Is It Over?Today's red Doji candle at the underside of the downtrend line is a high potential short entry point if not already. Despite the rally the past week or so, it is far from convincing...no real conviction to buy this market and who can blame them.
The current wave 2 bounce will be followed by wave 3 down as the most likely scenario, or we are in a wave 4 to be followed by a wave 5 to complete, any firm close below the lows gives us our answer.
Gold is selling off, our $3400 target was met and reversed in a now wave 4 down, this may approach the $3160 area, or a sideways move before another strong wave 5 up.
This is a great opportunity to accumulate physical metals to protect yourself from the coming reset.
Appreciate a thumbs up, Good Trading and God Bless you all!
DJ30 trade ideas
Sell us30 Key Observations:
Market Structure:
Choch (Change of Character) marked → suggests a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
BOS (Break of Structure) below recent lows confirms bearish pressure.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
H1 FVG and IFVG (Internal FVG) have already been touched and price reacted bearishly.
H4 FVG above is unmitigated, acting as a potential supply zone.
Weekly FVG above current price – could be a long-term draw on liquidity but not immediate.
Trendline (Support):
Price is approaching an ascending trendline acting as dynamic support around 41,890 area.
If this trendline holds, a bounce is possible before any further drop.
Price Action:
Strong bearish candles breaking through the H1 FVG.
Sell-side liquidity beneath equal lows and trendline may be the target.
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🧠 Bias Summary:
✅ Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Reason: BOS + Choch + strong downside momentum + fair value gap fills.
Expectation: Price may seek liquidity below the trendline (41,800–41,600 zone).
⚠️ Watch for a Potential Bounce:
At the trendline zone (41,880–41,900), possible reaction or retracement.
If a strong bullish reaction forms here with displacement, we could see a move back up to fill the H4 FVG.
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📍 Bias = Bearish, with potential for short-term retracement or liquidity sweep before continuation
DOW JONES: Channel Up targeting 43,400.Dow Jones is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.880, MACD = 380.350, ADX = 13.770) as the price is consolidating on its 4H MA50. Despite the neutrality, it remains inside the Channel Up, that is supported by the 4H MA200 and whose 4H RSI squeeze indicates we might be on a similar slow uptrend as late April's. We expect a similar +5.60% rise from the HL bottom, TP = 43,300.
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USA30 next possible moveMorning traders,I decided to share few I deas in smaller time frame as you can see dj open higher this week soo you need to generate liquidity in to position,am expecting market to pull a bit lower however it's been selling for past hours as you can you meaning it might continue with the trend before that I didn't mention but shown in the chart,make sure you are updated in everything soo that you wont be surprised when you see spikes understand them when the occur ls thank you I wish you all best n profitable week.
[Scalping] US30 Long (May 27, 2025)Entry was 42388
TP is 42409.4
SL is 42373.72
RR is 1:1.5-2
This is just record purpose with new method to trade.
Please allow this test period.
**I use only session indicator.
Other than that I do not use any indicators
New method can be used only for manual trading.
US30 in Bullish consolidation US30 is currently in bullish consolidation zone. We can see the price is continuing to make highs in the medium but has found resistance at 42830 with support at 41800... This is a narrow range from which to trade and entries can be blurry at times due to the fast paced nature of the market once these levels are hit... I am looking to take further long opportunities at the support zone or at the break-and-retest of the current resistance level.
US30 INDEX TRADE IDEA 27 MAY 2025The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is showing a bullish outlook based on a confluence of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price action patterns, and supportive fundamental analysis. From an SMC perspective, the recent price action indicates a clear market structure shift, highlighted by a break of structure (BOS) in early May 2025. This bullish reversal followed a significant liquidity sweep and mitigation around the 37,000 level, where smart money likely accumulated positions. A bullish order block between 40,679 and 41,189 now acts as a strong demand zone, providing a potential launch point for further upward movement. Technically, the chart features a descending wedge breakout and a bullish flag formation—both classical continuation patterns. Price is currently forming higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the bullish trend.
The trade idea aligns with these observations, suggesting a long entry around the 41,700 to 41,900 range, with a stop loss just below the key demand zone at 40,679. The first take profit is set at 44,472.5, aligning with historical resistance and liquidity targets, offering an approximate risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3. On the fundamental side, the mid-2025 U.S. economic outlook is improving, with inflation showing signs of cooling and the Federal Reserve expected to pause or consider rate cuts. A stable geopolitical climate and strong earnings seasons have further boosted investor confidence, supporting continued bullish momentum in equities. Altogether, this presents a high-probability swing trade opportunity to the upside on the US30 index.
[Scalping] US30 Long (May 25, 2025)Entry was 41884.5/41873.50
TP is 41992.5
SL is 41811.81
RR is 1:1.5-2
This is just record purpose with new method to trade.
Please allow this test period.
**I use only session indicator.
Other than that I do not use any indicators
New method can be used only for manual trading.
US30 Trading Plan – Bearish Outlook Following Support BreakThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently exhibiting a bearish trend, having recently broken below a key support level. This breakdown signals potential further downside momentum, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Technical Analysis Summary:
Trend: Bearish
Breakdown Confirmation: Price has closed below the previous support level, confirming a breakdown and potential trend continuation.
Entry Signal: Entry positions can be considered on a retest of the broken support level, now acting as resistance, or upon confirmation of continued selling pressure.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: The first profit target is set at the next significant support zone, which has historically acted as a demand area.
Target 2: The second profit target is located at a lower, more established support level, providing a deeper downside opportunity if bearish momentum persists.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: A stop-loss should be placed above the newly formed resistance level (formerly support) to protect against false breakouts and trend reversals.
Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1–2% of account equity per trade to maintain proper risk management.
Trade Rationale:
The breakdown of the support level on US30 suggests increased selling pressure and the potential for a continuation of the downward trend. By identifying two profit targets, this plan allows for partial profit-taking at the first support level and full exit or trailing stop at the second, depending on price action and market conditions.
WHY I THINK US30 WILL BUY INSTEAD OF SELL🔥 Bias: Bullish continuation
🕒 Timeframe: 60-minute
💎 Instrument: US30 (Dow Jones)
1️⃣ Volume Profile Context
POC (Fair Value): ~41,680
HVN (Acceptance): 41,660–41,700
LVN (Balance Break): 41,540–41,600
2️⃣ Footprint Signals
Seller Imbalances in the 13:00 & 14:00 candles (Δ–159 @ 9.13K & Δ–121 @ 7.97K)
– Price didn’t drop, closed near highs → Supply absorbed
Absorption above 41,700 shows hidden bid
3️⃣ Structure & Key Zones
Higher highs & higher lows intact since the 07:00–08:00 low.
Buy zone / demand: 41,400–41,500 (strong initiative buying & positive deltas)
Support to hold: 41,660–41,680 (POC / HVN)
▶️ Trade Plan
Entry: On pullback to 41,660–41,680 (POC support)
Stop: Below 41,640 (below LVN)
Target 1: 41,880 (previous high & volume shelf)
Target 2: 41,920+ (upper HVN rejection zone)
✅ Confirmation: Look for bullish footprint bars (positive delta, absorption of sellers) at entry zone.
sell US30📉 Technical Indicators
As of May 22, 2025, at 1:05 PM GMT, the Dow Jones 30 Futures show the following:
Investing.com
Price: 41,880.00 USD
Technical Summary: Strong Sell
Moving Averages: Strong Sell (12 out of 12 indicators)
Technical Indicators: Strong Sell (7 out of 7 indicators)
Investing.com
+1
TradingView
+1
Key indicators include:
RSI (14): 31.72 (approaching oversold territory)
MACD (12,26): -151.76 (bearish)
CCI (14): -260.43 (oversold)
Williams %R: -0.503 (overbought)
Stochastic RSI (14): 100 (overbought)
FastBull
+5
Investing.com
+5
TradingView
+5
🔍 Footprint Chart Insights
Footprint charts, which display executed buy and sell orders at specific price levels, are valuable for assessing market sentiment. Currently, the charts indicate:
Optimus Futures
+1
Wikipedia
+1
Investing.com
Sell Imbalances: Higher volume of sell orders at key price levels, suggesting strong selling pressure.
Point of Control (POC): Located at lower price levels, indicating that the majority of trading volume is occurring at these prices, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Lack of Buy Imbalances: Minimal indications of strong buying interest at current levels.
📊 Market Sentiment
Recent analyses from trading communities suggest a bearish outlook for US30. For instance, a TradingView analysis notes that US30 is reacting from a strong demand zone (42,400 - 42,500), showing a possible reversal after a liquidity grab below recent lows. However, the overall trend remains bearish, and traders are advised to watch price action closely and confirm momentum before entering.
TradingView
+1
TradingView
+1
TradingView
✅ Conclusion
Given the prevailing technical indicators and order flow data, the US30 is currently in a bearish phase. Traders should exercise caution and consider waiting for clear signs of reversal or stabilization before entering long positions. Monitoring key support levels and staying updated with market news will be crucial in the coming days.
For a visual understanding of US30 order flow trading, you might find this video insightful:
Dow Jones Short Term Sell Trading PlanM15 - Strong bearish momentum
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold I expect the price to continue lower further.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.