UncertaintyHyper extended tech driving most of SP gains combined with global uncertainty of Trumps next tariff plans; a correction seems due.
USSP500CFD trade ideas
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025
📅 Thu Jan 30
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Advance GDP q/q: 2.7% (prev: 3.1%)
📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 223K)
🌎Global Events:
🇪🇺 European Central Bank Meeting: The ECB is expected to announce its monetary policy decision, with markets anticipating a rate cut.
🇩🇪 Germany GDP Release: Germany will publish its GDP figures, providing insights into the health of Europe's largest economy.
💹 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Markets might overreact, but this meeting was void of new information. All things markets knew beforehand.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
We will likely bounce hard from these lower levels and hold higher.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
Rip or Dip? SPX at a Crossroads!📈 Rip or Dip? SPX at a Crossroads! 🚀🔻| SPX Market Analysis 29 Jan 2025
SPX is at an inflection point. Will it rip higher or take a dive? We’ve just rolled into the notorious Feb/Mar correction season, and I can’t help but notice a Bollinger Band W-Bottom potentially setting up on the daily chart.
We saw something eerily similar on the 30-min chart back around the 12th of Jan, which played out beautifully. Could we see a repeat – but on a larger scale? Let’s break it down.
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📊 The SPX Setup: What’s Next?
🔹 Correction Season – Historically, Feb/Mar tends to see some turbulence, making this a crucial time to assess the market’s next big move. What is the next seasonal correction window? Sep/Oct – but let’s deal with one at a time!
🔹 Bollinger Band W-Bottom – A potential W-bottom is forming, which, if it is confirmed, could see price hug the upper Bollinger band in a rip ‘n ride scenario.
🔹 Tag ‘n Turn Says Bullish! – The SPX Income System has done its job. We’ve profited off Monday’s gap down and bear swing, but now the setup suggests a possible bull swing unfolding.
🔹 What About 30-Min Charts? – If you check the 12th Jan move, we saw a similar Bollinger Band structure play out on the smaller time frame, leading to a solid push higher. Déjà vu on the daily charts?
🎯 The Plan Moving Forward
☑ Monitor bullish follow-through – If SPX holds momentum, we could see a breakout and run higher.
☑ Watch for confirmation – A failed breakout or exhaustion candle could hint at a February dip instead of a rip.
☑ Trade the setups, not the emotions – Following the Tag ‘n Turn system keeps us on the right side of the market, bull or bear.
Fun Fact:
📉 Did you know the 1987 stock market crash happened on a Monday? Dubbed Black Monday, the Dow dropped 22.6% in a single day, making it the worst one-day percentage decline in history. The cause? A mix of programmatic trading, high valuations, and market panic.
🔎 The eerie part? The market recovered all losses within two years, proving once again that panic selling rarely pays off!
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.29.2025🔮
📅 Wed Jan 29
⏰ 2:00pm
📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%)
📜 FOMC Statement
⏰ 2:30pm
🎙️ FOMC Press Conference
💡 Global Events:
🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting: Market-moving interest rate decision and policy updates.
🇪🇺 Eurozone GDP: Preliminary Q4 GDP data for the Eurozone could impact global sentiment.
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down to EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Semis haven't recovered yet, so there's a leg higher in the markets. Looking for a chop after.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a massive recovery in 1-2 days and go back to 6050.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
RVI Index on S&P 500 Market has been volatile as shown on the chart with the many gaps up and down of late.
This index is another indicator to show overbought and oversold conditions.
The July - August period in 2024 seemed to have the same vol patterns and the indicator pointed to overbought conditions which preceded the downturn for that period of time.
This is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities and only used for informational purposes.
US500 (S&P): Trend in daily time framePlease pay special attention to the very accurate trends, and colored levels.
Do not open a position without TP and SL.
Its a very sensitive setup, please be careful.
BEST,
MT
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.28.2024🔮
📅 Tue Jan 28
⏰ 10:00am
📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7)
💡 Global Events:
🚩 China PMI: Key manufacturing data impacting global growth.
🍵 U.K. Business Report: Updates on investments and pensions.
📊 Earnings: GM and LMT pre-market results.
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP500 weekly long+short setupA setup for the February pivots. targeting both upper and lower levels of the range. the range prices will square time on february 6.
S&P500 - BUY My over all analysis is bullish for sp500. On a technical basis, it came out of down trend , & is near my 50% fib Retracement. The overall trend of sp500 has been bullish so I’m seeing sp500 creating all time highs. Fundamental news will confirm entry’s for buys.
testthis is only a test. we are testing our lack of technical skills on the transfer of power from tv to yt
time to rotate back to valuepff
too many gaps anyways
and
we have a 4 hourly rsi bear div
and
declining volume
and a swing fail pattern on our latest ATH
along with an RTH (regular trading hours) CVD ( cumulative volume delta) bearish divergence
and all of you are way too bullish anyways
its bear time
SP500 key zones SP500 liquidated all-time high and is now expected to return into the range. On the 4H timeframe I've identified a potential bullish zone for a possible pullback while the 30-minute chart highlights a bearish zones where sellers might step in. These levels will guide the next move depending on how price reacts.
S&P 500: Bullish Breakout or False Move?Chart Analysis:
The S&P 500 is at a critical juncture, trading just below a significant horizontal resistance level near 6,114.
1️⃣ Key Resistance Level:
The horizontal level at 6,114 represents a pivotal resistance, as prior attempts to breach this zone were met with selling pressure.
A successful breakout above this level could signal further upside potential and a continuation of the bullish trend.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Rising around 5,980, providing dynamic support and reflecting sustained upward momentum.
200-day SMA (red): Trending upward near 5,628, confirming the long-term bullish trend.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Hovering near 65, indicating strong bullish momentum but approaching overbought conditions.
MACD: Bullish momentum remains intact, with the MACD line rising and staying above the zero line.
What to Watch:
Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakout above 6,114 on increased volume to validate further upside potential.
Failure to break above this resistance could lead to a retracement toward the 50-day SMA or previous support levels.
Keep an eye on RSI for any bearish divergence or signs of momentum weakening.
The S&P 500 is at a make-or-break level, and its reaction at 6,114 will determine the next directional move.
-MW
Situational Awareness – Morning of January 18th, 2025Market Overview:
Asia:
China has been strong this morning, continuing its base breakout.
Japan: Up for six consecutive days, showing steady upward momentum.
South Korea (Kospi): Range-bound since January 8th.
Europe:
EU50: Up approximately 8-9% YTD.
Germany: Up nearly 8% YTD, with eight consecutive positive days.
France: Continues to show strength this year.
Bitcoin and Ethereum:
Bitcoin: Trading in a tight range for the last 5-6 days, consolidating.
Ethereum: Also consolidating, showing potential for a breakout.
Key Indicators and Sectors:
VIX: At 15.07, remaining low.
Gold: Showing strong momentum over the last 30+ days.
Copper: Taking a breather, currently at $4.30.
RSP (Equal-Weighted S&P 500): Stable for three days, continuing its strength since January 13th.
QQE (Equal-Weighted Nasdaq): Fairly stable for the past two days, holding gains from January 13th.
Russell 2000: Seven consecutive days of gains, showing resilience.
FANG Stocks: Breaking out of a rectangular box pattern, indicating potential for special moves.
XLE (Energy ETF): Strong since December 20th, now facing three down days.
XLV (Healthcare ETF): Trending upward since January 17th; could be a sector to watch in the coming days.
XLU (Utilities ETF): Took a breather after a strong week. Weekly momentum remains upward.
XLF (Financials ETF): Flat this week after a strong previous week.
XLI (Industrials ETF): Continues upward momentum since January 13th.
Semiconductors: Eight consecutive positive days, but approaching resistance levels where previous reversals occurred.
DAPP (Digital Transformation ETF): Hovering near its baseline with false breakouts so far; a breakout would be noteworthy.
Plan of Action:
Focus on potential range expansions in individual tickers that show strength.
Consider two reversal bullish plays during the latter part of the trading day if setups present themselves.
Overall, the market looks stable with no significant red flags at the moment.
SPX500 Long Trade Setup Entry BreakdownThis is the last setup that I posted, I wanted to show what it looks like zoomed in the 15m. Price approached the level of reaction during NY session, made a high and a low, if it breaks higher we buy, in this case we bought when buyers broke the range, that's the confirmation. Because we always buy when price breaks highs and sell when price breaks lows. Stoploss placed under the low and targeted the highs from the previous setup. ICC, we simply follow what price tells us it wants to do.
SPX500 ICC Long Trade SetupPrice dropped from 6070 creating the bottom (L).
Before that bottom, price made that push upside (H).
After (L) price broke above (H), giving us an indication.
We knew that every time price broke back above (H) buyers were ready to buy.
First entry was valid, it was on session and zooming in the 15m buyers were strong and price was creating higher lows.
Although price didn't hit TP, stopped us and continued down to grab the liquidity sitting below the last low (L).
Then again, higher supports, zoom into 15m around the level of reaction to find highs breaking highs.
Back in session, price broke above the level so we re-entered buys, same trade as before, same SL and TP.
Some we lose some we win, what's important is sticking to the plan and managing risk!
SPX500The US 500 (also known as SPX500, US SPX 500 or SP500) - more commonly known as the S&P 500, or the Standard and Poor's 500 - tracks the performance of the 500 largest companies listed on the NYSE, Nasdaq and BZX exchanges. In short, the index tracks the performance of the biggest US companies
Bulls and Bears zone for 01-23-2025Yesterday SPX had gap up opening, narrow range bar accompanied by high volume and closed in bottom half. Just an observation.
Level to watch: 6112 --- 6114
JPY bags are heavy. Redridge Capital is back with vengeance.
This time we are shorting S&P via 7-10 days OTM puts strikes at 5800-5820 and some short positions in Netflix as well.
The rationale behind this trade is that the traders might be underestimating the associated volatility that might come with the next Bank of Japan meeting. We are expecting a hawkish outcome which will unwind USDJPY longs and start to unwind the froth in the risk assets as well.
The time to strike is now.
WHAT'S FLOWING: FX & ASIA The visual shows a mix of bullish and bearish setups across various assets, indicating a diverse market sentiment. Here’s a breakdown of the flow:
Bullish Assets:
1. EUR/CAD - Indicating potential upward momentum, likely off strong support.
2. NZDJPY - Suggesting renewed buying interest around key levels.
3. AUD/CHF - The chart points to buyers stepping in, pushing prices higher.
4. SG30 (Singapore 30 Index) - A strong bullish continuation with new highs being tested.
5. CHINAH (HONG KONG CHINA H-SHARES) - A bullish setup on the daily with fair value above the market.
Bearish Assets:
1. SPX500 (S&P 500) - Facing resistance and showing signs of weakness, likely due to profit-taking or risk-off sentiment.
Observations:
• Gold (XAU/USD) appears range-bound but leans slightly bearish in the short term, with resistance overhead.
• Several FX pairs (e.g., EUR/CAD, AUD/CHF) align with risk-on moves, while indices like SPX500 counter the flow.
Strategy:
• For bullish assets, watch for pullbacks to support levels as entry points.
• For bearish assets, monitor breaks below key support levels for short opportunities.
• Keep an eye on fundamentals like central bank policies or macroeconomic data, as they could influence these flows.
It seems the market sentiment is mixed, with certain sectors showing resilience while others struggle, offering opportunities for both long and short positions depending on your risk appetite.
SPX500The S&P 500 (SPX500) is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S. It covers various sectors, including technology, healthcare, finance, and consumer goods, making it a broad measure of the U.S. economy. The index is widely used by investors as a benchmark for market performance and is influenced by economic data, interest rates, and corporate earnings. Known for its stability compared to NAS100, SPX500 is a key indicator of overall market trends.
