NAS100 Possible Shortif price close below 21790 on Daily expect a continuation to Weekly Low and it could go lower so I'm looking for sellsShortby CashKing5041
NSDQ100 INTRADAY Bullish Flag breakout The NSDQ (USTec) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after reaching the intraday all time high. The key trading level is at the 21890 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21890 level could target the upside resistance at 22373 followed by the 22500 and 22620 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21890 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21770 support level followed by 21640. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.by TradeNation3
Closing Auctions: How Order Imbalances Shape Market Prices█ The Final 15 Minutes: How Closing Auctions Determine Market Pricing Every trading day ends with one of the most crucial events in financial markets — the closing auction. While many traders focus on intraday price movements, understanding the dynamics of closing auctions can provide valuable insights and profitable trading opportunities. █ What Are Closing Auctions? Closing auctions are special trading sessions held at the end of the day across major and minor exchanges worldwide. They determine the official closing price of securities based on Market-on-Close (MOC) and Limit-on-Close (LOC) orders submitted before the market officially closes. These auctions are essential because institutions, index funds, and ETFs use the closing price for portfolio valuation, index tracking, and arbitrage strategies. In recent years, closing auction volumes have surged, now accounting for about 11% of total daily trading volume. █ Why Have Closing Auctions Grown in Importance? The increasing popularity of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) is one major factor behind the growth of closing auctions. ETFs must ensure their prices align with the net asset value (NAV) of their holdings, and arbitrageurs use the closing auction to correct price imbalances. Additionally, large institutional investors prefer closing auctions to execute substantial trades with minimal market impact. These factors have led to a rise in order imbalances — where buy and sell orders significantly diverge — during the closing session. █ How Do Order Imbalances Affect Prices? Studies have found that stocks with large order imbalances tend to experience price distortions in the last 15 minutes of trading. Stocks with high buy imbalances typically outperform those with high sell imbalances during this period. However, about 83% of this price impact reverses over the next three to five days, suggesting a short-term trading opportunity. ⚪ Example: At 3:55 PM, the exchange releases imbalance data: Buy Imbalance: +500,000 shares (demand is high) Sell Imbalance: -200,000 shares (supply is lower) Since there are more buy orders than sell orders, buyers are forced to increase their bid prices to get filled. As a result, the price moves up sharply, reflecting the strong demand. This is exactly what we see in the chart—the buy-side midpoint jumps higher than the sell-side midpoint drops, confirming a buy-heavy imbalance in the closing auction. █ A Profitable Trading Strategy Based on Order Imbalances Based on historical data, traders can exploit these patterns using two different strategies: ⚪ Momentum Strategy (Short-Term): Buy stocks with the largest buy-side imbalances and short stocks with the largest sell-side imbalances 15 minutes before the market close. Close positions at the market close. ⚪ Reversal Strategy (Over Multiple Days): Do the opposite—short stocks with the highest buy imbalances and go long on stocks with the highest sell imbalances at the close, holding positions for about five days. Backtests of this strategy show that the momentum approach can yield approximately 32 basis points per trade, translating to an annualized return of 80% when executed systematically. However, traders must account for transaction costs and slippage. █ Real-World Example: NYSE Closing Auction Data for AAP (02/20/2025) To better understand how closing auction imbalances impact price movements, let's analyze the NYSE imbalance data for AAP on February 20, 2025. The data provides three key insights: Imbalance Trends: At 15:55 and 15:56, AAP had significant sell imbalances (-40,849 and -40,718, respectively). However, this shifted at 15:57, showing a smaller sell imbalance (-13,023), followed by a net buy imbalance at 15:58 (+11,403) and 15:59 (+6,764). The final imbalance before dissemination was -34,286. Paired Quantity Increase: The paired quantity, representing executed trades, consistently increased from 258,135 at 15:55 to 311,382 by the final dissemination, indicating heightened auction activity as the market prepared to close. Impact on Clearing Price: AAP's price began at $42.17 but surged to $44.66 by 15:58, aligning with buy imbalances. However, the price slightly retraced to $44.34 at final dissemination, reinforcing the tendency for short-term reversals after strong closing auction moves. This example highlights how traders can monitor closing auction imbalance data to anticipate price behavior in the final minutes of trading. For a more interactive exploration, check out the NYSE’s Closing Auction Imbalance Analysis Tool. █ What Does This Mean for Retail Traders? Pay Attention to the Closing Session: Many traders overlook the last 15 minutes of the market, but this period offers crucial insights into order flows and institutional activity. Watch for Order Imbalances: Exchanges like the NYSE release imbalance data at 3:45 PM, giving traders a window to react before the market close. Avoid Chasing Closing Prices: Since price reversals are common, buying into a strong closing auction rally may lead to short-term losses. Use Data & Tools to Your Advantage: Platforms like Polygon.io provide real-time and historical imbalance data, which can enhance trading decisions. █ Key Takeaways Closing auctions play a crucial role in determining end-of-day prices, affecting institutional strategies and index valuations. Order imbalances in the last 15 minutes of trading can create short-term price distortions, often reversing in the following days. Traders can capitalize on these imbalances using either a short-term momentum strategy or a multi-day reversal strategy. Understanding and leveraging closing auction dynamics can provide a significant trading edge. Closing auctions are more than just an end-of-day formality—they reveal important market sentiment and provide trading opportunities. Whether you are a day trader looking to capitalize on short-term price movements or a swing trader seeking to exploit reversals, understanding the role of order imbalances in closing auctions can give you an edge in the market. By incorporating these insights into your strategy, you can navigate the complexities of the market more effectively and make more informed trading decisions. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. Educationby Zeiierman1142
US100 - Long DailyUS100 Bullish after strong resistance and breakout of symmetrical/rectangle. EP: 22147 SL: 21344 TP: 22960Longby amer_hash1
SHORT ON NASToday Im selling nas. I made good money on the drop from yesterday. Price has since pulled back into discount and tapped into supply. News for PMI is coming out which is (expected) to be positive. I will be selling nas this morning looking to catch at least 1000 points. Shortby BBIDF11
Possible BUYMy bias still remains the same for the buy. If you need me to look for a setup for NY session please leave comments. Longby FTAltdUpdated 1
Nasdaq analysis: 21-Feb-2025Good morning, everyone! Today's Nasdaq analysis is designed to educate and empower. Use these insights to refine your price action trading strategy. 07:33by DrBtgar1
NASDAQ: Opening selloff is a buy opportunity.Nasdaq remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.351, MACD = 161.240, ADX = 29.408) despite today's selling early into the session. This indicates that relative to the bullish long term trend, this correction is a buy opportunity, especially as the index hit its 4H MA50. This happens to be at the bottom of the 20day Channel Up, a pattern potentially identical to the December 10th low of the Channel Up. We are long, expecting a new +3.80% rise (TP = 22,700). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##Longby InvestingScope1118
Nasdaq trade idea 20 Feb 2025Nasdaq currently at 4H major support. If 30 minute candle breaks this zone and closes below - i will look to short targeting zones below as marked out in the chart SL above the zone Goodluck!Shortby andrereece1Updated 5
Sell Nas 100*I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed. Sell Nas 100 Stop loss 22177 TP 20,953Shortby DarthGhxst4
NAS100 FIBONNACCIThe market is now playing around 50%, the too zoomed in intraday can fool us into considering the sweeps as valid lows, these lows as much as they count on the small scale, come from a very unconsidered space, which at the end will kill our small accounts.by TheDemoTrader_SA0
NAS 100 - Possible movement?NASQ 100 - Let's see if this plan works. As long as price stands on hourly support, it indicates more buy opportunities. by QQGuo-Shane2
SHORT ON NAS100Nas has been failing to break highs. Highs continue to get Lower coming from a major resistance area. Telsa, Amazon and others facing back lash for many political reasons. (negative) I will be selling nas before unemployment news today that expect more people to be unemployed. (negative) News could set this trade on Fire to the downside. Shortby BBIDF2
NAS100 H4Rules: If price break point 2,4, 6, 8 cancel the setup Price needs to break point 1, 3, 5, or 7 to confirm the setup When price reach the 100FE (blue box) it normally does a pullback/retest or reversal The market can Truncate (fall short)Longby jdunn321116
Possible buysidePossible buyside, if conditions are met. Will monitor and decide accordingly. HTF suggests we are sideways with a possible breakout either side tomorrow, but we will see.Longby MRL022
Actionable Nasdaq insights: 20-Feb-2025Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.07:52by DrBtgar0
NAS100 to the up side,bounced off 15 minuite area of support yesterday, bullish engulfing, 1-5 R-R looking for a similar move today or tommorow. or i will be looking for this to break lower & make a move to the upside from a higher time frame support areaLongby kingjforex122
US100 3H Bearish Setup – Key Resistance HoldingUS100 is testing a strong resistance zone around 22,247, showing signs of rejection on the 3-hour timeframe. If price fails to break higher, we could see a potential drop towards 21,818 support in the next sessions. 🔹 Resistance: 22,247 (Rejection Zone) 🔹 Bearish Confirmation: Breakdown below 22,100 🔹 Target: 21,818 support This setup follows a lower high formation, indicating possible downside momentum. Watching price action closely for confirmation! 🚨 This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk properly.Shortby TheSuperDoper5
3rd Short on Nasdaq / NQ / US100Use proper risk management Looks like good trade. Lets monitor. Use proper risk management. Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.Shortby MuhammadTrades5
NASDAQ Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 21800 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 21800 support and resistance area. Trade safe, Joe.Longby JoeChampion11
NASDAQ Technical AnalysisTrade Setup Overview Entry Price: 21,530.33 Target Price: 22,232.41 Stop Loss: 21,297.97 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 Trade Type: Long Position Suggested Position Size: 0.25-0.5% of capital Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart Position Sizing and Risk Analysis Conservative position sizing (0.25-0.5%) indicates proper risk management Total Risk per Position: 232.36 points (Entry - Stop Loss) Potential Reward: 702.08 points (Target - Entry) Maximum capital risk at 0.5% position size provides buffer for market volatility Technical Timeframe Considerations 4-Hour chart setup suggests a swing trading approach Longer timeframe reduces noise and false signals Allows for proper development of price action and trend confirmation Consider holding position through multiple sessions if needed Catalyst Analysis Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Impact Scenarios Positive NFP Scenario: Strong jobs data could accelerate upward momentum Consider trailing stop adjustment on strong move Watch for potential extension beyond initial target Negative NFP Scenario: Have preset stop loss in place No emotional attachment to position Accept defined risk and move on to next opportunity Trade Management Strategy Entry Execution Enter at specified price of 21,530.33 Consider scaling in if market provides opportunity Maintain discipline on entry price Position Management Initial stop loss at 21,297.97 (non-negotiable) Consider partial profit taking at 1:1 risk-reward Trail stop loss after significant movement in favor Maximum hold time based on 4H chart context: 5-7 trading days Exit Strategy Primary target: 22,232.41 Consider market context at target approach Use price action at target level for exit timing Don't force trades beyond technical invalidation Risk Management Rules Strict adherence to position sizing (0.25-0.5%) No averaging down on losing positions Respect stop loss level - no exceptions Consider market hours volatility Account for pre/post market gaps Technical Price Levels Entry Zone: 21,530.33 Critical Support: 21,297.97 Psychological Levels: 21,500 22,000 22,200 Target Zone: 22,232.41 Session Considerations Monitor pre-market sentiment Watch correlated markets (S&P 500, DOW) Consider reduced position size during high-impact news Be aware of market hours volatility spikes Trade Invalidation Clear invalidation below 21,297.97 Technical structure breaks Significant shift in market sentiment Unexpected negative catalyst impac t Key Reminders "Live to trade another day" - maintain emotional discipline NFP is a known catalyst - plan accordingly 4H timeframe requires patience Stick to planned position size Monitor correlated tech sectors for confirmation Remember: Trading success comes from consistent execution of a well-defined plan, not from any single trade outcome.Longby FXCapitalClubUpdated 3
Lets Focus On the lows for NowIf we were to forget a bit about the higher high that can possibly be formed, and consider the idea that there is a low that is a FVG on a daily timeframe and it is likely going to become our $ target, sweeping the sell stops towards mitigation. If we are to do so, let us be considerate of our entries and salvage the highs so we can hold, SHOULD the market allow us to. R multiples countby TheDemoTrader_SA0