. Maintaining or closing above these levels could pave the way for a rally, while failure to do so could lead to further price weakening. With OPEC+ policies playing a key role in balancing the market, the next few months will be critical in determining the future direction of oil prices.
USOIL's latest 20% profit tips
Trading signal analysis gives 65 support, and traders who rebound and go long, TP reaches the target 15%.
If you don’t know when to buy or sell, please pay close attention to the real-time signal release of the trading center or leave me a message, so that you can quickly realize the joy of profit. FOREXCOM:USOIL FX:USOIL TVC:USOIL
WTI Oil H4 | Overhead pressures remain in place?WTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.46 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 65.20 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI CRUDE OIL: 4H Channel Down targeting 64.00WTI Crude Oil is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 33.014, MACD = -1.680, ADX = 27.887) but on the lower 4h timeframe its formed a Channel Down that just completed a peak formation. This indicates that it is ready for its next bearish wave, with the previous two registering -6.55% declines. The trade is short, TP = 64.00.
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WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) - Potential Bullish Reversal from Support Technical & Fundamental Analysis:
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) has reached a strong support zone around $64.84, where buying pressure could lead to a bullish reversal. Based on the 30-minute chart, we observe key technical signals indicating a potential upside move.
Technical Analysis:
✅ Support Zone Identified: Price has tested the $64.84 - $65.00 area, showing signs of demand.
✅ Reversal Confirmation Needed: A bullish candle formation at this level could confirm a bounce.
✅ Supertrend Indicator: Price is currently below the Supertrend resistance but could flip bullish if it crosses above $66.50.
✅ Target Resistance: First key resistance is at $68.53, followed by $70.00+ if momentum continues.
Fundamental Factors:
🔹 Geopolitical Tensions & Supply Constraints – Any disruption in oil supply could trigger price increases.
🔹 OPEC+ Decisions – Market expectations regarding production cuts may impact sentiment.
🔹 USD Strength & Inflation – A weaker dollar or higher inflation data can push crude oil prices higher.
Trade Setup & Plan:
Entry: Around $65.00 - $65.50 after confirmation of reversal.
Stop Loss: Below $64.80 (to protect against further downside).
Take Profit 1: $68.50 (key resistance).
Take Profit 2: $70.00+ if bullish momentum continues.
Conclusion:
If WTI Crude Oil holds above $65.00, a bullish reversal toward $68.50 - $70.00 is likely. However, failure to hold support may lead to further downside. Keep an eye on price action and news catalysts!
Trade Wisely & Manage Risk!
Latest USOIL Trading Signal PlanToday's crude oil opened at $66.34, slightly higher than yesterday's low, indicating that the market has some support around $65. After Wednesday's low of $65.22, the 4-hour chart closed with a positive line with a long lower shadow, showing that bulls have strong defense around $65.
According to the current trend analysis, the price fell from $73.14 to $68.36, a drop of $4.78; it rebounded from $68.36 to $70.60, a rebound of $2.24, and a correction of about 50%. The drop from $70.60 to $65.22, a drop of $5.38, may theoretically have ended, but considering the support of the $65 mark, it may further fall below $65.
The current trend stage may be nearing its end, but the $65 mark has not been effectively broken, and the possibility of further decline needs to be paid attention to. The target below may be in the $64.00-63.00 range.
If the price stabilizes around $65, it may start to rebound, with the target in the $67.00-68.00 range. Short selling is the main method of rebounding during the day. Pay attention to the support effect of the $65 mark. If the price effectively falls below $65, short selling can be pursued, with the target at $63.00-64.00.
Trading is risky and positions should be controlled reasonably. When the opportunity comes, if you don’t know when to buy or sell, pay close attention to my real-time signal announcement or leave me a message so that you can realize the joy of quick profits. FOREXCOM:USOIL FX:USOIL TVC:USOIL
Crude Oil: Is There More Downside?Following crude oil’s rebound from its September 2024 low of $65.20, the risk of a reversal remains uncertain amid ongoing bearish pressures.
Key Events This Week:
Chinese deflation risks
OPEC monthly report
US CPI data
Trade war developments
Potential Scenarios:
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below $65 could extend losses toward $63.80, a key level that may determine whether the market holds neutral and rebounds or breaks further into a steeper bearish trend towards $62, $60, and $55 (the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the 2020–2022 uptrend).
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the rebound sustains above $67, resistance levels at $68.70, $70.80, and $72.50 could come back into play.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
USOIL Analysis – Key Support Zone in Play🔥 #! 🔥
📉 Heavy Selling Pressure Since January
Crude oil has been under strong bearish pressure for months and is now hovering near its major support zone of $65-$67.
📌 Why This Zone Matters?
This level has acted as a strong support 4-5 times in the past 📊
Holding firm for the last 2 years ⏳
High probability of recovery from this zone
💰 Positional Buy Setup:
✅ Buy around current levels 📍
✅ Stop-loss: Below $64.50 (Daily close) 🚨
✅ Target 1: $70 🎯
✅ Target 2: $72 🚀
⚠️ Risk Warning: USOIL is highly volatile, making it risky for conservative traders. If you prefer safety, it's best to stay out of this trade.
📊 Trade with caution and proper risk management! 📈🔥
USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 67.18.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 70.05 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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WTI Oil H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.46 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 65.20 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionMarket Overview:
📉 WTI at $66.00: Trading defensively near a three-year low amid tariff concerns and OPEC+ output hikes.
📊 Inventory Build: A larger-than-expected US crude inventory build (up by 3.614M barrels vs. a forecasted decline) is adding pressure on prices.
⚖️ Tariff Uncertainty: Despite Trump's recent executive order exempting goods from Canada and Mexico under USMCA, overall tariff uncertainty remains a key concern.
🔺 OPEC+ Output Increase: For the first time since 2022, OPEC+ has ramped up production, weighing further on WTI.
Technical Insights:
📉 Descending Channel: The 4H chart shows a clear descending channel. Watch for the potential break of the channel's resistance line to the upside.
🎯 Key Level: Next week, the critical level to monitor is $66.50 – consider a buy if prices break above, and sell if they remain below.
Upcoming Catalysts:
⏰ US Employment Data: Keep an eye on the Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, EIA and API report. A weaker-than-expected report could lift the USD and boost oil prices.
Stay Tuned:
I'll provide a detailed update at the beginning of next week. Follow along for more insights and actionable trading strategies!
#WTI #CrudeOil #OilTrading #OilMarket #CommodityTrading #EnergyMarket #OilPrice #MarketAnalysis #TradingInsights #OPEC
Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
Crude Oil (WTI) Analysis – March 10, 2025
1. Long-Term Range Trading at Key Support
The chart shows that Crude Oil (WTI) has been respecting the green line as a strong support-resistance zone for the past 5+ years.
Previously, this level acted as resistance (2018, 2019, 2021) before a breakout, and since then, it has been tested multiple times as support (2022, 2023, 2024, and now 2025).
2. Support Holding or Breakdown?
Scenario 1: Support Holds (Bullish Case)
If crude oil takes support at this level again, it could see a bounce and attempt to rally higher.
The strength of the bounce depends on volume and global oil demand factors.
Upside targets in case of a bounce: $80-$90 range.
Scenario 2: Breakdown (Bearish Case)
If crude breaks this major support with strong selling volume, it could trigger a major downtrend.
Next support levels to watch: $55-$60 zone.
A break below this range could lead to a deeper sell-off, possibly towards $45-$50 levels.
3. Key Indicators to Watch
Volume: A breakdown should be confirmed with high volume; otherwise, a false breakdown is possible.
Global Factors: Oil prices are heavily impacted by OPEC decisions, geopolitical risks, and demand-supply factors.
Price Action Confirmation: If price forms a bullish reversal pattern (like a double bottom or pin bar) at this level, it may confirm support holding.
4. Conclusion: Decision Point Ahead
Crude Oil is at a critical juncture—either it bounces from this strong support zone or breaks down into a bearish trend.
Traders should wait for confirmation before taking long or short positions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial expert before making any trading decisions.
Would you like a detailed technical indicator-based confirmation for entry points? 🚀
Oil - see if my trading plan works, trade only if it works in thHello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
OIL Testing 6 Month LowOIL Testing 6 Month Low
OIL Analysis Yesterday, OIL tested a very strong area dating back six months to September 10, 2024. OIL reached $65 per barrel after a long time.
The market reaction was strong, pushing the OIL price up again to $67.3, an increase of nearly 1.7%.
Impact of U.S. Tariff Policy The uncertainty around U.S. tariff policy is creating concerns about demand growth, while major producers are set to increase output. However, this is not pushing oil prices down at the moment.
It looks like we could see a short-term bullish recovery before it moves down again. The liquidity near $65 should have been high as long as it is rising.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️