LONG GERMANY 40In my opionion, a reversal is likely.
Good risk/reweard ratio.
Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose.
This is not financial advice, make your own decisions.
GER40 trade ideas
GER40 Short 1. This trade is with the H4 trend
2. There is no pattern on this trade which could make it a big risk
3. It is overbought on M15 and there is divergence with the next top
4. Stop loss of 200 pips
5. First target profit when M15 goes oversold
DAX H1 | Overlap resistance at 50% FiboDAX (GER30) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 22,840.05 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 23,037.00 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the descending trendline.
Take profit is at 22,251.40 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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DAX Index Technical Analysis – March 12, 2025 (15-Min Chart)1. Trend Identification
Reversal to Bullish Momentum:
The price has broken above the 200-period moving average (red line), indicating a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
The Point of Control (POC) at 22,324.82 previously acted as strong support, from which price has bounced.
Volume Confirmation of Bullish Move:
The last 60 bars show an up-volume dominance of +32.10%, confirming that buyers are gaining control.
However, the 120-bar volume is still slightly negative (-1.71%), indicating lingering selling pressure.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 22,500 - 22,550 (recent breakout zone).
Stronger Support: 22,324 (POC) – a critical level where buyers stepped in.
Immediate Resistance: 22,700 - 22,750 (local resistance zone).
Upside Target: 23,000 - 23,200 (upper trend channel projection).
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars: Up Vol < Down Vol by -1.71%, showing slight selling pressure.
Last 60 Bars: Up Vol > Down Vol by +32.10%, indicating strong short-term buying activity.
Interpretation:
Bullish Confirmation: Buyers have stepped in aggressively, pushing price above the 200-MA and key support zones.
Watch for Pullbacks: A retracement toward 22,500 - 22,550 could provide a better long entry before continuation.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
Bullish Continuation Scenario: If price holds above 22,550, it is likely to move toward 23,000 - 23,200 within the ascending channel.
Bearish Pullback Scenario: If price fails to hold 22,500, a retracement to 22,324 or lower is possible.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Buy near 22,550 (pullback entry) or above 22,750 (breakout confirmation).
Stop-Loss: Below 22,500 (recent support).
Targets:
First Target: 22,900
Final Target: 23,200 (upper channel resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.
2. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Pullback Scenario)
Entry: Sell below 22,500 (breakdown confirmation).
Stop-Loss: Above 22,700.
Targets:
First Target: 22,400
Final Target: 22,324 (POC & key support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 22,278.21
1st Support: 21,944.76
1st Resistance: 23,065.37
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GER40 ShortGER40 is now net short on regression break.
There is pressure from global stock on this index.
I am considering the correct EA to trade on this pair.
ger30 buywe are looking for nice buy setup, up we go no looking back, its double bottom and retest the neckline
DAX INRADAY continuation pattern in play supported at 22300The DAX (DE40) equity index is exhibiting a bullish sentiment, driven by the prevailing longer-term uptrend. The recent intraday price action indicates a sideways consolidation near the breakout level, which previously acted as resistance and has now transformed into a new support zone.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Zone: The primary support level to watch is at 22,300, which marks the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback towards this level, followed by a bullish rebound, could signal a continuation of the upward momentum.
Upside Targets: If the bullish bounce from the 22,300 level holds, the index may target the next resistance at 23,000, followed by 23,460 and 23,686 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed loss of the 22,300 support level, with a daily close below it, would negate the bullish outlook and potentially trigger a deeper retracement. In this case, the index could retest the next support levels at 22,129 and 21,828.
Conclusion:
The bullish sentiment on the DAX (DE40) remains intact as long as the 22,300 support level holds. Traders should monitor the price action closely at this key level. A successful bounce may offer long opportunities toward the upside targets. However, a break below 22,300 could open the path for further downside correction, warranting caution for bullish positions.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
German DAX in 2025: Profit-Taking Ahead or More Gains to Come?The German DAX has had a strong 2025, reaching nearly 18% gains early in the year. With new government spending plans equaling 5% of GDP now public, investors may start booking profits. Could this signal a short-term pullback, or will the uptrend continue? Key support levels to watch: 22,496 for a bullish rebound or a deeper correction toward 21,162 if selling pressure increases. What’s your take? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
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DAX indexDAX at 22510.88 is worth a long trade with a stop loss of 22316.46 and a target of 22908.80.
DAX H1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibo retracementThe DAX (GER30) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,860.31 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,640.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 23,443.01 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
4-hr GERMANY40: Recent Dip to Attract New BuyersFor the past month, the German DAX40 has experienced a remarkable 10% surge, reflecting strong bullish momentum. Despite ongoing market volatility and frequent pullbacks, every dip continues to attract fresh buyers, reinforcing the upward trajectory. Key technical levels, such as the 38 and 50 Fibonacci retracements, have been well respected. Earlier today, the index found firm support just below the 38 Fib, confirming the significance of this level.
Ideally, a long entry positioned 200 points below the current market price would have provided an optimal buying opportunity. However, given the strength of the ongoing uptrend, we have decided to execute a direct market buy trade immediately. To manage risk effectively, our stop-loss will be placed below 22,700, allowing sufficient room for daily price fluctuations. Meanwhile, our take-profit target is set at 23,400, aiming for a solid 400-point gain.
Our bullish outlook is reinforced by a high yet not overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicating strong demand for the DAX40. Additionally, a Golden Cross formation has emerged, a well-known technical pattern that signals further upside potential. These factors combined suggest continued strength in the index, making a long position a favorable strategy at this time.
DAX - Bullseye! Next Act: The Decline?Whenever the markets are booming, whenever a gardener starts giving stock recommendations, it’s time to brace yourself…
The German Dax has reached it's Centerline.
It's back in Balance - Or has reached it's extreme, depending on how you look at it.
Whenever this happens, we the Market
a) turns and trades in the opposite direction towards the next LIne. In this case the Lower-Medianline-Parallel.
or
b) trades through it, most of the time comes back to it, and continues in the origianl direction, which in this case would be up.
To me, this is the time to watch the DAX more closely. If you are a follower, you now that I have a Bias - which is not always helpful in my trading.
But yes, I tend to lean to the short side. Specially in these over hyped, over invested times.
So I stalk a short, but in the same time be open for a long after a confirmation on the daily time-frame.
Let's see, let's be patient and don't listen to your gardener... 🌱👨🌾 🌿👩🌾
GER40-SELL strategy 3D chart GER40 has been strongly moving higher, and with some minor corrections in between. We broke up nicely above the ascending wedge, but think we may have seen the highs of it now. We are trading above regression channel as well, and this means we should see a sharp down move to test 21,168 again.
Strategy SELL current 23,000-23,350 and take profit near 21,350 for now.
Ger40-H1According to the above analysis, the DEX index trend is bullish in the one-hour timeframe, according to the roadmap indicated on the chart.
DAX (De40) The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Bullish INTRADAY, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range.
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 23460, followed by 23900 and 24033.
Support: Key support is at 22843 followed by 22520 and 22220.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Bullish Continuation (Potential New ATH After Elections)DAX price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation as the price action may form another credible Higher Low on key Fibonacci levels.
There might be a possibility that DAX may break it's All Time High Price of 22938.
With the German elections coming up, (given a pandemic free situation of the world), it might be worth observing price the action further if 22938 breaks. A potential break may be indicative of another top OR a prominent new high.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 22240
Stop Loss @ 20980
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 23374 - 23500
DAX Uptrend continuation supported at 22480.The DAX (DE40) Index maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a longer-term uptrend. Recent price action has confirmed a breakout above a key level, but the possibility of a retracement remains, making it crucial to assess both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 23480, 23600, 23800
Support Levels: 22840, 22480, 22230
Bullish Scenario
If DAX sustains price action above the 22480 breakout level, it could signal strong bullish momentum. A successful retest of this level as support may provide a foundation for further upside, with key resistance targets at 23144, followed by 23480 and ultimately 23600 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario
A failure to hold above 22480, followed by a confirmed breakdown and daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. In this scenario, selling pressure could intensify, leading to downside targets at 22230, with further retracement potential toward 21900 over an extended timeframe.
Conclusion
DAX remains in a bullish structure, but price action around the 22480 level will be critical in determining the next move. A strong hold above this level could reinforce further gains, while a breakdown below it may trigger deeper retracements. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX has outperformed America and will continue to 24,000!The DAX, Germany's main stock index, has been on a rampage!
Compared to American indices and crypto, it's continued to hit record highs.
Several factors have been fueling this rise:
Increased Government Spending: Germany's plan to invest around €500 billion in infrastructure and defense has boosted investor confidence.
European Central Bank (ECB) Rate Cuts: The ECB's recent interest rate reductions aim to stimulate economic growth, making equities more attractive.
Attractive Valuations: European stocks, including those in the DAX, have lower price-to-earnings ratios compared to U.S. stocks, drawing investors seeking value.
investopedia.com
Global Economic Optimism: Positive developments, such as potential resolutions in trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts, have improved the global economic outlook, benefiting export-oriented indices like the DAX.
Technically, it's been a trend traders haven. It continues to bounce up on not only the Uptrend line but also the 20MA.
So if momentum like this continues we will see it reach a psychological level of 24,000.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GER30 SELLThe level has a 50% chance of falling.
Reversal up to 50%, depending on resistance levels and divergence
DAX - rising wedge 15 minutes DAX Index – 1H Chart Analysis (February 20, 2025)
1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Ascending Channel: The price has been trending upwards within a well-defined ascending channel.
Support Retest: Price is currently testing the lower boundary of the channel, which has acted as dynamic support throughout the uptrend.
Potential Bounce: The blue arrow suggests an expected continuation to the upside if the support holds.
2. RSI & Momentum Analysis
RSI at 42.14: Indicates the market is approaching oversold conditions on the 1H timeframe, meaning a possible bounce is near.
Bullish Divergence? Not confirmed yet, but if RSI starts rising while price remains stable, it could indicate a reversal.
3. Key Levels to Watch
Support:
22,400 - 22,500 (Lower trendline of the channel)
22,250 (Stronger support if breakdown occurs)
Resistance:
22,750 - 23,000 (Upper trendline and psychological level)
4. Potential Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability)
If price holds above 22,500, we could see a continuation towards 22,750 - 23,000.
Long Setup:
Entry: 22,500 - 22,550 (confirmation of support hold)
Stop-loss: Below 22,400
Target: 22,750 - 23,000
📉 Bearish Scenario (Lower Probability)
If price breaks below 22,400, a decline toward 22,250 or lower could follow.
Short Setup:
Entry: Below 22,400
Stop-loss: Above 22,550
Target: 22,250 - 22,000
5. Conclusion & Strategy
Bias: Bullish as long as price stays within the ascending channel.
Trade Idea: A long trade from 22,500 with a stop below 22,400 offers a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Risk Management: If price starts consolidating near the lower boundary without bouncing, consider reducing risk or waiting for further confirmation.
GER40 (DAX) Analysis & Trade Ideas📊 Market Structure & Analysis
GER40 is in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs & higher lows.
Resistance: 22,943 – Price is testing this level; a breakout could push higher.
Support Levels: 22,132, 21,767, and 20,500 – Potential pullback zones.
Break & Retest Pattern: Price has been breaking resistance and turning it into support, confirming an uptrend.
🔹 Bullish Scenario
✅ Buy on pullback at 22,132 - 21,767 if price respects support.
🎯 Target: 23,000+
🛑 Stop: Below 21,500
✅ Breakout Buy if price breaks & retests 22,943.
🎯 Target: 23,500+
🛑 Stop: Below 22,700
🔻 Bearish Scenario
❌ Sell rejection at 22,943 if price fails to break higher.
🎯 Target: 22,132, then 21,767
🛑 Stop: Above 23,000
⚡ Final Thoughts
Market structure remains bullish—focus on buying dips & breakouts. Shorts only if rejection is strong. 📈🔥
#GER40 #DAX #Forex #Trading
DAX hits fresh record on stimulus plansThe German DAX index has just hit a fresh all-time high.
The latest gains come as a global bond sell-off extended its run, driven by Germany’s ambitious spending plans, which are poised to reshape the eurozone’s economic outlook and has already had a sizeable impact on regional stocks. Today, the focus was also on the rate decision from the European Central Bank. The ECB cut rates by 25bps as expected and President Lagarde said the next rate decision in April is defendant on data.
The market's attention shifts to US labour market data as we head to the business end of the week.
From a technical view point, the strong rally means dip-buyers continue to remain in control of price action. For that reason, there is no point in trying to pick the top. Concentrate on support levels until we see a clear reversal pattern.
Short-term support now comes in around 23,311, marking the high from Monday, followed by 23,229, marking the high from Wednesday. Below these levels, 22,937 is the next key support to watch for a potential bounce, before the trend line comes into focus a bit lower down.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
