NAS100Price has been showing some bullishness and we have a bullish SMT on the 5hr coming off of a Daily impulse. I am bullish on NAS100 tomorrow and we could possibly get a move out of it for longs/continuation. I would still need confirmation on the 30m and 5m before entry. Good Luck!Longby angelvalentinxUpdated 5
Retesting established highsPrice is ranging and en route to test previous high areas.Longby Two4One4Updated 4
My current nasdaq sell Nasdaq Short Trade Report 30th - 4th This report outlines a potential short position on Nasdaq for the upcoming week, based on a confluence of technical indicators and macroeconomic data. Key economic releases such as PMI (Tuesday) and NFP (Friday) are expected to have significant market impact. A weak PMI report, indicating a slowdown in global manufacturing or supply chain issues, could fuel further bearish momentum for tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq. The trade setup is backed by more than six confluences, including technical sell signals, volatility measures, and fundamental macroeconomic indicators. The entry is targeted around 19,990.34, with a take-profit (TP) at 19,237.95 and a stop-loss (SL) at 20,038.60. This trade is powered by an expectation of significant moves driven by upcoming data and market sentiment. Market Overview Key Economic Events: * PMI on Tuesday: A weak PMI could indicate a slowdown in global manufacturing and potentially push the Nasdaq lower. ADP Employment Change (Sep) Wednesday Generally speaking, a rise in the indicator has positive implications for consumer spending and is stimulative of economic growth. So a high reading is traditionally seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish. ISM Services PMI (Sep) Thursday A reading above 50 indicates that the services economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the US Dollar (USD). A reading below 50 signals that services sector activity is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for USD * NFP on Friday: Weak job data could confirm economic slowdown, driving further downside pressure on the Nasdaq. The broader market sentiment shows increasing volatility, with global supply chain constraints and inflationary pressures impacting growth forecasts. If both the PMI and NFP data come out weaker than expected, this could lead to a sustained sell-off, extending the hold on our trade. Technical Analysis: 1. 1H Sell Signal & 4H Rejection off Resistance * 1H Chart: The EA has generated a sell signal on the 1-hour timeframe. We are awaiting further confirmation from the 4H rejection off resistance, which will strengthen the bearish case. * 4H Chart: The 4-hour rejection off resistance level is crucial for reinforcing the short. If resistance holds, it could signal a substantial move to the downside. 2. RSI Overbought Condition on 4H * The RSI on the 4-hour chart indicates that the market is overbought, suggesting potential for a pullback. The last significant overbought point led to a sell-off, with the entry expected around 19,990.34. The TP is set at 19,237.95, and the SL at 20,038.60. This equates to a move of roughly 752 points (or pips), calculated between the entry and TP levels. 3. Rising ATR (Volatility Indicator) * The ATR is nearing a reading of 100, signaling that the market is becoming increasingly volatile. Such levels typically indicate sharp, aggressive moves ahead, likely coinciding with the NFP release on Friday. This supports a more volatile Nasdaq environment, conducive to significant price movements in our favor. Fundamental Analysis (Macroeconomic Indicators) 4. Dollar Index (DXY) Impact * DXY: A rising Dollar Index often places downward pressure on tech stocks in the Nasdaq, as a stronger dollar reduces overseas earnings. The DXY has bounced off of support and appears to be trending upwards, which could be confirmed after the next market open with a 1H buy signal from the EA. A bullish DXY will further reinforce the bearish outlook on Nasdaq. * VIX (Volatility Index): Rising VIX levels indicate increased market uncertainty, which tends to lead to sell-offs in riskier assets like tech stocks. If the VIX continues its upward trajectory, it could trigger further bearish sentiment on the Nasdaq. Formula: * VIX (rising) + DXY (stronger dollar) = Nasdaq bearish pressure. Volume Analysis: 5. High Volume Sell-offs * Significant volume spikes occurred during the 4-hour rejection at the 20,200 level, indicating large institutional sell-offs. High volume at key resistance levels often signifies institutional participation, further validating the bearish outlook. Sentiment and Positioning Data: 6. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report * The latest COT report shows a notable shift, with a net positive for short positions over longs, with 7,000 additional short positions. This sentiment aligns with the overall bearish outlook on Nasdaq, as institutions appear to be positioning for downside risk. 7. Greed Sentiment * The greed sentiment index currently shows extreme greed in the market, which typically signals a contrarian move to the downside. When markets reach excessive greed, they are often primed for a correction, supporting our short position. After negative news already in a bearish movement when their is a trigger towards fear is going up and after heavy greed occurred (like mini stock market crashes) Then market will only want to buy back (at the lowest level of fear) so stay focused on news events that can further drive down price in an already bearish sentiment Trade Setup: Entry: * Sell Entry: 19,990.34 Take-Profit (TP): * TP Target: 19,237.95 * Pip Distance: Approximately 752 pips. Stop-Loss (SL): * SL Level: 20,038.60 * Pip Distance: Approximately 48 pips above the entry. Position Size: * Account Size: R1500 * Lot Size: 0.1 lot, as each 40-pip move corresponds to R830. 1. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) * Buy Opportunity: * Entry Trigger: If the price breaks above the recent resistance at 100.455 and the RSI moves above 50, this could confirm a bullish momentum. * Stop Loss: Place below the recent support at 100.388. * Take Profit: Target the next resistance level at 101.000. * Sell Opportunity: * Entry Trigger: If the price fails to break above resistance and drops below 100.388, with the RSI confirming a bearish trend, consider entering a sell. * Stop Loss: Set above the resistance level. * Take Profit: Aim for the lower support level around 100.200. * 2. VIX (Volatility Index) * Buy Opportunity: * The VIX showing a breakout above its recent highs could signal increasing market volatility. * Consider buying VIX options or ETFs if it approaches or exceeds 18.50. * Sell Opportunity: * If the VIX starts showing signs of rejection below 17.50, this could signal a return to stability, making it an opportunity to sell VIX positions. Risk-Reward Profile: The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade is highly favorable. Given the expected downside move and the strategic placement of the SL and TP, we are targeting a 1:15 risk-to-reward ratio, based on current technical setups and market sentiment. Conclusion: This Nasdaq short trade is supported by a combination of technical sell signals, macro fundamentals, and market sentiment data. The bearish scenario is reinforced by high volume sell-offs, overbought RSI conditions, rising DXY, and increased market volatility (VIX and ATR). Key economic events, such as the PMI and NFP, will play a pivotal role in determining the strength and duration of this trade. Institutional participation and positioning data (COT) further suggest that the downside potential is significant. Based on these confluences, the trade offers a compelling risk-to-reward profile for a short position on Nasdaq this week. Updates on Nasdaq as of Tuesday 1 October - PMI results for the US ended coming our negative now the market has moved to its bearish momentum as expected on Tuesday - Vix and DXY at highs In 300 points on this short NShortby aslamsullemanPublished 116
Nasdaq 100 Buyers May Want to Wait for Lower PricesNASDAQ 100 buyers might find a better entry point if they wait a couple of weeks, as prices are currently stuck in a large triangle pattern. Support is close to the September low of 18,309. With the general election approaching, traders could soon take profits. The NASDAQ 100 and other stock indices have already seen significant gains. Historically, the S&P 500 tends to rise by around 30% in election years, with the S&P 500 already up by 19%. This suggests that the upside might be limited. However, if the NASDAQ 100 doesn't drop toward the September low, there's a chance for a bullish breakout of the triangle pattern. A breach of 20,119 will likely signal that the price is ready to head higher. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.Nby ThinkMarketsPublished 7
Long Buy Setup From Nasdaq I am patiently waiting for good long buy setup from @Nasdaq if it does respect my analysisNLongby MphozahPublished 113
Bullish outlook on US100"The W pattern has been completed on the daily timeframe. The inside bar on the weekly timeframe has been broken. The price is heading towards record highs. The U.S. economy is described as being in a 'solid' condition, with the plan for significant interest rate cuts from now until the end of the year supporting this bullish outlook." Longby nhikid42Published 227
Nasdaq - Another +50% From Here!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) just broke out of a major channel: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 It really seems like the Nasdaq is about to repeat the breakout behaviour of 2020. However, last month the Nasdaq showed some significant signs of weakness and vulnerability. The next couple of months will be very decisive, but the past of least resistance still seems towards the upside. Levels to watch: $20.000, $25.000, $16.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)Long03:07by basictradingtvUpdated 2238
Nasdaq Retest, Bearish HarmonicAfter Powell's speach the markets closed high but he indicates a metered approach. Noticed the bearish harmonic and retest. These are not what I view as strong/high alpha signals but they are there to trade intraday. My bias is neutral to bullish. by decklyndubsPublished 4412
NAS - ALL THE WAY NORTH We are going LONG NAS with tight stop loss at 19907 will take profit at 19996 bring STOP LOSS to BE once it reached first target once it break the above 20004-20010, will let it run all the way toward 20075 and 20118Longby ActiveTraderRoomPublished 4
Nas100 possible play out. Looking for possible buys inside demand Order Block. That's if the momentum remains bullish.Longby CosmasSichangwaPublished 5511
Navigating NAS100: How to Trade the Upcoming Downtrend!!!I. Technical Analysis Breakdown 1. Elliott Wave Theory Wave Count Summary: The chart shows the completion of Wave 5 based on the hourly time frame, confirming a bearish setup. Key invalidation point: On the 1H chart: 19,571.1, meaning a break below this will confirm the extended Wave C. On the 4H chart: 20,335.3, confirming a potential reversal if this level holds. Wave 5 Projections: Target range: 19,570.2 to 19,450.2 (for bearish continuation). Invalidation for bearish bias: A move above 20,405.3 suggests an accumulation phase instead of distribution. 2. Wyckoff Distribution Phases Current Phase: We are in Phase B, indicating a bearish trend. Upthrust in Phase B (UT): Observed, signaling exhaustion in price momentum. Sign of Weakness (SOW): Confirming bearish sentiment with lower highs. Last Point of Supply (LPSY): Key area: 20,189.7 - 20,350.2. This region aligns with the premium area and can act as a resistance zone where sellers may dominate. Bearish Continuation: The price could move toward support levels between 19,570.2 - 19,450.2 after potential exhaustion at LPSY. 3. Harmonic & Fibonacci Retracement Levels Optimal Trade Entry (OTE): OTE aligns with Fibonacci retracement zones (0.786 at 20,007.6) and the 0.826 retracement (20,147.9). Shorting Opportunity: Focus on bearish positions when price revisits these zones, ideally between 20,007.6 and 20,350.2. Harmonic Targets: The next downside harmonic target coincides with 19,570. A price reaction could also occur near 19,450, aligning with Wyckoff’s potential distribution phase climax. II. ICT Weekly Range Development Weekly Bias: Bearish, confirmed by Wyckoff and Elliott Wave projections. Weekly High (WH): Likely formed at the LPSY zone around 20,189.7. Weekly Low (WL): Expected near the 19,570 - 19,450 zone by Thursday/Friday. ICT Daily/Weekly Ranges: Monday to Wednesday: Potential manipulation with an upward move toward LPSY (~20,350). Look for possible liquidity sweeps near this zone. Thursday to Friday: Price may drop toward the Weekly Low (WL) around 19,570 as institutions look to cover their short positions in the discount zone. III. Fundamental Catalysts Key economic events that will likely impact the NAS100 throughout the week: U.S. Interest Rate Decision: Bullish (BUY NAS): If the Federal Reserve announces a rate cut or holds rates steady, equities may benefit. Bearish (SELL NAS): If rates are raised, equities (especially NAS100) could face downside pressure. United States Manufacturing PMI (SELL NAS): A weak PMI will signal economic contraction, driving the NAS100 lower. ISM Services PMI (SELL NAS): A poor reading will reflect economic slowdown, leading to further downside pressure. U.S. Unemployment Rate (BUY NAS): Lower unemployment could cushion the bearish trend by suggesting economic resilience. However, an uptick in unemployment could increase bearish sentiment. IV. Trading Strategy and Execution 1. Key Levels for Short Entries LPSY Zone (Resistance): Watch for shorting opportunities around 20,189.7 - 20,350.2. Ideal points for entering short positions are at premium areas or during spikes into resistance levels. Optimal Trade Entry (OTE): Watch for shorts near the OTE (0.786 - 0.826 retracement) between 20,007.6 - 20,147.9. 2. Downside Target Zones First Target: 19,570.2 Aligns with Wyckoff’s Selling Climax (SC) zone. Final Target: 19,450 Coincides with potential Wave 5 termination in Elliott Wave and harmonic extensions. 3. Risk Management Stop-Loss Placement: Above 20,405.3 (invalidation level), protecting against bullish reversals. Short Position Execution: Ideal timing for shorts: Monday to Wednesday: Focus on potential false bullish moves, with the price reaching LPSY levels. Thursday to Friday: Target the 19,570 - 19,450 range, where price may complete its bearish cycle. V. Conclusion: Week Ahead Trading Plan Bearish Outlook: Multiple confirmations from Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, and harmonic retracements suggest further downside in NAS100. Execution Plan: Short around LPSY (20,189.7 - 20,350.2) and OTE zones (20,007.6 - 20,147.9). Fundamental Consideration: Stay vigilant for significant economic releases, particularly interest rates and PMI data, which could cause volatility and either support or invalidate the technical setups. Risk Management: Keep stops above invalidation points (20,405.3) and target 19,570 - 19,450 for profits.Shortby spacedevilPublished 212195
US100 15MHello all, my thought's.... * Broke through the trendline with 3 bullish candles & support level * Looks like its pulling back to the 15M order block which is also in the Fibonacci golden zone * On the 5 min I see the death cross (VWOP + 50 & 200 moving averages) * Bullish volume Appreciate all comments.. thanks!Longby MoMazumaFXPublished 113
NAS100 H4 | Potential bullish bounce off overlap supportNAS100 is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 19,779.50 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 19,550.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 20,093.98 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.Long02:52by FXCMPublished 2217
NAS100 / US100 "NASDAQ" Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHallo My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰 This is our master plan to Heist NAS100 / US100 "NASDAQ" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂Shortby Thief_TraderUpdated 6
NASDAQ: New buy level approaching.Nasdaq has almost turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.199, MACD = 255.840, ADX = 43.908), which is gradually starting to wave a buy signal again as the price almost hit the 4H MA200. Technically if the 4H RSI approaches the oversold level of 30.000, it is the first buy entry inside the Channel Up. We already have a 4H Golden Cross in our hands. Expect at least a +15.55% rise (TP = 21,150) to complete this bullish wave. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##Longby InvestingScopePublished 5
NAS100 - LETS GOTeam, i am on board with NAS100, please try to take 50% profit after reaching 45-5-50 points bring stop loss to BE then focus on another 40-50 points uptrend. Longby ActiveTraderRoomPublished 112
NAS100 - Bearish trendThe current chart exhibits a clear downtrend characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. This pattern signals a persistent bearish sentiment, indicating that sellers are dominating the market. Notably, there is no divergence present, reinforcing the strength of the downtrend. NShortby gulraizali90Published 2
Buy to sellAs the Index is in the accumulation phase, I am anticipating a break to the upside and possibly stabilising under the resistance in maroon before descending.Shortby Two4One4Updated 2
NASDAQ. BUY@HELLO everyone , BELOW 💲19733.2 "US Tech 100" price is cheap to buy and @💲20482.3 "US Tech 100" price is expensive to buy. , i wanna see price trading bellow 💲19733.2 then find a buy setup on the lower timeframes.. {new week , new month "NFP Week"Longby MJENKS_US-STOCK_TRADERUpdated 5523
NASDAQlove this set up finding liq and what to target using small stoploss. but over all looking at the direction the banks are moving, im still holding on to the buys at 17539 area since banks are targeting to get out of there draw down positions, this is just a small set up on a lower time frame that iv been loooking at but i did post previous about the drop i saw it coming before the news hit talking about a massive strike here in the U.S which also added more confirmations to the sell, the more you can confirmations you gather for your set up the more confident you are with your trade, been waiting on this last drop for 2 months now but the reward will be worth the waitby martinale0217Published 2
Nas Buys CRT Manipulation of Last weeks low into key levels. Expecting price to target at least midpoint of last weeks range then ultimately last weeks highLongby iamhawkins26Published 2
NAS100USD: Bearish Setup Targeting Weekly FVG!Greetings Traders! Brief Description🖊️: Currently, on NAS100USD, I am anticipating a potential bearish draw in price action. The M15 chart has shown the beginning of a bearish decline, and it’s crucial to follow the market's trend until signs of reversal appear. One key confluence is the respect of an H4 bearish order block, establishing a firm resistance zone. Things I Have Seen👀: H4 Bearish Order Block Resistance🟥: Price is respecting this zone, confirming it as strong resistance. M15 Buy Stops Cleared✅: Price cleared M15 buy stops above the resistance before reversing, indicating smart money engineered liquidity before driving price lower. M15 FVG & Bearish Order Block: These are the zones where I will be waiting for confirmation entries. Bearish Targets🎯: Weekly FVG (19,760.8): This is the primary target for the bearish continuation. What's Important Now❗ Monitor price action around the M15 FVG and bearish order block for confirmation before entering. Ensure to conduct your own analysis to validate this outlook. Best Regards, The_ArchitectShortby The_Archi-tectPublished 2
NASDAQ US100 TodayNASDAQ US100 Today for me is still short. target is about 19.500 Remember about risk and BE and ClosedShortby xMastersFXUpdated 5