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USSP500CFD trade ideas

Another 682 point crash for S&P500 to 5,130?It's been a brutal year so far with the Trump Presidency. And it's been a rough year for the S&P 500, dropping from 6,149 to 5,811. The main culprit? Political instability in the U.S. The current administration’s unpredictable decisions, sudden tariff hikes, and policy shifts have left investors uneasy and consumers lacking confidence. Here are six executive orders that have dragged the market down: Tariff Hikes on China, Mexico, Canada and Europe – Higher import costs hurt U.S. businesses, especially in tech and retail, slashing profits. Remember imposing tariffs are one thing but there will be retaliatory action. Environmental Rollbacks – ESG investors pulled back, hitting energy and industrial stocks. Work Visa Cuts – Tech and healthcare struggled to hire, slowing innovation. Healthcare Subsidy Cuts – Uncertainty in insurance and pharma led to stock drops. Also with the cutting of USAID and with turbulence with WHO this isn't helping the situation Trade Agreement Pullouts – Supply chain chaos hurt multinational corporations. ALso with the cutting ties with Ukraine and now with the UK prohibiting funding to the Ukraine (latest on) With shaky policies and no clear direction, market confidence is shot. Until stability returns, expect more turbulence. With the price action, it is possible to see this M Formation play out for the SP500. And it is looking bad, really bad - not great - In Trump's voice. M Formation Price<20MA Needs to break <200MA Then the next target will be around 5,130... Let's actually hope I am wrong this time and something miraculously happens to pump up the market again. We can take advantage and short stocks, indices etc... But there is a moral issue involved with wanting the market to crash. Remember that.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Timonrosso
S&P Weekly... One More Shoulder?When we take a look at the weekly chart of the S&P with some indicators, seems like we are close to the end of a trend. RSI with the negative divergence, Stoch RSI and Macd heading down, possible head & shoulders pattern. Fibonacci (retracement) is also turning down from the 200 mark. 20 week average is broken down. Fibo 161 is almost at the same level as the 50 week average, which might hold the trend if we are lucky. Considering the pattern between Jan 2nd 2022 and Jan 2nd 2024 as a cup and handle, seems like we have reached its target level as well. One other option is the Elliott wave. If so, there might be a 5th leg, not sure if it will be higher though. Time will tell. However, the monthly chart is not looking bright either. Being cautious is a good idea.
TVC:SPX
by erdem_bilgin
S&P 500 Breakdown | What’s Causing the Drop? The S&P 500 has broken down from a rising wedge pattern, triggering a sharp decline. Let’s break down why this is happening and what it could mean for the market. 🔍 Key Reasons for the Sell-Off 1️⃣ Rising Yields and Interest Rate Fears The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates remains a major driver of market movement. Recent economic data has delayed expectations of rate cuts, leading to a spike in Treasury yields. Higher yields make equities less attractive, pushing investors toward bonds instead of stocks. 2️⃣ Overextended Market & Profit-Taking The S&P 500 hit all-time highs recently, and many stocks had become overbought. Large funds and institutions may be taking profits, especially in high-growth tech stocks. This type of rotation can trigger a broader market pullback as traders lock in gains. 3️⃣ Technical Breakdown of Key Support Levels The S&P 500 broke below critical support at 5,866, which has now turned into resistance. The index also failed to hold key moving averages, confirming a technical breakdown. Volume on red days has increased, showing strong selling pressure. 4️⃣ Weakness in Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Big Tech stocks like NVDA, AAPL, and GOOGL, which have led the rally, are seeing a pullback. This weakness drags down the overall index, as these stocks have an outsized influence on the S&P 500. 5️⃣ Geopolitical & Economic Uncertainty Global tensions and rising oil prices are adding pressure to markets. Concerns about slowing economic growth are also weighing on investor sentiment. Earnings reports from major companies have been mixed, adding to the uncertainty. What’s Next? The S&P 500 could find support around 5,750 - 5,800 if the selling continues. A rebound above 6,000 would signal strength, but failing to reclaim key levels could mean further downside. The 200-day SMA is still holding, so bulls still have hope unless we see a deeper break. Is this just a pullback, or are we seeing the start of a larger correction? Let me know your thoughts!
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
SPX needs to close above $6,700 next month to be bullish. The 3 month on a breakout indicator is doing a higher low which signals a market reversal. The Red line on the Breakout indicator is a simulation if SPX will close above $6700. Usually, the market tops at the red step average, if SPX can close above that, it will be a massive move to the upside, if it touches it or barely touches it, it might be on a reversal. The support is the Step Average Blue line but im looking for it to go easily on the Green Step Average line.
SP:SPX
by Theordertaker
NVDA Earnings - Must Watch EarningsNVDA Earnings Wednesday after market This is crazy that 1 stock may be the pain or gain for the markets in 2025 Glass Half Full -NVDA is a revenue monster -Earnings trend continues to point higher -Demand for chips remains high (minus DeepSeek scare and uncertainty) -19% weight on SMH -7% weight on SPY -8% weight on QQQ -NVDA bullish can single handedly lift the markets and renew optimism and risk appetite Glass Half Empty -NVDA is overvalued -NVDA hasn't hit all-time highs since Nov 2024 (with fakeout in Jan 2025) -NVDA's reign is over and competition is heating up in the chips space and AI arms race -NVDA bearish can be the wave of risk off that confirms current market concerns and fears It's a big deal - plan and trade accordingly. Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
Market Update: S&P Reacts to Trump’s Tariff Announcement The S&P remains fragile below the 55-day moving average (6000), with key support levels in focus: 📌 200-day MA at 5723 📌 Mid-2024 peaks at 5651/70 📌 55-week MA at 5603 If the 55-week MA breaks, there’s little support until the 2022 peak at 4818. Volatility ahead! Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
CBOE:SPXShort
by The_STA
S&P500 Channel Up bottomed. Huge reversal expected.The S&P500 index (SPX) had been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 2024 Low and yesterday broke below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 20 days. Since January 17, every such break below the 4H MA200 has been a technical buy opportunity. This time it is even stronger as the index appears to be replicating the Channel's first price structure and more specifically Leg (d). What followed after Leg (d) bottomed, was a symmetrical with (b)-(c) +7.05% rise to form a top at (e). The confirmation for this rise came when the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross. As a result, we are waiting for this confirmation to continue with additional buying on S&P and target 6330, which would be a +6.22% rise, symmetrical with (b)-(c). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
Falling towards pullback support?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 5,938.92 1st Support: 5,865.87 1st Resistance: 6,051.54 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by ICmarkets
Two Possible Trades - Which one will trigger?Two Possible Trades – Which One Will Trigger? | SPX Market Analysis 25 Feb 2025 Monday came in swinging, continuing Friday’s move and landing price right at the range low target. And what do we get? A beautiful V-shaped reaction—just like we discussed in detail during our Fast Forward mentoring call. Now we have two key scenarios unfolding, mirroring what we saw at the upper boundary of the range during the bullish breakout setup. Will we get a bullish turn, or will the market break down? Triggers are set, charts are marked—now we wait. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Monday continued Friday’s momentum, taking price straight into the range low target, where we saw a classic V-shaped price reaction. While no pulse bars have appeared yet, the location of this reaction is ideal, lining up perfectly with our 6 money-making patterns. This gives us two possible trade setups, similar to what we saw at the upper range boundary during the last breakout assessment. Scenario 1 – The Bullish Turn ✅ V-shaped reaction at a key level ✅ If confirmed, we could see a move back up into the range ✅ Waiting for additional confirmation (pulse bars, momentum shift, etc.) Scenario 2 – The Bearish Breakout ✅ If price breaks below the range low, it confirms a downside move ✅ A clean breakdown could lead to a continuation of bearish momentum ✅ This would be a mirror setup of the bullish breakout from earlier Right now, both triggers are marked up on the charts, waiting for price to confirm the next move. Until then, it’s a watch-and-wait game, keeping an eye on any momentum shifts or additional signals. --- Fun Fact Did You Know the phrase “buy the rumour, sell the news” originated in the 18th century? It was coined to describe the sharp market moves surrounding Napoleon’s defeat at Waterloo. Traders in the know made fortunes buying ahead of the news and selling into the ensuing hype! The phrase became famous when financier Nathan Rothschild supposedly capitalised on early news of Napoleon's defeat in 1815. He bought up British government bonds while others panicked and sold. Once the victory became public, prices soared, making Rothschild a fortune. It’s a timeless reminder to think ahead in the markets.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰ As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️ Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️ ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX 📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700 Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700 ¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ ) ²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² ) 🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️ 📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /- NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 ) rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
SP:SPXShort
by raj5_7_5
2025 - 2026 Roadmap2025: - Cut Gov Spending - (Lower GPD) - Cut Gov Temp Workers - (Lower Employment) - Deport Service Workers - (Increasing inflation) - Tarif's - (One time inflation event) Cutting government spending should cause a recession. Note march 2025 : Drop and Bounce from seasonality. 2026: - '2020 Fed Carry' removed - Call of 5 yr 1.5% loans. - Called loans result in equity sell off. - Treasury funds gov with 30 year - Incentive to lower rates first. The government plans to switch from using 2-year bonds to 30-year bonds to fund itself by the end of 2025 or early 2026, under an agreement between the Treasury and the Fed. The downside? With 30-year bonds, they'll be stuck paying today's high 5% interest rate for three decades. Lowering the rate first would be better and save money, which is possible if a recession happens before the switch. To help, the Fed agreed to leave and make room in the 30-year bond market.
SP:SPXShort
by NicTheMajestic
US500 - Follow the Optimism!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 As per my latest US500 analysis (attached to the chart), it rejected the blue circle zone and surged by over 5%. What's next? 🏹 As long as US500 remains within the short-term rising channel marked in red, any bearish movement toward the lower red trendline should be considered a correction and a potential opportunity to look for trend-following long positions. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TheSignalyst
4
SPX at a Critical Decision Point: Breakout or Breakdown?The S&P 500 has been respecting this rising channel (green support and red resistance) for an extended period. Currently, price action is testing the mid-range, making this a key level for future movement. Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation → If SPX holds above the green trendline, we could see a breakout towards the upper resistance (red trendline), targeting 7,000+. 2️⃣ Bearish Breakdown → A loss of the trendline support could trigger a correction, potentially sending price towards 5,500 or lower. 🔍 Watch for: ✔️ Confirmation of support holding (bullish signals). ✔️ Breakdown and retest of the green trendline as resistance (bearish signals). ⚡ Trade Idea: • Long on bullish confirmation above trendline. • Short on breakdown + retest of support as resistance.
SP:SPX
by parraggon
11