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USOUSD trade ideas

WTI CRUDE OIL: Mirror pattern calls for a sell.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.222, MACD = -0.370, ADX = 25.154) as the price is just under the 1D MA50, where it got rejected last Tuesday. In the meantime, it has the support of the 4H MA50, hence stuck inside a neutral range. This pattern is however identical to April, after which the price declined aggressively to the S1 level. Sell, TP = 56.00. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
USCRUDEOIL - Potential SellHi Traders, Here is my view on CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOIL BIAS: SELL Logical Analysis: From April 2020 to March 2022, oil experienced strong buyer demand, pushing price aggressively from the $7 level up to around $120. At that point, sellers stepped in, and a temporary agreement between buyers and sellers was established around the $120 zone — a fair value at the time. Since March 2022, price has been declining — entering a discount phase. However, the move has not been sharp or aggressive, suggesting sellers are not in a rush. Importantly, no significant buyer interest has been observed during this entire discounted phase. 🛒 Interpretation: The “store” (market) offered oil at a huge premium until buyers stopped stepping in at high prices. Since then, the price has been marked down gradually, waiting for a new batch of interested buyers — who haven’t shown up yet but be aware. Technical Analysis: see chart Good Luck
CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOILShort
by tarati.lorenzo
Will crude oil prices continue to rise?On Wednesday, international crude oil prices surged to nearly a one-month high amid market concerns over supply disruptions in the Middle East. News that Israel may strike Iranian nuclear facilities has ignited a risk premium for crude oil, while stalled progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations has also tightened supply expectations. The latest data from the Fujairah Oil Industrial Zone in the UAE showed that as of the week ending May 19, total refined product inventories at the Port of Fujairah stood at 20.562 million barrels, a 4.9% decline from the previous week. Light distillate inventories fell by 357,000 barrels to 8.277 million barrels, medium distillate inventories dropped by 467,000 barrels to 1.295 million barrels, and heavy residual fuel oil inventories rose by 1.651 million barrels to 10.99 million barrels. Crude oil experienced a pullback today, with prices oscillating lower after the opening, showing minor fluctuations. Notably, prices gradually broke to new lows, suggesting a high probability of a rapid decline. Overall, crude oil has been in a stalemate between rally and correction recently, showing a pattern of daytime declines and night-time gains, but this may shift today. In trading, consider going long on rebounds as the primary strategy and shorting at highs as a secondary approach. Monitor resistance at the $63.0-$64.0 per barrel level and support at the $61.0-$60.0 per barrel level. Trading Strategy: buy@60.0-61.0 TP:63.0-64.0 In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ashbur
USOIL Weekly Analysis – Major Breakdown and Retest in PlayAfter several months of holding firm, USOIL has finally broken below its key support zone around $67–$70, which had acted as a floor since mid-2021 . This is a significant technical development, and the current price action is showing a classic bearish retest of that broken structure. Technical Breakdown: Support Broken: The $67–$70 zone was tested multiple times over the past 2 years. Price has now cleanly broken through it and is struggling to reclaim it. Retest in Progress: Price is currently hovering around $62.36 and failing to push back above the broken support. This retest is textbook and could confirm further downside. Market Structure: Lower highs and lower lows dominate the weekly chart = clear bearish trend. Bearish Targets: Target 1: $53.50 – Previous minor demand zone from 2021. Target 2: $41.50 – Strong historical support and potential major bounce area. Invalidation Zone: If price closes above $70 on the weekly chart, the breakdown would be invalidated and we’ll reconsider our bias. Confluence: Broken multi-year support Bearish retest on weekly timeframe Clear downside liquidity below Summary: Bias: Bearish Setup: Short on confirmation of rejection below $67 Timeframe: Weekly / Daily This is a high-probability setup if the rejection continues. Look for further bearish price action on the daily or 4H chart for refined entries. As always, manage risk carefully . Like & Follow for more clean, high-timeframe breakdowns!
FX:USOIL
by Mrshazee
4
Crude oil: 63.00 resistance & 60.00 support keyPrices are currently testing the upper resistance at $63.00 📈. These levels are suppressing the price 🔻. A decisive breakthrough above this level may trigger a more intense upward rally 🔥. Meanwhile, recent selling pressure has pushed the price down to $60.60 📉. Watch the pivot support at $60.00, the real downward target 🎯 Crude oil surplus expanded in April, and imports increased, reaching multi - month highs from some countries 🌍. If global benchmark oil prices rise in the future, purchases may be reduced 📉. Crude oil fell first and then rose today 📊. After a deep dive to $60.9, it stabilized and started to rise 🔼. After the previous price increase and adjustment, it remains to be seen if the upward momentum will continue and break through upwards 🔍. Overall, on the delivery day, oil prices are volatile 🔼🔽. Watch the resistance at $63.0 on the upside and the support at $60.60 - $60.0 on the downside 👀. ⚡️⚡️⚡️ USOil ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@ 62.50 - 62.30 🚀 TP 61.50 - 60.60 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by Sovereign-
USOILUSOIL (WTI Crude) Fundamentals – May 2025 1. Supply and Demand Dynamics Global Oil Demand: The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects global oil demand growth will slow from 990,000 barrels per day (bpd) in Q1 to around 650,000 bpd for the rest of 2025, reflecting economic headwinds and record-high efficiency gains. The IEA’s latest report (May 2025) estimates total demand will rise by 741,000 bpd in 2025, reaching 103.9 million bpd, with emerging markets (China, India, Africa, Latin America, Middle East) driving most of the growth. OECD demand is expected to decline, while non-OECD demand remains geographically diversified. Global Oil Supply: Global crude oil and liquids supply is forecast to average 104.4 million bpd in 2025, up 1.8 million bpd (+1.7%) from 2024. Non-OPEC+ countries (U.S., Brazil, Guyana, Canada) are expected to contribute most of the supply growth, potentially resulting in a supply surplus. OPEC+ extended its 3.7 million bpd supply cuts to the end of 2026, but voluntary cuts will be gradually phased out starting April 2025. Supply-Demand Balance: The EIA expects a supply surplus in 2025 as non-OPEC+ supply growth outpaces demand increases, especially with OPEC+ phasing out some cuts. 2. Inventory and Refinery Data U.S. Inventories: U.S. commercial crude oil inventories fell by 2.7 million barrels at the end of April, now about 6% below the five-year seasonal average. Gasoline and distillate inventories remain below average, suggesting tightness in refined product markets. U.S. refineries are operating at 88.6% capacity, with robust input and flat-to-lower gasoline production. 3. Geopolitical and Macro Factors Trade Policy and Geopolitics: Recent easing of U.S.-China trade tensions and progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear talks have improved risk sentiment and supported oil prices. Hopes for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and de-escalation in the Middle East have reduced risk premiums, but the market remains sensitive to any setback in negotiations. OPEC+ Compliance: OPEC+ compliance with production cuts was high (112%) in March 2025, tightening supply and helping prices rebound from recent lows. 4. Price Trends and Outlook Current Prices: WTI crude is trading around $62.80–$63.50, rebounding from recent lows but still well below early 2025 peaks. Price volatility remains high (Brent’s 30-day realized volatility peaked at 35%), reflecting sensitivity to geopolitical headlines and inventory data. Forecasts: J.P. Morgan maintains a Brent forecast of $66/bbl for 2025, with expectations for prices to remain under pressure due to supply surplus, but potential for mid-$70s if trade optimism and OPEC+ discipline persist. Futures markets price WTI at an average of $75/bbl for 2025, though this is above current spot prices. Summary Table Factor Current Status/Impact (May 2025) Global Demand Growth Slowing, driven by emerging markets Global Supply Rising, led by non-OPEC+ (US, Brazil, Guyana) OPEC+ Policy Extended cuts, gradual phase-out US Inventories Below 5-year average, supporting prices Geopolitical Risk Lower, but market remains headline-sensitive WTI Price Range $62.80–$63.50 (recent), futures avg $75/bbl Volatility High, driven by macro and geopolitical uncertainty Conclusion USOIL fundamentals for May 2025 reflect a market balancing slower demand growth, robust non-OPEC+ supply, and cautious optimism on geopolitics. Ongoing OPEC+ discipline and below-average inventories provide some support, but the risk of a supply surplus and persistent volatility keep prices capped. Watch for trade policy shifts, OPEC+ compliance, and inventory trends as key catalysts for the month.
TVC:USOILShort
by Shavyfxhub
The main strategy is to go long on pullbacksDuring the Asian trading session on Monday, Brent crude fell slightly by $0.05 to $65.15 per barrel; WTI crude was quoted at $61.76, while the more actively traded July contract dropped $0.04 to $61.93. Both benchmark oil prices recorded weekly gains of over 1% last week, mainly boosted by the easing of global trade sentiment. The market will closely monitor data to be released soon by a major Asian economy, including April industrial added value, fixed asset investment, and retail sales. ANZ Bank noted in a report that weak data from the major Asian economy could undermine the optimism brought by the tariff suspension, thereby pressing down oil prices.👉👉👉 The K-line closed as a yang line with a long lower shadow, indicating strong bullish momentum from buyers. The moving average system is gradually arranging in a bullish formation, relying on the oil price, and the short-term objective trend direction has turned upward. It is expected that the intraday crude oil trend will continue to rise, reaching near 63. Overall, in terms of crude oil trading strategies, it is recommended to focus on buying low on pullbacks and supplement with selling high on rebounds. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance at the 63.0-63.5 level above, and the support at the 61.0-60.5 level below. Oil trading strategy： buy @ 61.00-61.50 sl 60.00 tp 62.30-62.80 If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
TVC:USOILLong
by JeromeGrote
WTI Update | Oil CrashSince the last update we were able to perform about two to three swing trades. One from $70 - $79, and from $79 to $68. The next move I'm looking for is another short position from current market price ~($62) to swing to the next major low $33. We saw a rejection last week and we're currently pulling back to retest the little selloff we had. Could say this next local move will look to selloff mid week making its way back to $57 which would be a nice short term swing. The $33 target would be the long term swing of course and moving on I would like to see a break below $57 and a retest.
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Nathanl19
USOIL Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USOIL is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 60.68 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 61.41 My Stop Loss - 60.25 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
1
USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 60.773. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 64.119 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps youLimited support on the demand side - Seasonal factors: The U.S. summer travel peak has begun, with gasoline demand increasing by approximately 3% month-on-month, but warm winter conditions have caused heating oil consumption to decline by 5% year-on-year . - Economic outlook: Expectations for a slowdown in global economic growth have intensified, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) latest report cutting its 2025 global GDP growth forecast to 2.8%. Downgraded growth expectations for major economies may curb crude oil consumption potential . - New energy substitution: Global new energy vehicle sales grew by 25% year-on-year in 2025, and combined with improvements in fuel efficiency, the elasticity of crude oil demand continues to decline. USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps you USOIL SELL@61~60.5 SL:62 TP:60~59.5
TVC:USOILShort
by AndyHopkins
Crude Oil (WTI) Technical Analysis – Bearish Harmonic Pattern 🛢️ Crude Oil (WTI) Technical Analysis – Bearish Harmonic Pattern Completion Pattern Overview: A Bearish Harmonic Pattern has been identified and completed. The final leg (point D) has touched the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the previous XA leg, which validates the pattern's structure. Key Observations: Price has reversed from the D point, suggesting potential downside continuation. Confirmation is observed with minor rejection wicks at the D zone. The harmonic pattern indicates trend exhaustion and a reversal probability. Price Action: The current market level is near $61.75. Price is expected to follow the projected zig-zag bearish path towards the target zone around $60, with further possible extension down to $58.90. Technical Conclusion: ✅ Harmonic pattern completed 🔻 Bearish sentiment initiated post-pattern 🎯 Target zone: $60–$58.90 Trading Insight: If price sustains below point D with weak bullish response, shorts will get initiated with tight stop-loss above D-point highs. Strong follow-through could bring a quick drop towards the projected support levels. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
FX:USOILShort
by shiva560060
USOIL Will Go Up! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 61.359. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 64.395 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps youThe situation in the Middle East remains tense. Although progress has been made in the Iranian nuclear negotiations, the outcome of the negotiations is full of uncertainties. There are numerous contradictions between the United States and Iran, and Israel is also eyeing Iran's nuclear facilities. Once a conflict breaks out, Iran's crude oil production and exports will be hindered, and oil transportation channels in the Middle East may also be affected, leading to a significant reduction in global crude oil supply. As a result, oil prices will likely rise rapidly. Such potential geopolitical risks provide room for imagination for the rise in crude oil prices. USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you USOIL BUY@60.5~61 SL:59.5 TP:61.5~62
TVC:USOILLong
by AndyHopkins