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USSP500CFD trade ideas

S&P 500: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next WeekThe S&P 500 ended the week on a positive note, buoyed by strong economic data, robust corporate earnings, and supportive seasonality. However, investors are shifting their focus to critical upcoming events: the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and the PCE inflation report on Wednesday. These events have the potential to set the tone for the markets for the remainder of the year. Mixed Economic Data The past week brought a blend of economic data, with some encouraging signals and a few disappointments: Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): At 213K, the result came in better than the 220K consensus, underscoring the resilience of the labor market and reducing recession fears. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov.): Disappointed at -5.5 against expectations of 8, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Nov.): Came in at 71.8, below the 73.7 forecast, indicating a slight dip in consumer confidence. S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprised to the upside with a reading of 57.0, exceeding the expected 55.2, highlighting the strength of the services sector. Nvidia Shines Bright Corporate earnings added to the bullish sentiment, led by Nvidia's impressive Q3 results. The company reported revenue of 35.08 billion dollars, significantly above the consensus estimate of 33.17 billion dollars. As a leader in AI-related technology and semiconductors, Nvidia's results lifted the broader tech sector and contributed to the S&P 500’s gains. Market Sentiment and Seasonality The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 61, in the "Greed" zone, indicating a risk-on environment as investors show confidence in equities. Seasonality also plays a crucial role. Historically, the S&P 500 benefits from end-of-year trends, especially in an election year, when policymakers often aim to maintain market stability. Challenges Ahead While the current momentum is positive, the market faces significant tests next week with two major events: FOMC Meeting (Tuesday): The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and commentary will be in the spotlight. Investors will look for signals on whether the Fed plans to pause or keep the door open for further rate hikes in 2024. PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday): The core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures, could shape expectations for monetary policy. A higher-than-expected reading might increase concerns about further tightening, while a lower figure would reinforce the soft landing narrative. Lingering Risks In addition to the upcoming macroeconomic events, investors remain wary of: Trade Policy: Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods could stoke inflation and weigh on economic growth. Geopolitics: The ongoing risk of escalation in the Ukraine conflict continues to loom over global markets. Soft Landing: The Baseline Scenario Looking at the current data, the S&P 500 appears to be on the path to a soft landing, supported by a strong labor market and robust technology sector performance. Favorable seasonality—both year-end trends and election-year dynamics—further bolsters the case for continued gains, which remains the baseline scenario for now. Conclusion The S&P 500 has shown strength, but next week’s FOMC meeting and PCE inflation report could reshape market dynamics. The key question is whether the data will support the soft landing narrative or signal a need for further monetary tightening. What are your thoughts on the S&P 500’s outlook given the upcoming Fed meeting and inflation data? Will the index sustain its rally, or are we in for increased volatility? Share your insights in the comments.
SP:SPXLong
by InvestMate
1
Great trade in SPY!!!For an aggressive trader, you can buy now and place your stop at $5848, which is a safe zone because if the market falls below this price, the bull market would also be invalidated. My target would be $6193, which is the last leg plotted at the bottom of the pivot. To support this position, we observe that the SPX has pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone and the previous high, and the stochastic is in the oversold area. This trade offers a 4% gain and a 1.77% loss.
SP:SPXLong
by igorwolwacz
NAS 100 Execution , Taken out at break even The luck was just not in my side , My TP was missed in just a Tick but the trade management was top notch and that is what am learning to do well , This was An A setup for me and a low because of the low hanging objective but I wanted to see the market deep more like 10 handles below the sell side liqudity , If you will be seeing this past 30th, my subscription will have expired I just had one month subscription so am asking someone of goodwill if he /she can gift me a subscription so I can compete on the leap completion , Thank you .
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by murimilm2022
S&P 500 index Wave Analysis 19 November 2024 - S&P 500 index reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 6000.00 S&P 500 index recently reversed up from the pivotal support level 5850.00 (former multi-day resistance from October). The support level 5850.00 was further strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band, support trendline from August and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from the start of November. Given the clear daily uptrend, S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 6000.00.
CBOE:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
Retesting support on the S&PThe Dow ended a touch lower last night, but otherwise US stock indices closed with modest gains. Earlier in the session, all the majors rallied off intermediate support levels which were being tested after last week’s pullback. Overnight, the major indices built on Monday’s gains but then sold off sharply on the European open. Investors were rattled by a statement from Russian President Vladimir Putin concerning the use of nuclear weapons, should Russia be attacked by conventional weapons backed by a nuclear power. This has taken the Dow, S&P, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 back to support once again, indicating that investors remain nervous with the stock price of many corporations trading at rarified levels. Just focusing on the S&P, there’s a band of support which runs down from 5,870 to 5,800. So far, support has held at the top end of this range which is positive news for the bulls. If prices can continue to steady, then there’s a reasonable chance that US stock indices could soon have another attempt to take out the record closes hit at the beginning of last week. But there are also reasons to be cautious. Geopolitical concerns aside, the giant corporations in the ‘Magnificent Seven’ currently account for around a third of the S&P 500 by market capitalisation. That represents a significant overvaluation. This could be tested after tomorrow’s close when NVIDIA, currently the largest corporation in the world by market capitalisation, releases its latest earnings update. If the generative AI chipmaker beats forecasts, and once again issues positive forward guidance, then this could provide a base for another surge in tech stocks. But any slither of disappointment could result in a sharp sell-off as investors rush to cut their long side exposure. Investors are already getting antsy following reports yesterday that NVIDIA’s new Blackwell chip has been overheating. The other concern is elevated bond yields. US Treasuries have rallied sharply since mid-September, following the Fed’s 50 basis point rate cut. Yields jumped again after Trump’s election victory. The key 10-year has pulled back from its highest levels, and is down around 4 basis points this morning on safe-haven bond buying. But it remains elevated, and not far below 4.50% - a level which could, if breached, cause concern for investors, leading to a drop in risk appetite.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
SPX WEEK OF 11/18/24SPX WEEK OF 11/18/24 To maintain simplicity, once the price moves beyond the WHITE range, monitor for a potential retest of the breached level. Be prepared to initiate long or short positions targeting the YELLOW ranges.While prices may surpass the YELLOW range targets, these levels provide a robust framework for securing profits. 🎯🫡 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
SP:SPX
by J3Trad3s
Sell OpportunityPotential Trade Setup: Short Position: The analysis suggests a short trade idea based on the rejection at the top and the weakening momentum. Entry: Around $5,875.57 (current level). Stop Loss: Above recent highs (potentially around $6,036). Take Profit: Targeting a move down to $5,448.32, which is a 7.27% decline from the current price. Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup targets a significant downside move, making it a potentially high-reward trade, assuming a well-placed stop loss. Analysis Breakdown: Current Price Action: The S&P 500 is currently at $5,875.57 after a significant upward trend. There is a visible rejection near a recent high, suggesting a potential reversal or pullback. Volume Profile: The volume profile on the left indicates areas of high trading activity (high liquidity zones). Strong volume nodes can be seen at the $5,560 level, which may act as a support area during a pullback. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: Key levels are marked around $6,016 and $6,036, representing recent highs. Support: There are several support levels, with the critical zone highlighted at $5,560.47. Below this, the next support is seen at $5,446.54 and $5,359.70. Trend Line: The trend line shows a break or a test of the uptrend, which could indicate a bearish move if the index fails to hold above it. Squeeze Momentum Indicator: The Squeeze Momentum Indicator at the bottom is green, indicating bullish momentum, but there are signs of slowing momentum, which could precede a pullback.
SP:SPXShort
by GODOCM