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VIX trade ideas

This bull run is not necessarily overThe VIX shows clearly defined structures during specific episodes of the market since early 2020. The enormous VIX spike that accompanied the covid crash was followed by a high VIX regime that nevertheless showed a continuous down trend of lower highs. During the 2022/early '23 bear market VIX was perpetually trading above 20 until the structure droppped below that in April with notable peaks in August and October. No certainties but if the current spike ends up being a short term peak as it did in October of last year the low VIX structure is in tact and may well see the market pick up where it left off.
TVC:VIXLong
by MostImportantThing
VIX regression and Keltner channelVIX volatility index shown with the S&P, with the VIX divided by the 3 month VIX, Keltner bands, and a regression channel drawn from the March 2022 high of the VIX. For those that aren’t familiar, the VIX is an expectation of volatility based on S&P options. It can be used to forecast a change in price that can go in either direction. The range that the VIX moves changes over time, so we are using two methods to determine when its movement is outside of its current normal range. The regression channel gives us a fixed range from the last major change in trend for the VIX. The Keltner bands calculate the distance between price and a moving average. When the upper band exceeds the channel we are close to a change in trend for the S&P. When the upper band peaks and rolls over we confirm that the S&P trend has reversed. The VIX/VIX3M gives insight into how investors feel about the current state of the market versus the future. For the past 2-3 years a move close to 1 or 0.8 indicates that we are close to a change in direction. The upper band has pieced the channel, suggesting that we are near the end of the current downtrend. TVC:VIX SP:SPX
TVC:VIX
by Ben_1148x2
Ensure that your long/short VIX Strats account for manipulation!Ensure that your long/short VIX Strats account for manipulation!-- Potential for breaking the $20 mark exists, but belief is in Biden administration's efforts to keep rates low. Speculation suggests the administration might reserve rate-lowering discussions for Q3-Q4 as a fear index suppression tactic. Anticipation of a VIX test around 9-11 PPS before the next major correction, likely towards the end of 2024 or early 2025. Expected suppression under 20 PPS initially, followed by a decline within the 16-13 falling trend line range. Foreseen final breakout anticipated during the election period.
TVC:VIX
by candlestickninja
4
VIX will be faking people out as it falls back to Sub $18VIX will be faking people out as it falls back to Sub $18 - I am very long volatility on the longer term timeframes and mostly at the end of the year, but I believe with Biden forgiving more loans than most, combined with the Demos need to keep "Fear" aka the VIX/Volatility Suppressed preferably under $20, I expect suppression manipluative tactics on ++$18 Rises until Q4. This is for info and educational purposes only, my bias is speculative so form your own and cross check mine and others before making "only an informed" decision!
TVC:VIXShort
by candlestickninja
VIX: An AnalysisAs we look at the VIX we note the historical impact the level 20 has had in the past. The last two times the VIX peaked above 20 were October 3rd 2023 and 30th 2023 which were the two bottoms of the SPY in the last 6 months. Using VIX and noting the significance of action above 20 is very important to understanding the psychology of the market. Use 20 as a key level to either hold above for a long term pullback for the SPY or just a spike on the VIX and a bottom out on SPY
TVC:VIX
by MindOverMarket
VIX Trading StrategyWhen the VIX is high, it typically indicates that investors are anticipating increased market volatility and potential downside risk. While this might seem counterintuitive, it can present opportunities for savvy investors. A high VIX often accompanies market sell-offs, which can lead to lower stock prices. For investors with a long-term perspective, high volatility can create attractive entry points to purchase quality stocks at discounted prices. Additionally, elevated volatility can offer opportunities for traders to profit from short-term price swings through strategies such as options trading or swing trading. However, it's important to conduct thorough research and analysis before investing during periods of high volatility, as market downturns can be unpredictable, and risk management is crucial. Overall, when the VIX is high, it can signal potential buying opportunities for investors who are prepared to weather short-term fluctuations in pursuit of long-term gains. TVC:VIX
TVC:VIXEducation
by MindOverMarket
VIX Volatility approaching a peak. Bottom sign for stocks?Last time we looked at the Volatility Index (VIX) on February 06 (see chart below), we caught its exact price action up until the current high: It didn't affect the stock market though up until last week but the price is already approaching peak values. The long-term pattern has been a Channel Down since the September 28 2022 High and every Lower High since has been around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, completing at least a +80.56% rise from the Lower Low. This zone currently falls between 20.05 (Fib 0.786) and 21.30 (+80.56%). That is the level we expect for VIX to peak, form a Lower High on the long-term Channel Down and a Higher High on the short-term Bullish Megaphone and then start a 2-3 month decline (Bearish Leg). The previous two Bearish Legs have been fairly symmetrical (-61.52% to -63.56%) so technically we are looking at a 9.00 minimum Lower Low (-61.52%). Our Target is however slightly higher at 10.10, in case each Lower Low is formed on a decreasing rate. Once VIX peaks and gets rejected downwards again, we will have a legitimate sign that the stock market volatility will start to ease and a bottom will be formed. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:VIXShort
by TradingShot
4
VIX, no potential to break out?the closer Weekly BB to resistance, the better odds for VIX break out. Whilst everything is possible, I don't think it has the power or potential to break out. TLT feels like bottoming somewhere this summer? depends on the inflation metrics. But FED itself believes inflation is coming down. Often these one-time events are bought by the smart money. Depends if the conflict (mid east) escalates to something more? Maybe there's a broad market risk, outside the quality.
TVC:VIX
by citsvar
Dollar, VIX, Gold & Silver are Spiking! What Could This IndicateTraders, In this video I'll cover the spikes we are witnessing in the dollar, fear, and precious metals (specifically gold). We'll discuss what this might indicate to us from a geo-political/macro-economic perspective. Inflation continues to tick up. The SEC continues to attack big players (tokens/coins) in the crypto space without providing rules for how to play fairly. We'll track the current progress on stocks pulling back. Bitcoin dominance had done something it has never done before. Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to track sideways while altcoins continue their deeper pullback. Plus, I'll analyze Ethereum Classic and at the end of the video I have some news from my followers. P.S. - Minutes after producing the video, I read that Iran plans to attack Israel. The charts were telling us something. Is this it?
TVC:VIXShort
by stewdamus
The trend of higher peaks and troughs is brokenThe VIX’s structure with higher peaks and troughs became distorted after the FOMC meeting. Despite this being a positive development for the markets, it might be proper to stay attentive to the VIX for a couple more days to watch out for any potential rekindling of volatility. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of VIX. The yellow arrow indicates a breakout below the lower bound of the broadening structure. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIX
by Tradersweekly
8