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US30 trade ideas

Dow Jones Industrial Average -Elliott Wave Count -01/17/25 The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) since it’s 12/04/24 all – time high has a very clear Elliott wave pattern. From 12/04/24 to 12/20/24 there is a clear five wave Impulse pattern. Followed by an Elliott wave – Expanding Flat correction. Primary target for a top is at the Fibonacci .618 retracement of the 12/04/24 to 01/13/25 decline. Right near this target is another Fibonacci price relationship. Minor wave “C” will be 1.618 the size of Minor wave “A” only 3 – Dow points from the .618 retracement level. The Expanding Flat formation could peak sometime on 01/21/25.
TVC:DJIShort
by markrivest
US30 Bullish LongTitle: Long US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) Based on 1-Hour Bullish Divergence Trade Setup: - Asset: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) - Timeframe: 1-hour - Entry: Buy at the close of a bullish candlestick pattern confirming divergence - Stop-Loss: Below the recent swing low on the 1-hour chart - Take-Profit: Based on key resistance levels or a 1:2 risk-reward ratio Analysis: - Bullish divergence confirmed on the 1-hour timeframe - Volume supports potential bullish reversal Trade Plan: - Enter long position on 1-hour bullish confirmation - Set stop-loss below recent 1-hour swing low - Take profit at key resistance levels or using a 1:2 risk-reward ratio - Risk 1-2% of trading capital This trade plan aligns with technical analysis and provides a structured approach to capitalizing on the potential bullish reversal in US30.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by MAAwan
2025 is a Bull Year I would like to start the year with what I expect if we talk about the crypto market - a bull market until September 2025 If we talk about the stock market - bullish or flat as it was in 2005 and 2015. If we take statistics in years that end in the number 5 (1895, 1905, 1915, 1925, 1935, 1945, 1955, 1965, 1975, 1975, 1985, 1995, 2005, 2015) - we see bull markets. Below, I have shown weekly charts of each year ending in the number 5. 1905 1915 1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 Here, we saw that all years are bullish, but 2005 and 2015 were reaccumulation. Positive Scenarios for 2025 Soft monetary policy: If the Federal Reserve keeps rates at levels that support credit growth and capital availability, it will support the corporate sector and business expansion. Technological breakthrough: A recovery in investment in artificial intelligence, green energy and biotechnology could create new growth drivers for the Dow Jones. Sustainable global development: If geopolitical tensions diminish and international trade relations stabilize, the global economy will gain new momentum, reflected in the index's growth. Negative Scenarios for 2025 Tight monetary policy: A sharp rise in interest rates could reduce the availability of capital, which could slow economic growth and pressure corporate profits. Geopolitical instability: Increased conflict or trade wars between major economies could lead to declining investor confidence and capital outflows from the market. Declining technological development: If leading sectors such as technology and green energy do not show the expected growth, it could affect market expectations and valuations. Conclusion Analyzing the history of the Dow Jones, years ending in 5 represent unique periods of growth and recovery. Against the backdrop of current macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions, 2025 could be a year of significant opportunity. The optimistic scenario is based on continued loose monetary policy, innovation, and stabilization of global relations. However, the risks associated with tight monetary policy and global instability require caution. For investors, 2025 could be a year of essential choices. Focus on long-term trends, analyze macroeconomic indicators, and diversify your portfolio. History shows that even in times of uncertainty, the market has the potential to grow. And for years that end in number 7 according to bearish statistics, I will write about this in 2027 Best regards EXCAVO
TVC:DJILong
by EXCAVO
22
US30 Bulls Taking Control?! Weekly Timeframe Analysis Price Action: • The weekly timeframe remains in a large uptrend, supported by sloping EMAs. Despite a recent fall, this structure remains intact as prices bounced sharply at 42,000, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the leg starting on September 9th. • Importantly, this bounce reclaimed the 20 SMA after dipping below, showing resilience and strength in the trend. Prices remain in the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, a bullish signal. Trendlines: • A large lower trendline dating back to October 2023 has held firmly during this fall, reinforcing its significance as a structural support. Higher trendlines are less clear, signaling a potential weakening in momentum on rallies. Indicators: • RSI at 57: Above midline but not overbought, showing moderate bullish momentum. • MACD bearish, histogram waning: Suggests that downward momentum is losing strength, a typical precursor to reversal or consolidation. • ADX at 19.65: Indicates a lack of strong trend currently, though negative DMI dominance shows residual bearishness. • Accumulation Distribution Line (ADL): Despite a wick below the 13 EMA, it closed above, with the 13 EMA > 48 SMA, suggesting underlying buying interest. Daily Timeframe Analysis Price Action: • After a long-term rise inside a parallel channel since August, prices broke below this structure on December 16th during the fall. • The bounce at 42,000 coincided with a daily order block, signaling the level’s importance. This bounce aligns with weekly trendline support and suggests a higher low may be forming, further confirmed by price action breaking back above 20, 50, and 100 EMAs during the recovery. Fibonacci Levels: • The daily retracement from the recent fall touched just above the 100% retracement level, showing a deep retracement pattern typical of a sharp corrective phase. Current price action hovers near the 0.5 Fibonacci extension level, facing light resistance. Indicators: • RSI at 54: Regained strength above 50, signaling mild bullish momentum. • MACD green and increasing: While both signal and MACD lines are below zero, the histogram growth reflects recovering momentum. • CMF at 0.08: Positive, indicating money flow into the asset. • ADX at 25.78, falling: The lack of strong trend during this bounce indicates it may be corrective unless the momentum picks up. • ADL dynamics: The ADL line sits above the 13 EMA but below the 48 SMA, reflecting moderate buying pressure without dominance. Order Blocks: • Significance: The bounce off the 42,000 daily order block confirms it as a key support level, and prices are now in a second daily order block near 43,500. These zones are critical for observing further price action. 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis Price Action: • During the fall, a falling wedge structure dominated, with lower highs and lower lows forming within the descending trendline. This bearish structure broke cleanly, signaling a potential shift to bullish momentum. • Prices have now moved to 1.23 retracement of the previous high, confirming bullish structure with a break of prior highs. However, a pullback to test support, either at the lower end of the daily order block or trendline, is likely before continuation. Indicators: • RSI at 69.97: Near overbought, reflecting strong short-term momentum. • MACD green but waning: Suggests the upward move may be slowing. • CMF at 0.21: Strong accumulation, validating the breakout. • ADX at 32: A rising trend with positive DMI dominance, indicating this move is supported by strength but not yet exhausted. Volume Profile: • The POC at 42,410 is a key magnet if prices retrace, with a high-volume node between 42,200 and 43,000, providing structural support for a potential retest. Custom Indicators Weekly: • The first green candle print post-fall indicates renewed strength. The close above the 50 SMA supports the uptrend narrative, making this print significant in confirming higher timeframe bullish momentum. Daily: • After a prolonged absence of green candles during the fall, a single green candle print two days ago signals recovery. However, the lack of consecutive green candles tempers the bullish case and calls for caution. Key Insights 1. Weekly Trend Support: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and major trendline at 42,000 align perfectly, making this level critical for sustaining the larger uptrend. 2. Daily Momentum Shift: Recovery of major EMAs (20, 50, 100) and a clean bounce from a daily order block signals that buyers are stepping in at higher levels. 3. Bullish Breakout on 4-Hour: The break of bearish structure is confirmed by strong indicators (RSI, CMF, ADX). However, overbought RSI suggests a pullback may be imminent. 4. Volume Context: The POC at 42,410 and high-volume node below current prices make the 42,200 - 42,500 zone a critical area for buyers to defend on a pullback. 5. Custom Indicators Support Recovery: The green candle prints on the weekly and daily charts bolster the bullish case but highlight the need for sustained momentum.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by EliteMarketAnalysis