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USSP500CFD trade ideas

SPX - Short Term Bear - Swing Trade SP:SPX Here's the details of my trade Short on SPX.... Daily Chart: - Rising Wedge Pattern - Strong Break of Support Line (Fed Announcement Dec 18th) - Retest of the Support Line - Break back down from the Support Line and below 50 day moving average - Divergence on the RSI Fundamental Support: - Buffer Indicator 203.7% (Near all time highs) - Buffet portfolio at highest cash level since 2008 ($325B) - Shiller PE at 37.2, near 2022 peak of 38, Dot com bubble of 44 - FED announced fewer rate cuts in 2025 - Core PCE at 2.8% and rising since June 2024, above 2% FED target - Inverted Yield Curve is no longer inverted as of Sep 2024, the longest (793 days) and deepest inversion in history. All previous sustained inverted yield curves (8 Total since 1960) except 1 were followed by a recession within 6-12 months once the yield curve was no longer inverted. Economic Data: - Next significant economic data is ADP employment report Wed Jan 8th and Unemployment Rate Fri Jan 10th - A lower or higher employment figure than forecast could move the market and is a potential risk to the short position if employment figures are positive - However, inadvertently, higher employment figures will reduce the likelihood of FED rate cuts, offsetting some of the upside potential Target: - Previous ATH at 5674 ~-4.5% from current price - Stop: A break back above the support line - Historic market breakdowns (ie Jan 2022, Aug 2024) typically the initial move took 4-9 trading days with potential for up to 10% breakdown before recovery Risks: - Return to normal trading volumes post-holiday could result in continued buying - Trump inauguration could trigger a wave of bullishness - Big news in any of the Mag 7 stocks Overall: The chart patterns and fundamental data not only support a greater chance of a short term move to the downside, but greatly increase the chance of further decline. At this point, the market is in a potential transition and more data and chart movements need to play out before determining if a bear market is underway. My Position: 30 Call Options in SPXS (3x Bear SPX ETF) $6 Strike, Current Price $6.20 Expiration Friday Jan 10th. Average Price is .20 a contract Investment $600 Target $1.00-$1.50 (8-13:1 Profit Loss Ratio) Stop .10 Potential Loss $300 Potential Gain $2400-$3900
SP:SPXShort
by jaytmarquardt
S&P500 no major pullbacks expected in 2025. Year-end Target 7200The S&P500 (SPX) has started the first week of the new year (2025) on a positive note following a red December. In fact December was only the 3rd red month of the whole 2024. Based on its 16-year Channel Up pattern, this bullish trend isn't expected to slowdown in 2025. In fact, no major pull-backs are expected this year, as the end sequence of 2024 resembles the August 2013, which led to a very bullish 18-month period after. As you can see, the start of the Channel Up, which was the bottom of the 2008 - 2009 U.S. Housing Crisis followed the same stages as the pattern after the March 2020 COVID bottom. The bottoms have been stage (a) with (b) being the first short-term pull-back and (c) the second, which was also a 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) test. It appears that we are currently on stage (d), where as explained led the way to a bullish 18-month period. The peak of the early Channel Up pattern was on the 2.786 Fibonacci extension from the stage (c) bottom and the 18-month period ended on the 1.382 time Fib extension. If we take the same measurements on the post COVID pattern, the 1.382 time Fib extension lands on October 2026. For 2025 alone we can expect a +23.73% rise from the last red candle of (d), if the post August 2013 12-month pattern is followed, which gives us an end-of-year (2025) Target of 7200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
7
11 Things i have learned in almost 20 years of trading1. Hi expectations will boost your motivation, but it will kill your dreams - It is totally OK to dream big, and fight for your goals, but then what you will do when your dream seems impossible or hard to reach to? You will most likely get mad, and fight left and right for it, even the markets for your dreams. You will be the only person staying between you and your dreams. - The solution is to focus on small steps, like on daily targets. 2. Undercapitalization. You cannot hope to make a living from trading, if you do not have enough money in your trading account. - Depends on the living standards of your country, If you need to make 1000USD to pay bills, then I will recommend a 20.000USD account, because hopping for 5% monthly, is the most realistic profit percentage you can expect for long term. And I need you to understand my long term view, because you might have a good month with 15% or more, and then wipe your account after 6 months or 1 year. - Off course there is the solution that you can apply for a PropFirm, but their rules might put pressure on you, because their interest is that you loose money. Please do not trust my work, do some research yourself and see what is the business model of a PropFirm. 3. Market Patterns do not need to be true just because it was repeated at one point in the past. - You learn about all type of rules, and patterns that the price should do just because it did something similar at one point in the past. No, that is verry wrong. The price pattern will repeat under similar conditions, but not under all conditions. - The solution is to have a plan B, and don't trust that the market needs to act as you want. Please remember that for you in order to buy an asset, someone else needs to sell it to you, so it is your opinion, against him. While you see a break under a double top, and you want to enter short, someone else will sell to you, thinking the that it might be a false break, hoping the price will go up. 4. Invest in yourself. Nobody is going to do the job for you, better than yourself. - I don’t like when people are so lazy, that they want to copy trades from other people. If you do that, you should not call yourself a trader. - Ok, I understand that as a beginner, you might say the an experienced trader, knows better what will happen next. No, nobody knows, I trader for almost 20 years, and the only reason ‘’I am not wrong’’ is because I do not expect to be wright. 5. Keep it simple. Each indicator has its own probability that one event will happen in certain circumstances. - This means that the more indicators you add, the more variables you gill get in your analysis and you will get confused. 6. There is no certainty in the market. At any given point or tick in the market, the probability that the price will go either way, up or down is 50%. - The sequence of how that happens is, can be different, like 70-30, 10-90, etc. To make it easier to understand, every time you put a trade, with every think, the market can change. How many times the price has missed your TP or SL and when the other way? 7. Do not trade to get rich. Getting rich is different from one person to another. - But, if you start trading because you see some posts, advertisings, or so called traders posting from Dubai or Lamborghini, then you are doomed. - It is verry difficult to increase your starting capital, lets say 10.000USD, to 500.000USD, having to pay the bills, food and other expenses. So do not fall for that. 8. Don't hope for financial independence to soon - Any profession has a certain period of years for preparation, either you are a doctor or a lawyer, or maybe a child that want to become a professional football player…he will need many years of hard work, and still, he might not get it to the professional league. - Trading also requires allot of years to master the charts, but more important to get to understand or to fully know yourself. Beside knowing if swing trading or scalping is what suits you, you need to understand your reactions to loosing trades, winning trades, your feelings and emotions and much more. 9. Keep a job. You cannot worry about paying the bills, ‘’putting food on the table’’ That is a stress you do not need. - Can you imagine how hard it will be to think that with every SL you get hit, the more likely you are not to pay your rent? Please, if you are a beginner, keep at least a part time job, and try to manage your time wisely. 10. Trust the compound interest because it will pay long term. - Lets take the following scenario for 10 years and 5% every month profit for a deposit of 10.000USD. Please remember that Investment funds will be very happy with a 60% win. YEAR 1 - This means a 60% or 6.000USD profit this year and 16.000USD for next year YEAR 2 - Now you have 5% but from 16.000USD, it means 800USD every month, or 9600 by year end. At the end of second year you will have 25.600USD YEAR 3 – You will make 5% monthly from 25.600USD or 1280USD. At the end of the year you will have a profit of 15.360USD, added to your last year balance of 25.600. At this point your account will worth 40.960USD Year 4 – 5% monthly or 2.046USD, The profit at the year end 24.552USD. Total trading account 65.512USD YEAR 5 – 3.275USD Monthly or 39.300USD. End of the year trading account 104.812 - At the end of year 5, of consecutive winning years, you can consider quitting your job - YEAR 6 – 5240USD monthly – 62880 Year end – 167.692USD YEAR 6 – 8384USD monthly – 100.608 Year end – 268.300USD YEAR 7 – 13415 Monthly – 160.980 Year end – 429.280USD YEAR 8 – 21464 Monthly – 257.568 Year end – 686.848USD YEAR 9 – 34342 Monthly – 412.104 Year End- 1.098.952USD Now you are a millionaire 😊 This means that if you keep repeating for the next 10 years, you will have 100 mil YEAR 10 – 54947 Monthly – 659.364 Year end – 1.758.316USD 11. Time Management and Money Management – We hear allot of Money Management, or Risk Management, but you do not find that much about time management, and I don’t understand why people don’t put more weight on it. - One of the reason that I did not posted on social platforms that consistent, is that my priorities in terms of Time Management, did not allowed me to spend time doing that. My priority is always my family, myself and my jobs from which I can provide for them. - Lets say you have your MM saying that you need to stop after 3 consecutive looses. But what if those happens in 30 minutes? You are going to feel useless for the rest of the day, and allot of frustration will build up. - As a short example, you need to have those 3 loses during a 4 or 6 hour trading session. Also, try spend learning, find ways to make you feel productive other than just open trades. I hope this can help you getting some type of good perspective. Good luck!
SP:SPXEducation
by MariusStanescu
Why You Shouldn't Be a Trader: The Emotional RollercoasterEver thought about diving into trading? Here's the honest truth from someone who's been there. I used to think trading was all about numbers and charts, but boy, was I wrong. It's more like riding an emotional rollercoaster that can make you feel like you've aged years in a single day. Imagine this: one day you're on top of the world, feeling like you've finally figured it out, and the next, you're down in the dumps, rethinking your entire life. Here's the deal: -Heart-Stopping Volatility: The market's ups and downs can turn your emotions upside down. One second you're ecstatic with a win; the next, you're in despair over a loss. -No Off Switch: Unlike most jobs, there's no "clocking out" with trading. Your mind never really stops, even when you're supposed to be chilling. -The Lonely Trader's Path: It can feel like you're on this journey alone, with no one to share the load or celebrate the victories with. But here's the twist - I've learned how to navigate this wild ride. With a bit of community and some laughs, trading doesn't have to be a solo act. If you're feeling the weight of this rollercoaster or just curious about how to keep your emotions in check, why not hit me up? Drop me a DM or check out my profile for more on how we can tackle this together. Give this post a boost, a like, or leave a comment if you've felt the same way. Let's share the journey, not just the journey's lows. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
SP:SPXEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 01.07.2025🔮 📅 Tue Jan 7 ⏰ 10:00am 📈 ISM Services PMI: 53.5 (prev: 52.1) 📋 JOLTS Job Openings: 7.73M (prev: 7.74M) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: If we gap above here, it’s going to bait a lot of traders by a drop. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: A little more upside and then will be faced by some old-fashioned bearishness. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Will cause a chop as people try hedging slightly but keep an upside thesis as people hedge extremely fast. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by TrendTao
Market Snapshot1. Excessive Speculation or Asset Bubbles Preceding downturns, markets often experience speculative mania in certain sectors (e.g., 1929 stock bubble, 2008 housing bubble, 2000 tech bubble). 2. Monetary Policy Tightening Central banks often raise interest rates or tighten monetary policy to combat inflation, reducing liquidity (e.g., Federal Reserve hikes in 1929, 1980, and 2008). 3. Leverage and Debt Crises Excessive leverage among consumers, corporations, or financial institutions increases vulnerability (e.g., margin loans in 1929, subprime mortgages in 2008). 4. Overvaluation of Financial Assets Markets often become overvalued based on metrics like P/E ratios, creating disconnects between prices and fundamentals (e.g., 1999-2000 tech stocks, 1929). 5. Liquidity Crises A lack of liquidity or credit crunch exacerbates selloffs (e.g., 2008 banking crisis, 1987 Black Monday). 6. Geopolitical or Systemic Shocks Unexpected shocks such as wars, oil crises, or pandemics trigger fear and uncertainty (e.g., OPEC oil embargo in 1973, COVID-19 in 2020). 7. Declining Consumer Confidence Consumer sentiment falls due to high unemployment, inflation, or fear of recession, dampening spending and economic activity (e.g., 2008, 1980s). 8. Corporate Earnings Decline Broad declines in corporate profits lead to stock selloffs (e.g., early 2000s dot-com bust, 2008 financial crisis). 9. Structural Economic Weakness Economic imbalances or structural issues amplify downturns (e.g., overproduction in 1929, housing bubble in 2008, supply chain disruptions in 2020). 10. Psychological Panic and Loss of Trust Fear and herd behavior lead to mass selloffs, deepening declines (e.g., 1929 panic selling, Lehman Brothers collapse in 2008).
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
2
US500 LONG US 500 Bullish!! Hey everyone! The US 500 is looking strong right now: • Momentum: We’re in a clear bullish upswing. • Indicators: CMO and CMF have both crossed, confirming money and capital inflows. RSI is above 50 on the 4-hour chart, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. • Breakout: We’ve hit a new high on the 1-hour timeframe and crossed above the 20 SMA—another positive sign. • Daily Bias: We remain above the Ichimoku Cloud, and major SMAs are pointing upward, supporting the larger bullish trend. We’ll be taking a bullish entry soon as this momentum continues. Stay tuned for the exact entry levels!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by EliteMarketAnalysis
S&P 500 Price Outlook: Key Levels and Trend AnalysisS&P 500 Analysis The price has bullish momentum and is likely to reach 6022. If it stabilizes above this level, it may rise further to 6099, especially if it breaches the descending trendline. If the price stabilizes below 6022, it will likely consolidate between 6022 and 5969 until a breakout occurs. A break below 5937 could signal the start of a bearish trend. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5987 Resistance Levels: 6022, 6053, 6060 Support Levels: 5969, 5937, 5896
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX: still in a Holiday moodThe sentiment from the last week of December, was holding on the market also in the first trading week of 2025. There were both days with a positive and negative sentiment. For the second week in a row, the market was trading in a negative mood during the week, ending with Friday's positive shift to the upside. The S&P 500 reached its lowest weekly level at 5.837, at the same level as two weeks ago, and then reverted back toward the 5.944 on Friday. Tech stock companies were the ones that spotted investors' attention on Friday. The market favourite Nvidia jumped by 4,7% and Super Micro Computers was traded higher by 10,9%. Analysts were noting that spending on AI and chips would certainly bring AI related companies to the higher grounds in 2025. Microsoft already announced plans to invest $80 billion on AI-enabled centres this year, which supported investors' interest for stock within the AI and AI-chips industry. These trends are likely to continue through 2025 also with other companies within the tech industry.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.6.2024🔮 📣 Corporate News: 💻 Nvidia CEO's CES Keynote (Mon) on AI & Semiconductor Tech 🗓️ Schedule Note: Markets Closed Thu 🇺🇸 in honor of former President Jimmy Carter 📅 Tue Jan 7 ⏰ 10:00am 📈 ISM Services PMI: 53.2 (prev: 52.1) 📋 JOLTS Job Openings: 7.77M (prev: 7.74M) 📅 Wed Jan 8 ⏰ 8:15am 🧑‍🌾 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 131K (prev: 146K) ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 211K) ⏰ 2:00pm 📜 FOMC Meeting Minutes 📅 Fri Jan 10 ⏰ 8:30am 💰 Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.4%) 👷 Non-Farm Employment Change: 154K (prev: 227K) 📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (prev: 4.2%) #ces #trading #foryou #shorts #stockmarket #finance #daily NASDAQ:NVDA
SP:SPXShort
by TrendTao
[Education] Why You Can't Break Free From Get-Rich-Quick TrapYou already know the get-rich-quick mindset is killing your trading career. You read the books. You understand that consistent profits come from proper risk management and patience. Yet somehow, you still find yourself hoping for that one trade that will change everything. I understand that feeling. I spent 5 years trapped in this cycle. Let me share something embarrassing. I was previously managing a $200,000 funded account. My strategy was making a consistent 1-2% monthly. I got greedy. I saw a "perfect" setup and decided to risk 5% instead of my usual 1%. "Just this once. This setup is different.” That one decision wiped out my profits and I lost that account in a single trade. The Psychology Behind Our Self-Sabotage Here's what makes this mindset so dangerous. We can intellectually understand it's wrong while emotionally believing we're the exception. It's like knowing fast food is unhealthy but convincing yourself that this one burger won't hurt. The truth is our brain is wired for quick rewards. Whenever we see those trading “gurus” posting screenshots of their profits, or a picture of them partying, driving sports car, and flying first class, we can sense that they are fake. However, our emotional brain lights up with possibility. "What if it's real? What if we're missing out?" This creates an internal battle in our mind. We know we should focus on consistent execution and proper risk management. We have to play the long game. But our emotional side keeps whispering, "Just one big trade. Just this once." The Hidden Influence of Social Media We're surrounded by images of instant success. Traders posting five-figure profit days. Twenty-somethings with Lamborghinis claiming they made it trading crypto. Even though we know these are likely fake or cherry-picked results, they affect us more than we realize. I remember sitting at my desk when I was in my audit job, scrolling through trading contents on Instagram during lunch breaks. Every post showed massive profits. Nobody was posting their losses, their blown accounts, or their struggles. This created an unrealistic benchmark in my mind. My 2% monthly gain felt insignificant compared to these supposed overnight millionaires. This distorted perspective leads to a dangerous form of self-sabotage. We start taking larger risks, not because our strategy dictates it, but because our normal profits feel "too small" compared to what we see online. We “need” more profits. The Compound Effect of Impatience The most insidious part of the get-rich-quick mindset isn't that it makes us take bigger risks. It's that it makes us unable to appreciate the power of compound growth. Let me show you what I mean. When I first started trading properly, I was making about 3% per month on a $10,000 account. That's $300 a month. It felt painfully slow. I kept thinking, "At this rate, it'll take forever to reach my goals." But here's what I didn't understand then. Consistent 3% monthly returns, when compounded, turn $10,000 into $43,891 in five years. In ten years, that becomes $192,577. Add in regular deposits from your salary, and the numbers become even more impressive. Instead of appreciating this mathematical certainty, we chase the fantasy of turning $10,000 into $100,000 in a month. The irony? This pursuit of faster growth usually leads to account blow-ups that set us back years. The Real Cost of "Just This Once" We all know the phrase "just this once" is trading's version of "one last drink". It's never just once. Each time we break our rules and survive, or worse, profit, we reinforce the behavior. Our brain logs it as a successful strategy, making it harder to stick to proper risk management in the future. I learned this lesson the hard way with prop firm challenges. I'd be up 5%, nearly passing the challenge, and then decide to take a larger position to "speed things up." Almost every time, this decision led to failing the challenge. What's worse, even when it worked, it reinforced bad habits that would eventually cost me more money. Breaking Free From The Cycle The solution isn't just knowing better. You already know better. The solution is building systems that make it impossible to act on these impulses. When I finally became consistent, it wasn't because I found better self-control. It was because I removed my ability to make emotional decisions. I created rules that were specific and inflexible: My position sizing is calculated before the market opens. No adjustments are allowed during trading hours. Every trade must be pre-planned with exact entry, stop loss, and target levels. No deviation from my trading plan is allowed. I only opened my trading platform during specific hours that I’m allowed to trade. These rules might seem extreme, but they protect me from myself. They make it impossible to act on those "just this once" impulses that we all feel. The Professional's Perspective Want to know what real professional trading looks like? It's boring. Mind-numbingly boring. I now manage multiple six-figure funded accounts, and most of my trading days are completely uneventful. I take 2-3 trades per week. Each risk is exactly 1% of my account. My average winner makes 2R. Some months I make 5%. Some months I make 1%. Some months I lose money. But over time, the consistency compounds. This is what trading success actually looks like. No excitement. No massive winning days to screenshot. Just steady, consistent execution of a proven process. Embracing The Slow Path The hardest part isn't learning to trade properly. It's learning to be satisfied with "boring" profits. It's learning to celebrate a 2R winner instead of feeling disappointed it wasn't 10R. It's learning to find pride in perfect execution rather than profit size. This shift requires a complete redefinition of trading success. Instead of measuring success by profit, measure it by how well you followed your rules. Instead of comparing your returns to Instagram traders, compare them to bank interest rates or index funds. The Path Forward You already know the get-rich-quick mindset is destructive. The question is: Are you ready to embrace the boring path to success? This means accepting that: Your first year of proper trading might only make you a few thousand dollars. You'll have to watch other traders post bigger profits than you (real or fake). Some days you'll do absolutely nothing but watch setups fail to materialize. Success will come so gradually you might not even notice it at first. The choice is yours: Continue fighting this battle alone, or get the support you need to finally break free.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj
Spx 500 - multi buys opportunities for next week.Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest trading strategy on what we see price movement on the chart. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
FX:SPX500
by QQGuo-Shane
More down for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD retested the 4H FVG and dropped again. After it retested the extreme candle of the A-leg, it went up again. Next week we could see a correction up (maybe into the Daily BPR) and another drop. Trade idea: Wait for the correction up to finish and a change in orderflow to bearish, then you could trade shorts. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 3, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this abbreviated trading week, the S&P 500 made a wild ride pullback against a very significant Mean Sup 5870. Subsequently, it rallied robustly, approaching our newly established target of Key Resistance at 5972. This upward movement is anticipated to stabilize or continue to rise, sustaining the bullish trend. However, it is crucial to acknowledge that encountering subsequent resistance may trigger a substantial pullback, potentially leading to the Mean Support at 5870, which remains a plausible scenario.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter