US30 shortWhat is a bear market?
A downward market with strong rallies. we are around a turn around area. Positive job data is just hysteria, false confidence.
>Momentum to the upside fading
>lower high on 5 mins
>countertrend!
DJ30 trade ideas
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 40,653.80
1st Support: 39,774.46
1st Resistance: 42,181.26
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US30 โ Rejection from Supply Zone! Dow Heading Lower?Timeframe: 1H | Strategy: Supply & Demand + Price Action
The Dow Jones just tagged a key supply zone near 40,965 and printed a clean rejection candle โ a potential signal that bulls are losing control.
Technical Outlook:
Supply Zone (Resistance): 40,965 โ 41,020
Breakdown Point: Below 40,486 = possible short trigger
Demand Target Zone: 39,938 โ 40,000 (orange block)
Observations:
Price attempted a breakout but was rejected at the top of the supply zone
A clean bearish candle has formed at resistance
Market sentiment may be shifting ahead of upcoming U.S. data (see icon)
Trade Idea (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 40,486
Target: 39,938
Stop Loss: Above 41,020
Watch for volume confirmation and retest of the breakdown level.
Invalidation:
If price closes above 41,020 on strong momentum, the bearish setup is off the table.
Fundamental Alert:
US data/events may trigger volatility soon โ watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals.
Will the Dow retrace to the 40K zone, or is this a false sell signal? Drop your view below!
Like & follow for more clean price action setups!
#US30 #DowJones #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Indices #BearishReversal #TradingView
Update on US302:1 RR hit โ
Day is completed. I will now leave the market alone and go enjoy the rest of my day. I pray you too will have a blessed end of day and weekend Reflect on the week, Rest and Enjoy your time with your loved ones
Us30 longLong position from 41200. I think the 41400 region gets hit pretty soon.
If not tonight , tomorrow when stocks open i think she will start jumping higher.
US30 โ Key Supply Rejection at 41,000 | Is a Pullback ? The Dow Jones (US30) is currently trading at 41,089, slightly below the critical supply zone between 41,000 - 41,150, as identified by LuxAlgoโs Supply & Demand Visible Range. Price is showing signs of exhaustion after testing the top of the range, hinting at a potential short-term correction.
Chart Breakdown:
Supply Zone: 41,000 โ 41,150 (visible resistance from recent price reaction).
Current Price: 41,089
First Support: 40,971 โ the last breakout zone.
Next Support: 39,703 โ major structure break level.
Demand Zone: 38,735 โ 38,000 (bullish reversal zone, high volume node).
Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below 40,971 could confirm short-term bearish momentum.
Watch for price to fill the inefficiency gap toward 39,703 and possibly test 38,735 if weakness continues.
Red arrows on chart signal likely downside zones if buyers fail to defend higher levels.
Bullish Scenario:
Reclaim and close above 41,150 on strong volume may invalidate the bearish bias and push price to new highs.
Upcoming Volatility Alert:
Key U.S. economic news is on the calendar (highlighted on chart) โ could cause sharp movement in either direction. Stay alert!
Trade Idea: Look for short entries around current levels with stops above the supply zone. Target the 39,703 and 38,735 levels with proper risk management.
---
Will Dow stay strong or finally give in to bearish pressure? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #VolumeProfile #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #Forex #Indices #MarketUpdate
Is everyone missing the leading diagonal Ive seen conflicting Elliot Wave Counts with both Bullish counts suggesting a new ATH is at hand as the decline is only a 3 wave decline and not five and bearish counts suggesting this is only a bear market rally since the Trump Tariff Tantrums.
However if we look at the decline as either a leading diagonal in a primary 4th Wave of an overall bull market or a leading diagonal which often occurs in reversal of trend from Bull to bear or vice versa.
What is not commonly recognized is that the C wave in these structures is often pronounced and extended.
If this count is correct the Dow has about 1000 points of upside before a very sharp decline in an E wave that will probably throw-over the lower trendline and find support in the 35000 area for a significant Wave 2 or B wave rally.
The typical characteristics of the e wave are sharp and deep.
DowJones INTRADAY at pivotal zone Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41200
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42710
Support Level 1: 39446
Support Level 2: 38490
Support Level 3: 37840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SHORTPrice is expected to correct from the upper pivot back down, short with tight stop above the upper pivot level. Trade safe
Dow Jones Wave Analysis โ 2 May 2025- Dow Jones broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 42000.00
Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 40815.00 (former support from March and the top of wave A from the start of April) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 5 from March.
The breakout of this resistance zone continues the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 42000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
US30 Trading Into Major Resistance - Look For Dow Jones Retrace๐ US30 Analysis: At the moment, I'm watching the US30 as it looks overextended ๐ and is trading into previous highs. ๐งฑ If you look left on the chart, it's approaching a key resistance level on both the weekly and daily timeframes.
Iโm expecting a potential retracement ๐ and monitoring for a bearish break of structure on the 30-minute timeframe โฑ๏ธ as a possible setup for a counter-trend short ๐ โ aiming for the imbalance zone visible on that timeframe.
๐ Drawing a Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high, the 50% equilibrium ๐ lines up perfectly with the imbalance area, adding confluence to the idea.
๐ This is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice ๐ผ.
DJIA H4 | Pullback resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci retracementThe DJIA (US30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 41,305.11 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 42,743.85 which is a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 39,324.35 which is an overlap support.
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US30 โ Chop or Fakeout?๐ด US30 โ Chop or Fakeout? ๐ด
May 2, 2025 โ 1H Chart Update
After the bullish breakout above 40,700 yesterday, US30 surged to 41,051, but weโre now seeing price stalling just under that level, forming a potential double top or distribution pattern โ ๏ธ
๐ Technical Breakdown:
๐งฑ Price rejected at ~41,050 (previous swing high zone)
๐ Small pullback forming after strong bullish leg
๐ Key short-term support still at 40,700
๐ง Market could be consolidating post-FOMC run or prepping for a deeper pullback
๐ฏ What to Watch:
Bullish Continuation Setup:
โ
Needs a 1H candle close above 41,050
๐ฏ Target: 42,000 โ 42,359 resistance zone
Bearish Scenario:
๐ป Break below 40,700 flips structure short
๐ฏ Downside targets: 40,260 โ 39,775
Neutral Bias If:
Price consolidates between 40,700 โ 41,050 = no clear trend โ stay flat
US30 Breakout from Symmetrical Triangle โ Bullish Targets EyedUS30 (Dow Jones) has successfully broken out of a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, signaling a shift toward bullish momentum. The breakout is occurring after a strong recovery from April lows, with higher lows supporting upward price pressure.
๐น Chart Structure:
Symmetrical triangle with a clean breakout above descending resistance.
Series of higher lows indicating accumulation.
Bullish breakout confirmed with price pushing above the 40,580 zone.
๐ Key Levels:
Current Price: 40,586
Breakout Confirmation Level: 40,580
Immediate Resistance/TP1: 42,762
Major Resistance/TP2: 43,924
Support Zone: 38,950
Invalidation/Stop Level: Below 38,950
โ
Bullish Confluence Factors:
Breakout of symmetrical triangle pattern
Higher lows indicate bullish strength and accumulation
Momentum shift visible on lower timeframes
Positive correlation with improving US equity market sentiment
Anticipation of dovish Fed tone could boost equities
๐ง Fundamental Context:
Market is cautiously optimistic ahead of FOMC this week; dovish stance expected due to recent soft economic indicators.
Earnings season tailwinds and lower bond yields support index gains.
Ongoing political and tariff-related headlines may cause volatility, but technical breakout remains in focus.
๐ก Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish
Entry: On successful retest of 40,580 or continuation above 40,600
TP1: 42,762
TP2: 43,924
Stop Loss: Below 38,950
๐ Note: Watch for pullbacks to triangle resistance-turned-support. FOMC and US macro data releases midweek can impact momentum.
KEEP BUY ON US30!!!!!!Yesterday us30 completed +3,700pips from my entry point right now we have a liquidity sweep from the sell side am still going long from this point with my initial target at 40,701
JOIN AND ENJOY.........
Possibility of uptrend Given the behavior of the index within the current resistance range, possible scenarios have been identified. It is expected that after some volatility, a corrective trend will form.
Trade Idea: Long (MARKET)Technical Confluence:
Daily Chart:
โข Strong bullish engulfing recovery from recent support (~37,700).
โข MACD starting to curl back up from deeply negative levels โ possible trend reversal.
โข RSI recovering above 50 (currently 52.49), suggesting bullish strength resuming.
15-Min Chart:
โข Sustained uptrend with pullbacks respecting the moving average.
โข MACD crossing positive territory.
โข RSI at 64.77 with room to move higher before hitting overbought levels.
3-Min Chart:
โข Tight consolidation after a sharp breakout to 40,766 โ forming a potential bull flag.
โข RSI at 58.89 โ mid-level with upward momentum potential.
โข MACD histogram shrinking โ possible continuation breakout imminent.
โธป
Fundamental Context:
โข Market Sentiment: U.S. markets are generally supported due to strong earnings reports and decreasing recession fears. Treasury yields have stabilized, and risk appetite is returning.
โข Upcoming Events: FOMC rate decision is key โ bullish bias if they hold or soften tone.
โธป
Trade Details:
โข Entry: 40,770
โข Price is consolidating just under this resistance. Enter on breakout with volume confirmation.
โข Stop Loss (SL): 40,350
โข Below recent support on the 15M chart and under the moving average. Conservative SL with volatility in mind.
โข Take Profit (TP): 41,450
โข Measured move from the flag pattern and aligns with Fibonacci extension and historical resistance.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
US30 - LONGWaiting for the retest all day and finally got it in after hours trading. Looking for price to continue to the upside now that we got the retest.
US30 - 30 mins candle demand zone potential Potential Demand zone entry IF price hits that level.... Thoughts?
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Stop Loss ๐:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (39200) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 42400
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DowJones INTRADAY NFP volatility trigger! Momentum is bullish, but todayโs NFP report is a key risk event. A weaker-than-expected jobs number could reinforce rate cut bets and extend the rally. A surprise beat may trigger profit-taking.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41200
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42710
Support Level 1: 39446
Support Level 2: 38490
Support Level 3: 37840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 - AnalysisKey Levels to look for:
Resistance - 41250
Support - 40800
Currently price show a neutral trend. Resistance level must be broken for a bullish outlook as long as support is respected. A double top formation near resistance level. Failure to break this level will result in retest of support level.
US30 Buy NFPHere is my NFP signal, buy US30. There is a clear bullish flag. Buy gold, buy gbpusd. We are flushing the usd today
