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USSP500CFD trade ideas

S&P drops to test THIS key supportThe US markets wobbled at the start of Friday’s session, with major indices pulling back. However, the outlook isn’t overly bearish yet, as the S&P 500 is testing a key level here around 6075. A bounce into the close is still possible from here, but the bulls need to show and quickly. Even if the index closes near current levels, it wouldn't necessarily signal the end of the bullish trend. To turn short-term bearish, I would need to see a breakdown below the 6,000 level, which had been a strong support before the recent breakout. If that level fails, it would be a bearish signal, potentially leading to a deeper correction toward the long-term trendline or even the 200-day moving average. For now, the focus remains on short-term support and resistance levels. The 6075 level, marking the high of the hammer candle from last Wednesday, is a key short-term support level where the 21-day exponential moving average also converges. Should the S&P 500 experience a deeper pullback, this will be the first major test for the bulls. On the upside, 6100 is the level I am watching, which acted as resistance in December and January before breaking last week, and now we are back below it slightly. Beyond this level, there isn’t much immediate resistance until this week’s all-time high of 6148. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Down for SPX500USDHi traders, Last two weeks price action of SPX500USD followed exactly my outlook. On Monday February, 10 price closed above the low of previous Friday. And after a correction down it made a new ATH last Wednesday. After that it dropped. So I think next week we could see more downside to take the liquidity under the previous lows. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a correction up to finish and after that a change in orderflow to bearish to trade shorts. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
3
$SPX Recap for Feb 24 - Today's Trading Range coming asap Good Morning, y’all. I lost my voice (more like a sore throat, I feel fine otherwise but a sore throat so doing the charts on here today) Yesterday - SPY opened with a pop up, and at the 1hr200MA got pushed underneath the 50 Day moving average. We got pack above the 50 day and got pushed back down by the one hour 200. That 1 hour timeframe is fighting back now that the 35EMA slid under the 30min 200. (That was a lot) We DID trader completely within the implied move. The 50DAY moving average is not pointing DOWN here.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPX500 (NEW DECLINE AHEAD...)SPX500 Technical Analysis The price is consolidating near 6,142, testing the all-time high without a strong breakout. If it breaks and sustains above 6,198, the bullish trend may continue, leading to new highs. However, the presence of a rising wedge suggests a potential reversal if resistance holds. If the price fails to break higher, a retracement toward 6,074 is likely. A confirmed bearish trend would require breaking below 6,038 and 6,002. The key zone between 6,142 and 6,198 will determine the next move. Holding below resistance could lead to a bearish correction, while a breakout above 6,198 would signal further bullish momentum. Agree or disagree? Let’s discuss in the comments. Your market perspective matters!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
S&P500 | Historic Trends, Consolidation & Bull Flags [2030 END]I have been wanting to put my thoughts on the historic tends observed in the S&P500 in a post for some time and decided to focus this discussion on the relationship observed between S&P 500: * Bull Flag runs (~17 to 25) years in length * Consolidation Period (~13 to 15) years in length * 27 Period (2 Monthly) SMA - Aqua Colored Line * RSI NOTE: Chart is looking at logarithmic price of the S&P500 on the 2 Monthly time period. S&P 500 HISTORY | 27P(2M) SMA, CONSOLIDATION PERIOD & BULL FLAG RUNS SINCE 1943 The below images show 'Consolidation Periods' governed by 'Black Trend Lines', 'Bull Flags' (Orange / Navy / Aqua) governed by colored measured moves between these periods and the 27P(2M) SMA in Aqua. Key Takeaways for Longterm Investors Key take aways Looking at the S&P 500 from such a zoomed-out perspective: * CONSOLIDATION: Periods of consolidation required investors to proactively manage their investment. A buy and hold approach left investors' money in limbo not doing a lot over these time periods. Investors who could identify the S&P was in a period of consolidation did well by selling at the upper and buying at the lower trend lines once they became apparent. * BULL FLAG: Run periods rewarded the discipline 'Dimond hands' investor, providing key holds at the 27P(2M) SMA and future higher highs. A good strategy during these periods was to accumulate at the 27P(2M) SMA. RSI ANALYSIS As we are currently in a Bull Flag period for the S&P500 (Aqua Measured Moved), lets now look at the relationship between the RSI and price to identify key historic behavior which may be useful with current price behavior. It is notable that historically the RSI tends to oscillate between rising and falling channels when exhibiting price Consolidation / Bull Flag price behavior. Bull Flag (1943 to 1968) – 25 years Focusing on the orange measured move or first Bull Flag period from approximately 1943 to 1968, observable characteristics include: * At the consolidation period price break out, RSI continued to set higher highs until peaking (with the first lower high) at Point 1 - this marked approximately the halfway point of the bull run period. * Retest and hold behavior with the 27P(2M) SMA for the entirety of the run * End of bull run period and start of consolidation period confirmed with price breaking below and first candle open and close below the 27P(2M) SMA at Point 2 . The Stochastic RSI has helped to identify if price is set to put in a higher low during bull flag periods and has been a reliable indicator in confluence with the 27P(2M) SMA.  Consolidation Period (1968 to 1983) – 15 Years Consolidation period starts at the end of the prior bull flag and confirmed at Point 2 where price has broken below and opened and closed the first candle below the 27P(2M) SMA. This has been marked with the aqua vertical line on the chart. Price is confirmed to have left the consolidation zone once it breaks to the upside of the black trend line (in some cases with a retest). Change in price behavior from ranging to bullish within the consolidation period has been identifiable historically with a break above the 27P(2M) SMA followed up by a retest and holding the 27P(2M) SMA as support. Price has tended to range between the consolidation period trendlines until this price behavior is achieved. The Stochastic RSI has helped to identify if price is set to put in a low during consolidation periods and has been a reliable indicator in confluence with the lower black trend line.  It is notable the Momentum Bias Index has printed RED bars on the histogram during all historic consolidation periods reviewed (2 in total) when the bottom of the consolidation period has been set. Similar observations have been observed in the below two future consecutive Macro Bull Flag and Consolidation periods reviewed in this analysis. Bull Flag (1983 to 2000) – 17 years Consolidation Period (2000 to 2013) – 13 years CURRENT PERIOD | WHERE ARE WE NOW? BULL FLAG TO FINISH IN 2030 ESTIMATION? If the S&P 500 is to continue historic trend and continue consecutive Bull Flag / Consolidation periods, this would suggest the current bull flag run could end in 2030 and the next consolidation period would begin. This is based on the same bull flag measured move approach and estimations of the bull flag structures discussed in the prior bull flag / consolidation periods. It is noted that the prior consolidation period (2000 to 2013) left this zone and peaked at the RSI high relatively early compared to prior periods. According to the review of other bull flags this suggests the middle part of the bull flag run occurred in 2015. It is unclear if this would result in a reduced bull flag period run and a material lower high than the measured moved. It is also noted at current prices a retest and hold of the 27P (2M) SMA would result in a 30% drop. A move in the market of this magnitude would result in some interesting news headlines but historically would show nothing out of the ordinary for S&P500 price behaviour.
CBOE:SPX
by Brodie
SPX Finally Moves, Will 6000 Hold?SPX Finally Moves – But Will 6000 Hold? | SPX Market Analysis 24 Feb 2025 Last week’s market action was like watching a cat decide whether to jump off a shelf—hesitation, commitment, regret, and then chaos. SPX pushed through the bull trigger on Wednesday, only to whip back through the hedge & bear trigger, finally showing some real movement on Friday. But before we get too excited, SPX is still stuck inside a larger range, with 6000 as the next key battleground. Will we see a range breakout or another rejection? Let’s dive in. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: SPX Moves – But Is It Just Another Range Play? Last week gave us plenty of action, but SPX hasn’t truly escaped its larger range yet. 📌 What happened last week? SPX broke the bull trigger on Wednesday 🚀 Immediately flipped back through the hedge & bear trigger 🤦‍♂️ Friday’s move finally opened things up 🔓 Now, we’re eying 6000 as the next decision point. 📌 Two potential setups: ✅ Range Reversal – Price rejects 6000 and moves back inside the range ✅ Breakout Trade – SPX clears 6000, confirming a new leg up Either way, I’ll be watching closely for the next trade setup. VIX Says ‘No Crash… Yet’ 📉 The volatility index (VIX) remains below 20, meaning: No imminent crash signals 🛑 Fear is elevated but not panicking Still room for surprises, but not full-blown chaos (yet!) If VIX jumps past 20 and keeps climbing, then we’ll talk about more extreme downside risk. Overnight Futures – A Small Bounce, But No Turn Yet 🌅 Futures are slightly green, but they don’t confirm: A major bullish turn ❌ A full-blown breakdown ❌ Right now, it’s more noise than signal. What’s Next? 📌 I remain bearish on my income swing trades 📉 📌 Waiting for confirmation—either: Bullish reversal (v-shaped price action shift) 🔄 Bearish breakdown (clean range break below 6000) 🚨 For now, it’s another waiting game—but one that could pay off big when the next major move arrives. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2010, the Flash Crash wiped out nearly $1 trillion in market value in just 36 minutes, only to recover almost entirely by the end of the day. The culprit? A single trader’s algorithm running wild. 💡 The Lesson? Sometimes, market chaos isn’t about fundamentals—it’s just a rogue algorithm losing its mind.
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
2
SPX: another not-happy FridayMarkets have been playing a bit of a ping-pong game since the start of the year. Uncertainty is never a good world for financial markets, so it was this Friday. In the same week, the S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all time highest level at 6.148 and a significant pull-back on Friday. One of the extremely spooky works since recently are tariffs, which a new US Administration is using too frequently, for the taste of investors. The S&P 500 lost 1,71% at Friday's trading session, while other US indices were also somewhere in this range. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment was published during the week, showing not some happy figures about current consumer sentiment. In addition, consumers are expecting further increase in inflation, higher from previous releases. The 5 years inflation expectations currently stands at 3,5%, for which analysts are noting, is the highest level since 1995. The highest contributors to index drop on Friday were tech companies, which are currently ones which hold the highest participation. Other sectors were also affected, however, those related to major supplies were the ones that gained during the week. The consumer sector, healthcare and utilities were the ones that investors bought the most. It was sort of a move toward basics. As analysts are noting, the defensive sectors are the ones which gain during times of fears on future economic growth. The week ahead will be a sensitive one for financial markets, as PCE data are scheduled for a release. The start of the week might bring some relaxation from Friday's negative sentiment, however, it will not be a sign that the positive sentiment is back, but only a sort of short term positioning for PCE data. Depending on final PCE data, a higher move could be expected toward either side. The higher market sensitivity will continue as long as uncertainties are existing either through trade tariffs, or through inflation data.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
SP500 | Pivot Zone Retest – Will the Support Hold?S&P 500 Analysis | February 21, 2025 The price is currently consolidating within the pivot zone (6,102 - 6,143), which is acting as a key level. 🔹 A break below 6,102 will confirm a bearish move toward 6,031 and 5,979, continuing the downward trend. 🔹 If the price stabilizes above 6,143, we may see an attempt to break toward 6,168 and 6,224 as the next resistance zone. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 6128 Resistance: 6143 - 6168 - 6224 Support: 6102 - 6079 - 6031 -
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 20 Not a terribly difficult trading range today. ATH’s above us, 35EMA below, bottom of the implied move 6115 has a previous support. Bearish divergence in strength. 30min 200MA on deck (maybe close to where it crosses the downtrend) if we close under the 35EMA. Pretty bullish setup overall but overbought and bearish divergence. Low volume too which is driving me crazy but we don’t seem to get any sell off volume.
SP:SPXShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P 500 Faces Rejection at Key Resistance?📉 False Breakout or Consolidation? S&P 500 hit 6,129 but failed to hold above it, retreating to 6,090 (-0.75%). This level marks a key resistance zone, with sellers stepping in to cap gains. 🔍 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: 6,129 → Previous high, acting as a short-term ceiling. Support: 6,018 (50-day EMA) → First area bulls want to defend. 5,900 → Stronger structural support if momentum weakens. 📊 Momentum Check: RSI at 54.86 → Neutral, room for both upside and downside. Price remains above the 50-day EMA, keeping the uptrend intact for now. 🚀 What’s Next? Bulls need a decisive close above 6,129 to confirm a breakout. A rejection here could trigger consolidation or a pullback toward the 50-day EMA. Watching for either a breakout confirmation or a deeper retest of support levels. -MW
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
SPX500USD Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 6,122.6. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 6,074.3 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SignalProvider
1