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US Dollar Index CFD (USD)

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DXY rebounding on the 1D MA50 and bottom of Channel Up.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the November 05 2024 Low and the break-out above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Yesterday it made a new Higher Low exactly at the bottom of the Channel and shortly after breaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This MA recovery confirms the start of the pattern's new Bullish Leg. The previous two delivered a rise of exactly +4.50%, and as such we will be looking for a similar Target at 111.650. Note that, even though the 1D RSI resembles the May 15 2024 Low, which despite an initial rebound, it was rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line at the time, now the long-term trend has shifted to bullish as that Lower Highs trend-line turned into Support on the December 06 2024 contact. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
1
DXY Will Go Down! Short! Take a look at our analysis for DXY. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 107.947. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 106.747 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
1
DXY 4H Timeframe AnalysisDXY 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis On the 4-hour timeframe, the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is in a short-term downtrend. The price has been creating new lower highs and lower lows until it broke through the major key support at 107.400, a significant level due to at least five tops formed below it. After the breakout, sellers gained momentum, accumulating a large volume of sell orders. However, sellers started losing strength as the price reversed, hunting stop-loss levels above the major key support. The price then rebounded above 107.400, forming a liquidity trap and signaling potential manipulation to accumulate more orders. Price Action Expectation Our objective is to wait for liquidity to form within the current liquidity zone. Once this occurs, we will look for the price to break below the major key level at 107.400 again. A confirmed close below this level on the 4-hour timeframe will indicate that sellers have regained control, signaling a continuation of the downtrend. The next target is 105.500, where the next minor key support lies. This level is critical as it represents the next significant area where the price could find buying interest. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Sell Stop Entry: 107.090 (after price breaks below 107.400, signaling trend continuation) Stop Loss: 107.830 (above the liquidity zone, protecting against false breakouts) Take Profit: 105.500 (targeting the next minor key support level) This setup capitalizes on the expected continuation of the downtrend, leveraging the liquidity zone to confirm selling pressure. A proper risk-to-reward ratio enhances the trade's potential profitability. Fundamental Outlook: The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) can indirectly affect the performance of companies like NVIDIA. A stronger U.S. dollar (when DXY is rising) can hurt U.S. exporters, including tech companies like NVIDIA, because their products become more expensive for foreign buyers. This can lead to a decline in revenue from international markets, especially since NVIDIA has a significant portion of its revenue coming from abroad. In January 2025, NVIDIA's stock (NVDA) experienced significant volatility, culminating in a substantial decline on January 27. The stock closed at $118.42, marking a 16.9% drop from the previous close. This decline was primarily driven by the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup that introduced a cost-effective AI model, raising concerns about reduced demand for NVIDIA's products. The combination of a stronger U.S. dollar (higher DXY) and competition from AI startups like DeepSeek could have compounded the downward pressure on NVIDIA's stock price. Both DXY movements and external competition are crucial factors to monitor for investors in stocks like NVIDIA, as they can significantly impact performance and valuation. Risk Management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain at least 1:2 to optimize returns. Position Sizing: Adjust lot size according to account equity and risk tolerance. False Breakout Caution: Be mindful of potential false breakouts. Reassess stop-loss placement if the price fails to hold below 107.400. Conclusion: The DXY setup targets a continuation of the downtrend after liquidity is formed within the current zone. The breakout and retest of 107.400 confirm significant selling pressure. By waiting for further liquidity formation and a confirmed close below this level, the trade maximizes the likelihood of a profitable outcome. The liquidity zone suggests a high probability for sellers to regain control and drive the price toward the next minor key support at 105.500. Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risks. Always consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by RebornFXTrader
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level. however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level Goal 🎯: 105.800 (or) Before escape in the market Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook The DXY (Dollar Index) market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors. 🔴Fundamental Analysis The DXY is a geometrically weighted index that tracks the value of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies: the euro (57.6%), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). The index is influenced by interest rates, inflation, and economic indicators such as GDP and employment rates. 🟠Macro Analysis The US Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions significantly impact the DXY. With the Fed's rate hike cycle, the US dollar has strengthened against other major currencies. However, the recent decline in US Treasury yields has put pressure on the dollar. 🟡Market Sentiment The market sentiment for the DXY is currently bearish, with 71% of IG client accounts short on this market. However, some analysts believe that the dollar's decline has been overdone and expect a rebound. 🟢Retail Traders' Sentiments Retail traders' sentiments are mixed, with some expecting a bullish move and others predicting a bearish trend. On TradingView, some analysts have identified a potential bearish pattern, while others see a bullish reversal. 🔵Upcoming Events The upcoming events that may impact the DXY include: Federal Reserve Meeting: The Fed's interest rate decision and monetary policy statement may influence the dollar's value. US GDP and Inflation Data: The release of US GDP and inflation data may impact the dollar's strength. Trade Developments: Any updates on US trade policies, particularly with China, may affect the dollar's value. 🟣Trading Expectations Based on the analysis, it's challenging to predict a clear direction for the DXY. However, considering the bearish market sentiment and potential bearish patterns, a neutral to bearish move is possible in the short term. Keep a close eye on upcoming events and market developments to adjust your trading strategy accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
TVC:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
3
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CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by David_Perk
2
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 107.16 1st Support: 106.51 1st Resistance: 107.92 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
1
DXY - 1H still bearish...While some signals indicate buy opportunities on the dollar index, I remain skeptical. As mentioned in our 4H analysis, the third bullish leg has been completed, and I expect a deeper correction in CAPITALCOM:DXY . In the 1H time frame, we can observe that the second reaction to the support zone is significantly weaker than the first. This could indicate a potential breakdown of the support zone, with the index likely falling below the 107 level. Let’s see how this plays out! Follow for timely updates and expert insights! 🚀
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Sober_Trading
DXY - Potential Sell At Key ResistanceThe DXY is approaching a key resistance zone, which has historically acted as a strong supply area. This level has seen multiple price rejections in the past, making it a critical area of interest for potential reversals. The current uptrend has brought the price back into this resistance zone, but there are signs of potential trend exhaustion as the price tests these levels. If the price confirms rejection with bearish signals, such as reversal candlesticks or divergence on oscillators, we could see a downward move. I anticipate that, upon rejection from this resistance zone, the DXY may head lower toward the 107.548 level. This setup aligns with the idea of a short-term correction within the broader market context. Let me know your thoughts on this analysis or if you see a different perspective! Feel free to share your insights in the comments!
TVC:DXYShort
by DanieIM
1
Technical Take: USD Support in Play across Key TimeframesAccording to the US Dollar (USD) Index, the USD finished the week on the ropes, down 1.8%. Despite the growing sense that US President Trump may not live up to the hype of his pre-inauguration statements – placing a question mark on USD upside – technical studies appear to favour bulls. Long-Term Technicals Favour Bulls Technically speaking, I have been banging the drum for monthly resistance at 109.33 for quite some time now, which, as you can see, recently entered the fray and held ground. For anyone interested, I am a staunch advocate of yearly opening levels, and 109.33 has demonstrated a solid track record as a support and resistance – extended from as far back as 2001. However, while a notable area, several technical factors support USD bulls. This includes the overall trend facing to the upside, clear (local) support at 105.91-107.39, both the 50-month (101.09) and 200-month (91.16) simple moving averages (SMAs) rotating higher (the 50-month SMA has also been north of the 200-month SMA since early 2017), and, finally, the monthly chart’s Relative Strength Index maintaining position north of the 50.00 centreline since 2021 (positive momentum), albeit scraping the threshold several times since 2023. Consequently, it would appear that sellers have their work cut out for them. Daily and H1 Support Enters the Fight Across the page on the daily chart, Friday wrapped up the session probing through bids at support from 107.77 (now marked resistance) and touched gloves with the 50-day SMA at 107.58, as well as a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio at 107.24 (note that support is also present nearby at 107.05). Although you could argue that the earlier break of trendline support (extended from the low of 100.18) may fuel further technical downside, current support between 107.05 and 107.58 is not an area to overlook, particularly when it blends with the upper edge of monthly support (107.39). Were buyers to take control here, 107.77 resistance is an obvious hurdle before confirming a bullish scenario on the daily scale, while rupturing support could unearth another support as far south as 105.62. Shorter-term flow on the H1 chart is in a clear downtrend, consisting of a series of lower lows and lower highs. Given the break of clear lows around 107.70ish (blue oval area), this intensified downside pressure through tripped long positions and fresh breakout selling. I have been monitoring a key support level from 107.25 for a while, and I believe it may be a platform where buyers begin building a position. This is due to where we are trading from on the bigger picture (monthly and daily support) and fresh liquidity available from the break of short-term lows at 107.70. As you can see, together with the H1 support, a 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio at 106.86 (harmonic traders may recognise this as an ‘alternate’ AB=CD bullish setup) and a 100% projection ratio at 106.84 (equal AB=CD formation) resides below current support, which buyers may use as their lower threshold to construct a support zone with 107.25. We have already witnessed some buying from 107.25 on Friday. Still, if the daily resistance from 107.77 is consumed, this would likely encourage buying and eventually pave the way toward the monthly resistance mentioned above at 109.33, closely shadowed by another layer of daily resistance from 109.53. Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
TVC:DXYLong
by FPMarkets
Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4-H, for DXY US Dollar IndexTVC:DXY This chart shows a clear Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4-hour time frame for DXY (US Dollar Index), which is a bearish reversal pattern. Here's a short analysis: Key Levels: The neckline is at approximately 108.000, acting as a crucial support zone. A breakdown below the neckline would signal further bearish momentum. Pattern Confirmation: Wait for a breakout below the neckline, followed by a possible retest, to confirm the pattern. Bearish Target: The measured move from the head to the neckline can be projected downward, aligning with the next key support levels around 107.000–106.500. Invalidation Zone: If price breaks above the right shoulder high (around 108.800–109.000), the bearish scenario could be invalidated. Would you like to explore specific trade setups based on this pattern? Here’s how you can structure trade setups based on the Head and Shoulders pattern visible in the chart: 1. Bearish Setup (Breakout Strategy) Entry: Enter a short position after a confirmed breakout below the neckline (108.000). Wait for a strong bearish candle close below this level. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above the right shoulder high at 108.800–109.000, depending on your risk tolerance. Take Profit Targets: 1st target: 107.500 (psychological level and near-term support). 2nd target: 107.000 (projected move based on pattern). 3rd target: 106.500 (long-term support zone).
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1