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US Dollar Index CFD (USD)

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DYX Monthly vs Crypto & Stocks: The Most Bullish Ever!The DXY is at its most bullish since June 2021. Here we can see it bouncing strongly from EMA55 as support. We looked at the DXY and how it is related to Bitcoin ( see here ). Now we want to consider the DXY on its own. ➖ How far up can the DXY go and for how long? To start, we can see that the last time the DXY went bullish it closed green for four consecutive months. This would be the first green month, so we have another three of potential bullish action. The bounce in July 2023 also produced four months of growth. Now, the action in the last bounce and back in 2023 were part of a consolidation pattern, what we are seeing now is the start of a bullish wave. ➢ First, within several months, or weeks, the DXY is set to hit 109. Long-term, it can go higher and hit a new All-Time High. ➢ The first long-term resistance will be around 114, which is the September 2022 peak. 111.1 would be an intermediate target. ➢ The new ATH can settle around 124/5. The last ATH was hit around 121. This is all based on the long-term. This is the monthly timeframe. The DXY going bullish can have a very strong negative effect on the stock market and even Cryptocurrency but this is only initially, after several months of the DXY being strongly bullish, the Cryptocurrency market can recover and do great. I don't know about the stock market, it can be different but Crypto will be fine. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
TVC:DXYLong
by AlanSantana
5
DXY D1 - Short Signal DXY D1 Some large market gaps seen across US30 and US100, XAUUSD also gapping to the downside, trading as low as $2725/oz. DXY still remains below our area of resistance and supply, which trades at around 104.500 price. 105.000 would usually be a good technical psychological trading zone, that being said, there isn't much else on that price that would act as any real method of confluence for the moment. Lets see what happens around this 104.500 price level, we have had a couple of days trading into that zone and a red engulfing candle close on that daily timeframe back on Thursday last week. Could we expect some dumps on DXY this week?
TVC:DXYShort
by Trade_Simple_FX
Depreciation of DXYGeopolitical conditions can help to increase the value of the currency to some extent, but eventually it will face a decrease in value. In this analysis, I compared different currency pairs such as EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, AUDUSD with DXY, and the result is a decrease in the value of the dollar and a return to the previous value. Yes, we may see other short-term increases, but eventually the dollar will cause the growth of other currencies by reducing its price. Sasha Charkhchian
TVC:DXYShort
by sashacharkhchian
😱 COLLAPSE OF THE DOLLAR 2022 - 2045 - END OF EMPIREHello ladies and gentlemen! I bring to your attention my very global view of the US dollar solely from the point of view of technical analysis, namely the Elliot wave theory. The graph shows the projection of the missing waves in the impulse of the supercycle - I-II-III-IV-V, the impulse is fully completed and ended back in 1985. In my opinion, from the point of view of technical analysis and the Elliot wave theory itself, a zigzag has been forming globally on the US dollar index in the corrective phase since 1985, with a triangle in wave-(b). The ultimate goal of this zigzag is a collapse of the dollar index by minus -80% from ATH. Ultimately, the Fed will lose in the fight against inflation, after the triangle is fully formed, a descending impulse five will begin in wave-(c) of the zigzag, I believe around 2030 plus or minus the triangle will be broken down, this will be a distress signal and confirmation I'm right, from now on, save your savings, because after the dollar index finds a bottom in the region of 20-30 points, for 100 dollars you can only buy a roll of toilet paper. BRENT oil will be $300-400 per barrel, and gold $5,000-6,000 a troy ounce, and that's even better. Naturally, after this collapse, the dollar will lose its status as the world's main reserve currency, the economy will stagnate amid hyperinflation, it will be many times worse than the Great Depression, and the markets will remember this apocalypse for a long time. After the collapse of the US dollar, a new world order will be established, there will be a new leader and a new major world reserve currency. I believe this will end the approximately 250 year dollar cycle and the US Dollar Index will never again update its ATH. ❌ This trade idea should be reconsidered if DXY exceeds the 121 level, which is unlikely in my opinion. In this case, it will definitely not be a triangle. This is my purely personal author's opinion, whether you share it with me or not is your own business, always think with your own head - I wish you good luck!
INDEX:DXY
by AnonymousTraderAcademy
2
2024 Intermarket AnalysisThis chart compares the performance of several key assets—Bitcoin (blue), Gold (yellow), the S&P 500 (red), the U.S. Dollar Index (green), and WTI Crude Oil (white)—over the past year. Here’s a breakdown of each asset’s performance and its potential implications: Bitcoin (Blue) - Up 50.63% Bitcoin has shown strong performance, with a notably higher volatility than the other assets. The cryptocurrency's rise, particularly in recent months, indicates strong demand and possibly a growing interest in Bitcoin as an alternative asset. Its uncorrelated behavior compared to traditional assets, such as the S&P 500 and Gold, highlights its appeal as a diversifying investment, especially during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty. Gold (Yellow) - Up 32.47% Gold has performed solidly, with a significant positive return, reflecting its status as a safe-haven asset. The increase in gold prices suggests that investors may be hedging against inflation, economic instability, or potential currency devaluation. Gold’s upward trend, coupled with its stability compared to Bitcoin, shows that it continues to be a reliable store of value. S&P 500 (Red) - Up 22.46% The S&P 500 is underperforming compared to other assets. This is influenced by economic slowdown concerns, investors potentially seeking alternative or defensive assets. U.S. Dollar Index (Green) - Up 2.24% The U.S. Dollar Index has shown mild growth, suggesting a stronger dollar relative to other currencies. This strength may stem from tighter monetary policy and interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. However, the dollar's relatively flat trajectory over time shows mixed reactions to broader economic conditions, with the currency acting as a moderate safe haven. WTI Crude Oil (White) - Down 2.36% WTI Crude Oil has seen a minor decline, with fluctuations reflecting supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and economic slowdown fears. The relative stability in oil prices compared to Bitcoin and equities might indicate a balanced market sentiment around energy demand and supply. However, as a crucial economic indicator, crude oil’s trend is essential to monitor for insights into broader economic activity. Key Takeaways: Risk Appetite vs. Safe Haven: Bitcoin and Gold have outperformed, possibly reflecting a flight to alternative and safe-haven assets amidst economic uncertainty. Dollar's Stability: The U.S. Dollar has remained relatively stable, benefiting from its safe-haven status without extreme growth or decline. Energy Market: Crude Oil’s moderate performance suggests mixed sentiment in global economic growth expectations. This analysis indicates a preference for alternative investments like Bitcoin and Gold, It reflects investor caution amidst economic concerns, with the Dollar and Oil serving as more stable assets
TVC:DXY
by Moshkelgosha
1
Levels discussed on 28th October Livestream28th October DXY: Retracing from top of 104.55, could trade down to 104.20 before retesting high again. Needs to stay above bullish trendline. NZDUSD: Sell 0.5980 SL 25 TP 65 (Test and reject bearish trendline) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 20 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.30 SL 25 TP 90 EURUSD: Ranging between 1.0780 and 1.0840, could trade up in smaller timeframe USDJPY: Retracing, could test 152.50, look for rejection, Buy 153.10 SL 50 TP 200 USDCHF: Buy 0.8705 SL 15 TP 45 USDCAD: Look for possible retrace and reaction at 1.3850 Gold: Likely to fluctuate between 2720 and 2747 while directional bias develops
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Trump 2.0: What to Expect If Donald Trump Returns to the W.HouseWith Donald Trump once again campaigning for president, his economic policies and views on international trade are resurfacing. Known for his aggressive protectionism, deregulation, and tax cuts, his economic approach has been dubbed the “Trump 2.0” by the media. But what does the Trump Trade really mean for investors? During his first term, Trump’s policies produced mixed results. While sectors like finance and energy thrived, the federal budget deficit widened, healthcare coverage decreased, and income inequality grew. Now, with the prospect of Trump returning to the White House, we could witness "Trump 2.0." What impacts might this have on the economy, and how should investors prepare? Key Points -The Trump Trade emphasizes lower taxes, deregulation, increased tariffs, and reduced immigration to stimulate U.S. growth. -Trump’s policies benefited sectors like finance and energy but also increased the federal deficit and triggered trade wars. If re-elected, Trump’s economic agenda could boost the stock market and select industries but also bring risks like higher inflation and global retaliatory tariffs. Understanding the Trump 2.0 The "Trump 2.0" represents Donald Trump’s economic strategy, which centers on stimulating growth through deregulation, tax cuts, higher tariffs, and reduced immigration. While this approach benefited specific sectors, it also led to rising federal deficits and global trade conflicts. Highlights of Donald Trump (2016-2020) 1. A Strong Economy Under Trump, the U.S. economy remained robust, with low inflation and consistent job growth until the COVID-19 pandemic struck. However, the economic momentum seen during Trump’s presidency was largely a continuation of the post-Great Recession recovery initiated by the Obama administration. 2. Job Creation and Wage Growth Prior to the pandemic, job creation and wage growth continued their upward trend, with unemployment hitting a 50-year low of 3.5% in 2019. Wages increased steadily in 2018 and 2019. 3. Tax Cuts The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, Trump’s most significant policy, represented the largest tax overhaul in 30 years, reducing the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. The tax cuts spurred consumer spending and increased private sector investment, but also added significantly to the federal deficit. 4. Booming Stock Market The stock market thrived under Trump’s administration, with the S&P 500 setting new records until 2022. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 57% during his tenure, fueled by high employment, wage growth, and tax incentives. S&P500 During Trumph Election 5. Widening Federal Deficit Trump’s tax cuts and increased defense spending expanded the federal deficit. In 2018, the annual deficit hit $779 billion, escalating to over $1 trillion by 2020. 6. Trade Tariffs Trump imposed tariffs on steel, aluminum, solar panels, and Chinese imports, triggering a “trade war” with China and other trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and the European Union. While intended to protect U.S. industries, these tariffs led to global retaliations, impacting American consumers and workers negatively. What to Expect If Trump Returns to Power If Trump returns to the White House, his economic policies could have significant implications for various sectors: 1. Impact on the Stock Market Historically, the stock market performs positively during election periods, regardless of the candidate. If Trump wins, expect market gains due to extended tax cuts, increased oil and gas production, and deregulation. While Trump’s policies could boost corporate investment, stock market performance will ultimately depend on broader economic fundamentals. 2. Impact on Bond Yields Trump's pro-business agenda, combined with increased spending, could drive inflation upwards. If inflation rises, the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates, which could increase bond yields but reduce bond prices. This would likely result in a more muted bond market under a Trump administration. 3. Impact on Dollar Strength A strong economy under Trump could bolster the U.S. Dollar. External factors, such as economic weakness in Europe and Asia, may further support dollar strength. However, a stronger dollar could hurt U.S. exporters, making their goods more expensive abroad and reducing their competitiveness. 4. Impact on Specific Sectors -Financial Services: The sector could benefit from deregulation, enabling banks to expand operations and increase profitability. -Technology: Tech companies may gain from extended corporate tax cuts, leading to higher investments, stock buybacks, and dividends. -Energy: Trump’s “drill, baby, drill” policy aims to expand domestic oil and gas production, supporting the energy sector and boosting U.S. exports. -Manufacturing: While a strong dollar could reduce export competitiveness, Trump’s emphasis on domestic production (e.g., the CHIPS and Science Act) could support U.S. manufacturers. -Infrastructure: Trump's support for infrastructure projects could benefit construction and civil engineering companies, building on the existing Infrastructure Act passed by Biden. Global Implications of Trump 2.0 -Universal Tariffs: Trump’s proposed universal tariffs could trigger significant global retaliation, leading to reduced trade, disrupted supply chains, and higher global inflation. -Renewed Trade War with China: Trump has hinted at increasing tariffs on Chinese imports to as high as 60%, which could hinder China’s economic recovery and create broader global economic uncertainty. Preparing for Trump 2.0 Investors should keep a close eye on sectors likely to benefit from Trump’s policies, such as finance, technology, energy, and infrastructure. At the same time, be prepared for volatility in the bond market and potential retaliatory tariffs impacting global trade dynamics. Diversifying portfolios, hedging against potential inflation, and maintaining a long-term investment outlook can help manage the uncertainties associated with a potential Trump return to the White House. Conclusion Trump 2.0 could have a significant impact on the U.S. economy and global markets. While certain sectors may experience growth under Trump’s policies, the risks of higher inflation, trade conflicts, and federal deficits remain. Investors should approach a potential Trump presidency with cautious optimism, focusing on sectors that align with his agenda while being prepared for increased volatility. By staying informed and adaptable, investors can capitalize on the opportunities and navigate the risks posed by a possible Trump comeback. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:DXYEducation
by FOREXN1
5