Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 42,435.88
1st Support: 41,294.81
1st Resistance: 43,025.39
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DJ30 trade ideas
May 26 US30Let's get to work... Price at the moment is trending down, creating lower highs and lower lows on the 4hr. However it broke structure on the 1hr and is trending upward.
I'm going to wait for price to get to 42,055 level and wait for it to break and retest for a buy or break structure for a sell.
Caution. Monday is a holiday so I most likely won't trade until Tuesday.
And ultimately whichever way price goes I'm going to get out at my net key level.
Have fun, stay safe and enjoy your journey
US30 | Supply Strike & Fade Incoming?🧠 Market Context & Bias:
The 30-minute view gives a much broader picture:
Price tapped deeply into the supply zone at 42,056–42,094 and immediately showed signs of strong rejection.
Aggressive sell delta clusters (e.g., -35, -37, -17) right at the supply edge show that sellers absorbed buying attempts and started driving price lower.
The failure to hold above 42,056 is a major clue — it was retested and rejected again, confirming it as resistance.
We're now trading under both the supply zone and minor resistance, with price making lower highs and selling pressure increasing.
🧲 What's Likely Next?
If this rejection holds, momentum favors the downside:
🎯 Targets:
First: 42,020 — minor structure support
Then: 41,960 — demand zone start
Finally: 41,910 — major magnet zone
Watch for acceptance below 42,030 for confirmation.
Dow Jones breakdown or setup for 15 percent rally?The Dow looks weak but this might be the setup traders dream of. We break down two possible bullish patterns forming — an inverse head and shoulders and an ascending triangle — and explain how Trump’s EU tariffs could shape the next move. Target gains up to 15 percent with risk reward ratios as high as 7.5 to 1.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
US30 BUY MODELDOW JONES (US30) – Long Trade Idea
Timeframes:
Higher Timeframe Bias: Daily
Execution Timeframe: 4HR
Market Narrative:
A beautiful buy model is currently unfolding on the Dow, suggesting smart money accumulation and preparation for a move into premium pricing.
Price is retracing into discount, where we see a confluence of:
A Daily Bullish Order Block (OB)
A 4HR Buy-Side Imbalance / Sell-Side Inefficiency (BISI)
This confluence acts as a strong magnet for price and presents a high-probability long opportunity.
Entry Zone:
🟢 Buy Zone: 41,900 – 41,850
Inside the 4HR BISI
Aligned with the Daily OB (discounted price)
Ideal for entries upon confirmation via:
1HR bullish BOS (Break of Structure)
FVG (Fair Value Gap) entry
Internal liquidity sweep + displacement
Targets (Premium-side Liquidity & Imbalances):
TP1 – 42,500
🎯 First premium inefficiency fill + short-term liquidity target
TP2 – 42,800
🎯 Key level inside Daily SIBI (Sell-Side Imbalance, Buy-Side Inefficiency)
TP3 – 43,060
🎯 February Low above current price — likely a buy-side liquidity draw
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 41,700
🔒 Below Daily OB low and structural invalidation level
RRR: At least 1:3 to TP1, and 1:6+ to final target
Key Confluences:
Daily OB + 4HR BISI = strong demand and imbalance alignment
Trading in discount of the current dealing range
Clear buy-side liquidity pools above (including February Low)
Market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes
Strong probability of price delivering higher into premium
Execution Tips:
Wait for confirmation inside the 41,900–41,850 zone:
15min–1HR bullish market structure shift (BOS)
Fair Value Gap + displacement candle entry
Consider partial profits at TP1, and trail stops for extended targets
Avoid entries during high-impact news unless already in profit
US30: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 41,589.0 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bias: Short-Term Bullish, Medium-Term BearishReasons:
1. Current Price Action:
Price is within an upward channel and currently trading in the middle-to-upper range.
A recent bullish move broke structure to the upside after a Change of Character (Choch), suggesting bullish short-term momentum.
2. Liquidity Targets:
Price is approaching a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) above current levels. This area can act as a liquidity magnet, encouraging a move up to fill the imbalance before any rejection.
3. Internal FVG (IFVG):
There’s an IFVG where price is currently reacting. This may cause short-term consolidation or a reaction.
If price closes above this IFVG and holds, it could continue to the Weekly FVG.
4. Downside Potential:
After hitting the Weekly FVG, potential distribution or mitigation could occur, leading to a reversal.
The large FVG below (around 41,600–41,200) is a prime target for a deeper retracement or sell-off once liquidity above is swept.
5. Choch Zones:
Previous bearish Choch above suggests prior demand turned supply, reinforcing the likelihood of rejection if price returns there.
---
Trade Considerations:
Bullish Bias until Weekly FVG is tapped.
Switch to Bearish Bias if rejection signs appear after liquidity sweep above the Weekly FVG.
Watch for entry confirmation on lower timeframes near IFVG or Weekly FVG zones.
Bull Run To New Highs?The Dow got slammed on Wednesday, down 2%, no follow through yesterday.
Despite all the look of this rally being a bounce to sell, notice the uptrend line of support developed, this is the dynamics of markets, morph and twist to shake out weaker hands.
Would not be surprised to see a resumption of this rally to all time highs into June/July, the tariff wobbles are gone for now, any firm close below the trend line changes the trend.
We buy this market now at support in prospect of a larger rally to resume.
Appreciate a thumbs up, Good Trading & God Bless you all!
One of my FAVOURITE ENTRY MODELS!!!!AMD is one of my favourite ways to get into the market. Tom Camp, my mentor, has taught me this. Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution is known as AMD which is a certain movement in price with in a range. When price Accumulates it consolidates, engineering liquidity on both sides of the market. When price Manipulates it targets either buy-side or sell-side liquidity first then it will target the buyside or sell-side liquidity. Meaning if you're in a bullish environment and price pulls into a HTF POI on a LTF price displays AMD where it will target buy-side liquidity first then target sell-side liquidity and price will reverse. When price distributes it retraces back into the range created in the Manipulation phase. Normally Manipulation phase price displaces or there is an inverse FVG or FVG or OB you can enter off of.
US 30 Technical Analysis US30 Monthly, Weekly, and Daily Technical Analysis
Note: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Monthly Timeframe:
In April, the US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) posted a high of 42,548 and a low of 36,483. The April candle closed within the range of the March candle, signaling strong buying interest, likely driven by fundamental data. The key takeaway from the monthly chart is that April’s close within March’s range highlights buyer strength and the potential for continued bullish momentum.
Weekly Timeframe:
The bullish channel remains intact on the weekly timeframe. Although price briefly broke below the trendline, it quickly rebounded and re-entered the channel in the first week of April.
There has been no break of structure on the weekly chart. Last week's high at 42,858 swept the previous week’s high but closed within the previous week’s range, ending precisely at the prior week’s low. This indicates unclear price action and potential indecision.
If the upcoming week closes above the 43,100 level, this week’s low could be considered a weekly inducement, adding confluence for a potential bullish move. Until then, it remains just a weekly low without significant structure.
Daily Timeframe:
On the daily chart, price action remains indecisive, with no valid break of structure to confirm an upward trend continuation. However, there is a key support zone between 40,800 and 40,660, which aligns with a confluence of a daily trendline—potentially forming a buy zone, but only upon confirmation on lower timeframes.
Interestingly, the price has ranged between the same levels during the periods from March 13 to March 27 and from April 1 to May 20, reinforcing the range-bound nature of the market.
Outlook:
Given the lack of clear directional bias, scalping opportunities may be more appropriate in the upcoming week, especially if the market continues to range. A strong breakout and close above 43,150 could signal a bullish continuation, in which case we would look for a pullback and hold of long positions, targeting the 44,500 level.
[Scalping] US30 Short (May 26, 2025)Entry was 42003.9
TP is 41967.8
SL is 42022.04
RR is 1:1.5-2
This is just record purpose with new method to trade.
Please allow this test period.
**I use only session indicator.
Other than that I do not use any indicators
New method can be used only for manual trading.
US30 Locked & Loaded – Get In, Get Profit, Get Out!**💰 Market Heist Alert: US30 Setup 🔥**
Yo Money Raiders & Chart Bandits! 🏴☠️📈
US30 is ripe for the taking, and we’re rollin’ in with the *Thief Trading Style*—a slick mix of sniper-level technicals and street-smart fundamentals. Whether it’s bull or bear, we strike fast, grab profit, and vanish! 💨💸
---
**🧠 The Blueprint – US30 Hit Plan**
**📍 Entry Zones:**
🔹 **Bullish Strike 1**: Look for a pullback and **buy at 42400** – clean signal to enter the action!
🔹 **Bullish Strike 2**: Set your sights on **40900 - 40800**, inside the Institutional Buy Zone. Wait for an MA pullback, then hit it hard. Fortune favors the bold! ⚔️
🔹 **Bearish Ambush**: If price breaks down below **41600**, it’s time to ride that bear wave 🐻💨
💡 **Pro Bandit Tip**: Set alerts on key levels so you never miss the moment! 🔔
---
**🛑 Stop Loss Defense:**
Protect the stash! Use the **nearest 4H low** as your SL for day/swing trades.
Tweak based on your risk level, lot size, and open positions. 🛡️
---
**🎯 Profit Targets – Take the Loot:**
💥 **Bullish Goal**: Lock in at **44200** – or escape early if momentum cools 😎
💥 **Bearish Goal**: Target **40600** – but don’t overstay if signs reverse 🚪
🚨 Watch out for overbought/oversold traps – this is where many fall.
---
**⚠️ Risk Alert – News Incoming!**
News events = wild moves. Handle with care:
📰 Avoid new entries during major news drops
📉 Use **trailing SL** to secure profits and manage risk like a pro
Stay smart. Stay ready. This is a heist, not a gamble! 💼💣
---
**🚀 Boost the Thief Trading Movement!**
If this setup hits your style, smash that **boost** and show love to the Thief Crew! 💪
We raid charts daily with precision, profit, and a bit of outlaw swagger. Let’s own the US30 together! 🤝💵
Stay sharp, alerts on, and eyes wide—more setups coming soon.
Catch you in the green, bandits! 🤑🎉📊
Bias: Short-Term Bullish, Medium-Term BearishReasons:
1. Current Price Action:
Price is within an upward channel and currently trading in the middle-to-upper range.
A recent bullish move broke structure to the upside after a Change of Character (Choch), suggesting bullish short-term momentum.
2. Liquidity Targets:
Price is approaching a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) above current levels. This area can act as a liquidity magnet, encouraging a move up to fill the imbalance before any rejection.
3. Internal FVG (IFVG):
There’s an IFVG where price is currently reacting. This may cause short-term consolidation or a reaction.
If price closes above this IFVG and holds, it could continue to the Weekly FVG.
4. Downside Potential:
After hitting the Weekly FVG, potential distribution or mitigation could occur, leading to a reversal.
The large FVG below (around 41,600–41,200) is a prime target for a deeper retracement or sell-off once liquidity above is swept.
5. Choch Zones:
Previous bearish Choch above suggests prior demand turned supply, reinforcing the likelihood of rejection if price returns there.
---
Trade Considerations:
Bullish Bias until Weekly FVG is tapped.
Switch to Bearish Bias if rejection signs appear after liquidity sweep above the Weekly FVG.
Watch for entry confirmation on lower timeframes near IFVG or Weekly FVG zones.
US30/Dow Jones Trade IdeaThis is what I believe could be cooking up currently on US30... A possible buyers control might be coming up the coming days as it looks like price is possibly heading for HTF FVG.
Remember this is just a trade idea and nothing is completely guaranteed to play out the way I'm anticipating... Following this trade idea will be on your own risk!
#us30 #dowjones #indices #nasdaq #german30 #dax
Dow Jones INTRADAY supported at 41900Geopolitical Risk: Oil prices spiked after CNN reported Israel may strike Iran’s nuclear sites, increasing market uncertainty. No final decision confirmed yet.
Rising geopolitical tension could weigh on risk sentiment and equities.
Safe-Haven Moves: The Swiss franc and Japanese yen strengthened as investors moved to safety. Reflects cautious tone in global markets, possibly limiting upside for equities.
Morgan Stanley View: Strategists recommend “Buy America” – but not the US dollar, hinting at confidence in US assets (e.g., stocks), while expecting further USD weakness.
Bond Market Shift: Traders expect long-term US bond yields to rise, which could pressure tech and growth stocks in equity indexes like the Nasdaq.
UK Inflation Watch: UK inflation data expected to tick higher — adding to global inflation and rate hike concerns, which may influence market mood.
Trading Outlook:
US equity indexes may open mixed to cautious. Geopolitical risks and rising yields could create headwinds, especially for rate-sensitive sectors. Watch for oil-driven inflation fears, bond yield movements, and shifts in safe-haven flows.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42950
Resistance Level 2: 43370
Resistance Level 3: 43630
Support Level 1: 41900
Support Level 2: 41500
Support Level 3: 41200
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (DJ30) is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 42,431.21
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 41,768.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 43,934.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
US30 SMC/ICT Plan – Waiting for Pullback Short OpportunityIdea/Scenario:
Expecting a pullback to the 42,100–42,200 zone after a strong bearish move.
Looking for bearish confirmation (price action or rejection) in that area for a potential short entry.
Main target: 41,650–41,600, possibly lower toward 41,000.
Bias remains bearish below 42,200.