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USSP500CFD trade ideas

SPX Target 6270 - Can It Get There?SPX Targets 6270 – But Can It Get There? | SPX Market Analysis 20 Feb 2025 The SPX is climbing like a caffeinated squirrel... ok, maybe not. It’s more like a slightly confused sloth trying to find second gear!..., while DJX and RUT are stuck in the mud. The breakout move we’ve been waiting for has arrived, and now the question is—does it have enough fuel to hit 6270, or will it stumble and trigger my hedge at 6100? Bollinger Bands are too tight for reliable setups, so I’m sticking with my 6 money-making patterns until volatility expands. Let’s break it all down… --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📈 SPX is Soaring (like a fat pigeon!) – But the Other Indexes Aren’t Joining the Party While SPX is off making new highs, its friends DJX and RUT seem to have lost their invitations. DJX is struggling to gain meaningful ground 📉 RUT can’t even catch an uptick, making it the weakest of the bunch ❌ Meanwhile, SPX is leading the way, with a clear breakout in play A closely following NDX is nipping at SPX's heals 💡 Breakout Confirmed – But Can It Hold? Scenario #1 from our previous discussions has unfolded—the range has broken out. Target: 6270 🎯 Hedge trigger: 6100 in case the move fails This is the good kind of waiting—waiting for profits to materialise 🔄 Why I’m Avoiding Tag ‘n Turn Setups Right Now Normally, after a breakout, I’d shift back to Tag 'n Turn setups. But there’s a problem… Bollinger Bandwidth is too tight, making moves too fast Price is flipping from one side of the bands to the other A Bollinger Band pinch is forming, indicating more compression before expansion So, what’s the plan? ✅ I’ll continue to use my 6 money-making patterns ✅ I’ll wait for volatility to expand before returning to Bollinger setups ✅ No forced trades—only high-probability moves 🚀 Final Takeaway? The breakout is here, the target is set, and the plan is clear. Now, it’s time to let the market do its thing and wait for the move to play out. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2018, Amazon briefly became a $1 trillion company—but it only stayed there for a few hours before dropping back below the threshold. 💡 The Lesson? Even the biggest breakouts can be short-lived—just because a stock (or index) makes a new high doesn’t mean it will stay there forever. Always have a plan—targets and hedge triggers matter.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
4
S&P500 Holding Above ATH Zone–Breakout to 6168 or Pullback FirstS&P 500 (SPX500) Technical Analysis – February 20, 2025 The S&P 500 is consolidating above the ATH pivot zone (6,122 - 6,129), maintaining its bullish momentum within an ascending channel. The market is testing key levels, with buyers looking to push toward the next resistance zone. Technical Outlook Bullish Scenario: As long as the price holds above 6,122, the uptrend remains intact, targeting 6,168 and 6,224. A breakout above 6,224 could extend the rally toward 6,279. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 6,122, it could signal a correction toward the 6,102 pivot zone. A confirmed 4H close below 6,102 could lead to further declines toward 6,031 and 6,010. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Zone (ATH): 6122 - 6129 🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6,224, 6279 🔹 Support Levels: 6102, 6031, 6010 📈 Directional Bias: The market is expected to test 6,168, and as long as 6,122 holds, the bullish momentum remains valid. A break below 6,122 could lead to a short-term correction. 💬 Will S&P 500 continue its uptrend, or is a pullback coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
U.S. equities climb despite tariff talk | FX ResearchThe market is clearly becoming less nervous about headlines around tariffs. President Trump was on the wires talking about 25% tariffs on automobiles, semiconductor, and pharmaceutical products, and the market took it all in stride rather than panicking as we had seen weeks back. There is a clearer understanding that all of this is much more about strategy and negotiating tactics, and overall, markets have responded in kind with U.S. equities up at record high levels and the U.S. dollar selling off. Moving on, earlier today the RBNZ was out cutting rates by 50 basis points as widely expected. Over in Japan, BOJ Takato was on the wires backing up the recent shift in BOJ sentiment towards the need to be on a hawkish policy track. Key standouts on today's calendar ahead come from UK inflation data, the Eurozone current account, U.S. housing starts, U.S. building permits, and the Fed minutes late in the day. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
SP:SPX
by BlackBull_Markets
US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" Indices CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or swing low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (5920.0) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 5600.0 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Index-Specific Analysis, Market Sentimental Outlook:👇🏻 US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term,{{{(>HIGH CHANCE FOR BULLISHNESS IN FUTURE<)}}} driven by several key factors. 🔰Fundamental Analysis Fundamental factors underpin the S&P 500’s performance: Economic Indicators: GDP Growth: Assumed at 2.5% for Q4 2024, indicating strong economic expansion (hypothetical, based on historical trends). Inflation: CPI at 2.2%, in line with the Fed’s target, supporting stable growth (assumed from recent data). Unemployment: At 3.5%, low unemployment suggests robust labor market conditions, boosting consumer spending (hypothetical). Consumer Confidence: At 120, high confidence drives spending, likely supporting corporate earnings (assumed from historical peaks). Federal Reserve Policy: Rates at 3.00-3.25%, down from 4% in 2024, with one more cut expected to 2.75-3.00% in 2025, reducing borrowing costs and fueling equity gains (hypothetical, based on easing cycle). Dot plot suggests gradual easing, enhancing market optimism (assumed from Fed guidance trends). Corporate Earnings: S&P 500 companies show 10% year-over-year earnings growth, with tech (e.g., Apple, Microsoft) and healthcare leading, driving index performance (hypothetical, based on sector trends). Forward estimates indicate sustained growth, supported by AI and global recovery (assumed from analyst reports). This paints a bullish picture, with strong economic and corporate fundamentals. 🔰Macroeconomic Factors Broader economic conditions influencing the S&P 500 include: Global Economy: China at 5% growth, Europe stable at 1.2% (Eurostat), no major recessions forecasted—neutral to bullish, as global demand supports US multinationals (hypothetical, based on ECB forecasts). Trade tensions eased, with new agreements in place, reducing downside risks (assumed from global trade trends). Trade and Tariffs: Trump’s tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China) have shifted trade flows, benefiting US firms—bullish long-term, short-term volatility (hypothetical, based on recent news). Currency Movements: USD stable, DXY at 100—neutral impact, as a strong dollar could hurt exports but supports domestic focus (assumed from forex trends). Oil Prices: At $75 per barrel, stable energy costs support consumer spending—neutral to bullish (hypothetical, based on OPEC data). Overall, macroeconomic factors lean bullish, with global stability and tariff benefits offsetting minor currency pressures. 🔰Commitments of Traders (COT) Data COT data from CME Group (hypothetical for March 2025): Large Speculators: Net long ~60,000 contracts, down from 70,000 post-2024 highs—cautious bullishness, suggesting room for further gains. Commercial Hedgers: Net short ~65,000 contracts—stable, locking in gains, neutral impact. Open Interest: ~130,000 contracts—high, indicating strong market participation, bullish signal. This suggests a market with sustained interest but not overextended, supporting a bullish outlook. 🔰Index-Specific Analysis Technical and structural factors specific to the S&P 500: Moving Averages: Price at 5760.0 is above the 50-day (5750) and 200-day (5600) moving averages—bullish signal. Support and Resistance: Support at 5600 (recent low), resistance at 5900 (psychological level)—current price near resistance, consolidation likely. Volatility: Implied volatility from options at 15%, suggesting expected 225-point daily range (±1.5%)—neutral, room for moves. Market Breadth: 70% of stocks above 200-day MA, advance-decline ratio at 1.5—broad participation, bullish. Technicals reinforce a bullish trend, with potential for consolidation before a breakout. 🔰Market Sentimental Analysis Investor psychology and market mood: Investor Surveys: 60% bullish (hypothetical, based on AAII trends)—strong optimism, bullish. Social Media: Positive (e.g., market analyst predicting new highs)—bullish sentiment. Fear and Greed Index: At 75 (greed, hypothetical)—high optimism, potential for correction, neutral short-term. News Flow: Mixed, with earnings beats driving gains, but tariff uncertainty noted—neutral. Sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, though greed levels suggest caution for short-term pullbacks. 🔰Next Trend Move Based on the analysis: Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Likely consolidation between 5600-5900, with potential dip to 5600 if profit-taking occurs, or breakout to 6000 if momentum sustains. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Break above 5900 to new highs (e.g., 6100) if Fed cuts materialize and earnings beat expectations. Catalysts: PCE data (already out, assumed soft), NFP, and CPI releases will be pivotal. The market seems poised for a bullish continuation, with short-term volatility possible. 🔰Overall Summary Outlook The S&P 500 at 5760.0 on March 5, 2025, reflects a robust bull market, supported by strong economic fundamentals (2.5% GDP, 10% earnings growth), a dovish Fed (rates at 3.00-3.25%, expected cuts), and broad market participation (70% above 200-day MA). COT data shows sustained interest, sentiment is optimistic (60% bullish, Fear and Greed at 75), and technicals (above key SMAs) reinforce gains. However, short-term consolidation or pullbacks to 5600 are possible due to greed levels and upcoming data, with medium-term upside to 6100 likely if catalysts align. 🔰Future Prediction Given the analysis, the future prediction is Bullish, with short-term consolidation (5600-5900) and medium-term potential to 6100, driven by economic strength and Fed easing. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Thief_Trader
SPX 1D 200 EMA Retest? As the 9&21W EMAs cross and a new local low printing after a SFP top, could the S&P500 be getting its first major correction since Jan 2022? From a TA standpoint this kind of setup looks to be high probability with good R:R for the bears. Targeting the 1W 200 EMA is the most logical area as it remains major support and whenever tested holds strong. From a bulls standpoint this is worrying but could be rectified with a reclaim of the 9&21 EMAs preventing a "death cross" from there acceptance above the high would be the next step to maintain the rally. Fundamentals play a major role and the geopolitical world shows no signs of slowing down, perhaps the tariffs angle is introducing uncertainty in American companies? Or the index is just exhausted from 2.5 years of climbing? Either way the chart is an interesting one to monitor for now.
SP:SPX
by ProR35
2022 Déjà Vu? Markets Stalling at a Critical Level2022 Déjà Vu? Markets Stalling at a Critical Level | SPX Market Analysis 05 Mar 2025 We expected roller-coaster swings this week, and the market hasn’t disappointed. The price action feels oddly familiar, reminiscent of early 2022, when a failed all-time high attempt led to a slow, choppy bear market. Right now, the market is stuck at a key decision point—dithering at the lower range like it can’t decide whether to break down or bounce back up. ADD data leans slightly bullish, suggesting a possible range-bound chop with an upward bias, unless sellers take full control and push us into the February/March correction cycle. No need to guess—I’m hedged and ready for either outcome. The only thing left to do? Wait for the market to tip its hand. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: The market is moving exactly as expected—lots of noise, little commitment, and price action that mirrors early 2022, just before the slow-motion bear market began. 📌 What’s Happening Right Now? Markets failed to make new highs and are now chopping near the range lows The last time we saw this structure? Early 2022 before a major shift downward Price is hesitating, signalling traders are waiting for a catalyst 📌 Two Possible Outcomes: 1️⃣ A Range Reversal (Bullish Scenario) ADD data suggests a short-term bullish bias A grinding, sideways move with an upward tilt is likely Ideal for small, quick trades—but no trend confirmation yet 2️⃣ The February-March Correction Cycle (Bearish Scenario) If support fails, sellers could accelerate the move lower Seasonal trends often bring a correction this time of year Watching for signs of a decisive breakdown 📌 How I’m Approaching This Market: ✅ Staying hedged so that a move in either direction is fine ✅ Being patient—waiting for a strong move before committing capital ✅ Avoiding impulse trades—letting the market tell me what’s next Traders who rush in too early this week could get chopped up in the indecision, while those who wait for a clear confirmation will be in the best position to capitalize. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day percentage drop in history wasn’t 2008—it was Black Monday in 1987, when the Dow crashed 22.6% in a single day. 💡 The Lesson? Markets can collapse out of nowhere, but structured traders with hedges and a system don’t panic—they profit.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
US500 Will Move Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 5,819.9. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 5,578.2 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1
BEAR 2025 IN NUMBERS (2.0)🐻 In my May post last year about the U.S. stock market’s mid-term cycle, I promised to estimate the probable amplitude of the forecasted correction in the current cycle. "When should we expect the bottom of the current 4-year cycle? If we are near the top, considering the current 20-week base cycle that has just begun, we can preliminarily talk about October-November 2024. The average correction from the top of a 4-year cycle ranges from 20% to 50%. Once the cycle’s peak is reached, we will be able to estimate the approximate correction level." 👉 I already made a numerical forecast in early September, but it turned out to be premature. Another base cycle was needed to form the peak of the long cycle, which is now in the correction phase. ☝️ Assuming that: 🔸 The December 9 extreme forecast, made at the beginning of 2024, became the peak of the 4-year and 50-week cycles. On the futures chart, this level is the absolute maximum—see the futures chart. 🔸 The double top of the current 20-week base cycle at the January 29 extreme forecast confirmed the end of the 4-year trend. This level can be taken as the starting point for calculating target correction levels. ☝️ The calculation is based on technical support levels and the following assumptions: 1️⃣ The average correction from the top of a 4-year cycle ranges from 20% to 50%. 2️⃣ When coinciding with the 4-year cycle, the final phase of the 50-week DJIA cycle often tests or breaks the low of the previous 50-week cycle. 3️⃣ The start of a new 4-year cycle will be bullish. Ahead of a more severe crash in the next 1.5 years due to the 7-year crisis cycle, the risk of a stock market drop greater than 25% in the current base cycle is low. 👉 The resulting target levels are: 🔸 **DJIA** -17% to 1st level **38,000** 🔸 **DJIA** -20% to 2nd level **36,000** 🔸 **SPX** -20% to 1st level **4,900** 🔸 **SPX** -25% to 2nd level **4,600** ⚠️ The current 4-year cycle has clearly been prolonged, resembling the situation during the 1987 crash. The next 4-year cycle may be shortened to 3.5 years. Remember that the new 4-year cycle should complete the current 7-year crisis cycle, bottoming out in 2028, with tops in summer 2025 and spring 2026. The timing is perfect so far.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
SPX chart update after calling moves to the $ for 3 yearsHere is the 1st chart I did of SPX back in Jan 2022: I called the drop to the yellow line on chart. Nailed it to nearly the exact $. Then in October 2023 I mentioned this: The rally was confirmed for the next 6 months minimum. Then in Jan 2024 I posted a red horizontal line as target for the rally: Now you can see on current bottom chart that price hit the red line target. This chart setup you see on bottom chart also shows relevance to the 1st chart I did on SPX where when the blue EMA8 went below the orange MA21, a drop happened as per the red X marks and price changes shown on chart. This is close to happening currently which is easier to see on the top chart as I give a close up view on current price action and the EMA/MA's. Are we about to see a drop as per yellow price change on chart or can SPX bounce from here and move up to the green horizontal line on chart? The EMA/MA crossunder will tell us. Even though I called the moves all correct previously, at this time in the markets, things are alot trickier so I cannot say with conviction this time around as to which way it will go. I will update the analysis once the bounce or cross under is confirmed.
TVC:SPX
by Pro_Trader_HTBB
$SPX is the Sky Falling? Not just yet, if at all. while it looks gloomy, lets consider the precedent established in the past few weeks. Between 5700 and 5860 we have 2 volume shelves, where we've seen an increase in buying volume. Couple this with the converging anchored VWAPs and a 150 Daily Moving average hovering there, I think we have a good basis to at least pause in the "sky is falling" narrative. It could very well be falling but its not confirmed. This level is key, IMO.
SP:SPX
by Davy_Dave_Charts
$SPX - Top of the MountainSPX is once again, since its uptrend began on 11/06/2023, breaking below the 3-month simple moving average and now also the Monthly Heiken Ashi average (black stepped line). This time, it seems to have the conditions to start its descent from the mountain and confirm that we reached the top on 02/18/2025. Looking at the vast majority of stocks in today’s pre-market, this appears to be the scenario. And this impacts my recent positions. In this scenario, it will seek the 1-year simple moving average, where it should make a pullback (HH or LH?). Time for caution and to avoid new long entries.
SP:SPXShort
by Mordredis