US OIL Momentum/Dip Buy StrategyUnderstanding what drives oil is key to trading it.
You can mix this with a tech approach for reliability.
USOUSD trade ideas
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bearish Move From Confluence Zone
WTI Crude Oil tested a significant confluence zone yesterday.
That zone is based on a recently broken daily horizontal resistance
and a falling trend line.
Probabilities will be high that the price will drop from that area.
First goal - 70.45
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Strategies for Managing Stress in High-Stakes EnvironmentsPerformance anxiety in trading is real, and many traders, especially those in high-stakes environments, have felt the intense pressure to perform. Managing this anxiety requires a blend of psychological, emotional, and practical strategies to stay calm and composed when trading decisions can result in significant financial consequences.
1️⃣ Understanding the Psychological Origins of Performance Anxiety: Performance anxiety stems from fear—fear of losing, fear of failure, and fear of making the wrong decision. As traders, this fear often arises from uncertainty in the markets. It’s important to recognize the source of this fear and anxiety. I’ve noticed that traders, myself included, often tie our self-worth to the outcomes of trades. The result? Heightened stress levels and irrational decision-making.
The key is to differentiate between self-worth and trade outcomes. A bad trade doesn’t mean you're a bad trader. Developing a mindset that accepts bad trades as part of the trading process helps to ease the emotional burden. Understanding this psychological dynamic is the first step toward managing performance anxiety.
2️⃣ Set Realistic Expectations for Trades: One mistake I see traders make, is setting overly ambitious goals. Unrealistic expectations can set you up for disappointment and anxiety. If you expect every trade to be a winner, the pressure to achieve perfection can become overwhelming.
To counter this, setting realistic, achievable goals that are based on historical data and personal trading performance is crucial. For example, instead of aiming for a 100% win rate, aim for a profitable ratio of winning to damage control or losing trades. It’s about balance—understanding that even the best traders have losing trades.
3️⃣ Create and Follow a Solid Trading Plan: When anxiety kicks in, it often leads to impulsive decisions. But a structured trading plan can serve as your anchor. In high-pressure moments, a well-thought-out plan reminds you to stick to your strategy rather than making emotionally driven choices.
In my trading career, I’ve found that having clearly defined entry and exit points, risk management protocols, and a decision-making framework helps significantly in keeping emotions in check. Whether trading forex, commodities, or indices, this structured approach eliminates the need for snap decisions and helps reduce anxiety.
4️⃣ Incorporate Stress Management Techniques into Your Routine: Managing stress in trading is not just about the markets—it’s about your lifestyle. Incorporating stress-relieving techniques such as deep breathing, meditation, and even exercise can make a big difference. I have personally found mindfulness practices helpful in staying focused and composed, especially during volatile markets.
Mindfulness techniques encourage being present in the moment, which helps reduce performance anxiety. Simple deep-breathing exercises before placing a trade can help calm the nerves, while regular meditation sessions can improve emotional regulation in high-stakes situations.
5️⃣ Leverage Technology for Automation and Alerts: We live in a time when technology can help alleviate performance pressure. Automated trading systems or even simple alert functions can take some of the burden off the trader. By automating parts of the process, such as bids, offers, targets and DC/stop-losses, you remove the need for real-time decision-making in every aspect. I do this, so I don’t have to stay glued to my screen, which reduces stress. It’s about trusting the system and using tools to aid in decision-making.
6️⃣ Seek Peer Support and Mentorship: Trading can feel like a solitary endeavor, which can increase performance anxiety. But it doesn’t have to be. Building a support system of fellow traders or finding a mentor can offer a great outlet for discussing trading struggles, strategies, and emotional challenges.
In my experience, having a network of traders to share insights and frustrations with has been invaluable. It’s a reminder that everyone faces challenges, and sometimes hearing how others overcome performance anxiety can provide you with the tools to cope. Additionally, mentors can help you fine-tune your trading strategies, reducing the anxiety associated with self-doubt. I run The Trading Mentor with my co-mentor Will Sebastian and we have created a community of like-minded traders who serve this exact purpose.
7️⃣ Accept Losses and Develop a Resilient Mindset: Finally, a significant cause of anxiety in trading is the fear of losing. But losses are inevitable in trading. Developing resilience—the ability to bounce back after losses—is crucial for managing performance anxiety. Rather than viewing a loss as a failure, I view it as a lesson and part of the broader learning curve.
This requires a mental shift. I’ve learned to analyze my damage control trades as losing trades (even though the end result is almost always net gains), adjust strategies where necessary, and move forward without emotional baggage. The faster you accept that losses and long DC cycles are part of trading, the less anxious you’ll feel when they inevitably occur.
Managing performance anxiety in trading is a continuous process that involves understanding the psychological roots, setting realistic goals, following a structured plan, incorporating mindfulness, leveraging technology, and building a resilient mindset.
CRUDE OIL Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL retested a
Horizontal resistance level
Of 72.27$ and we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction so
We will be expecting a
Further local move down
Sell!
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Us oil London session ideaThis is a place where you can identify the possible movement in mentioned session. Entry activated only when a candle closes above or below the drawn level, And the next candle creates a wick down(for up movement) or up(for down movement) and breaks the candle high or low.
When entry is activated SL will be below or above the 30 minute candle.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?WTI oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 72.56
1st Support: 70.33
1st Resistance: 74.76
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
WTI Potentially Re-entering SZAs prices respond to the current Supply Zone, the rejection appears less significant compared to previous instances, with smaller candles and no extended range candles (ERCs) forming. I anticipate that prices may retrace back into the Supply Zone and potentially even attempt a breakout towards the next zone, around the 74.500 level.
My strategy is to capture a quick upward move without waiting for a full breakout of the current zone. I'll place a Buy Stop order, aiming for a 50-pip gain. If prices break through the zone afterward, I’ll look for another entry opportunity.
If prices were to keep falling from this point on, then the trade will be invalidated and cancelled. If triggered and gone lower, SL at 40pips.
USOIL SHORTHi guys this its my next trade idea to go short, now its a good momento to enter, if you can get a better price its perfect
Crude Oil vs Silveris Cheap AgainThe chart shows USOIL relative to Silver in a buy area again.
USO (Crude oil futures ETF) is favorable choice to invest in crude oil since it benefits from current backwardation in future contracts.
Target for USO : $80
Time period: 3 months.
Trade suggestion:
Buy USO at 73
Sell Covered call at 75 for Dec above $3.65-$4 per share premium.
USOIL - Short Term Buys Using Structure & Fibonacci A complete walkthrough of a short-term buying opportunity on Oil using support and resistance to confirm our decision along with the use of our Fibonacci tools to help choose out profit targets.
If you have any questions or comments please leave them below.
Akil
China's policies, Middle East developments support oilWest Texas Intermediate TVC:USOIL reached over 72 USD/barrel supported by the Chinese Government's lightning-fast policy support for the economy and the situation in the Middle East is very tense. All of these geopolitical factors are driving oil prices even higher.
In addition, natural conditions also threaten supply from the US, the world's largest crude oil producer, pushing oil prices up.
China's massive stimulus policy
Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the People's Bank of China, announced a series of stimulus measures at a press conference in Beijing today (Tuesday), a clear sign of the broadest effort yet by the Policymakers aim to achieve an annual growth target of around 5% this year. This is the largest stimulus measure since the outbreak of the Covid-19 epidemic.
The measures announced today include: boosting bank lending to consumers and businesses and cutting the People's Bank of China's key short-term interest rate, which will support growth and energy demand in the world's largest oil importer.
New developments in the Middle East
Hezbollah strongholds in Lebanon on Monday, Lebanese authorities said air strikes killed 492 people and forced tens of thousands to flee their homes.
Oil prices are supported by geopolitical conflicts because this region (Lebanon) plays an important role in oil production.
The attack risks bringing OPEC oil producer Iran, which backs Hezbollah, closer to a conflict with Israel and could trigger a wider war in the Middle East region, which in turn could continues to push for support for crude oil as supply is threatened. In particular, this conflict could completely involve Iran, a major member of OPEC, and could further disrupt crude oil supplies from the Middle East.
Technical outlook analysis of TVC:USOIL
On the daily chart, WTI crude oil is showing the initial conditions for a bull run with the RSI steeply upward sloping past 50, along with price activity moving upwards. the 21-day moving average which acted as resistance previously.
However, WTI crude oil will need to temporarily break the 72.65 USD level to fully confirm the technical conditions for a bullish cycle with a short-term target level of around 74.39 USD.
In the short term, the trend of WTI crude oil is more inclined towards price increases with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: 70.90 – 70.49 – 69.37USD
Resistance: 72.65 – 74.39USD
The Multitimeframe Bias method for enjoyable trend tradingUnlock the power of Multitimeframe Bias trading! This approach aims to identify and trade with the prevailing trend and momentum by assessing the bias across different timeframes. By determining the alignment of various timeframes, you can anticipate potential rollovers and make more informed trading decisions. Fully aligned and integrated with SB Style trading, this method offers a mechanical system that prevents impulsive trades, ensuring a disciplined and strategic approach to the market. Learn how to leverage Multitimeframe Bias to enhance your trading strategy today!
USOIL has made new LH The price has got a rejection from fib point 0.618 moreover if you take a look at the last 2 circled LHs you will observe the same bearish candle formation after which the price falls sharply so wait for that candle in this scenario also and then take the short entry can be taken by putting SL above that candle or you can also put SL at fib point .786
m30 retest week support below yesterday highm30 retest week support below yesterday high
last m30 rejected week resistance today test again??
m30 Choch from US session back test 200ma H4m30 Choch from US session back test 200ma H4
1.5 Ratio first
USOIL 1DTechnically, oil prices have bounced back to the upside after hitting their weekly support, breaking the downtrend line on the daily and currently hitting a resistance. If it passes through the zone, you must wait to return to this zone for the purchase transaction. And if it cannot cross this area, according to the picture, we are waiting for a purchase around 70.400!
USOIL Technical Outlook - 4-Hour Chart AnalysisKey Analysis and Components:
Wyckoff Accumulation Phase:
The current price action suggests that USOIL is in Phase B of a Wyckoff Accumulation.
After a preliminary supply (PSY) and a buying climax (BC), the market experienced a secondary test (ST) and a shakeout (SOW in Phase B), confirming the accumulation phase.
The upthrust (UT) in Phase B could suggest a false breakout, which typically results in a test of lower levels, marking the transition into Phase C.
Elliott Wave Count:
The market completed a potential five-wave structure (v) as part of the larger cycle, which topped near 73.25.
The corrective wave structure is unfolding, marked by waves a-b-c, which suggests further downside before completing the correction.
The anticipated wave C retracement could potentially bring the price towards key Fibonacci support levels, likely around the 50% (69.43) and 0.618 (68.54) retracement levels.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance levels are marked by the LPSY (Last Point of Supply) zones near 73.85 and 71.64. These levels serve as potential turning points for any future upward attempts.
Support levels are defined around the POC (Point of Control) at 69.42 and the Fibonacci retracement levels. The 68.54 level acts as a critical invalidation point for the overall bullish scenario.
Point of Control and Volume Profile:
The POC (69.42) highlights the price area with the highest traded volume, indicating strong market interest and likely support.
The chart further emphasizes equilibrium at the 0.5 (69.43) level, a midpoint that balances the market between premium and discount pricing zones.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
The red projected path indicates a possible continuation of bearish movement. This aligns with the corrective structure expected in Phase C of Wyckoff, which could see the market testing lower levels before accumulation concludes.
Should prices break below the 68.54 invalidation level, a deeper correction may follow, targeting the 65.23 zone, marked as the premium area on the chart.
Market Conclusion (W Close):
The W Close (Weekly Close) is marked on September 29, 2024, and could play a pivotal role in determining the market's direction. The transition from Phase B to Phase C would likely unfold over the next week, giving traders insight into whether the accumulation phase is nearing completion or if further downside is likely.
Conclusion:
The USOIL market is currently in an accumulation phase, with a possible downtrend in the short term as prices work through the corrective structure in Phase B. Key levels to watch include 69.43 for potential support and 73.85 for resistance. Invalidation of this bullish accumulation occurs if prices drop below 68.54. The expected conclusion of the corrective wave could lead to renewed bullish momentum once the market tests lower accumulation levels. Traders should remain vigilant as the market transitions through these phases.
WTI OIL Still bullish, targeting the 1D MA200.WTI Oil (USOIL) eventually gave us the 2 green day streak we wanted in order to turn bullish, as per our suggestion 2 weeks ago (September 10, see chart below):
Event though it marginally broke below April's Channel Down, the buying pressure it has build is similar to all 3 major Bullish Legs since June 2023. Notice how the 1D RSI forms the same Bullish Divergence (Channel Up).
However due to the lower bottom than the one we expected, we have to change our Target to 76.00, which represents a +16.60% rise from the bottom, similar to the smaller Bullish Leg of the three that started on the June 04 2024 Low.
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What Will Happen to Crude Oil Prices?When the USDWTI 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that price movements continue above the support zone. As long as the Crude Oil price does not break below the 68.60 level, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 70.38 level may break above the 71.78 level and target the 75.82 level.
USOIL / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
July Decline: The significant drop of 15.34% indicates a bearish trend, which could be attributed to various factors such as market corrections, economic conditions, or changes in consumer behavior.
August Recovery: The rise of 11.74% suggests a potential recovery or rebound, possibly driven by positive news, increased demand, or market adjustments. However, this increase was followed by another decline within the same month.
Second August Decline: The 18.23% drop following the initial recovery may indicate market volatility or the market's inability to sustain upward momentum. This could also signal investor uncertainty or reactions to external factors.
September Projection: The forecasted decline of 4.66% in September suggests that the overall trend remains negative. This could imply a continuing lack of confidence in the market, or it may reflect seasonal trends affecting prices.
Technical analysis:
The level at 71.51 serves as a key resistance. If the price remains below this level, a decline towards 68.80 is expected. If this level is breached, the next support could be around 67.19.
Conversely, if the price breaks above 71.51, it may indicate bullish momentum, with targets at 73.99 and then 76.10.
UPWARD TARGET : 73.99 , 76.10 .
DOWNWARD TARGET : 68.80 , 67.19.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Last short term buy.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on the 4H technical outlook (RSI = 51.729, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 25.961) as it pulled back to the 4H MA50 intra day. The fact that it held, suggests that it remains the short term support of this uptrend that is targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 72.50) where so far we have had three straight rejections since August.
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US OIL Further Dip Buys..Slow Momentum is growing on on Oil Markets on some middle east tension sentiment / Fed cut bets increasing.
Ideal trajectory would be a continuation of such movement(s).
BEARISH BLACK SWAN HARMONIC PATTERNwe can see in the chart has formed BEARISH BLACK SWAN HARMONIC PATTERN as well as breakout the neckline. we can get sell opportunity from mentioned zone . its not financial advice just for education purposes.
