DJ30 trade ideas
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 45,056.62
1st Support: 43,298.77
1st Resistance: 46,066.08
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Potential bearish drop?DJ30 is rising towards the resistance level that is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 44,603.74
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 45,112.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 43,871.19
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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US30 4H - ATHDow Jones Index Analysis
Introduction:
As always, further analysis is required. Two possible bullish movement scenarios have been discussed, with a target of breaking the highest price (ATH).
Plan C:
Scenario: A potential drop to 44350, followed by a reversal in the main direction towards the ATH target at 47180.
Condition: This scenario is more likely if there is high volume and strong buyer power.
Plan A:
Scenario: A drop to 44350, followed by a temporary upward movement to the marked range around 45200.
Correction: Afterward, a temporary market correction to 43570.
Main Target: A reversal back to the upward trend with the goal of breaking the ATH.
Likelihood: This plan seems more probable in my opinion.
Conclusion:
Both plans suggest the potential for breaking the ATH, but Plan A is the more likely scenario.
High-accuracy analysis, amazing results!
US30 TRADE IDEA: SHORT | SELL (10/08)Price has been bullish overall. While it has been overall bullish - price hasn’t broken from its consolidation, therefore in the meanwhile we’ll take advantage of the situation. Price has broken down on the 4H TF, so we’re looking for an optimal entry. Although I have marked out FVG - I believe the uppermost order block is a great place to enter from.
RR 1 : 2.69
RR 2 : 2.95
RR 3 : 4.82
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
US30 Bearish M-Pattern Setup for Next Week Overview: Potential M-Pattern (Double Top) Formation
Analyzing the US30 4H chart, we might see a bearish M-pattern develop next week.
Here’s why:
🔹 Price Action: Rejection near the 0.786 - 0.886 Fibonacci zone suggests a potential reversal.
🔹 Bollinger Bands 📊: Price hit the upper band and is contracting, signaling a potential downside move.
🔹 RSI 📉: Falling from overbought and heading toward 40, confirming bearish momentum.
🔹 MACD ⚡: Bearish crossover happening, with the histogram turning red—momentum is shifting down.
🔹 Fundamental Catalyst: Next week’s economic events:
CPI Data (Tuesday) 🏦
Retail Sales (Thursday) 🛍️
Unemployment Claims (Thursday) 📊If inflation remains high, the Fed could maintain a hawkish stance, further weighing on US30.
🔥 Bearish Trade Plan 🔥
🔢 Entry Zone: 44,600 - 44,750 (Watch for rejection)
🔢 Confirmation:
✅ Bearish engulfing candle 🔥
✅ RSI below 50
✅ MACD maintaining bearish momentum🎯 Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 44,350 (0.618 Fib Level)
TP2: 43,950 (0.5 Fib Level)
TP3: 43,075 (0.382 Fib Level - Strong Demand Zone)
🚨 Stop Loss: Above 44,900 to protect against false breakouts ⚠
💸 Risk-Reward: Aim for 1:2 or better
Final Thoughts 🤔
If the M-pattern plays out, expect a bearish move next week. However, CPI data will be a key factor—stay flexible and manage risk!
🚀 Trade smart & stay disciplined! 🚀
Do not risk more than 1% of your account.
Comment your thoughts and follow for more cool ideas
Regards,
Nozuk
#US30 #Trading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Indices #Nozuk
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 7 February 2025
- Dow Jones reversed from the resistance level 45000.00
- Likely to fall to support level 44000.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the strong resistance level 45000.00 (which has been reversing the price from November) coinciding with the upper daily Bollinger Band
The downward reversal from the resistance level 45000.00 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Dark Cloud Cover after the index created Bearish Engulfing at the end of January.
Given the strength of the resistance level 45000.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 44000.00 (low of the previous correction (2)).
US30 - Potentail buy | wait on confirmationUS30 Trading Strategy 🚀📊
📌 Market Overview
🔹 Price Action: Hovering near Fib 0.5 (44,805.5) & Fib 0.618 (44,861.2) – critical resistance zone.
🔹 RSI (51.88): Neutral ⚖️ – not overbought, not oversold.
🔹 MACD: Histogram turning green 📈 – possible bullish momentum, but no strong confirmation yet.
🔹 Bollinger Bands: Price near the mid-band 📊 – no extreme conditions.
🟩 BUY Setup (If Price Breaks Resistance & Retests)
✅ Break & close above 44,980 = Bullish confirmation.
✅ Wait for a retest at 44,805 or 44,861.
✅ Buy Entry: After price holds above resistance.
✅ Stop Loss (SL): Below 44,750 ❌.
✅ Take Profit (TP):
🎯 First target: 45,070.
🎯 Second target: 45,200+ 🚀.
✅ RR: 1:2 or better for solid risk management.
Do not risk more than 1% of your account.
Comment and follow for more cool Ideas
Nozuk,
US30 Potential Sell - Wait for confirmation US30 Trading Strategy 🚀📊
📌 Market Overview
🔹 Price Action: Hovering near Fib 0.5 (44,805.5) & Fib 0.618 (44,861.2) – critical resistance zone.
🔹 RSI (51.88): Neutral ⚖️ – not overbought, not oversold.
🔹 MACD: Histogram turning green 📈 – possible bullish momentum, but no strong confirmation yet.
🔹 Bollinger Bands: Price near the mid-band 📊 – no extreme conditions.
🟥 SELL Setup (If Price Rejects Resistance)
🔻 Wait for a bearish rejection at 44,805 - 44,980 (wicks, engulfing candles).
🔻 Sell Entry: Below 44,805 after confirmation.
🔻 Stop Loss (SL): Above 44,980 ❌.
🔻 Take Profit (TP):
🎯 First target: 44,680 (lower Bollinger Band).
🎯 Second target: 44,480 (Fib 0.886).
🔻 Risk-to-Reward (RR): 1:2 or better ✅.
Risk no more than 1% of your account.
Comment your thoughts and follow for more cool ideas.
Nozuk,