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NSDQ100 Geopolitics, Fed & Rates Outlook Geopolitics & Market Sentiment Iran-Israel conflict enters its sixth day, raising fears of broader escalation. Speculation is building that Donald Trump may authorize the use of the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (bunker-buster bomb) to target Iran’s nuclear facilities. Trump is also meeting with Pakistan’s army chief today for talks on Iran, adding to geopolitical uncertainty. So far, Iran’s oil infrastructure remains intact, and Hezbollah has stayed out of the conflict, limiting immediate economic fallout. Fed & Rates Outlook The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady today as it waits for clearer economic signals amid ongoing Trump policy shifts. Trump is pressuring the Fed, now arguing for lower rates to cut US debt costs. Traders are building record positions betting on a dovish Fed shift after Powell's term ends in May 2026. Market Implications for NSDQ100 Nasdaq futures are mildly positive, supported by: Stability in tech earnings outlook Expectations of Fed staying on hold, with a possible dovish bias emerging However, Middle East tensions remain a risk. Any strike on oil infrastructure or major military escalation could: Trigger a risk-off move Push oil prices higher, raising inflation concerns Weigh on tech stocks sensitive to rate outlooks and sentiment Key Focus for Nasdaq Traders Today: Fed decision and Powell’s tone (especially on inflation and growth risks) Headlines from the Middle East Oil price action near the five-month high (WTI around $73.50–$74) Resistance Level 1: 22070 Resistance Level 2: 22370 Resistance Level 3: 22780 Support Level 1: 21300 Support Level 2: 21060 Support Level 3: 20820 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
USNAS100 - Mideast Conflict & Fed Uncertainty Pressure FuturesWall Street Futures Edge Lower Amid Prolonged Mideast Conflict U.S. stock index futures slipped slightly on Tuesday as the ongoing Middle East conflict entered its fifth day, weighing on global sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting. Technical Outlook: Price action remains in a sensitive zone, but the bias stays bearish below 21930. 🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 21790 would likely trigger a deeper move toward 21635, and potentially 21470. 🔺 On the upside, a break above 21930 would indicate renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 22065 and 22200. 📌 If price holds above 21790, a test of 21930 is likely. Any positive geopolitical developments or ceasefire negotiations could spark a stronger upside move. Key Levels: • Pivot: 21790 • Resistance: 21930 / 22065 / 22200 • Support: 21635 / 21470 / 21375
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ Consolidation: Why Sitting Out Is Sometimes the Best PlayI'm currently monitoring the NASDAQ (US100) closely, and on the 4-hour chart, we can clearly see that the market is in a phase of consolidation 🔍 Yesterday, I was anticipating a bullish breakout, which could have signaled the start of a structure with higher highs and higher lows — something that would have presented a clean long opportunity 📈. However, during the U.S. session, the NAS100 momentum shifted and we instead saw a bearish breakdown, invalidating the previous setup 🚫 As things stand now, there's no clear directional bias on the 4H — just a sideways range with neither bulls nor bears in full control 🤝. This type of environment calls for patience and discipline. It's worth noting that knowing when not to trade is just as important as knowing when to pull the trigger. Sitting on the sidelines and allowing the market to make the next move — whether that’s a break above or below this consolidation range — is a valid and often wise decision 🧘‍♂️📊 At the moment, my preference is to remain neutral and let price show its hand before committing to a position. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management when trading.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
Missiles in the Middle East, Headwinds on Nasdaq: NAS100 onHey There; The trend line on the NAS100 has been broken to the downside. My target level after this breakout is 21,299.47. If the price moves towards this level, I think it will reach my target in line with fundamental analysis due to the broken trend line and Iran-Israel war tensions. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
FX:NAS100Short
by TraderTilki
7
Nas100With speculation about no rate cuts we can expect to see Nas100 plumet with Fed Powells upcoming speech. If we look at the technical side we can see that Nas has been somewhat consolidating over the past 2 days creating a fair amount of Sell side liquidity. We can expect Powell to speak about rat cuts today in his upcoming speech and we will use this to our advantage waiting for early buyers to push up the market triggering our setup. We can look for a plus minus 100 pip move before Nas turns around, we will however closely monitor the movement of Nas now until the speech so that we can execute a trade with the least amount of risk. Remember to like and subscribe for more A+ setups.
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by JamaicanLNS
NAS100 - The stock market is breaking the ceiling!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term channels. If it does not increase and corrects towards different zone, it is possible to buy the index near the reward. Following a strong rally in U.S.equities, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices both achieved new all-time highs on Friday. It marks the first time since February that the S&P 500 has surpassed its previous peak, while the Nasdaq entered fresh price territory for the first time since December. Despite ongoing market focus on economic data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy path, the simultaneous surge in both indices reflects a renewed appetite for risk in the stock market—an appetite that has been accelerating since mid-April, especially in tech stocks. In contrast, the Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap U.S. companies, still remains significantly below its prior high. To return to its October levels, it would need to rise over 13.5%. However, Friday’s 1.7% gain suggests capital is beginning to flow more broadly into underrepresented sectors. Analysts argue that a strong breakout in the Russell 2000 could signal a broader rotation toward increased risk-taking—possibly driven by optimism over future rate cuts, easing inflation, and improved business conditions in the second half of the year. Now that the S&P 500 has reached new highs and the Nasdaq has joined in, attention turns to the Russell 2000. If it begins to accelerate upward, markets could enter a new phase of sustained bullish momentum. Following a week focused on gauging U.S. consumer spending strength, the upcoming holiday-shortened week (due to Independence Day) will shift attention to key employment and economic activity data. On Tuesday, markets await the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the JOLTS job openings report. Wednesday will spotlight the ADP private employment report, and Thursday—one day earlier than usual due to the holiday—will see the release of several crucial figures, including the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index. Currently, investor reaction to Donald Trump’s tariff commentary has been minimal. Market participants largely believe that any new tariffs would have limited inflationary effects and that significant retaliation from trade partners is unlikely. Friday’s PCE report painted a complex picture of the U.S. economy. On one hand, inflation remains above ideal levels; on the other, household spending is showing signs of fatigue—a combination that presents challenges for policymakers. Inflation-adjusted personal consumption fell by 0.3%, marking the first decline since the start of the year and indicating a gradual erosion of domestic demand. While wages continue to rise, their impact has been offset by declining overall income and reduced government support. To maintain their lifestyle, households have dipped into their savings, driving the personal savings rate down to 4.5%—its lowest level this year. On the inflation front, the core PCE price index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—rose 2.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations. Monthly inflation also increased by 0.2%. Although these figures appear somewhat restrained, they remain above the Fed’s 2% target, with persistent price pressures in services—particularly non-housing services—still evident. Altogether, the data suggest the U.S. economy faces a troubling divergence: weakening household income and consumption could slow growth, while sticky inflation in the services sector—especially under a potential Trump tariff scenario—could limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100 Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100 1. Monthly Timeframe (The Long-Term "Big Picture") Observation: The chart displays an incredibly powerful and long-standing uptrend. The price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows. Candlestick Analysis: The most recent candles are strong, long-bodied bullish (green) candles. There are no significant bearish reversal patterns present whatsoever. This is a picture of strength. Ichimoku Analysis: The price is trading far above the Kumo (Cloud), which is wide and bullish (green). The Tenkan-sen is far above the Kijun-sen, and the Chikou Span is in open space high above the price action from 26 periods ago. This is a textbook example of a very strong, healthy bull market. Conclusion (Monthly): The long-term outlook is unequivocally Bullish. 2. Weekly Timeframe (The Dominant Trend) Observation: The strength seen on the monthly chart is confirmed here. The trend is clearly defined and moving from the lower-left to the upper-right. Heikin Ashi Interpretation: If we were to view this with Heikin Ashi, this chart would show a long sequence of green candles, with most of them having no lower wicks, which, according to your lesson, signifies a very strong and healthy uptrend. Ichimoku Analysis: All five Ichimoku components are in perfect bullish alignment. The price is above the Tenkan-sen, which is above the Kijun-sen, and all are far above the Kumo. This confirms the trend is not only bullish but also has strong momentum. Conclusion (Weekly): The dominant trend is Strongly Bullish. 3. Daily Timeframe (The Trading Trend) Observation: The chart shows a clear uptrend. The most recent price action shows a slight pullback or pause after making a new high. Candlestick Analysis: The last few candles are smaller and show some indecision (like Spinning Tops), which is very common after a strong upward move. This is more likely a "breather" or consolidation rather than a reversal. There are no major bearish reversal patterns like a Bearish Engulfing or Evening Star. Ichimoku Analysis: The price is pulling back towards the Tenkan-sen, which is the first line of dynamic support. As long as the price holds above the Kijun-sen, the bullish trend is considered fully intact. Conclusion (Daily): The trend is Bullish, currently in a minor pullback. The overall structure remains strong. 4. 4-Hour and 1-Hour Timeframes (The Intraday Trend) Observation: These charts give a clearer view of the minor pullback seen on the daily chart. Here, the price action is moving sideways to slightly down. Candlestick Analysis: We can see a few Long Upper Shadow candles near the recent top, which confirms the lesson that sellers stepped in to cause this short-term pause. However, there is no strong follow-through yet from the bears. Ichimoku Analysis: On the 4H chart, the price is testing the Kijun-sen as support. This is a critical level. If it holds, the uptrend is likely to resume. If it breaks below, the correction could deepen, with the Kumo cloud being the next major support zone. Conclusion (4H & 1H): The short-term momentum is corrective/sideways within a larger bullish trend. 5. Lower Timeframes (30M, 15M, 5M) Observation: These charts show the corrective price action most clearly, appearing as a short-term downtrend. Context is Key: Based on the overwhelming strength of the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts, this downtrend on the lower timeframes must be interpreted as counter-trend noise. It is a pullback, not a reversal of the major trend. Harmonic Potential: This pullback could be forming the BC leg of a bullish ABCD pattern, or the AB leg of a bullish Gartley or Bat pattern, where traders would look for a buying opportunity at a key Fibonacci retracement level below. Overall Synthesis and Final Conclusion By performing a correct, top-down analysis of the NAS100 charts, the conclusion is the complete opposite of my previous mistaken analysis. Long-Term (Monthly/Weekly): The market is in a powerful, secular bull market. Medium-Term (Daily): The primary trend is up, but the market is taking a healthy and expected pause or pullback. Short-Term (Intraday): The market is currently in a corrective phase. Final Outlook: The multi-timeframe analysis is in strong alignment. The overwhelming evidence suggests that the primary trend for NAS100 is strongly Bullish. The current downward price action on the lower timeframes is very likely a temporary correction. Traders who align with the dominant trend would view this dip as a potential buying opportunity as the price approaches key support levels (like the Kijun-sen on the 4H/Daily chart), anticipating a resumption of the main uptrend. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
nasdaq100OANDA:NAS100USD has reached the previous highest level. We see that the trendline has made a high possibility of the nasdaq 100 to reach a new high level because the price has gone above the previous high level, and came back to test it. Now the price is going back up. It is fascinating as to what nasdaq100 will do next and how other indices will be affected, including Gold and forex... My opinion on nasdaq100: 1. It has made a different move compared to the previous high levels when they reached this level. Previously when the price reached the horizontal line (the resistance level) price began to push down and create very long spikes. 2. Nasdaq100 will go way too high and spike on that highest trendline. Spike from that level thereby create a new resistance level. 3. And then price will begin to push down strong. This will happen only if there will be a very strong spike meaning an incredible amount of sells pushing the price down.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Shupingct
US100 Update This is a 45-minute chart of the US 100 (NASDAQ Index) from CAPITAL.COM, and it presents a bullish continuation scenario. --- Key Highlights: Current Price: 22,254.6 Change: +72.7 points (+0.33%) --- Chart Structure: Support Zone (Lower Blue Box): ~21,950–22,050 Resistance Zone (Upper Blue Box): ~22,400–22,500 Dotted Path Projection: Suggests the following potential move: 1. Climb toward the upper resistance zone 2. Brief pullback 3. Continuation breakout above 22,500 to around 22,600 --- Interpretation: Current Trend: Bullish, with a strong series of higher lows and gradual build-up Market Bias: Expecting continuation of the uptrend as long as price holds above 22,050 Potential Trade Idea: Buy on Dip: Near 22,100–22,150 zone (if a pullback happens) Target: 22,500–22,600 Stop-Loss: Below 22,000 --- Summary: Trend: Bullish Setup Type: Breakout Continuation Watch for: Consolidation near 22,400 before a push higher Would you like me to compile trade parameters (entry, stop, target) for all three setups (Gold, BTC, NASDAQ) in one place?
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Mr_Zakrii