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S&P/ASX 200 Index Cash CFD (AUD)

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SPI200 trade ideas

Trend breakI'm not a technicals person. Pulled the chart up and threw a regressession trend over the ASX200 since the bottom of COVID selloff. The trend was broken nearly this exact time last year, and was followed by dip buying. Happened again (though not on RSI oversold) in late October. I believe there is a running theory around option expiry causing dips, but also general bearishness around this time of year which has historically been tough for equities. Add to that an iron ore price collapse and China debt fears and one wonders whether the dip buyers will return to save the XJO. No position, dont invest based on macro or technicals.
ASX:XJO
by adenjb
ASX 200 @ 20 SEP 202120 SEP 2021 – Market Watch As predicted in last night’s livestream, the twin US events (ie. Last Friday’s Quadruple Witching Hour and the upcoming FOMC meeting) are dragging markets down this morning. At market close, the ASX 200 is down 2.1% to test the 7250 support levels created in July 2021. As mentioned last week, 7150-7250 levels (purple lines) will be a support zone for the index. Any break of this zone will also coincide with a structure break. We will have a better gauge on the Fed’s decision whether to taper by Thursday morning. If the Fed does decide to taper, I foresee a drop to potentially 6900 levels (orange line). If the Fed postpones the key decision to November’s meeting, we should be able to see an immediate challenge of 7400 levels again with a potential of even possibly re-testing all time high levels. This would also depend on how China deals with the Evergrande problem and whether there will be a shock to its financial systems. Some analysts have likened the Evergrande issue to the Lehman Brothers issue back in 2008 that precipitated the Global Financial Crises (GFC). I’m not super familiar with Evergrande but I don’t think there will be as big an impact to the world markets. There are three main reasons for my thinking: - (i) China has been reigning in their financial markets since the 1st half of 2021. Thus, there worldwide exposure isn’t as large as before. (ii) Even before the reigning in, China’s markets were not as big and open as the US. (iii) Since the GFC, all the big financial institutes have been forced (through regulation) to beefed up their financial reserves. Even with the Covid pandemic crash in March 2020, most financial institutes held strong and were not severely impacted like they did during the GFC. In terms of my strategies in the market, I will wait to see what happens this Wednesday (US trading hours) and that will guide what I do in the market. It’s too soon to engage bearish strategies. There might be short-term opportunities to short but from my experience, it’s better and safer to trade based on what I see, rather than what I feel. What do you think? Are you out of the markets completely? Or is this a juicy time to pick up undervalued stocks? If you find this market analysis helpful, let me know in the comments. May the markets be with us! Disclaimer:- I’m a mid-term trader and I hold my stocks between 1-3 months. I’m using Trend Following strategies and my analysis will be from a perspective as a Trend Follower. I’m sharing these analyses for learning purposes and as always, DYOR.
ASX:XJO
by Jerm88
Australian stocks looking pretty goodAfter more than a decade of poor performance relative to other markets, the Australian stock market has clearly broken out. At least it has broken out in AUD terms, not USD terms (not yet). It's looking pretty strong and in my opinion it could continue much higher. Definitely one market that makes me have a more bullish outlook on stocks in general. At some point it could return to 6300, but for now I can easily see it go to 10000 over the next 12-18 months.
FX:AUS200Long
by BitcoinMacro
LONG ASX - Rising Wedge and Bearish RSI Divergence RiskSUMMARY: Long, expect to see continued fiscal and monetary support pushing asset prices higher ASX200 is highly correlated to the S&P500. Correction in the SPX will cause one in the ASX. -- Technical -- It is a bearish and the price action is way above the EMAs , a correction is due. --Fundamentals -- However, because of the government support, anticipate further upside. Please HIT the --->>> "LIKE" and "FOLLOW" button. <<<---- *Not financial advice and is for educational purposes only. Always DYOR. SO: What do you think, i? Let me know below.
ASX:XJOLong
by Tez8
Expected Breakout Higher in AUS200Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time publishing, I have a position in AUS200. Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 1-Hour chart. AUS200 has been in a rangebound move and is expected to breakout in the short to medium term. Based on the market profile, the range is between 7255 and 7325. Technical Indicators AUS200 recently crossed above its short (25-SMA), medium (75-SMA) and fractal moving averages and it is currently at the middle of the range. The RSI is above 50 and is heading higher. Moreover, the KST confirmed bullish move with a positive crossover. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market. At the time of publishing AUS200 is trading around 7293. The medium-term target price is observed around the 7400 price level. A stop loss is set at 7200.
OANDA:AU200AUDLong
by Ceddy86
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