7 DTE SPX Iron Condor, expires 2/28/2025The legs -6190+6195 -5835+5830 8.2% gain (premium) on capital invested on this trade. Expecting the side ways action on SPX the next week to stay with in this range, will adjust if price hits either of the yellow lines. Gaban Tradingby leongabanUpdated 2
S&P 500 in Declining Impulse WaveThe S&P 500 (SPX) appears to be forming an Elliott Impulse wave down from the all-time high made on 02/19/25. A short-term bottom in the 5,570 to 5,960 area on 02/25/25. Watch 30-minute RSI for possible bullish divergence. by markrivest2
$SPX - Analysis Key Levels and Targets for Feb 25 NVDA earnings plus the recent sell off and outflow give us a pretty wide trading range revolving around the 50 day MA. That’s all I’m writing today and let’s go over it in tonights video. Make sure to grab this chart (button just under the chart that says "Grab this chart" and let’s gooo… by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading1
SPX Distribution day? I made an analysis on the SPX chart, and will be cautious about the latest index movement. I’ve been studying the SPX chart since the bull run began in October 2023, and the recent daily candlestick action with rising volume is concerning. Over the last 1.5 years, I identified five major distribution days. In the previous four, we didn’t see a follow-up surge in volume despite the price dropping below the 50-day SMA, nor did we see divergences in S5FI (S&P 500 trading above their 50-day simple moving average) or S5TH (S&P 500 trading above their 200-day SMA). However, from late December until now, SPX hasn’t made a higher high and seems stuck in a range. Over the last four sessions, all red candles showed increasing volume, each surpassing the 50-day average volume. I also see a divergence in S5FI and S5TH since September, which could signal either a simple bull-run pullback or a larger correction. For now, I’m sitting on cash, monitoring potential catalysts, and ready to initiate a small short position if more bearish signals appear.Shortby Matthew8524
SP500 - SHORT - 3HRsThis technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Remember to always research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions. Good luck! 📈💼🚀Shortby JorgeSoteloUpdated 2
SP500USD| BEARISH CONFIRMATION AND KEY SUPPORT LEVELSHello traders, The price has stabilised below the support zone, reinforcing the bearish trend as long as it continues to trade beneath this level. Remaining below this zone is likely to drive the price down to 5,947. If this level is breached, the price will encounter the channel, which must be broken with a 4-hour candle close to confirm the bearish trend. Beyond this, a strong support zone lies ahead, which may cause multiple upward rebounds before the price eventually breaks through. The bullish trend is activated by passing the three main levels of 6002, 6074, and 6102.Shortby ArinaKarayiUpdated 2
Major pullback from AprilAs of now, the S&P 500 stands at a notable 6,013.12. Recent technical analysis suggests potential exhaustion in the market. Key indicators to watch include the moving averages—if the shorter-term average crosses below the longer-term average, we may see a "death cross," signaling a bearish trend. Reflecting on past experiences, on February 3, 2020, the S&P 500 peaked at 3,376 before dropping to 2,439 by early April 2020—a significant decline of about 27.8%. The market then almost doubled, reaching 4,796 on December 1, 2021. However, it dropped again to 3,517 by October 2022, a decline of approximately 26.7%. Since then, the market has nearly doubled again, bringing us to today's high levels. My thesis is that we will see a pullback soon, perhaps from April of ~20%!!Shortby jamissonbond113
SPX Downside Continuation Post Trend BreakdownAnticipating selling pressure to continue into weekend with SLD/OPEX headwinds. ES broke below key 6030 level and will need to find support above 6k to maintain bullish positioning. SPX closed the week at 50EMA but a failure and Monday open below 6k likely leads to downside opportunity at lower trendline around 5960-5970. Positions: Feb26 6,000PShortby franklyfreshUpdated 2
S&P500 Bearish Strengthens Amid US-China Tech War EscalationMarket Overview: US-China Tech War Intensifies Amid Global Market Decline European and Global Market Outlook – February 25, 2025 A wave of risk sentiment is sweeping across Asian markets as tensions between the United States and China escalate. The U.S. has intensified its technology war with China, targeting sectors including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and aerospace. This geopolitical pressure is contributing to a broad risk-off sentiment across global financial markets. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 has confirmed its bearish momentum, despite cutting 2.3% since Last Friday as we mentioned , with the price stabilizing below the 6,010 level, reinforcing the likelihood of testing 5,979. A confirmed 4H or 1H candle close below 5,979 would validate a further bearish extension toward 5,920. Bullish Reversal Scenario: For the S&P 500 to shift towards a bullish structure, it must reclaim and break above the pivot zone (6,010 - 6,031). A successful breakout above this range could lead the index toward 6,068 and 6,102. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 6031 | 6068 | 6102 Pivot Zone: 6010 Support: 5979 | 5952 | 5920 Directional Bias: Bearish – The trend remains downward as long as the price continues to trade below 6,010. Breaking below 5,979 will open the door for further declines toward 5,920. ⚠️ Market Outlook: Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China could further fuel volatility in equity markets, with investors remaining cautious in response to ongoing economic and technological disputes.Shortby SroshMayiUpdated 119
AlgoTrade | SPX500(1D) LarryConors HolyGrail: Trade #2 LongHi Friends I'm longed SPX500 on the 10th of Feb at the open price because market is showing me an oversell signal. Will continue to monitor the market for a overbought signal before selling. There's no stop loss set for the trade.Longby myh451897Updated 1
S&P500: Bottom is close to the 1D MA100. Be ready to buy this.S&P500 just turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.037, MACD = 10.020, ADX = 22.686) as it reversed the early gains and is currently on Friday's low levels, getting closer to the 1D MA100. That is the strongest support level in the last 40 days and according to the 1H RSI, the index may be close to a bottom. The 1H Death Cross typically prices the low on this pattern and we expect a reversal starting tomorrow. Go long and target the LH trendline (TP = 6,120). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##Longby InvestingScope17
SPX/DJT comparisonChart comparing SPX and DJT. This count has SPX and DJT in wave ((2)) of ((5)), with wave ((2)) of SPX as an expanded flat and wave ((2)) of DJT as a regular flat. For SPX, wave B of the expanded flat ends up being 200% of wave A (nearly to the tic). For DJT, wave B of the regular flat ends up being ~90% of wave A. If correct, would expect wave C to target March 2020 lows.Shortby discobiscuit1
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 24 Ok. So that 50 Day moving average needs to hold, lol, otherwise next support is around 5930. Watch that 35EMA for a cross down under the 30min 200MA right at the top left corner of the trading range. Don’t forget to grab the chart and let’s go…. by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading1
Strangle options $SPX target +/- 300 points RSI weakness is quite notable . Friday volume raise and large red candle suggest more volatility into coming weeks . suggest wide swing +/- 300 points so SPX heading to 5700 or 6300 . My idea is to watch Monday close then enter the strangle options combo . Shortby WinnerTrader99Updated 113
S&P 500 key levels to watch The S&P 500 has bounced off its earlier lows in the last couple of hours, after dipping to take out liquidity below Friday's low (6011) and key support around 6000. Where do we go from here? On Friday, the index tumbled sharply to close near the lows. Whether that marked a near-term market top remains to be seen. A downside follow-through would attract selling activity, but the long-term trend remains bullish. The short-term trend line has been broken, which could be a bearish reversal signal, as too could be the bearish engulfing weekly candle. Given how strong the markets have been in recent months, a correction might be welcomed even by bullish investors as it could create better buying opportunities. On the daily chart, the key level to watch is 6000—a psychologically significant level. This level has acted as both resistance and support multiple times. A daily close below this level could potentially lead to a decline towards the lower end of the recent range circa 5830, with interim downside target being at 5908. Below that, the 200-day moving average may come into focus if selling pressure continues. Resistance is seen at 6033 and then 6075, levels that were formerly either support or resistance. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com by FOREXcom2
Escalator Up, Elevator Down -- We Are Overdue For A PullbackI've been waiting for this pullback for weeks/months. The DOJ civil suit against UNH last week 2/21 felt like the first domino.Shortby ShuaiSPayne1
S&P INTRADAY oversold bounce back? S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after a retest of an all-time high on 19th Feb ‘25. The key trading level is at the 6007 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6007 level could target the upside resistance at 6057 followed by the 6106 and 6146 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 6007 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5980 support level followed by 5967 and 5918. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice. by TradeNation2
SPX at CrossRoadThe chart illustrates the logarithmic scale of the S&P 500 index since 1933. From 1933 to 1997, the index consistently followed an upward-sloping channel. Key years such as 1942, 1949, 1974, and 1982 saw the index test the lower boundary of this channel. However, since 2009, following the introduction of quantitative easing (QE), the uptrend has shifted to a steeper slope. With the Federal Reserve hesitant to lower interest rates and the forces of de-globalization gaining momentum, the question arises: Can artificial intelligence (AI) emerge as the savior, propelling the S&P 500 to new highs? Or will the growing debt burden, combined with tighter monetary policies and the effects of de-globalization, finally break the index's back? What are your thoughts? Please share. I believe interest rates will continue to climb as investors demand higher premiums to compensate for heightened risks in the debt market. This could exert considerable pressure on stocks. Shortby bruceyam112
$SPY $SPX OLD CHART BAR PATTERN COVID CRASH NOW!!!!Holy crap.... I just came across an old chart and literally in the nick of timeI tell you. All I'm going to say is... I'm a pattern chart trader and this is the COVID bar pattern attached to our daily from like a year ago almost and I loaded up an old layout to do work and boom... here we are... Good LUCK ... Not sure what the trigger will be but we are here. Shortby TazmanianTrader774
S&P drops 1.5% in worst session of '25S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after retest of all time high on 19th Feb ‘25. The key trading level is at 5980 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance now newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 5980 level could target the upside resistance at 6070 (20 DMA) followed by the 6100 and 6140 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 5980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5920 support level followed by 5830. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice. by TradeNation223
S&P500 I see a retracement happening due to Trump's political influence, but in the long run, the S&P 500 is set to perform well. We’re in an expansion market, and the momentum is still strong. 🚀by aminalimoradii2
S&P 500's Big Drop Raises Alarm: Is a Market Correction Looming?◉ Fundamental Rationale: ● US stocks fell sharply on Friday, with major indices like the S&P 500 SP:SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI experiencing significant losses. ● The sell-off was triggered by a warning from Walmart NYSE:WMT , which raised concerns about weakening consumer demand, rising costs, or other challenges impacting its business. As a retail giant, Walmart's outlook is seen as a barometer for consumer health. ● The decline coincided with the release of consumer sentiment data, which dropped to a 15-month low, signalling growing pessimism among consumers about the economy. ● The market reacted to fears of inflation, rising interest rates, and the potential for a recession, which could further weigh on corporate earnings and economic growth. ● The sell-off was not limited to retail stocks but reflected broader anxieties about the economy and future market performance. ◉ Technical Observations: ● Following a significant sell-off of nearly 1.7%, the index is expected to find initial support at the trendline. ● If the index breaches this support level, the next strong support zone is anticipated in the range of 5,650 to 5,700.Shortby NaranjCapital1
SPX: Long-Term Fibonacci ChannelsAfter encountering old chart, I though to redefine some coordinates. It played out well, however I would like to experiment using actual chart-based extremes to predefine levels. Measuring historic market's most significant HH & LL with fibonacci channels to project psychological levels into the future. Logarithmic scale is a must for this type of analysis. Fibonacci Channels: Using bottoms for direction: Oct '74 & Mar '09 (complete cycles); 3rd point mapping extreme Mar '00 Top for a range. Direction: Mar '09 bottom & Covid bottom; relating to Jan '22 top to define more relevant range. Using multiple Fibonacci channels enhances trend analysis by providing a broader perspective on price movements. This approach identifies key price levels, confluence zones, and trend strength more effectively. However, it’s important to avoid overcomplicating the chart by focusing on the most relevant channels that align with the overall market direction.by fract6