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US Dollar Index CFD (USD)

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USDX trade ideas

Your current most important DXY target until...The first target scenario in my mind for DXY is the Monthly fair value gap. Market structure is now aligned for that too to play out. - A monthly bullish gap is present below current price (inside the monthly accumulative range) - A weekly bullish gap is being disrespected to the downside (indicating the lack of momentum, leaving this range) - On the daily, price respects and creates bearish PD arrays. I'm bearish on the higher timeframes, targeting the Monthly fvg, as long as price is closing below the Daily gap outlined in the chart. (This is not to say that there are no high quality trades on the lower time frames, such as targeting the most recent daily gap to the upside) Ok be safe byyyyyyy
TVC:DXYShort
by spekularmin
DXY March 4 London 2 Marco backtesting the session reactionsDXY March 4 London 2 Marco backtesting the session reactions Price came down took sell side liquidity and rebalanced 15M FVG in Asia. Price came up to the range CE and 50 level and rejected. Price had clear targets of sell side liquidity. Price was weaving in a wick imbalance. Price At 2 macro Price comes up to the .70 OTE level and into a first presented FVG. Price is so heavy and should be obvious that it is a bear market. Note- Price did not want to retrace to the previuos range however in backtesting just to the 50 on the RB 50. If truely in a bear market this is a indicator. Touches the 50 and rejects-it should. Price came through the volume imbalance Price came through 3 sell stops I had noted. Price came down to ICT's FVG she noted 3 weeks ago. Price is respecting the session 50 level. All great learning. Very messy chart and it for study
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Long-Term Analysis (1988-2024): Post-US Election Price CycleBased on a 36-year historical analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), a clear cyclical pattern emerges in relation to U.S. election cycles. Key Observations: Election Year Impact: After every U.S. election, DXY tends to move in one clear direction (either bullish or bearish) for the first 1 to 2 years. Reversal Phase: Following this initial move, the next 1 to 2 years typically see a reversal, where the price trends in the opposite direction of the first phase. Consistent Historical Trend: This pattern has repeated consistently across multiple election cycles since 1988, making it a significant factor to consider when analyzing DXY’s medium-term trends. Practical Implications: If the post-election trend is bullish for the first 1-2 years, traders should anticipate a potential bearish shift in the following 1-2 years—and vice versa. This can be used as a macroeconomic roadmap to align trading strategies with historical probabilities. Exception: 1996-2000 – Why It Did Not Follow the Seasonal Pattern The 1996 to 2000 period is the only major exception in this 36-year analysis. Instead of following the typical 1-2 year trend-reversal pattern, DXY remained bullish throughout the entire Clinton second term (1996-2000). Here’s why this period did not comply with our seasonal analysis: Unprecedented U.S. Economic Strength ("Clinton Boom") The late 1990s saw an extraordinarily strong economy, driven by the Dot-Com Boom, technological advancements, and record corporate profits. Unlike other election cycles where economic slowdowns or policy shifts led to reversals, the U.S. economy kept accelerating, keeping the USD strong. Federal Reserve’s Tight Monetary Policy (Rising Interest Rates) From 1997 to 2000, the Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to control inflation. Higher rates made the USD more attractive, increasing foreign capital inflows and preventing a mid-term reversal. Global Financial Crises (1997 Asian Crisis & 1998 Russian Default) These crises caused global capital flight to the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset. Instead of a seasonal decline in DXY, the USD kept rising as investors sought stability in U.S. assets. Foreign Investment in U.S. Markets (Tech Stock Bubble) Foreign investors poured money into U.S. stocks and bonds, increasing demand for USD. This prolonged DXY’s bullish trend, overriding the usual election-based trend reversals. Conclusion: The DXY's movement post-elections follows a structured two-phase cycle: initial directional trend (1-2 years) → reversal phase (1-2 years). So you guys can plan your trades accordingly and take advantage of this repeating pattern to maximize profitability.
TVC:DXY
by MAAwan
DXY Trading Journal March 2 Previous week in reviewDXY Trading Journal March 2 Previous week in review Price had a up closed candle on the weekly taking out previous weeks buy/sell stops. Monday price takes out previous weeks sell stops and from Dec and closes with a up closed candle. Tuesday Price raliies to take the buy stops from Monday and aggressively lowers. Wednesday opens to take Tuesdays lows and then rallies to the high side and creates equal lows. Thursday opens with a volume unbalance and takes buy stops and rebalances the FVG created from the previous Thursday, i also note a large range day. Friday Price energetically rallies to take the equal highs with the body of the candle coming to the CE of the SIBI its rebalancing. Price started the week in a discount on the .79 breaking lower at the start of the week to then seek higher prices.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
Short AUDUSD The Perfect Storm: Stagflation, GeopoliticsIn a world increasingly defined by geopolitical volatility and economic uncertainty, a perfect storm is brewing, casting a long shadow over the Australian dollar. The confluence of persistent stagflationary pressures, escalating trade tensions, and a resurgent U.S. dollar is creating a formidable headwind for the AUDUSD pair. This article delves into the intricate web of factors driving this bearish sentiment, offering a comprehensive analysis for macro traders and financial viewers seeking clarity amidst market turbulence. The Stagflationary Grip: A Global Economic Quagmire The global economic landscape is ensnared in a precarious dance between "sticky" inflation and a palpable slowdown. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) remains stubbornly elevated, while Producer Price Index (PPI) figures signal continued upward pressure on consumer prices. This persistent inflation, coupled with a weakening housing market, declining consumer confidence, and a sharp contraction in global trade activity (as evidenced by the plummeting Shanghai and China Containerized Freight Indices), paints a stark picture of a "Stagflationary Weakness." www.census.gov The Federal Reserve finds itself trapped between a rock and a hard place, grappling with the unenviable task of taming inflation while averting a looming recession. Policy missteps are increasingly probable, further amplifying market anxieties. Geopolitical Fault Lines and Trade Wars: Fueling the Fire Adding to the economic woes are escalating geopolitical tensions and trade disputes. The contentious US-Ukraine situation, heightened US-China strategic competition (including technology decoupling and potential military tensions in the South China Sea), and the ever-present threat of cyberattacks are creating an environment of heightened risk aversion. President Trump's aggressive tariff policies, targeting Canada, Mexico, and China, have ignited fears of retaliatory measures and further disruptions to global trade flows. The market's reaction has been swift and decisive, with the S&P 500 experiencing consecutive weekly declines, reflecting growing investor unease. The AUDUSD Under Siege: A Technical and Fundamental Breakdown Against this backdrop, the AUDUSD pair is experiencing a decisive bearish breakdown. The U.S. dollar (DXY), fueled by its safe-haven appeal and the prevailing risk-off sentiment, is exhibiting robust strength, targeting 109.900. This dollar resurgence is exerting significant downward pressure on the risk-sensitive Australian dollar. Gaining Traction Amidst Global Uncertainty The AUDUSD has decisively breached the critical 0.64000 level, signaling a clear shift in market sentiment. While rising commodity prices, particularly in energy, have historically provided support for the AUD, the current environment is unique. Geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties are overshadowing the positive impact of rising commodity prices. Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), confirm the bearish momentum. The 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are all trending downwards, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Key Support Zone and Outlook: We have identified a key support zone between 0.61435 and 0.60838. This zone represents a potential area of consolidation or a temporary pause in the downtrend. However, given the strong bearish momentum and the prevailing fundamental factors, we anticipate a continued downward trajectory. Impact of Strong Dollar and Risk Aversion" Traders should closely monitor the DXY and global risk sentiment for further confirmation of the bearish trend. Any sustained break of the 0.64000 level would confirm the current outlook. The AUDUSD pair is currently navigating a perfect storm of stagflationary pressures, geopolitical risks, and a resurgent U.S. dollar. This confluence of factors has created a compelling bearish outlook, with technical indicators and fundamental analysis aligning to support continued downward momentum. In this environment, vigilance and a deep understanding of the global macroeconomic landscape are paramount. Traders must remain attuned to the evolving geopolitical and economic narratives, adapting their strategies to navigate the turbulent waters of the current market. FX:AUDUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by TyrusL
DXY Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 106.618. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 107.382. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 108.500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 105.500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 💠Fundamental Analysis Weakening US Economy: The US economy's growth is slowing down, which could lead to a decline in the dollar's value. Falling Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates could weaken the dollar. 💠Macroeconomic Analysis The US economy's growth, inflation rates, and employment numbers influence the dollar's strength. Global economic trends, such as trade tensions and geopolitical events, also impact the dollar's value. 💠COT Data Analysis Net Short Positions: Institutional traders and large banks have increased their net short positions in the DXY Dollar Index, indicating a bearish sentiment. COT Ratio: The COT ratio has fallen to 1.2, indicating a bearish trend. 💠Market Sentimental Analysis Bearish Sentiment: 55% of client accounts are short on this market, indicating a bearish sentiment. Option Skew: The 25-delta put option skew has increased to 15, indicating a bearish sentiment. 💠Positioning Data Analysis Institutional Traders: Institutional traders and large banks are positioning themselves for a bearish trend, with some predicting a decline to 105.50. Corporate Traders: Corporate traders are also monitoring the index's performance, considering factors like interest rates and global economic trends. 💠Overall Outlook Bearish Trend: The DXY Dollar Index is experiencing a bearish trend, with a potential decline to 105.50. Key Support Levels: 106.57, 105.50. 💠Technical Analysis Moving Averages: The 50-day MA is indicating a bearish trend. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI has fallen to 40, indicating oversold conditions. Bollinger Bands: The lower band breakout indicates a bearish trend. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FXOPEN:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
5