Nasdaq Short: Completion of 5 waves with wave 5=wave 1Over here, I present a short case for Nasdaq (and S&P500 by default since their correlations are high). The main reasons are:
1. Completion of 5 waves structure both on the high degree and on low degree, as shown in the chart.
2. Fibonacci measurement where wave 1 = wave 5.
The stop of this idea is to be placed slightly above the high, in this case, I placed it at around 23320. The take profit target is at the bottom of primary wave 4, around 20685.
Take note that this is a positional short, meaning the strategy is to short and hold and periodically adjust your stop loss based on unfolding on wave structure. Sizing is based on your risk tolerance.
Good luck!
NAS100 trade ideas
Nasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech EarningsNasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech Earnings
Earlier, we noted signs of optimism in the Nasdaq 100 index as the market anticipated earnings reports from major tech firms.
Now, companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) have already released their results (we previously covered their charts → here and here). Up next are the most highly anticipated earnings reports: this week, tech giants including Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), and Apple (AAPL) are set to publish their results. The combined market capitalisation of these four companies exceeds $11 trillion, and their reports could have a significant impact on a stock market that is already showing strong bullish sentiment:
→ The Nasdaq 100 index has climbed to an all-time high, surpassing the 23,400 mark.
→ The signing of trade agreements between the US and Europe (and earlier, Japan) has eased concerns about the negative impact of tariff barriers.
Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100
The chart supports growing signs of optimism: earlier in July, the price remained within a rising channel (marked in blue). However, towards the end of the month, price action has begun to follow a steeper upward trajectory (marked in purple).
What could happen next? Much will depend on the earnings results and forward guidance from these tech giants.
On the one hand, continued enthusiasm around AI adoption could accelerate further growth. The stronger the optimism, the more fuel it may add to discussions around a potential bubble — with some analysts already drawing parallels to the dot-com era of the early 2000s.
On the other hand, earnings could temper market excitement and prompt a correction. For example, the index may retreat to the support level around 23,020, which is reinforced by the lower boundary of the blue trend channel.
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We Got The Deal - Time To Sell The NewsOkay, so we have the long-awaited deal between the US and the EU. After a large up-gap was announced last night, it now seems as if a “sell the facts” scenario is unfolding.
Such a wave of selling would also fit in well with the typical seasonal weakness that we often see in the markets from August onwards.
NAS100 Technical Outlook — Final Impulse Before the Fall?
The NAS100 has just completed its 5th touch on a long-term ascending trendline, forming a clear rising wedge pattern. Historically, each touch of this structure has triggered significant bearish reversals — and this time looks no different.
🔹 However, before the major drop, I'm expecting a final impulsive wave of around 1,000 pips— a last bullish move that could stretch toward the 24,300–24,400 zone. This would complete the wave structure and offer a strong sell opportunity.
🔻 After that, a deeper correction is likely, targeting the 19,000 area, which aligns perfectly with:
The midpoint of the wedge on the daily chart
A strong historical support zone
A potential area for medium-term consolidation
⚠️ As long as price remains below 24,400, the bearish scenario remains valid. Any daily close above that level would force a re-evaluation.
🧠 This setup reflects a classic distribution phase followed by a high-probability breakdown.
NAS/TEC100 - LETS GET NASTY ON NAS100Team, NAS currently sitting at 23480, before the US market open
however during the market open, please be aware of the volatility that may hit your stop loss
You have 2 options to trade on this NAS- NASTY
Option 1: wait for market open, if it hits 23500-23515 - then short with stop loss at 23580
Option 2: Short at the current market with small volume - and if the market open with volatile, you can take another advantage of shorting more volume as per option 1 instructed.
OK, pick your strategy! do NOT be shy.
I am going to have small short position and will consider adding more during US market opening after 5-10 minutes, much easier to see the direction of the market - we do LIVE trading everyday. Please note: if NAS fall below 23450-40 bring stop loss to BE (Break even)
1st TARGET range: 23435-23416 - make sure take 70% volume
2nd target at 23390 to 23376
Why do I short on NAS when tomorrow rate decision, i think this quarter report, market will not be the same as last quarter, even rate cut!
NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
I know I'm posting the same old overbought pattern...
"I think I found a background I like at last - Just Testing"
1) A previously discussed we will notice a "SIGNAL" Type candle
2) It can be on 1HR-4HR-1D TF
3) Today is FOMC and Friday NFP
These two events will for sure give us the signals we need to clarify
the way forward
Let this very important week play out, I'll touch base again next week
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
USNAS100 - Tech Weakness & Tariffs Drag NASDAQ LowerTariff Day Pressure Builds as Amazon Miss Weighs on Markets
Markets were hit by a wave of risk-off sentiment on Friday as renewed tariff headlines, weakness in pharma stocks, and a disappointing earnings report from Amazon clouded investor confidence. All this comes just ahead of the U.S. jobs report, which is expected to challenge the market's already diminished expectations for Fed rate cuts.
While macro markets appeared resilient earlier in the week, Wall Street futures and global equities turned cautious as sentiment deteriorated.
NASDAQ – Technical Outlook
The NASDAQ has dropped nearly 850 points from its recent all-time high of 23690, as anticipated in previous updates. The index remains under bearish pressure.
For today, the market is expected to remain sensitive due to recent macro and earnings-driven volatility.
If the price breaks below 22875, the decline is likely to extend toward 22710, with a deeper support zone at 22615.
To shift back to a bullish bias, the index must break and close above 23045 on the 1H chart.
Support Levels: 22875 • 22710 • 22615
Resistance Levels: 23140 • 23240 • 23320
Bias: Bearish while below 23045
Bullish confirmation: 1H close above 23045
NAS100 steadies at high levels, pay attention nextThe most recent move on NAS100 saw a sharp drop that briefly recovered, likely triggering stops before aggressively reversing from the lower boundary of the newly projected channel. This isn't a cause for concern, on the contrary, it's another opportunity to get involved.
That is because this drop and recovery is a common behavior in strong uptrends before resuming bullish momentum.
The market is likely in the early stages of a new impulsive leg to the upside right here.
We could either have short-term consolidation or pullback, then a continuation toward the upper channel boundary or straight upwards, and with NAS100, the latter is more plausible.
My target will be at 23,300 around the upper boundary of the projected channel resistance.
In this context, the market remains bullish clearly. The most interesting aspect is the emotional flush on the last drop, trapping sellers before fueling what could be another big leg up.
US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone🧠 US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Chart Published: July 24, 2025
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🔍 Overview
The US100 (NASDAQ) has been trading in a well-structured ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action suggests that the index is testing a critical supply zone near 23,400, with signs of weakening bullish momentum. This may signal a potential corrective phase or bearish reversal.
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📈 Technical Analysis Breakdown
🔵 Trend Structure:
Price is respecting a clear ascending trendline (blue), connecting multiple higher lows.
Multiple bullish flag/channel formations have been completed within the uptrend, showing healthy momentum until the current point.
🟥 Resistance Zone:
Strong supply zone marked between 23,250 – 23,450.
Price action shows stalling candles and rejection wicks within this zone, indicating buyer exhaustion.
⚠ Bearish Patterns:
The red path projection suggests a head and shoulders-like structure forming at the top of the channel.
This, along with divergence in wave strength and shrinking momentum, supports a potential reversal.
🔵 Key Support:
First support lies around 23,000 — aligning with the ascending trendline and previous consolidation.
If broken, next demand zone is around 22,835 – 22,900, where historical consolidation took place.
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🔁 Projected Scenario (as per visual path)
1. Price may attempt one last push into the 23,400–23,450 zone (possible false breakout).
2. Rejection from this level could trigger a fall toward the ascending trendline support.
3. A confirmed break of the trendline can lead to a larger correction toward the 22,800 zone.
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🧠 Unique Insight
This chart combines multi-timeframe structure recognition with a real-time reversal formation inside a long-standing bullish trend. The analysis doesn’t just rely on textbook patterns—it recognizes real-time price behavior shifts, which makes it valuable for proactive traders.
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📌 Conclusion
While the trend remains bullish overall, caution is warranted as the US100 approaches a historically significant resistance zone. The setup offers a compelling risk-reward short opportunity for aggressive traders, especially if the price confirms a break below trendline support.
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🔧 Next Steps for Viewers
> “Watch for a clean rejection candle or lower high at resistance before entering short. If trendline breaks cleanly, 22,835 could be the next target zone.”
NAS100 - EXPECTING THE DUMPTeam, we got short well today with AUS200 - both target hit
we have set up the NAS entry , this is the entry price 23268 - 23200
STOP LOSS at 23100
Once it break above 23320 - bring stop loss to BE
Target 1 at 23320-60 - take 50%-70& partial
Target 2 at 23380-23400
LETS GO
NAS100 Retesting Breakout – Eyes on 23170 for Bullish PushDaily Analysis:
Price is testing the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel. Structure is still bullish with no major breaks of support. If momentum holds, we could extend toward the channel top.
4H Analysis:
Retesting breakout structure. Support is forming around 23000–23050. Bullish momentum remains valid unless price closes below this zone.
1H Analysis:
Micro-breakout confirmed with bullish impulse above 23120. If 23170 holds, continuation toward 23280–23320 is likely.
Confirmation & Entry:
Watch for continuation above 23170. SL below 23080. TP: 23280+
Use caution if 23000 breaks — this would weaken short-term bias.
Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals📊 CAPITALCOM:US100 Analysis
Today, NAS100 opened with a huge gap up following former President Trump’s announcement that the U.S. has officially reached a trade agreement with the European Union.
🕳️ After price rejected the gap zone, and volume gets low low. I’m now looking for a potential test of the 23,540 level.
💼 With Q2 earnings season kicking off, stock-moving news will be hitting fast. While retail traders might scramble to catch up, smart money is already positioning for surprise earnings beats.
Stay sharp, this week could set the tone for the next major move.
NDX – Double Top & Divergence (H4, D FRL Setup)Hello friends! It's time for our beloved Nasdaq index to cool down. I expect a correction amid the strengthening of the dollar.
H4: clear Double Top forming near 23,000.
Daily: bearish MACD divergence confirms momentum shift.
📐 FRL (H4): neckline at 23,000, perfectly aligned with 100 SMA on H4.
🎯 Target: 0.618 Fib retracement at 20,500 – confluence with 100 & 200 SMA on Daily and strong horizontal support.
Fibonacci Retrace Strategy NAS100 Trade Idea📈 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) is holding a strong bullish trend 🚀. After a weekend gap-up 🕳️➡️📈, price retraced back into the gap zone—exactly what you'd expect in a healthy trending market.
🔍 I'm applying my Fibonacci Expansion + Retrace Strategy 🔢, watching closely for a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️ within the previous price swing. That’s where I’ll be waiting for a bullish market structure break 🔓📊 to confirm my long bias.
🧠 Patience is key here—let the setup come to you.
📌 As always, this is not financial advice!
COULD THE NAS100 BREAKOUT THIS IMPORTANT FIB LEVEL?As examined similar to the SPX500, NAS100 has already reached the fib extension target of 0.618 and facing a resistance. There are indicator divergences on the weekly down to the 4H time frames suggestion a potential correction in likely soon. My thesis for this week is that NAS100 could briefly push through the resistance and clear liquidity above the fib resistance with a capitulation candle before a correction. Therefore the trade idea is caution to the upside as there are no major reversal candle yet on higher time frame but indicators are blowing warning horns so apply tight stop loss on the trade plan this week while watching for a reversal confirmation on the 4H or daily charts.