Dollar Index UpdateDollar index hasn't broken support, and ECB meeting tomorrow.
I went into gold today anyways because the pumping will counteract any rise in teh dollar, lol.
If gold dips tomorrow after the meeting, I'm adding more.
USDX trade ideas
DXY Bullish Reversal Setup – Long Entry from Support Zone TowardEMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 99.700 — tracks short-term trend, and price is hovering near this level.
EMA 200 (Blue Line): At 100.935 — indicates long-term trend, acting as dynamic resistance above.
📈 Trade Setup
✅ Entry Point:
Price: 99.699
Rationale: This level has been tested multiple times, forming a support zone. A bounce here signals a potential long entry.
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit):
Price: 102.738
Distance: ~3.04 points or 3.43% potential move upward.
Note: Marked as EA TARGET POINT, which suggests a calculated area possibly based on previous resistance or algorithmic strategy.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Price: 98.624
Reasoning: Just below the defined support zone (highlighted purple area), ensuring protection against downside breakouts.
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Entry: 99.699
Target: 102.738 → Gain of ~3.04
Stop: 98.624 → Risk of ~1.08
R/R Ratio: ~2.8:1 — favorable setup
📌 Overall Sentiment
This chart indicates a bullish reversal setup from a strong support zone, possibly targeting a mean reversion or trend reversal toward the 200 EMA and beyond.
However, keep in mind:
The price is currently below both EMAs, so the trend is still bearish.
The trade is counter-trend, relying on support holding and momentum shifting.
Dixie 41625Still in a long term uptrend and testing the lower range of its rising channel. Uncertainty may bring short term vol to the downside . But once the world understands that this is a global crisis. Dollar will once again gain strength against all others, Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Swedish Krona, Swiss Franc. The dollar will rip to new highs and continue its golden retrace target.
Bitcoin down, which ive said. Gold and silver continue marching up. Real things hold stable and are the only true stores of value.
DXY HOTW InDXY HOTW IN
OHLC Profile
Have to treat this choppy PA with caution and wait for extra confirmations.
Expecting a Powell Speech delivery tonight.
DXY
as I said in the session yesterday
Expect this chart to consolidate in this range... this will expereince volatility when in about 8hours or so, powell speaks.
.DXY (U.S.DOLLAR INDEX) M30 ANALYSIS UPDATES
🔍 **Chart Overview:**
- The chart shows a recent **bearish movement** after a double top pattern, indicated by the red arrows.
- Price has dropped significantly and is approaching a **key support zone** around **99.209 – 99.253**.
- A potential **bullish reversal** is anticipated from this support zone.
---
🧠 **Trade Idea:**
✅ **Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup):**
1. **Wait for price action** confirmation around the support area **(99.209 – 99.253)**.
2. Once bullish confirmation appears (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, or double bottom), look for **buy entries**.
3. **First target:** **99.839** (minor resistance zone).
4. **Final target:** **100.607** (major resistance & previous high).
❗️**Invalidation:**
- If price breaks and closes **below 99.209** with strong bearish momentum, the bullish idea becomes invalid and further downside may be expected.
. 🧩 **Strategy Notes:**
- This setup assumes a potential **V-shaped recovery** after a liquidity grab below the recent low.
- Watch for **U.S. economic data releases**, as marked on the chart – they may trigger volatility and impact DXY movement.
The US dollar is Forex's weakest currency this year 2025Fall of the US dollar: institutional investors were already selling in February
The US dollar (DXY) is officially the weakest currency on the floating foreign exchange market (Forex) since the beginning of the year. Down over 8% against all the world's major currencies, this vertical downtrend had been anticipated by technical analysis as early as January. This comes as no surprise to those who follow major technical signals: breakout of the 200-day moving average in early March, structural pressures visible with the Elliott wave fractal approach, bearish signals from the ichimoku system... in short, the technical tools had spoken, and the market has effectively embarked on a downtrend this year 2025.
The question now is: is a bottom in sight? In the short term, perhaps, the market is testing the strong chartist support of 99/100 points on the DXY (see main chart of this analysis).
In the medium term, the downtrend could continue. One thing is clear, and that is that institutional positioning has played a central role in the downturn: hedge funds and asset managers all turned bearish on the US dollar in the depths of winter. As early as February, the former became net buyers of EUR/USD, as shown by the CFTC's COT report. Then, at the beginning of March, all institutional investors became net sellers of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies (see the inset data in the chart below).
Bis repetita with the first year of Trump's first term (2017)
It was the trade war, that of the so-called reciprocal tariffs, which saw the increase in medium-term bearish technical signals on the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. Volatility on Wall Street exploded, not least because of the Trump administration's escalating tariffs. The US economic climate is becoming increasingly unpredictable for markets, with trade policy seemingly improvised and decisions generating systemic uncertainty.
But that's not all: the US bond market is also sending out warning signals. The 10-year yield has gone up, and spreads between the US and other developed economies have widened. Some even speak of a form of Chinese pressure on US debt, through massive sales of Treasuries. The MOVE index, a barometer of bond volatility, confirms it: the tension is there, and it's clearly weighing on the dollar.
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services.
Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA.
Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
DXY Bullish move| 🔹 Pair / TF | DXY, 1 h → Lower Timeframes |
| 🔹 Bias | Bullish (buying potential support) |
📊 Key Levels
Level: ~99.117 (orange shaded zone)
Role: Recent Swing Low / Potential Support Zone
Level: ~98.744
Role: Lower boundary of the potential support zone
Level: ~99.727
Role: Potential Resistance (previous swing high)
Level: ~100.116
Role: Higher Potential Resistance
🚨 Trigger
Price has recently touched the ~99.117 - ~98.744 orange shaded zone, which appears to be acting as a potential support area.
There are signs of potential rejection from this zone, indicated by the recent upward price action.
Look for bullish confirmation signals on lower timeframes within this zone.
✅ Confirmation
Observe lower timeframes (e.g., 15m, 5m) for bullish reversal patterns such as double bottoms, bullish engulfing candles, or pin bars forming within the support zone.
The volume indicator at the bottom shows increasing buying volume within the support zone, suggesting potential accumulation.
Look for the Stochastic or RSI on lower timeframes to show oversold conditions followed by a bullish crossover or break above a downward trendline.
No significant bearish momentum or strong selling volume evident as price tests the support zone.
🎯 Entry & Stops
| 🔶 Entry Zone | ~99.117 – ~98.800 (within the potential support zone) |
| 🔴 Stop-Loss | Below the lower boundary of the support zone, potentially around ~98.600 - ~98.500 to allow for some buffer |
Place a Buy Limit or Buy Stop order within the entry zone, depending on your preferred entry style and confirmation.
Risk: Determine your position size based on your risk tolerance and the calculated stop-loss in pips.
🎯 Profit Targets
| Target | Level | Pips (approximate) | RRR |
| :----- | :--------- | :----------------- | :--------- |
| T1 | ~99.727 | ~60-70 | 1 : 1 or better |
| T2 | ~100.116 | ~100-120 | 1 : 1.5 or better |
Scale out:
Consider taking partial profits at T1.
Let the remaining position run towards T2, potentially adjusting your stop-loss to breakeven or in profit.
⚙️ Trade Management
Once the trade is in profit (e.g., reaching a certain pip gain or T1), consider moving your stop-loss to breakeven to protect your capital.
Monitor price action around T1. If there are strong signs of selling pressure, consider closing the remaining position.
Pay attention to any potential resistance levels or significant selling volume as price approaches your target levels.
🔑 Rationale
Price is testing a recent swing low area, which has the potential to act as support.
Increasing buying volume within the support zone suggests that buyers are stepping in.
Bullish reversal patterns on lower timeframes would confirm the rejection of the support zone.
Aiming for the previous swing high (~99.727) and the higher potential resistance (~100.116) provides logical profit targets.
⚡ Highlight:
This is a bank-order-flow style fade, looking to buy at a potential support zone after a recent pullback, anticipating a reversal and continuation of potential upward momentum. The increasing buying volume within the support zone is a key observation.
DXY aka usdollar 25 apr inverted head and shoulderAfter forming positive divergence, an inverted head and shoulder also formed
Not cast in stone but when price goes above the neckline, we can expect a spike up and strengthening of the USD.
Work in progress. Good luck.
DXY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 99.288.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 100.788.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DXY Bears in Control ,Will 99.000 Hold or Will 97.600 Be Tested?The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains under strong bearish pressure after failing to reclaim the 100.000 🔼 resistance zone. Price is currently consolidating below 100.000, maintaining a clear bearish structure of lower highs and lower lows.
Currently trading at 99.175, with
Support at: 97.600 🔽
Resistance at: 100.000 🔼, 101.500 🔼, 102.812 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 100.000 could open room for a move toward 101.500 and 102.812.
🔽 Bearish: As long as price stays below 100.000, sellers remain in control. A breakdown below 97.600 could trigger further downside.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
USD Is Bullish Short Term. Short The Majors! This is the FOREX outlook for the week of April 28 - May 2nd.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD Index is heading up towards a bearish FVG. The EURUSD, GBPUSD, and the other Major pairs will be pulled down by this price action .... until the USD hits it's POI. Then things will get interesting!
Take advantage of the USD push higher!
Remember, NFP is Friday! Be careful of wonky price action on Thursday and Friday.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
can DXY change its trend after marking 3rd HLCurrently, the price is a bit away from touching the lower trendline, which is acting as a support level as it will be its latest HL. After that, it would be interesting to know how the dollar moves because, as technical analysis on the chart suggests, DXY should move upwards to maintain that parallel channel. Tariff event, war situation and couple of other major events will also play significant role in determining the next possible movement of dollar
Is this the start of a massive dollar rally? Learn how .Price action (falling wedge breakout)
Institutional concept (BOS – Break of Structure, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement entry zone)
Liquidity zones (4H LQ and key levels marked in green)
Higher targets (institutional supply zones highlighted in cream boxes around 104-107)
DXY April 27 Week AnalysisDXY
April 27 Week Analysis
I suspected for Price to seek higher prices early in the week, not reflecting how much a magnet those key lows could be for Sundays delivery. Let that be lesson on the greed of manipulation of Prices piercing short that took place. WOW.
Notice how Price did seek inefficiencies from April 2022 to rebalance and how the bodies of the candles came right to my suspected key equal lows. WOW.
Notice how the wicks did the damage and the bodies stoped right on the FVG respecting the top side with its delivery.
Tuesdays range and energetic force to rally away from the .618 level and rebalance the NWOG.
After taking the key sell side not surprise Price took buy side on Wednesdays delivery and Prices wick came to CE of Tuesdays candle.
Thursday internal range taking minor sell side and rebalanced inefficiencies. Price creates equal lows.
April 25 Delivery
Price took buy side in Asia, expanded lower to create intermediate equal lows in London. In NY Price took those equal lows and closed in consolidation creating equal lows in a discount on previous range.
Note that Price closed above Thursday’s opening gap.
Note Price current range is delivering to a premium and Fridays closed in a discount previous range.
Note Price created a lower low on Monday.
Previously Sunday's deliveries have been met with manipulated volatility. I wait for Sundays delivery to occur and read what the chart gives me.
Logic says that Price just took minor buy side tapped the .618 and it might seek those clean equal lows. And as I already stated until Sunday delivers I wont speculate until after that. I do like the equal highs for Asia and London though.
Buckle up big week. Stay calm. Trade what the chart prints. Stick to your model.
DXY 4H TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS Okay, here's a description of the image:
The image shows a 4-hour price chart for the DXY (US Dollar Index).
Key points:
Downtrend: The index is generally in a downtrend.
Support and Resistance: A resistance zone is visible around 110.175, and a support level is around 97.921. Another resistance level is near 102.925.
Recent Price Action: The price has recently broken below the 102.925 level and is currently fluctuating around 99.581.
Dollar False-break or break down????
1. **Entry:**
- Wait for confirmed false break below weekly deviation channel ( Short)
- Enter long after price reclaims support and shows bullish reversal (long)
- Alternative: Short on confirmed breakdown below channel with follow-through
2. **Stop Loss:**
- False break long: Below recent swing low
- Confirmed breakdown short: Above broken support level
3. **Take Profit:**
- False break long: Previous resistance or mean deviation line
- Breakdown short: Next major support level or extension of channel height
4. **Key Confirmations:**
- Candle patterns daily and weekly
- Weekly close position relative to deviation channel
- Follow-through in subsequent weekly candle
- Correlation check with major pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD)
5. **Management:**
- Give trade room to develop (weekly timeframe requires patience)
- Scale in to reduce risk
- Scale out at significant levels
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) AnalysisDXY, or the U.S. Dollar Index, is an index that measures the value of the American dollar against major currencies such as the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), and Swiss Franc (CHF). An increase in the DXY indicates that the dollar has strengthened against these currencies; a decrease signifies that it has weakened. This index is susceptible to global economic outlook, interest rates, and geopolitical developments.
In the past, with Donald Trump's rise to the presidency, expectations of rising inflation in the markets had strengthened. This had caused the DXY to rise from the 100 level to 109. However, the tariffs implemented by Trump and the trade wars he initiated weakened the dollar in the long run, leading to a downward trend in the DXY.
As of today, the DXY has technically reached an important support level. At the same time, major currencies forming the index, such as GBP, EUR, and JPY, are trading at resistance points. This situation increases the likelihood of the dollar reacting from this level. If the support level is maintained, we may see an upward movement in the DXY. Conversely, if the support is broken, a deeper downward movement in the dollar index may begin.
[D] DXY - 23.4.2025I like see optimism before capitulation. As crazy as it sounded by the end of 2023, I thought, the death of U.S. Dollar might come in 2026. Now, I'm afraid, it might be sooner than that as Trump continues to beat all expectations.
$DXY last gasp before the monetary reset. Sad.3-3-5 watching the expected rejection at the median line of the channel probably before pivoting and falling out the bottom. Sad times for many..
dxy aka usd 22 April 2025Price seems to be ranging, if top channel hold, we could see a retest of the low, meaning usd should continue lower.
Good luck
DXY – Time & Price Analysis via Gann GeometryThe TVC:DXY just broke below the 1×1 descending angle within a Gann weekly square, confirming the end of the bullish cycle initiated around the September 2022 high.
Key observations:
📉 Next time–price supports: 89.91 → 84.95
🕰️ Major timing intersections ahead:
Dec 16, 2024 → marks a quarter cycle completion.
Sep 8, 2025 → opposite timing leg to Sep 2022 high.
RSI is weakening, but price remains a function of time.
If these time zones hold, a reversal window opens.
Otherwise, we're heading deeper into the southern square.
📐 Time governs trend – price obeys.
#Gann #TimeCycles #DXY #USD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar📉💵 2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar! 🔥
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness after breaching key support levels. With interest rate cuts on the horizon and a shift in economic policy, we may be entering a new phase for the dollar’s normalization.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Resistance: 107.5 (Immediate resistance)
🔹 Key Mid Support: 100.95 (Next major level)
🔹 Final Target: 94.8 (Major support & potential bottom)
📰 Fundamental Factors Driving the Move
💡 Trump’s Dollar Policy: Historically, Trump has favored a weaker dollar to boost exports. His recent remarks during the Executive Order signing on January 23, 2025, reinforce this stance, as he pushes for interest rate cuts and lower energy costs.
Remarks by President Trump at Executive Order Signing (January 23, 2025):
Q: Mr. President, you said earlier that you would like to see interest rates come down.
THE PRESIDENT: Yeah.
Q: How much would you like to see them come down?
THE PRESIDENT: A lot.
Q: And will you talk with Powell?
THE PRESIDENT: I’d like to see them come down a lot, and oil prices will come down. And when oil prices come down, everything is going to be cheaper for the American people — and actually for the world — but for the American people. So, I’d like to see oil prices come down.
Q: Are you worried that there’s too much going on at once if you’re trying to bring interest rates down and get the economy back going?
THE PRESIDENT: No, no. It just works that way. I mean, it just economically works that way. When the oil comes down, it’ll bring down prices, then you won’t have inflation, and then the interest rates will come down.
Q: You said that you would demand that the interest rates come down. Do you expect the Fed to listen to you?
THE PRESIDENT: Yeah.
📉 What’s Next for the Dollar?
🔸 If 100.95 breaks, we could see further downside, testing the 94.8 region.
🔸 A retest of resistance at 107.5 would be a key test before further declines.
🔸 The global macro environment (oil prices, inflation, and geopolitical shifts) will heavily influence the dollar’s trajectory.
🌍 Economic & Geopolitical Impact
Beyond monetary policy, Trump’s trade and labor policies are also playing a role in shaping the inflation outlook. His push for tariffs and tighter immigration policies has led to higher labor costs, causing short-term inflation. However, on the global stage, Trump's potential deal with Putin to resolve the Ukraine conflict could help ease inflation worldwide by stabilizing supply chains and reducing geopolitical risks.
With Trump pushing for rate cuts, the Fed under pressure, and DXY losing momentum, could we see a full-scale dollar correction in 2025? Let’s discuss! ⏬
📢 Follow for more macro insights & market analysis!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
