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USOUSD trade ideas

Short set up to sell side liquidity near C legIt's been awhile since I charted and traded oil. I'm noticing a similar bullish set up that the 20yr treasury yield had. If my wave count is correct, oil is showing a bearish 5th wave down. There is a set up for a desc. Triangle pattern which has a stealth ABC wave pattern. I have C wave near the sell liquidity around the 1st of October. Short term I'm bearish on oil particularly the 1hr/2hr time frame.. oil can invalidate this set up, by closing above the .50 fib level.. Not trading or financial advise. No position currently... will update chart once a trade is active or closed.
TVC:USOILShort
by moneyflow_trader
10
WTI Crude Oil (4h) Technical AnalysisWTI Crude Oil continues to trade within a descending channel, reflecting a broader downtrend that has been in place since early August. The price is currently hovering around the $69.93 level, attempting to break through a significant resistance zone near $70.64. This resistance zone aligns with the upper boundary of the channel, adding further strength to the resistance. Key levels to watch include: Immediate resistance: $70.64 Support: $68.23, which has acted as a solid level over the past few sessions. If the price manages to break above $70.64 with sustained volume, it could indicate a potential trend reversal. However, failure to break this zone could result in a continuation of the downtrend, with the next key support levels at $68.23 and $65.01. The volume profile suggests strong resistance between the $69.50 and $72.00 range, with a notable drop-off below $68.50, indicating low demand in that region. A break below $68.23 could drive prices toward the lower boundary of the channel near $65.00. Outlook: Bearish within the descending channel unless a breakout above $70.64 occurs with strong momentum.
TVC:USOIL
by AngshumanSaikia
Market headlines for OilOil prices pared recent gains as US crude inventories unexpectedly increased by 1.96 million barrels, according to the API, contrary to forecasts of a decline. Investors are cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision, with growing speculations of a 50 basis point cut that could boost economic activity and oil demand. Rising tensions in the Middle East are raising concerns over potential supply disruptions that could support oil prices in the near term. However, the gains could be limited as weakness persists in China, one of the world's largest oil importers.
TVC:USOIL
by Exness_Official
WTI Oil H4 | Pullback support at 50% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 68.63 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 65.05 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support. Take profit is at 73.00 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
2
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME overall trading above 67.59 , expected under upward pressure . Currently, prices are holding above the crucial support level of 67.59. As long as they maintain this position, an upward move towards the next resistance levels of 69.98 and 71.59 is likely. The 71.59 level is particularly important, as breaking through it would serve as confirmation of a sustained uptrend, potentially driving prices higher to test the 74.24 resistance zone. However, if prices fail to hold above the 67.59 support level, it would indicate a shift in momentum, initiating a bearish phase. In such a case, the first target on the downside would be 65.35, with further declines possibly extending to the 63.67 region. This level would serve as a critical area for buyers to step in, and if breached, could signal a deeper correction. UPWARD TARGET : 69.98 , 71.59 , 74.24. DOWNWARD TARGET : 65.35 , 63.67.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Detailed Support and Resistance Analysis Here is my latest structure analysis and important key levels to pay close attention to on WTI Crude Oil. Vertical Structures Vertical Resistance 1: Falling Trend Line Horizontal Structures Resistance 1: 71.46 - 71.90 area Resistance 2: 73.80 - 74.30 area Resistance 3: 76.00 - 77.60 area Resistance 4: 79.60 - 80.16 area Support 1: 63.80 - 65.70 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by VasilyTrader
1
Crude's messageCrude oil was weaker in early trade this morning, giving back a proportion of yesterday’s gains. Oil prices have recovered somewhat over the past week. Last Tuesday front-month WTI fell below $65 to hit its lowest level since May 2023. Since then prices have bounced, with WTI adding around 7.5% from last week’s low to yesterday’s high. But this must be put into perspective as crude lost 23% between early July and last week’s low. Crude was exceptionally oversold ahead of this rally, and even with the latest pick-up, it remains oversold. But even with the bullish trigger of supply disruptions due to Hurricane Francine, and the prospect of lower interest rates from the US Federal Reserve, crude hasn’t bounced sharply enough to set off a serious bout of short-covering which should have driven prices much higher. Instead, gains have been relatively slow and measured, which could suggest that this is simply a run-of-the-mill correction ahead of another lurch lower. If so, then oil is sending the wider market an important message: it’s saying that we should expect a global economic slowdown. If that’s the case, then it would be a strong argument in favour of a 50 basis point cut after tomorrow’s FOMC meeting.
TRADENATIONSB:WTI
by TradeNation
Oil prices rose slightly on Monday Oil prices rose slightly on Monday, with U.S. crude oil prices trading around the $68 price area. Gains were limited by weak Chinese economic data and ongoing demand concerns. Despite easing supply disruptions as Gulf of Mexico oil production resumed after Hurricane Francine, about 20% of oil and 28% of natural gas production remain offline. The market is focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with traders expecting a rate cut, possibly 50 basis points, which could affect oil demand. Chinese industrial output and fuel demand have slowed, increasing bearish sentiment in the oil market. Speculators are also taking short positions in Brent crude as demand fears grow. On the technical side, the price is testing the support of the 161.8% of the daily Fibonacci retracement level after finding sufficient support on the lower band of the Bollinger bands. The faster moving average (50-days) is trading below the slower (100-days) moving average validating the overall bearish trend in the market while the Stochastic is near the extremely oversold level hinting that there might be a bullish correction in the coming sessions. If this becomes reality then the first area of possible resistance might be seen around the $72 price area which consists of the area just below the 78.6% of the daily Fibonacci retracement as well as the area of price reaction in early and late August.
TVC:USOIL
by Exness_Official
Oil Moving as anticipated from post of Jan 2023 long term visionNot financial advice. I posted a chart I will attach here where I said we was doing an ABC correction on the monthly where A was 69 B would be 90-94 And C could be in low 50's and even under 50 as low as 34.00 Applying the 45° angle we see it intercedes at the 54.00 level... Of note: Can clearly see we are trending bearish on Stoch RSI as it keeps reading lower and lower. Again this was a vision I saw way back in Jan 1st so please press play on the previous chart to see how it's played out Patience is always key #PIK TLAW #Think Like A Whale
TVC:USOILShort
by ThinkLikeaWhaleTLAW
British inflation rate, Fed interest rate decision, BoE interestHighlights this week: British inflation rate, Fed interest rate decision, BoE interest rate, Japanese inflation, BoJ interest rate Wednesday: UK inflation rate at 06:00 AM GMT. The consensus is for a pause at the current level of 2.2%. If the publication comes out higher than expected then the pound might find some short-term support against its pairs. On the other hand, if the figure is lower than expected it could influence a more dovish stance from the Bank of England on their next meeting. Fed interest rate decision at 18:00 GMT is broadly expected to be the first rate cut since the beginning of the ticketing by the central bank. According to the Fedwatch tool there are 41% chance of a 0.25% cut and 59% of a 0.50% cut. Participants are focusing closely on what the comments in the subsequent press conference will be in an effort to get some hints as to the future direction of monetary policy. Thursday: The Bank of England decides on their interest rate at 11:00 PM GMT. The general expectation is that the central bank will hold their rate stable at 5% but in the event that we witness another rate cut it could put some pressure to the quid in many of its pairs, especially against the US dollar whereas in the unlikely event of a hike it might give some support on the British pound in the aftermath of the release. Japanese inflation rate at 23:30 GMT. The expectations for the month of August is that the rate could go up to 3% from the previous 2.8%. This might be somewhat bullish news to the market participants trading the yen. Friday: Bank of Japan Interest rate decision at 04:00 AM GMT. The market consensus is that the rates will remain static at 0.25% while in the unlikely scenario of any shift away from this figure will most certainly create volatility on the yen pairs.
TVC:USOIL
by Exness_Official
USOIL, dailyOil prices rose slightly on Monday, with U.S. crude oil prices trading around the $68 price area. Gains were limited by weak Chinese economic data and ongoing demand concerns. Despite easing supply disruptions as Gulf of Mexico oil production resumed after Hurricane Francine, about 20% of oil and 28% of natural gas production remain offline. The market is focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with traders expecting a rate cut, possibly 50 basis points, which could affect oil demand. Chinese industrial output and fuel demand have slowed, increasing bearish sentiment in the oil market. Speculators are also taking short positions in Brent crude as demand fears grow. On the technical side, the price is testing the support of the 161.8% of the daily Fibonacci retracement level after finding sufficient support on the lower band of the Bollinger bands. The faster moving average (50-days) is trading below the slower (100-days) moving average validating the overall bearish trend in the market while the Stochastic is near the extremely oversold level hinting that there might be a bullish correction in the coming sessions. If this becomes reality then the first area of possible resistance might be seen around the $72 price area which consists of the area just below the 78.6% of the daily Fibonacci retracement as well as the area of price reaction in early and late August.
TVC:USOIL
by Exness_Official