NAS100FT trade ideas
NAS100 - Will the stock market continue to rise?!The index is trading in its short-term descending channel on the four-hour timeframe between EMA200 and EMA50. If there is no re-up and the channel is broken, I expect a correction to form, the target of which can be the bottom of the descending channel.
If the channel top is broken, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded in the Nasdaq index. It is better to wait for confirmation in case of a breakdown in order to control the risk further.
Over the past week, the Nasdaq has managed to stay within a stable range, especially despite geopolitical pressures, mixed signals from the Federal Reserve, and some concerns in the semiconductor sector. This stability is largely due to the strong fundamentals of large technology companies, the reduction in distribution days (selling pressure) in the market, and renewed expectations of interest rate cuts later in the year.
At a structural level, the number of distribution days, which indicate selling pressure from large institutions, has reached a relatively low number of 3 days in the Nasdaq over the past month. This is a sign of the weakness of heavy selling at price peaks and the market's willingness to maintain long positions. Unlike trends seen in previous years, this time the market has shown no signs of widespread divergence or fundamental weakness, even despite strong inflation data or concerns about new trade restrictions with China.
This trend is largely supported by the stellar performance of companies such as Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple and other major players in the artificial intelligence and technology sectors. Revenue growth, increased investment in AI infrastructure, as well as the return of institutional investors’ confidence in technology stocks, have led the Nasdaq to record significant returns since the beginning of 2025. Analysts from major financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, while warning of potential selling pressure on the index, remain positive about continued growth, of course, assuming that economic data does not deviate from the expected path.
However, some risks are clearly visible in the trading week ahead. The most important of them is the possibility of geopolitical tensions again affecting the market. In recent days, oil prices have risen and financial markets have experienced moments of fear after tensions in the Middle East escalated and the US political response to Iran and Israel's moves. Although the Nasdaq was able to withstand these fluctuations, the market remains very sensitive to energy price spikes and their impact on inflation.
Important data in the coming week could also determine the market's direction. The release of the Core PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, as well as data on unemployment insurance claims, both play a key role in the interest rate outlook. If inflation data is lower than expected, the likelihood that the Fed will start cutting rates in September or November increases, which would be a bullish stimulus for the stock market and especially the Nasdaq.
On the other hand, potential pressure on the semiconductor group - especially if new restrictions on technology exports to China are imposed - could disrupt the market trend. Last Friday, just one news report on the possibility of restricting exports of advanced chipsets caused the Nasdaq to fall by more than 0.6%. If this trend becomes official US government policy, it could cause a correction in stocks of companies such as Nvidia, AMD and ASML, which are heavy weights in the Nasdaq index.
In addition to these factors, next week will also see the release of quarterly reports from major companies such as Micron, FedEx and Nike. The results of these reports, especially in the area of sales and cost forecasts, could affect economic growth expectations. If the figures are better than expected, the Nasdaq could move towards new highs. However, if the data is released, the market could enter a short-term correction phase.
In terms of correlation with monetary policy, the Nasdaq index has become more sensitive than ever to interest rates and cash flows. The dollar price, real interest rates, and the direction of Treasury bonds all now have a direct impact on the valuation of technology companies. As a result, any change in the path of monetary tightening or easing is immediately reflected in the Nasdaq’s performance. However, analysts believe that the market will remain in a “wait and see” phase until the official data is released in July. In summary, the Nasdaq index is currently in a situation where its fundamentals are supported by the profitability of large technology companies, the easing of institutional selling pressure, and the possibility of a rate cut. At the same time, the market remains highly sensitive to major geopolitical news, trade policy, and economic data. As a result, the week ahead can be considered a “two-sided” period, where opportunities and threats are in a delicate balance, and only economic data and quarterly results can tip the balance in the direction of an increase or a correction.
Market Structure 1hr According to what's happening between Iran and Isreal and Trump has attacked Iran in my anticipation and what I do see in the marketplace honestly right now and how the markets has been moving its so terrible so being more careful is important but am anticipating lower prices in this market NAS100 Index, that's not calling it for anybody to short but that's what am thinking is going to happen, it's going to be a nice week ahead at Sunday opening and there we shall see where we want to roll to
NAS100 Bullish Breakout SetupNAS100 Bullish Breakout Setup 🚀
🧠 Chart Analysis (H4 timeframe)
🔹 Ascending Channel:
Price has been trending inside a clear ascending channel (blue zone), supported by higher highs and higher lows.
🔹 Support & Resistance:
Support: Around 21,635.32 – tested multiple times (highlighted by 🔵 arrows).
Resistance: Around 22,265.19 – recent highs and psychological barrier.
🔹 Double Bottom Formation 👣:
Near support zone, a potential double bottom (bullish reversal pattern) is visible. The neckline has been challenged.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation 🟢:
Price has broken above the descending neckline of the double bottom and is hovering near 21,644, indicating potential bullish continuation if sustained.
🔹 Target 🎯:
Projected breakout target lies at 22,265.19, aligning with the previous resistance zone.
🔹 Volume & Momentum 📊:
While not shown, a breakout above the neckline generally needs strong volume confirmation to validate the move.
📌 Conclusion:
If price sustains above the 21,635 – 21,644 area and gains momentum, the path to 22,265 looks likely ✅. However, a false breakout could drag the price back into the channel.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (Part 41)We are entering week 12 since the market signaled it's lowest point of 2025...and the 2nd week of the upper level consolidation between the last Daily Low and the current daily High...
This was confirmed by the the daily consolidation point created by the lowest point of last week on Thursday at 9:49 am... (See M1 Chart)
The market then bought 4,700 for a nice consolidatory trend move in favor of the bulls.
This was followed up with a quick hard sell which is expected in consolidated market such as we have.
There will be lot's of great opportunities favoring buyers and sellers, however the main moves for me are always the buys from my largest HL and the market has proven that over the last 11 weeks the lows have been intact.
Just remember any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to another HL on the largest timeframe.
I do not react to news as the market only trades the defined structure...any craziness that happens in the world only creates volatility within an already established market structure.
So for this week...it's business as usual...I wait for my next entry at the HL just below 21449.0 or at the next confirmed HL.
Happy trading...
My strategy is and will always be:
HL's to HH's Guaranteed!
#oneauberstrategy
NASDAQ Bullish Play into Liquidity Before Potential ReversalForecast:
NOTE: At this moment, this is a forecast and trades will be taken dependent on live PA.
Price has reacted strongly off the 21,410–21,430 Daily Order Block, suggesting bullish intent. If bullish structure holds, I expect a move into the 22,060–22,130 liquidity zone, where sell-side setups could form.
This is a classic Buy to Sell model:
Buy from OB at ~21,420
Target liquidity above recent highs (~22,100+)
Look for shorts after sweep into 22,130–22,220 range
Invalidation: Break and close below 21,410 suggests the OB failed — potential deeper drop toward 20,700.
*NAS100| Weekly Breakdown - Structure Is PriceWhew—Nasdaq was a wild one this week, but once you master structure, liquidity, and OBs, the chaos turns into clarity.
Price held my 30M demand zone, even after a sketchy wick-based reaction early on. First long position? Quick scalp to the highs—in and out, no burger 🍔.
Didn’t wait for a full mitigation at first—anticipated the bullish momentum by staying aligned with structure. Later, price came back and mitigated the zone with body closes, confirming the intent for another long setup into next week.
Yes, I hold trades over weekends—because here’s what I’ve figured out:
“Price is structure. Structure is price. Master that, and it flows exactly how it should.”
This week was just another example of that.
Bless Trading!
Who got in?🟢 NAS100 15min – Bottom Sniped to Perfection!
Another textbook bounce called in real-time by the ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION indicator.
✅ The UP signal printed at the exact low
📈 Price launched shortly after with a near vertical reaction
💥 No hesitation. No lag. No repainting.
⸻
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This is what precision looks like when momentum, volatility and structure all align — and we’ve automated that edge into one system.
📌 Just follow the rules:
• Enter on the signal close
• SL below the signal bar
• Let the market do the rest
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Time to load up the ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION tool and trade with confidence.
NASDAQ - Long now!⚡️ NAS100 15-Min Reversal Signal – Caught the Bottom?
The ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION indicator just printed a clean BUY signal on NAS100 after a strong sell-off into new session lows.
📉 Price had already extended far from structure
📈 RSI momentum began shifting and reversed sharply
✅ Volume spike and RSI reversal confluence added weight to the signal
📍 These types of signals are designed to catch mean reversion moves — especially powerful when price accelerates into extremes and the candle closes with absorption.
🎯 Remember: the signal is plotted on the close of the bar, meaning it doesn’t repaint and allows for real-time decision-making with a clear stop-loss just below the low.
💡 Watch for a potential retrace toward structure or session VWAP.
NASDAQStable bullish bias—large speculators are neither aggressively piling in nor stepping back.
Lack of a sharp position shift suggests the market is in consolidation or mild uptrend rather than a strong breakout.
Watch for fresh breakout above recent highs or shakeouts below support to confirm a shift in direction.
Bias: Slight bullish.
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21840
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 21930
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21755
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21840
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 21930
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21755
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )