DXY Long term targetI think the IV wave is finished. now in 1-2 year dxy next target will be around 120. probably in 1 year.
USDX trade ideas
DXY: US dollar To Drop Further Around 95?The US dollar has been steadily declining since the new president was elected in the USA. This decline has been accompanied by the ongoing trade wars. Numerous economic indicators have supported this trend, and we anticipate further depreciation in the coming days or weeks. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own analysis and gain a comprehensive understanding of the market.
We wish you the best of success in trading. Good luck and trade safely.
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Team Setupsfx_
DXYThe DXY has faced severe sell off due to President Trump's policy and idea of how the dollar should be controlled/managed. Though it has fallen, a pullback will happen soon. I will be using the DXY as a good guide for all the USD/XXX or XXX/USD pairs. You as a trader can take what you can from this.
These 4HR FVG'S seem like a very good place where you can do one of two things. First you may be able to manage and hold a trade throughout the whole pullback. Another option is take complete profits instead of partials and enter in at good prices with this pullback in mind for bias.
Dollar consolidating - Still long term bearishLets see if the Daily Volume imbalance can hold price lower here. If it breaks higher then the clean highs will be a target for a sweep then return lower again. FOMC Tomorrow!! Stay safe
DXY HOTD SetDXY HOTD Set
Unemployment Claims delivery lower expected.
H1 FTB, Weak Low.
H1 FVG, H1 QM
LOWER !!!
Let's see...
Tariffs your time is up!
Tariff pauses are ending on July 9th. Even if expected deals aren't reach, it's expect that we won't pause again. Expecting the dollar to regain strength into this date.
dxy looks on critical juncture dxy looks on critical juncture consolidation near 95 can lead to higher side but if it do not happen than lowerside can be the target
DXY HAS VIOLATED KEY SUPPORT ZONE As DXY has violated key support zone. 94.648 which appears to be the next key level must hold, otherwise we may be approaching the 89 zone.
The DXY looks doomedI drew this chart in September 2022. Now, almost three years later, the DXY has broken below its channel.
DXY Game Plan - USD IndexIt is important to watch the DXY to understand the strength of the USD across global markets.
The DXY is a key index that reflects the U.S. dollar’s dominance in foreign exchange. Therefore, tracking it can provide valuable insights into the potential direction of all major asset classes.
In this post, I’ll break down both technical and fundamental expectations.
Technical Analysis
DXY has been in a retracement phase (bearish) since January 2025. During this time, we’ve seen EUR and other major forex pairs form strong bullish trends.
Currently, the DXY is approaching a weekly bullish trendline, where I expect a potential bounce.
Additionally, DXY is trading within a discount zone (below the 0.5 Fibonacci level, also known as equilibrium). Personally, I’m watching for a deeper move into the maximum discount zone (around the 0.75 Fib level).
This area also aligns with key liquidity concepts. Ideally, I want to see a deviation below the bullish trendline, with a sweep of one of the weekly liquidity levels marked on the chart (two black horizontal lines).
I'm not relying on a clean triangle trendline retest, but it's a possibility.
Game Plan
DXY taps the bullish trendline
Deviates below it, running weekly liquidity (black lines)
Hits the max discount zone (~0.75 Fib)
Then shows signs of reversal and strength
Once that setup completes, I’ll be expecting strong USD performance, and will look to short risk assets — including stocks and major forex pairs.
Fundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve is currently resisting pressure to cut interest rates, while Trump is vocally pushing for rate cuts.
The market is already pricing in a 79% probability of a September rate cut (source: CME FedWatch Tool), so if that happens as expected, I don’t anticipate major market reaction.
However, a surprise rate cut in July would likely trigger a flash crash in DXY/USD — though based on my game plan, I would expect a V-shaped recovery shortly afterward.
EUR, GBP, AUD, and CAD have also hit key resistance zones, so I believe we're likely to see USD strength for a while.
Weekly Outlook. Dollar Strength🗓 Economic Outlook – 2025-06-30 💹 RSI Divergence and Dollar Strength 🟢 Summary
A bearish divergence in the RSI combined with strong U.S. fundamentals suggests continued upward pressure on the Dollar Index (DXY). This trend may persist, particularly if upcoming economic data supports current expectations. 📊 Technical Insight
RSI Divergence Observed
On the DXY chart, we observe a hidden bullish divergence in the RSI, where price makes a higher low while RSI makes a lower low.
This pattern suggests potential continuation of the uptrend despite short-term corrections.
🧮 Fundamental Overview
ADP Employment Report (Wednesday)
Expected stronger results could support the dollar’s bullish trend through next week.
Watch for surprise upside in employment numbers.
NFP Index
Currently above 100, indicating a healthy U.S. economy.
Even if it reaches 120 as expected, the impact may be muted due to prior pricing-in by the market.
"I try to share an overview of the data a day in advance to give you a general perspective."
🔴Remember, the long-term outlook for the dollar is bearish.🔴
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 96.706 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 96.819.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY RANGING Today we see DXY in a ranging phase after seeing a BOS on the H4 timeframe
Expecting retracement to the upside
Pairs to watch out for
Euro Dollar and the Pound Dollar
OANDA:EURUSD OANDA:GBPUSD
OANDA:AUDUSD OANDA:NZDUSD
DXY This is a strong increase in short positions (more than double).
DXY Sentiment: Bearish
Momentum: Increasing bearish pressure
(Speculators are more confident the dollar will weaken)
Bullish on EURUSD till Q1 2026Looking at the chart, I remained bullish on the Euro dollars for the mid term.
Those who followed , would have made some good profits.
Any pullback on EURUSD remains a good entry to accumulate.
As usual, please DYODD
DXY - 4H - UPDATEBears tried again on Friday but buyers stepped in and defended the low.
What's next?
If DXY can hold the price above Friday's low, it may set up a bounce.
The R/R is quite attractive. I will keep it on my radar for a potential trade tomorrow.
DXY JUNE DELIVERY NOTES & NFP week aheadDXY
JUNE DELIVERY NOTES
*June was a distribution candle rebalancing a BISI from March 2022
*daily chart shows price consolidate beginning of June, then mid month breaking to lower prices taking key equal lows, third week price retraces to make a 1 pip high, last week a trending sell off cycle to close the month
*Price is a discount parent range- anticipating a pull back this week for NFP
*Monthly price has broken structure and expecting it to gravitate to the .70 level 96.672 and rebalance the volume imbalance from Feb 2022 for the next coming weeks target ideas
*4 hour chart shows price in a consolidation Thursday and Friday-expansion expected Monday
June 27 DELIVERY
*Price opens in Asia in a expansion cycle to take minor buy side and create a wall of equal highs
*21:00 retraces creates equal lows
*0:00 price takes minor equal highs
*2 London macro price rallies for my suspected equal lows target
*3 macro small retrace of delivery
*7 macro price fake swing to equal lows -creates a wall of equal lows
*9 macro price rallies for equal highs
*13:00 price expands to take session buy stops
*closes retracing to the 50 level
JUNE 30 IDEAS
*I suspect for Sunday's delivery to take minor equal lows possibly the equal lows for a deep discount set up for a buy day- Monday
*last liquidity Friday buy side
*Price is in a deep discount over sold is my thought with the sell off we saw Monday through to Wednesday we could see Price retrace to the 50 level 98.204 for this weeks pull back?
*NFP week ahead parent bias is KING and we are still bear on this pair
DXY This week on DXY we can see shift from last week longs to short this week based on big institutions smart money. So more bearish expected throughout the week.
Make US(and USD) weak again, and short DXY 99,358Hey traders, this is a fundamentally and technically based idea. I´m expecting a weakening of USD due to actual US goverment policy. Important weekly lenel 100,600 was broken and holding. If you decide to trade this idea, you can enter now at current price 99,358 and hold till profit lines. TP your trade partially. You can consider averaging at 100,600 instead of cutloss after the reaction. Wish you good luck.
TIME FOR THE DOLLAR TO STRENGTHEN OR FURTHER WEAKNESS.So what are we lookin at? We have been looking at the weakest price in dollar yet.Yesterday we tested the yearly lows at 97.700 which we are using as current baseline. I will mark up that price range to use as our support. Geopolitical tensions are cooling off as Trump called for ceasefire between the two war torn nations but we still have lots of economic data flowing in. Most attention fall towards Fed chair Powell speech as this will shape up the direction of the dollar going forward as we head to a new month. Correction higher means USDJPY will rise as we are having a steady Yen currency. We saw the dollar fail to hold above 99.300 which is our nearest resistance level marked by a horizontal ray.So focus is on those two price levels so as to enable us find opportunities to trade.
24th JuneTA: Many confluences for a bearish bias. Only confirmation needed for high probability price action is running (closing below 4H SL) on 1H. We have to exercise some caution, because price is still in the area of the monthly sweep. For a trade PA has to give us optimal behaviour.
News: Powell testifies at 10:00am. This could lead to a very quick move below the swept monthly low.
Price action Since the dxy failed to make a lower low and failed to break below but above this is a scenario that might play out
