DJ30FT trade ideas
DOW pullback triggered by weak US consumer confidenceThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 42980, the previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43800 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average).
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES Cup and Handle completed and eyes a new ATH.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Inside this pattern, four Cup and Handle (C&H) formations have occurred with the most recent one, about to complete its Handle this week.
All such C&H patterns, rebounded to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back. As a result, our Target before May remains 46400.
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US30 - BIG MOVE COMING!!! BIG READ! IMPORTANT!
Recent Events have shown a loss of a huge amount of money lost from the Stock market Globally. Lots of different reasons are caused for this to happen but for retail Traders we are looking for a large opportunity.
Coming up we have alot potential big moves from some very large markets being US30/NAS100/ect
As shown in a few of my videos made in my Telegram I have predicated this market for a while now.
We are looking at a large scale AMD setup if. Following this we are currently in a smaller TF consolidation at a Key area
The prediction I am now looking towards will be a break of this Resistance level before retesting this Key level before making possible new Highs and taking our the Resistance zone.
Please follow to stay connected. We can all make some decent cash here together!
Follow for more!
Good luck to all the traders that follow
Us30 strong bullish opportunity 1. Overly Bullish Bias
The analysis assumes a clean breakout above support and a strong push to resistance.
However, Dow Jones is known for fakeouts—meaning:
A false breakout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing.
A liquidity grab below support might happen before the real move.
2. Weak Confirmation for the Uptrend
There's no clear volume confirmation—breakouts need high volume to be valid.
Price is consolidating near key Fibonacci levels, meaning a reversal is just as likely as a breakout.
A better approach would be waiting for a strong retest and breakout confirmation.
3. Ignoring Key Fibonacci Levels
The chart includes multiple Fibonacci levels but does not integrate them into the projection.
The 2.618 (43,535) and 3.618 (43,446) levels suggest possible retracements before an upward move
Instead of an instant push-up, a dip to test Fibonacci support is likely.
4. Resistance Might Hold Strong
The resistance area is broad, meaning:
A rejection at resistance could lead to a short-term bearish pullback.
The market might range between the two levels instead of moving in a straight line.
Alternative Scenario:
Instead of assuming an instant bullish move:
1. Bearish Trap First: A false breakout above resistance to trap buyers, followed by a drop.
2. Deeper Retest: Price could revisit support or a Fibonacci level before a true breakout.
3. Wait for Volume Confirmation: If resistance breaks with strong momentum, then an entry makes sense
US30 Dow Jones Equal Lows & Structure Shift - Is This Reversing?The US30 is showing key signs that could point to a potential reversal. 🔄 On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see equal lows 🟢 that have been tested three times, followed by a liquidity sweep 💧 and a sharp rally 🚀—indicating possible accumulation by larger market participants.
For confirmation of a Dow Jones bullish reversal, we’ll need to see a pullback forming a higher low 🔽 and then a break in market structure to the upside 📊. In this analysis, we dive into potential price action scenarios based on specific conditions outlined in the video 🎥. If these conditions are not met, the setup will be invalidated ❌.
⚠️ This is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 💼
US30 PROBABILITH ANALYSIS#
1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)**
This is the **high-probability** scenario where price continues upward.
Entry Criteria (Long)**
- **Ideal Entry:** If price pulls back into the **discount zone** or holds above the **equilibrium level**.
- **Confirmations Needed:**
- A **bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on lower timeframes** (5M or 15M).
- Bullish rejection (e.g., **pin bar, engulfing candle, or liquidity sweep**).
- **Price must stay above the discount zone** and not break below BOS.
Entry Trigger**
- Look for price action near **43,365 – 43,425 (equilibrium area)**
- If price shows bullish reaction in this area, enter long.
Stop Loss (SL)**
- Below the **weak low** or **PDL (Previous Day’s Low)**
- **Target:**
- **First TP:** PDH (Previous Day’s High) around **43,800**.
- **Final TP:** The strong high near **43,850 – 43,900**.
📈 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → Aim for **1:3 or higher**.
2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)**
This setup assumes price **rejects from the premium zone** and sells off.
Entry Criteria (Short)**
- **Ideal Entry:** At the **premium zone** near **43,750 – 43,850**.
- **Confirmations Needed:**
- A **liquidity grab** above PDH (**price fakes out then drops**).
- **Bearish engulfing candle** or strong rejection.
- A **Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside on lower timeframes
Entry Trigger**
- If price **sweeps PDH (Previous Day’s High) but fails to hold above**, enter short.
Stop Loss (SL)**
- Above the **strong high (~43,900)**.
Target (TP)**
- **First TP:** Equilibrium (~43,450).
- **Final TP:** PDL (~43,245).
📉 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → **1:4 or higher**.
3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)**
- If price consolidates **between equilibrium & PDH**, avoid taking trades.
- Only enter if **clear BOS or liquidity grab** happens.
Trading Plan Summary**
| Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R |
|--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----|
| ✅ Long | 43,365 – 43,425 | Below PDL | 43,800 | 43,900 | 1:3+ |
| 🚨 Short | 43,750 – 43,850 | Above 43,900 | 43,450 | 43,245 | 1:4+ |
Final Thoughts**
- **For Longs:** Wait for a bullish rejection in the discount zone.
- **For Shorts:** Look for a liquidity grab at the premium zone.
- Use a **1:3 or 1:4 R:R** for better profitability.
- Stick to **risk management** (max **1% per trade**).
DJI Dow jones industrial avg 24hr potterboxDJI Dow jones industrial avg. 24hr potterbox. The Dow came down and bounce off of the 50 percent line or cost basis. $43,403.41 ish, Hopefully it will continue in this direction. An open and close above the 50 percent line means it will continue up. this box could be modified some, but it looks good right now. Happy Trading.
The recent dip has been met with strong buying interestThe recent dip has been met with strong buying interest, signaling accumulation rather than distribution. Just because we've been at all-time highs doesn’t necessarily mean continuation is inevitable—but it also doesn’t mean the move is over. My target is to take out the highs, aligning with the current momentum and liquidity dynamics.
Prelim GDP q/q & Unemployment Claims, Friday Core PCE Price Index m/m
DOW JONES Bull Flag completed. Massive rally ahead.Dow Jones / US30 has completed a Channel Down on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
This pattern is nothing more than a Bull Flag based on September's similar structure that also hit the 0.5 Fib and 1day MA50 and bottomed.
This time, the 1day RSI is also on a Rising Support.
Both corrections took place after a +8.15% rise and September's then went on to rebound to the 1.5 Fib extension.
Buy and target 46700.
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US Wall St 30Dow Jones Market Analysis
Introduction
Hello dear traders! In this analysis, we will examine the status of the Dow Jones chart in the one-hour timeframe.
Technical Analysis
The Dow Jones chart is currently in a bearish phase, but it has provided us with a bullish confirmation. Based on this, we can hold a buy position (Buy Position) until the one-hour liquidity.
Key Levels
Liquidity 1H: 44662.2
Secret Order Block: 44792
Ideal Time to Buy with Confirmation: 43783
Conclusion
My analysis is very simple and straightforward so that you can easily utilize it. Considering the mentioned key levels, you can make your trading decisions.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the cryptocurrency market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
US Wall St 30Hello dear traders!
This is an updated analysis of Dow Jones. Please note that since you may not have enough information about smart money and liquidity, let me put it simply for you: Whenever this trend line breaks, you can set the stop loss above this trend line and determine your target based on your strategy.
A scalper trader utilizes positions and always has a fixed risk to maintain a consistent outcome, and should never use unreasonable risk because the market is continuously changing. What matters is that we are winning.
Yesterday, I was waiting for the price to reach the Secret Order Block zone, but when my trade entered a good profit, I closed it and didn't feel the need to hold the trade until the very end. So, this is the cleverness of a trader in how to use analysis to their advantage. The previous zone seemed to be ineffective for a significant drop, so I have replaced this updated analysis with the previous one.
Key Points
Resistance (1.H): 77943
Secret Order Block: 44994
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
4-hr US30: Dropping Stocks now Enter Oversold Territory The current geopolitical and economic landscape remains highly uncertain, causing investors to offload expensive stocks from their portfolios. This selling pressure, combined with persistent inflation and no clear signals of interest rate cuts, continues to drag the US30 downward. The bearish momentum is further reinforced by the Death Cross, a well-known technical sell indicator. While the index is already in oversold territory, we anticipate further downside potential.
Given this outlook, we prefer to wait for an additional decline of 400–500 points before considering long positions. If the index drops to approximately 43,000, this level will coincide with the crucial 61% Fibonacci retracement. Historically, this retracement has acted as the last major support before a trend reversal. A long position near this area would provide a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. However, to protect against excessive downside movement, we will implement a stop loss set 1.5% below the entry point. This precaution helps mitigate risks in case the downward momentum strengthens and leads to a further decline.
Dow Jones D1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementDow Jones (US30) is trading close to an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 43,330.55 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 42,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 44,325.14 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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