USOUSD trade ideas
USOil WTI Bullish 1:2 Trade1. Market Analysis:
Asset: US Oil (WTI Crude)
Timeframes: 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H)
Setup: Bullish divergence observed on both 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes
Support Level: Price is near a strong support zone, providing a solid base for a potential bounce.
2. Divergence Details:
Bullish Divergence: Both 1-hour and 4-hour charts are showing bullish divergence, indicating weakening bearish momentum as the price approaches strong support. This divergence can signal a potential reversal to the upside if confirmed by bullish price action.
3. Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Enter a long position when a bullish confirmation candle forms (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer candle) on the 1-hour chart after divergence confirmation. This candle should close above the support level for a stronger entry signal.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just below the strong support level to protect against further downside risk. This positioning ensures risk is limited in case the support does not hold.
Take-Profit: Aim for a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio, targeting the next resistance levels on the chart. Consider recent highs or Fibonacci retracement levels on the 4-hour timeframe as potential take-profit areas.
4. Risk Management:
Position Size: Determine position size based on risk tolerance, ensuring only a small percentage of capital is risked on this trade (e.g., 1-2%).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio provides an advantageous setup, enhancing potential reward relative to risk.
5. Additional Confirmation:
Volume Analysis: Look for an increase in volume on the 1-hour chart as the price bounces from support to confirm strong buying interest.
Support-Resistance Alignment: Ensure the support level aligns well with recent price structure and support zones on higher timeframes to reinforce the strength of this setup.
6. Trade Execution:
Place Orders: Set buy orders, stop-loss, and take-profit levels according to the criteria above.
Monitor the Trade: Manage the trade by adjusting the stop-loss to break even or trailing it if the price moves strongly in your favor.
7. Review and Adjust:
Post-Trade Analysis: After closing the trade, review the outcome to evaluate effectiveness and learn from the trade setup.
USOIL Is Nearing An Important SupportHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 75.80 zone, USOIL is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend a 75.80 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
WTI - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 64.000, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 80.100 breaks.
If the support at 64.000 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 66.510 on 11/18/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 75.446, 77.920 and maximum to Major Resistance (80.100) is expected.
Take Profits:
75.446
77.920
80.100
83.961
87.000
93.882
100.802
109.192
126.350
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USOIL: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
The analysis of the USOIL chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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Trading Idea for USOIL (Crude Oil) Scenario 1 (Bullish):
If USOIL breaks above $75.00, consider going LONG with a target of $80.00 and $85.00. Stop loss can be placed below $72.00
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Scenario 2 (Bearish):
If USOIL breaks below $65.00, consider going SHORT with a target of $60.00 and $55.00. Stop loss can be placed above $68.00.
Risk Management : Always use proper risk-reward ratios (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3) and manage your position size
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
USOIL Trade Update📢 FX:USOIL Trade Update
Hey Traders!
Following recent fundamental and technical developments, we’re seeing strong bullish momentum on Crude Oil.
🔹 Fundamentals:
Trump's new tariffs are driving market sentiment, pushing oil prices higher.
Despite last week’s excess supply from the US oil stock inventory, Crude held strong at $72 and failed to close below the 38.2% Fib level, signaling strong buy pressure.
🔹 Technicals:
The descending channel breakout confirms a bullish reversal.
This rally was triggered by the tariff remarks, and if more tariffs are imposed, we could see Crude pushing towards $80+ in the coming weeks.
🎯 Plan of Action:
We’ll be looking for buy/long positions on market open (Monday), ahead of the next Crude Oil inventory report. Regardless of the report outcome, momentum suggests higher prices for the black gold.
📊 Stay ready, and trade smarter! 🚀
USOIL buys Price has reached the discount level of this recent swing and tapped into a weekly FVG, and an OB inside the FVG giving desired reactions.
Looking to go long on this, already on the first position.
Trade safe🥂
The Oil price & its pullback is almost ready to turn back around
The only thing I might keep a watchful eye on is the Dollar which now is also puling back but possibly moving higher soon.& hopefully I have a Buy on the daily chart soon on the oil price.
What are traders thoughts about the traditional inverse relationship between oil and the dollar?
What we know is that the Dollar has already made a significant move in it's rally and now it's time for the weekly candle in oil to pump this thing higher.
It won't be as lucrative pulling into a petrol station.
Crude Oil Update – Jan 29📊 Crude Oil FX:USOIL Update – Jan 29
Lol, the market somehow found its way to our buy-zone! 🤔
🔹 The big question now— do we take the trade or wait?
🔹 Ignoring the fundamental report this time, focusing purely on technicals.
🔹 If price dips lower, even better—we’ll get a stronger buy entry. If not, we wait for a clear bullish breakout before making a move.
Keeping a close watch—stay tuned! 👀🔥
Oil analysis before interest ratesIf oil manages to break its downtrend line upwards and exit the channel, it will move towards the specified target.
Oil testing supportCrude prices were a touch softer in early trade this morning. Yet prices for WTI appear to be oscillating around $73.85 – a level which represents the 50% retracement of the rally from early December to the recent high of $80.61. It also marks a point on the downwardly-sloping trendline which was broken above nearly three weeks ago, and is now being retested as support. Could this mark the end of a correction from recent highs? And if so, could that mean that oil is now consolidating ahead of another rally attempt? It’s certainly possible, particularly as the daily MACD has pulled back sharply from the overbought levels seen two weeks ago. But aside from the technical picture, there are plenty of unknowables on the fundamental side. Chief amongst these is what President Trump is going to do about tariffs. Soon after his inauguration, just over a week ago, he threatened 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports from 1st February, along with a mention of a 10% tariff (down from 60%) on China. On Monday, Scott Bessent was confirmed as the new US Treasury Secretary. He began his appointment by calling for a universal tariff of 2.5% on all imports to the US. This surprised market participants, most of whom had come to expect that tariffs would be threatened/applied on a ‘case-by-case’ basis. As far as oil is concerned, both Canada and Mexico export oil to the US.
CRUDE OIL - in plain and simple viewObserving crude without noise and with lens of pure price action. It's the law of physics that things cannot be compressed for too long, hence I see range break soon, with bias on upside as lot of pending liquidity is there with imp FIB levels already tested.
Trump's pressure on OPEC prompted the drop in USOIL prices.
President Trump's steadfast dedication to lowering oil prices is driving the decline in WTI prices. During the WEF in Davos, Switzerland, he made it clear that he would demand Saudi Arabia and OPEC to reduce the price of crude oil. He boldly stated that lower oil prices could potentially lead to an end to the war in Ukraine. According to CSIS, Trump's call for reduced oil prices is a positive move for consumers and businesses but it is the one that the US oil industry will regard with caution.
Failing to rise above EMA21, USOIL shows consolidation near 73.40. The price remains within the descending channel, and both EMAs have widened apart, indicating a potential continuation of the bearish momentum. If USOIL fails to breach EMA21, the price may fall further to the support at 71.50, where the channel’s lower bound coincides. Conversely, if USOIL breaches above EMA21 and the channel’s upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum to 74.50
WTI breakout from downtrend channelWTI breaks out from the upper downtrend channel line with potential for more upside if it holds
USOIL WANT TO BUY 📢 Trading Alert: USOIL ANALYSIS 📊
📉 Support Touched: $72.70
📈 Buy Confirmed Above: $73.00
🎯 Target Levels:
Level 1: $75.30
Level 2: $78.50
Level 3: $80.00
⏳ Indicator: EMA50
⏱ Time Frame: 1H
💡 Stay vigilant and manage your risks! 🚀
WTI Oil - Potential Long Opportunity61.8 retracement after bullish run after consolidation for weeks
72.735 strong resistance turned support
4H 200 ema
If price pushes past 61.8 after bounce looking at 78.6% and then 100% and then 127.2%
USOIL LONG!!I saw an opportunity on oil price rejecting from the 15 MIN BISI and taking out the London low there's probabilities price will continue expanding higher to the NDOL, that's my take xoxo.
Energy Policy and USDWTIKey Entry Points:
Ideal Entry: $78 (Sell Position)
The $78 level was an optimal sell entry, primarily due to the declaration of emergency in the energy sector made by the new administration. This policy move is expected to increase energy production significantly. The current administration is heavily investing in the energy sector to mitigate price increases in other sectors, combat inflation, and maintain or reduce it. This macroeconomic context highlights why $78 was a strategic sell zone.
Current Entry Opportunity: $74 (Sell Position)
From a technical analysis perspective, $74 is a notable resistance level. While this level carries more risk compared to $78, it presents a viable sell opportunity due to price inefficiency beginning at this point. Observing the daily chart, we notice an efficient bearish trend with a clear price inefficiency that originated at $74. This inefficiency creates a strong resistance zone, making it a reasonable point for continuation to the downside.
Technical Analysis Across Timeframes:
Daily Chart:
The current bearish trend remains intact. The inefficiency at $74 reinforces the case for selling at this level. While not as secure as the $78 zone, it offers a good probability for a continuation to lower levels.
Weekly Chart:
The market is currently in an impulsive phase. However, no significant support or resistance zones are evident within this timeframe. This lack of structural confirmation increases the risk of entering at this level.
Monthly Chart:
The monthly chart shows a clear rejection from a downward resistance. This reinforces the bearish outlook and aligns with the target at $70.80, which represents a strong support level.
USOIL have barrels for you!Pretty obvious PoC line would attract that like bees are to for honey!!!! Struggling in the orange box is what you would want for a breakout!!!
