NAS100FT trade ideas
NASDAQ Best 2 Places For Buy Cleared Now , Don`t Miss It !Here is my opinion on NASDAQ And for who want to buy it , here is my best 2 places for buy , First One if we have a 4H Closure Above This Strong Res that pushed the prices yesterday 500 pips , and second place will be the support that clear in the chart , but i prefer the first one cuz it will be a strong confirmation if we have a good closure above .
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Nasdaq-100 H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 19,237.66 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 19,950.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 18,144.20 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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NAS100USD: Institutional Selling Initiated at Premium LevelsGreetings Traders,
Today on NAS100USD, the market is currently operating within a clear bearish institutional order flow. In alignment with this directional bias, we are seeking selling opportunities supported by several key confluences.
Key Observations:
1. Liquidity Sweep at Premium Pricing:
Price has retraced deeply into a premium zone, sweeping the buy stops above a recent swing high. This suggests smart money is executing sell-side order pairing at extreme premium levels, utilizing retail liquidity for institutional distribution. When this occurs, price typically seeks rebalancing at fair value zones and continues toward discount levels.
2. Resistance at Fair Value Gap:
Following the liquidity sweep, price encountered resistance at a previously identified fair value gap (FVG). This FVG has held effectively, reinforcing the bearish outlook and acting as a high-probability rejection zone.
3. Market Structure Shift (MSS):
The market has now confirmed a bearish market structure shift, further validating the downside bias. This shift positions us to anticipate a continuation move.
4. Mitigation Block as Entry Zone:
We are currently watching a mitigation block for potential re-entries. These blocks represent zones where smart money mitigates previous long positions and introduces new short positions in alignment with the prevailing trend. If confirmed, they offer a strategic point to enter short trades.
Trading Plan:
Monitor the mitigation block for confirmation and look to enter with the broader institutional trend. Targets will include fair value regions and deeper liquidity pools at discount prices.
Remain patient and disciplined, and always ensure your analysis aligns with your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ Recovery Looks Fragile Below 20,500After the steep drop to 16,300, NAS100 started to recover, forming a higher low and managing to break back above the falling trendline drawn from the all-time high (ATH).
While these are positive developments, in my opinion, the trend is likely to reverse to the downside soon.
Technically, the index is now entering a heavy resistance zone, marked by:
• The golden sell zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement,
• Psychological resistance at 20,000,
• Major horizontal resistance around 20,500.
As long as the price remains below 20,500, I favor short trades, targeting a potential drop to at least 18,000
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USTEC has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 19,189.77
1st Support: 18,580.75
1st Resistance: 20,258.77
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Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeHere’s the detailed breakdown of the US100 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX):
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,383
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,220
Point of Control (POC): 19,291.79
High-volume nodes: Clustered around 19,220 to 19,300 (heavy acceptance).
Low-volume gaps: Above 19,400 and below 19,200 — price can accelerate through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop clusters likely at: Above 19,400 (recent swing highs). Below 19,200 (recent breakout area).
Order absorption zones: Around 19,291 (POC) and 19,220 (high bid absorption).
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 19,382 (testing resistance with moderate volume).
Swing Low: 19,220 (breakout launch pad).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 and DI+ > DI-, confirming strong bullish momentum.
CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD + bullish candles = Strong demand and genuine buying pressure.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support: 19,291.79 (POC) 19,220 (VAL & previous demand zone)
Resistance: 19,382-19,400 (current tested highs and potential breakout point)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Gann Swing High: 19,382
Recent Gann Swing Low: 19,220
Key retracements: 1/2 level: 19,301 1/3 level: 19,274 2/3 level: 19,328
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Strong Bullish (confirmed by rising ADX and CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Ascending Channel: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows inside the purple channel.
Breakout retest: POC retest around 19,291 before moving higher.
No major topping signals yet — still holding structure.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 19,290–19,310 (near POC support zone)
Targets: T1: 19,400 (swing high breakout) T2: 19,500 (measured move from channel)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,220 (below VAL and previous swing low)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,380–19,400 (at resistance failure)
Target: T1: 19,290 (POC retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,450 (above resistance breakout trap)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of trading capital per trade.
Gold Vs. Nasdaq, since 2022Fairly clear here that Gold and Nasdaq correlated in direction until December 2024, at which time the equities market peaked. The two continued to correlate in trend direction until February, where, after several years divergence finally occurred.
Gold continues upward, equities continue lower. This seems to be a clear indication that equities, in this case the Nasdaq, will continue into downward correctional territory while Gold continues into a positive trending direction.
Is a reversal about to happen?Hello, traders
Orange circles highlight repeated price rejection and the formed doji that suggests a slowdown in a bullish wave and potential reversal. The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal supply/resistance zone creates a high-probability reversal or breakout from this triangle.
If the price rejects again from the current supply zone and triangle, short setup toward the Fibonacci retracements or demand zones (18300 and below).
If the price breaks above the descending trendline, bullish continuation will likely target 20,000+ (Swing H).
Trend remains down.
Entry 19300
TP 18300 below
Target 14k.
Trendline break out NAS100## Entry
- Enter on 4H confirmed trendline breakout
- Look for retest of broken trendline as support
- Ensure price remains above key MAs on 4H
- Verify with increased volume on breakout
## Risk
- Stop below recent swing low/structure
- Risk 1-2% capital
- Size position accordingly
## Targets
1. 20000- 20200 as psychological level
2. 200 MA on daily timeframe
3. 1.5x risk-reward ratio
## Management
- Wait for clean 4H breakout confirmation
- Move stop to breakeven after momentum continues
- Trail stop as price advances toward targets
- Scale out at major resistance levels
Demand Zone US100 (Potential Long Play) Next week there is a nice opportunity on an identified demand zone on the US100. Due to bullish market Structure, We aim for long positions on demand zones as these are higher probabilities plays than shorts. The demand zone area is the last bearish candle (without upper wick), marked on the 1HR time frame and will be the key area of interest.
NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Earnings season: In my view, it's irrelevant in terms of the data itself! It reflects the pre-tariffs era. Market is always looking forward. However, it gives market the opportunity for a relief, consolidation and rebalancing. So beside the kneejerk reaction, uncertainty is in the driver seat.
2- Trump's policies: The 90-day pause has a big chance to become an Eternity pause. Cracks inside Trump's team about the impacts of these tariffs on their own corporations will make them fleeing Trump's boat. Hence, the rational supporting the Eternity pause. This said, we'll see many tweets highlighting how much Trump is winning to feed his mindset.
3- Key economic data: Economic data will take over the driver seat. Recession and Inflation are the key data for market. Bad data is bad for Equities and vice-versa.
4- FED: Rate cut has increased probability during the next meeting, but for the wrong reasons. Both Trump and market will continue their pressure on the FED. This pressure is translated via Sell-off of stocks and equities.
5- Risk: Beside the uncertainty context, I think agreements between Iran-USA and Ukraine-Russia are underway. This is positive for equities. Gold is your indicator in this front.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
- Not much to update from two weeks ago analysis! Price is in its way to complete Wave 2. Crumbles left.
- Price broke out and closed above the 90-day pause weekly/daily candle. This tells you a continuation up is expected but not too much left in the upper side.
- Economic Data will drive the move. This might last 1-2 weeks.
Daily TF:
- Green daily close with a small size candle.
- A consolidation period is expected to end this Wave 2. So there is no rush to jump in the sell side to catch the top of Wave 3. Here is a good opportunity for swing position that you can build incrementally as the price creates LL from lower TF up to Daily and Weekly TF.
GL!
Price breaking out of a wyckoff balance to go unbalanceMy approach the market was pointing out market had found a balance zone starting on April 9th- today. Today I notice high volume on the bull side towards one of the resistance points which it broke and retraced. One it started to retrace I went to the smaller time frame to look for a sniper entry( 5min bullish and strong delta candle stick rejecting of a low volume node and the session vwap ). The balance zone was $1450 wide so it should go imbalance for the same amount or close. This trade is really a 25rr but im going for 8rr to pass my 2nd phase in my challange. This trade will not hit instill like Wednesday maybe even to the end of next week.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2 RRX2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Pre-market Plan- Consolidating at highs,potential gap fill below(The following is for personal views only and does not constitute investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.)
Currently on the 4-hour chart, price remains above the 200 SMA. RSI shows slight overbought signals, while the EMA suggests there is still upward momentum. After the Asian session, a short-term downtrend has formed.
Price is currently forming a downward flag, which could lead to further downside movement. After market open, price is likely to first move down to capture liquidity, with primary targets at 19062 and 19038.
If a reversal occurs, there is a high probability for the price to retrace upward to fill the NDOG at 19266. If bulls take control, ideally this should happen before 10:00. Afterward, there is a chance to break through to EHPDA 19505, but considering the overbought market condition and lack of strong catalysts, the probability of a significant move higher today is relatively low. If the price continues to rise, watch levels at 19891 and 20370. Look for reversal opportunities at these key levels.
To the downside, watch PDL 18493, and gaps at 18280 and 18000 as potential targets.
Due to Friday’s influence, the market may range between 19061–19505 today, with a potential move to fill the lower gaps next week. Price action after the open will help further confirm market sentiment.
If Bullish – Price should show a clear rebound after liquidity is taken.
If Bearish – If price breaks 19036 and fails to rebound effectively, expect significant downside.