Macro view of BTC - why is nobody talking about this?Looking at the weekly BTC chart, there’s a clear long-term resistance that dates back to 2017 and still hasn’t been broken convincingly. There’s plenty of talk this cycle about Bitcoin hitting 150k, just like there was hype around 100k in 2021.
In 2021, BTC formed a significant resistance, which was retested and confirmed in late 2024 and early 2025. Now the common line is: “This time is different. We have institutional money.” That’s true to an extent, but market psychology doesn’t change. Profit is profit. And when sentiment turns, even institutional and ETF-driven retail investors will take it.
BTC is still considered a speculative asset, and for good reason. It doesn’t generate income or yield — it’s only worth what someone else will pay for it.
Right now, BTC appears to be forming a bull flag, but if it can’t push past the 116k to 120k range with strength, I’ll be looking to short it on the way down.
If we get a strong breakout and hold above 120k, then, and only then, do I see a path toward a 150k top.
USTBTC trade ideas
BITCOIN CRASH INCOMING!!! (Brace Yourself Now???) I am breaking down MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN and the potential completion of the 4th wave on an leading diagonal which might work as an early warning of a crash towards $93k!
Wait for the confirmations, and play the market with a proper trading strategy that you have backtested enough to be able to say that you will be long-term profitable. That means make sure your trading system is good enough that you always have an edge and a great enough money management system to make sure that you are giving your edge enough space to play out in the long run and be robust against losing streaks!
Bitcoin has dropped for profitable purchasesBitcoin is within the range. Quite a bit of time has passed since the last retest, and the liquidity pool that has formed below 106345 may not allow the price to fall on the first attempt.
Global and local trends are bullish. Enter a buy position after a false breakout of support and the formation of a local reversal pattern on TF m5-m15
Scenario: if, after a false breakout, price consolidation forms above 106500, then the entry point could be a breakout of local highs (breakout of the structure - ‘bos’).
Bitcoin Monthly · New ATH vs 2021, Indicators & MoreLast month Bitcoin produced its highest close ever, $107,146. The last three months all closed green, the close was higher than the open, and this is the fourth green month so far.
Bitcoin tends to produce a period of bullish consolidation before a major move, and this is exactly what we are seeing now. Bitcoin tends to produce a correction before a major bullish move, and this is exactly what happened between January and April. Bitcoin is set to grow.
Past action · consolidation
We already looked at the consolidation period that happens between each major price advance. Since 2022, Bitcoin has been moving sideways for some 200-220 days before each advance. This happened in 2022, 2023, 2024 and also now in 2025.
Looking at it from the monthly timeframe, the consolidation period was capped each time at 7 bars, 214 days. Current consolidation has already been going for more than 215 days. Bitcoin is set to continue growing.
Indicators · MAs, RSI & MACD
Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages. The monthly RSI is very strong, beyond 70.6.
The monthly MACD is moving at all-time high levels, trending up with room available for additional growth.
Chart patterns · candlestick reading
The chart patterns now has no similarities to 2021. Many people were saying that Bitcoin produced a double-top similar to 2021 and was set to move down. I completely disagree with this analysis.
In 2021 both instances when Bitcoin peaked the month ended up closing red. In 2025 the months when Bitcoin peaked the months ended closing green.
The same month the peak was hit in 2021 was followed by bearish action, twice. And of course, the bear market. In 2025 the market has been consolidating for months and trading near its all-time high.
Finally, in 2021 each peak was 7 months apart, 214. In 2025, the last two peaks are 4 months apart, only 120 days.
This difference is good to point out because market conditions are not the same. Not the same market conditions means that Bitcoin is not likely to go into a bear market now, instead, it can produce something difference. The market has only three directions: Down, sideways and up.
Down has been eliminated based on past action.
Sideways is happening now.
Something different only leaves the upside open; Bitcoin is going up.
Namaste.
BTC's Situation, A Comprehensive Analysis !!!The situation has become quite strange. Bitcoin is forming deceptive patterns, and altcoins continue their downward trend. Currently, Bitcoin is positioned within two triangles—one symmetrical and the other descending. Now that Bitcoin has reached the top of the triangle and appears ready to break upward, it might actually be hiding yet another trap within the price action.
This market has shown disregard for technical patterns, and every time the price approaches historically significant levels, it reveals its true intentions and disappoints us. This cycle tends to repeat.
In my opinion, we’re likely to see one more drop in Bitcoin’s price. After that, instead of continuing the expected downtrend from the pattern, the price could break the descending formation and experience a strong upward move.
Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard.
BTC third tap incoming? Recently, BTC has traded for a large amount of time in ranging environments. These ranges have started with a local range high and then an initial 3-tap accumulation (i.e., a local low and then two sweeps of that low) before making a solid attempt at the range highs. The sweeps of the lows are meant to shake people out and provide fuel to try to break higher. The previous two times, that initial attempt failed and the price was sent lower to put in a second 3-tap accumulation at lower prices.
Will the current price move back down to put in the 3rd tap of the current relatively small accumulation? That is my base case. I believe we will see some lower prices locally to put in the 3rd tap. I think the Bitcoin Swing Trade Indicator (BSTI) will fire off green one more time and then we will then make a run to try to break out of this current massive range (that started last year in November). This current range is fairly small, so it is not worth it to me to sell here to try to buy lower.
The bigger question is: Will we have enough fuel to durably break out of this range after the 3rd tap of the current accumulation (green line) or are we destined to repeat the pattern of the last two bigger ranges (red line), one of which we are still in? I personally believe we will break out after the smaller range 3rd tap (the green line) based on the larger context of cycle theory, how long we have been in this range, and how the current small range is part of the larger range starting back in November 2024.
It will be interesting to see what happens.
Da_Prof
Note that TV won't allow publication of a private/unpublished indicator anymore or I would have shown the BSTI, which is now published as invite only. It's implementation is too complicated to publish openly, so I don't feel comfortable doing that. If you want access, please DM me on TradingView. Thanks.
Bitcoin is bullish in world of War or Peace Simple and easy it is like Gold but better version and limited edition one.
Both(BTC & XAU) are bullish most of the time because future is not for Paper Tokens like Dollar or Yuan or Ruble or Euro or ..
Currency of strong countries seems interesting But soon with more laws and Taxes and Rules against each other Economic which USA start it, more and more Trades and things are going to take place in Crypto where the money is still non Trackable or it is tax free.
Also in a world of War as i mentioned in previous Analysis too, more Buys and Sells are going to take place via Crypto instead of countries currency.
Some countries Now are buying and selling weapons from their enemies even and it is possible in Crypto which no one judge or find the transactions.
interesting things which can not all written here are now need Crypto more than ever.
These prices are like a joke and soon maybe with or without some stop loss hunting to the downside and kicking out buyers with leverage market of Crypto will face another Huge gain.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Bitcoin - Rejection From Major Resistance, Eyes on 103.8K SupporBitcoin is once again reacting to a major resistance zone around 108.8K, a level that has consistently rejected price in the past. The market attempted a breakout but failed to sustain momentum, forming multiple wicks and signs of weakness near the highs. This repeated rejection suggests that sellers are still in control up here and that this zone remains a strong ceiling for price.
Immediate Downside Scenario
With bearish pressure building at resistance, price is now pulling back and eyeing the first key support level around 103.8K. This zone previously acted as a significant base, with an imbalance overlap and structural demand from past price action. If price taps into this zone and buyers defend it, we could see a recovery bounce and potentially another retest of the upper resistance.
Breakdown Risk and Bearish Expansion
However, if 103.8K fails to hold, this opens the door for a deeper correction. The next logical downside target would be in the 98K region, where a higher timeframe imbalance sits and where price last found strong demand during the last major push up. This would also align with a full sweep of recent liquidity build-ups below.
Bullish Recovery Path
In the bullish case, holding 103.8K could initiate a rebound back toward the 108.8K resistance. This would likely depend on a solid reaction and displacement from the support zone, potentially forming a new higher low structure. For bulls to regain full control, we would need to see a clean breakout above the resistance zone with continuation.
Key Zones to Watch
The red resistance zone near 108.8K remains the clear invalidation for further upside, while the grey support block around 103.8K is the first major level that could decide the short-term trend. If that breaks, the purple demand zone near 98K is a high-probability area for price to find support again.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is still stuck between a strong resistance ceiling and a critical mid-range support zone. The rejection from the top signals that we may see downside in the near term, but whether this turns into a full reversal or just a retracement depends entirely on how price reacts around 103.8K. Hold it and we bounce, break it and we likely drop toward 98K. Keep watching how price behaves at these levels to gauge momentum and direction.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Lingrid | BTCUSDT possible Channel Break - Upside Surge The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT is pulling back slightly after rejecting the descending red trendline near the 108,000 level, while remaining above the breakout zone around 105,000. The structure suggests a potential bullish continuation if the price holds this level and forms a higher low. A successful breakout above 108,000 could ignite a move toward the 111,000 resistance band.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 105,000–105,300
Sell trigger: breakdown below 105,000
Target: 111,000
Buy trigger: breakout and retest above 108,000 with strong momentum
💡 Risks
Failure to hold 105,000 reopens path to 98,700
Bearish rejection at 108,000 could maintain lower high structure
Weak volume breakout may lead to a bull trap under 111,000
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #122👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the latest analysis of Bitcoin and major crypto indicators. As usual, this update will focus on potential triggers for the New York futures session.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is once again ranging between the 107,853 and 108,619 levels.
✔️ Last night, Bitcoin briefly faked out below the bottom of this range, so we now need to wait and see how the price reacts upon revisiting this area.
💫 I believe it’s best to hold off on entering a short position until we identify the precise location of the support line. As price retests this area, we can pinpoint the true support level.
✨ Once that level is confirmed, and if it breaks, a short position could be considered. The next support zones would be at 106,586 and 105,370.
📊 Make sure to watch the volume closely for this trade, and I strongly recommend waiting for a volume confirmation before entering.
📈 As for a long position, if 108,619 breaks to the upside, we could consider going long. The buying volume in the current upward leg is increasing, and if this trend continues, a breakout above 108,619 would make a long position reasonable.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance — it has once again reached its trendline and is currently being rejected from it. If this rejection continues, BTC.D could decline toward 65.04.
🔍 However, if the trendline breaks, the 65.31 level will be the bullish confirmation trigger.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now on to the Total2 index (altcoin market cap excluding BTC), it has bounced from the 1.14 support and is moving toward 1.16.
🔑 A breakout above 1.16 would serve as a bullish confirmation for long positions, with 1.17 acting as the main breakout trigger.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance is also moving downward and has reached the 4.78 support zone.
💥 A breakdown below this level would confirm a bearish continuation toward the 4.72 level..
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC/USD Fake out before Pump | Bullish Flag formationBTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025
Introduction
BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone.
Context 1: Key Zones
Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K
Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K
Context 2: Technical Confluence
Liquidation Zone: 106.2K
Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K
Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K
Context 3: Market Structure
Pattern: Bullish flag
Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation
Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K
Bullish Scenario
Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone)
Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low
Retests resistance for continuation
Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest
Bearish Scenario
Breaks below 106.2K and flag support
Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K
Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone
Summary
BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.
#BTCUSDT: First $120,000 Then $140,000 Swing Move.Bitcoin has accumulated successfully and is currently on the verge of entering the next price zone, which is 120k, followed by 150k. There’s only one entry zone to consider. We’re confident that the price will move as planned, but it’s not guaranteed. Before taking entry, please conduct your own analysis.
If you like our work, please like, comment, and share.
Team Setupsfx_
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BTC - Zoomed Out ScenarioAs predicted DXY has broken down a major monthly bearish trendline - currently finishing a bearish retest before further free fall.
If this plays out we have 2-3 years of a weakening / correcting dollar, and a strengthening investment in assets such as Bitcoin.
This means an extended bull market spanning 2-4 years on Bitcoin and equities.
However - there is a mass amount of liquidity to the uber lows towards 10,000 on BTC.
Market is showing manipulated intention to hit these lows by keeping the price below this bearish cross section - and that’s why bitcoin hasn’t been moving up yet.
This tells me this is more likely than we all think to play out.
I’m trading the following:
Short - 108,200 to 35,000
Long - 35,000 to 80,000
Short - 80,000 to 10,000
Will update accordingly if the plan changes.
Happy trading.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Back in Control | New ATH Incoming?Buyers have taken full control once again where we had a good bounce near our buy zone. As we approach the local resistance zone, we are expecting to see a proper breakout from here, which would then lead us to a new ATH (around $120,000).
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin (BTC): We Called It, $120K Happening + Volatility ComingBitcoin had an amazing start and bounce from our buy zone, where price has bounced properly and is now heading toward the local high area, which we intend to see broken.
So far the buyers keep the dominance momentum well, but we have to remember, during such times when we are approaching the ATH area, volatility is guaranteed, and so is the liquidity hunting in both ways.
Swallow Academy
BTC - Bulls Getting Ready!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been bullish trading within the flat rising wedge marked in blue and it is currently retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #121👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see on the 1-hour timeframe, the upward move Bitcoin made yesterday turned out to be a fakeout, and the price is now heading downward.
⚡️ I’m not moving the 108619 line for now. I’ll wait to see if the price reacts to it again in the future, then decide whether to adjust it.
✅ Currently, if the 107853 level breaks, we can enter a short position. We already have volume confirmation, and if this increase in volume continues, we could see a sharp downward move.
📈 Next support levels for Bitcoin in this timeframe are 106586 and 105370, which can be used as targets.
✨ If Bitcoin starts moving upward again, the long trigger remains the 110256 level. A breakout here would mark the beginning of a true uptrend.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance continued its downward move today, dropping close to the 65.04 level.
🔼 We’re currently seeing a reaction at this level, suggesting some support. A break below 65.04 could trigger a strong downtrend.
📅 Total2 Analysis
This index is still in an uptrend but showing significant weakness. It’s currently sitting on key support at 1.15.
⚡️ A break below this level could give us a short position. Additional support levels are 1.14 and 1.13. For a long position, the only trigger we have right now is 1.17.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether dominance, it’s still hovering around the 4.78 level. After a brief fakeout below, it has returned above that zone.
📊 If this level breaks again, Tether dominance could move down toward 4.72.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC/USDT Long Setup – Daily Bullish Continuation PlayMarket Context:
Bitcoin has reclaimed significant ground after a corrective phase and is now approaching prior highs. The current move suggests strength and potential continuation — but with overhead resistance near 111,866, a retracement or consolidation before continuation is likely.
Setup Idea:
The chart illustrates a bullish continuation scenario: price may push slightly higher into resistance, then retrace into a more favorable entry zone before targeting new highs. The Fibonacci retracement levels between 100,500 and 102,470 align with a high-probability demand zone for a dip buy.
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Await retracement into the 0.5–0.618 fib zone (102,400–100,500)
Stop Loss: Below 99,900 (beneath 0.65 fib and invalidation structure)
Target: 119,900 (clean extension above prior high)
Risk/Reward: Favorable multi-R setup based on macro continuation
Notes:
The setup anticipates a pullback before the next impulse. If BTC breaks through 111,900 with momentum and no retrace, the trade idea would shift to chasing on strength or waiting for consolidation above.
Momentum indicators on VMC show bullish pressure building, but overbought conditions suggest temporary cooling may occur.
Let the retrace come to you — and position accordingly on confirmation.