Reading the VIX right nowUsually when the VIX (candlesticks) retraces, and closes, 50% lower from a rapid swing high, it is often provides a pretty well-timed entry for a bullish trade on SPX (black line shown in chart).
But this time around I'm cautious. The gradual build up and gradual decline seems to indicate something stronger is at play, something the market can't shrug off. This week might give clues since no market-shaking news is scheduled until Friday's PCE number.