Not just the stocks crashing.. everythingSince i've been looking at the monthly timeframe it's been difficult to pinpoint the crash but i'm 99% confident NFP is going to do the trick. this should be interesting
USSP500CFD trade ideas
SPX ( Bullish Zone Testing and Breakout Potential)The current price action is trading at a bullish level within a sensitive zone, marked between 6,102 and 6,002. For today's projection, the price is expected to initially test the upper boundary of this zone at 6,102. Upon reaching this resistance level, it is anticipated that the price will face rejection, leading to a short-term correction. However, following this retracement, bullish momentum may resume, driving the price upwards again with an aim to break the last resistance level at 6,102.
If this breakout occurs, the market would likely establish a new high level, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. Conversely, for a bearish scenario to unfold, the price would need to decisively break below the 6,002 support level. This would require a 4-hour candle to close below this critical zone, confirming a downward trend. If such a break occurs, it could lead to a significant price drop, potentially targeting the lower support levels.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 successfully achieved our predefined target of Outer Index Rally, 6123, corresponding to the Key Resistance established at 6090. The market is currently exhibiting a phase of consolidation, as the bullish trend appears to be transiently suspended following the conclusion of the outer index rally. It is, however, essential to acknowledge that the absence of a significant corrective pullback may facilitate the re-initiation of a bullish trajectory toward additional rally targets. Such a development would position the market advantageously for the forthcoming phase of the bullish trend.
[01/20] GEX Outlook: Decision, Key Levels and Looming VolatilityLooking at the GEX levels through Friday, we can see that since mid-December, the market has been moving in a slightly downward channel.
Above 6000–6025: A call gamma squeeze is expected.
Between 5925 and 6000: A sideways “chop zone.”
Below 5925: The high-volatility zone begins, with 5800–5850 acting as our major support/resistance level characterized by heavy put dominance.
Below that level lies a “total denial zone.” We’ve seen this scenario before—think back to the red candle on December 18, when the price broke below that threshold. This “red zone” is currently around 5800, so below 5925 we can anticipate large-amplitude moves.
At this point, the market still does not seem worried about significant volatility. Until Friday, all NETGEX values for every expiration are positive , so market participants are pricing in more of a sideways movement. We haven’t yet seen a big pickup in volatility.
I’m not pessimistic, but keep in mind that Trump’s inauguration might usher in a high-volatility period—something the market and many retail traders haven’t experienced in a while. Better safe than sorry.
SPX500 H4 | Potential bullish bounceSPX500 is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 6,042.53 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 5,995.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 6,102.21 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & targets for Today & Tomorrow (FOMC)35EMA Underneath us, island gap above us, top of the expected move on the day is 6120 above that all-time highs and 6130 on tomorrow’s contract. If I was looking at bear call spreads I’d probably do 6130/6140. Bottom of the move on the day 6015 and underneath all of that is that 50 day moving average with the 30 minute and one hour 200 Bearily positioned underneath that. Is we drop I’ll be looking to 6010/6000 bull put spreads on todays contract - Let’s go 🙌
S&P 500 Uptrend Simple view of the long term trendlines for the S&P.
Not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. For informational purposes only.
(Fixed Chart) $SPX Analysis, Key Levels & TargetsI made a mistake in the first SPY chart this is the actual trading range for today 5935 to 6080 and as of right now we’re sitting right at the 50 day moving which is a critical level underneath that we do have that downward facing 1hr 200MA and the 30min 200 for support on the day
China threatens US AI dominanceUS stock index futures have tumbled overnight. Investors rushed to bail out of chipmakers and tech-related equities in reaction to China’s threat to US dominance over the development of generative AI. A relatively small Chinese company called DeepSeek has produced a powerful open-source artificial intelligence model at a fraction of the cost, yet with capabilities equal or better than, many US versions such as ChatGPT. The DeepSeek version is already the top-rated free application on Apple's US App. The threat has led to a sudden, and painful, reconsideration of tech stock valuations along with their plans for future capital expenditures. The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 was down close to 4% in early trade, with thumping losses for chipmakers. NVIDIA, Super Micro Computer and the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company were all around 10% lower in morning trade. ‘Magnificent Seven’ constituents Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Tesla were all 5-6% weaker. The final ‘Mag 7’ member, Apple, was little-changed. But it has fallen 15% from its all-time high from Christmas, and testing support around $220. Given this year’s sell-off, investors may decide to sit on their hands for now, at least until they can digest Apple’s earnings which are released after Thursday’s close. On Wednesday there are fourth quarter updates from Microsoft, Meta Platforms and Tesla. It’s worth considering that the ‘Mag 7’ members account for 34% of the total market capitalisation of the S&P 500, so there’s a lot riding on this quarter given current high valuations and the uncertainty that comes with a Trump presidency. Mr Trump has yet to impose tariffs despite threats to Canada, Mexico and China. He successfully threatened Colombia to take two plane-loads of deportees or face tariffs of 25%, rising to 50% next week. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates unchanged after its meeting on Wednesday. In the meantime, bond prices are picking up again. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell 11 basis points to 4.50% this morning-its lowest level in over a month. This suggests that investors are putting the proceeds of dumped stocks straight into the bond market for now. It could also imply that equities could have more downside, given opportunists don’t appear to be in any rush to buy at cheaper levels.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current weekly trading session, the S&P 500 has successfully retested the significant threshold of the completed Outer Index Rally at 6123. The market is presently exhibiting a downtrend phase, as the bullish momentum appears to be temporarily suspended. Analyses indicate that this downward trajectory will likely persist, with targets set at the Mean Support levels of 5996 and potentially 5936. This considerable corrective pullback may create an opportunity for the re-establishment of a bullish trajectory toward further rally targets. Should this development occur, the market could be favorably positioned for the subsequent phase of the bullish trend, which would involve retesting the completed Outer Index Rally level of 6120 and targeting the following Outer Index Rally levels of 6233 and the highly anticipated target of 6418.
SPX500The SPX500, or S&P 500, is a major stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It includes companies from various sectors, making it a key benchmark for the overall U.S. economy. The index is widely used by investors to gauge market trends and economic health. With a mix of tech giants, financial institutions, healthcare firms, and industrial leaders, the SPX500 is known for its stability and long-term growth potential.
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day TradersOur guys we drop down into the gap that has the 50 day average the one hour 200MA and the 30 minute 200MA
We still have an island gap underneath us around 5880 to fill, but this momentum might hold us around here on the day
The Golden Age 7000 EOY SPXThe Golden Age (year) is here!
Have cash ready for May in April. Be heavy hedges going in to 26.
We're going to juice earnings with all the investments pouring in for just about every single industry. Once the injection is complete, we will reset while all the invested money completes projects.
GL!
Better Buy Bitcoin
Global Liquidity Index Overlaid on S&P 500 Tracking the Global Liquidity Index with the S&P 500 helps understand liquidity's impact on market performance and predict future moves. The GLI offers a unified view of central bank balance sheets, converted to USD, excluding currency-pegged banks, with reliable data since 2007.
Rising liquidity often leads to market growth, while declining liquidity could signal pullbacks or increased volatility.
Liquidity Spikes: Sudden rises in the GLI may boost the S&P 500.
Liquidity Dips: Falling liquidity may signal market decline due to higher volatility and trading difficulties.
Divergence between the GLI & S&P 500:
If stocks rise while liquidity falls, a correction might be coming. If liquidity rises while stocks fall, the market might catch up to the liquidity increase.
The GLI indicates that risk appetite is starting to decline. High liquidity encourages risk-taking; low liquidity leads to safer investments, increasing volatility and potential market declines.
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S&P500 INDEX (US500): To The New Highs
US500 updated the All-Time High violating a significant
daily resistance cluster.
The broken structure turned into a potentially strong support.
The index is likely to continue a rally and reach 6150 soon.
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Potential trade setup on S&P 500We are looking at a long trade on S&P 500 based on the stretch strategy. There is trend,stretch and direction alignment with this trade on both 1h and Daily TF. Early entry was taken on swing high breakout on 1h for a trend change. There is a high probability for range,previous daily high and range to be formed to the upside. We will exit the trade once range has been achieved.
Trader Order Details:
S&P 500(Long)
E - 6083
SL - 6066
T - 6122
We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area 6104 (Wave 3).Colleagues, I see that the price has completed wave “4” and is now forming wave “5” of the higher order.
I believe that the price may go into correction in the lower wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5896.9, after which I expect the upward movement to continue to the resistance area 6104.
The upward movement is the priority, so I warn that the price may just continue to move upward, updating the wave “1”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Spx versus GoldMake sure you are on the right side of the macro capital flow trends when they turn via a Capital Rotation Event.
They can drastically alter your probabilities of success.
Spx lost over 86%, then over 94% and 88% versus gold.
No reason to go through that pain.
S&P500 smashed every Resistance on its way to 6350.The S&P500 index (SPX) hit and rebounded today on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), following last week's break-out. This is the confirmed start of the technical Bullish Leg of the 6-month Channel Up along with the 1D MACD Bullish Cross.
Having made a Higher Low on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) last Monday (January 13), we are expecting the standard 1.786 Fibonacci extension as the next Higher High of the pattern. That gives us a 6350 Target.
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S&P 500 index Wave Analysis 22 January 2025
- S&P 500 index broke resistance levels 6000.00 and 6060.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 6110.00
S&P 500 index recently broke the resistance levels 6000.00 (top of the previous minor correction) and 6060.00 (top of the previous wave B from December).
The breakout of these resistance levels accelerated the active intermediate impulse sequence (3) from the start of January.
Given the strong multi-month uptrend, S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 6110.00, top of the previous impulse wave (1).
