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US100: Another Push Higher or a Long-Overdue Pullback?US100: Another Push Higher or a Long-Overdue Pullback? The US100 has recently experienced a strong rally, igniting speculation among traders that a significant retracement is just around the corner. But is it really time for a pullback? Not necessarily. While market corrections are inevitable, the current momentum suggests that the uptrend is far from exhausted—at least until the market says otherwise. Here’s my take: Trend Dynamics The rally across major indices has been fueled by strong sentiment, robust tech sector performance, and resilient economic data. The all-time high now seems within reach, and the market might aim for that psychological level before considering a substantial pullback. Cautious Long Bias I’m keeping a long bias on the US100, as the upward trajectory still looks intact. However, I acknowledge that any signs of weakness or resistance at key levels could quickly shift the narrative. Flexibility is Key While I lean bullish, I remain open to short opportunities if the market shows clear signs of reversal. The key is to stay adaptable and let the price action guide the way. Fundamental Backdrop The bullish case is supported by resilient corporate earnings, cooling inflation, and optimism surrounding the tech-driven economy. However, potential headwinds, like interest rate concerns or geopolitical risks, could trigger sudden volatility. Trade Idea Watching for Longs: I currently don’t have a specific entry point in mind but am closely monitoring price action for buy opportunities. Open to Shorts: If the market begins to show signs of exhaustion at key resistance levels, I won’t hesitate to explore short setups. Flexibility is crucial in these conditions. Perspective, Not a Trade Recommendation This analysis provides a perspective on the US100’s current rally and potential setups—it is not a trade recommendation. Conduct your own analysis and always practice sound risk management.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by UpstreamTraders
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Thanksgiving EditionSo this week is the thanksgiving holidays in United States and we have a lot to be grateful for. However the trades never stop... This week will be more of the same...Bullish momentum...HL's to HH's from the largest timeframes. Last week we saw a bit of consolidation in favor of the bulls and I expect that trend to continue... We will get some help this week from the FOMC minutes if the H23 has not signaled a type of High by Wednesday. As you know by now...I do not trade news as the news only creates volatility within market structure and so I only wait for my entry zones and points. With that being said...you can always get a detailed summary by clicking on the link in my profile to see this weeks video. Have a great week. #oneauberstrategy #aubersystem #auberstrategy #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheory
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
Nasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising OptimismNasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising Optimism The market’s performance reflects ongoing digestion of mixed US economic data, supportive seasonality, and cautious optimism among investors. US Economic Data Highlights Recent economic data provided a mixed picture of the US economy, driving market fluctuations: - **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2. - **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4. - **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M. - **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10. - **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast. - **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market. - **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing. Market Sentiment and Seasonality Seasonality continues to work in favor of the Nasdaq, as historical trends during this time of year often support equities. The **Fear & Greed Index**, currently at **64 points**, indicates moderate optimism and a "Greed" sentiment, encouraging risk-on behavior among investors. Rate Cut Expectations Markets remain focused on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting on **December 18th**, with a **66,3%% probability** currently priced in for a **25 basis-point rate cut**. Such a move could provide additional support for equities by easing financial conditions, though its long-term impact remains uncertain. Geopolitical Risks Despite today’s recovery, geopolitical risks linger in the background. The ongoing war in Ukraine remains a significant concern, with potential implications for global energy prices, supply chains, and economic stability. Long-Term Trend Intact, but Volatility May Persist The Nasdaq’s long-term upward trend remains intact, supported by strong fundamentals, favorable seasonality, and investor optimism. However, the current environment of mixed economic data and rising policy uncertainty suggests that short-term volatility may persist. Broader Context Recent data highlights a steady but moderating US economy, while forward-looking risks remain: - **Global Economic Outlook:** The S&P Global forecast projects global GDP growth of approximately 3% by 2025, with US growth slowing to below 2% next year and China toward 4%. - **US Policy Risks:** Potential policy changes under the new administration could elevate inflation pressures and tighten financial conditions, introducing further uncertainty for equity markets. Implications for Nasdaq Supportive seasonality and the potential for a December rate cut may provide short-term stability. However, investors should remain cautious as geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties could lead to continued market volatility. What’s your outlook for the Nasdaq after today’s recovery? Can the index build on these gains, or will headwinds from economic data and global risks limit its upside? Share your thoughts in the comments!*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
NAS100 I Potential pullback and more growth Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by BKTradingAcademy
PATIENCES FOR MY MODELYesterday I published a post of where I was saying lets tape read it and see. Now my model says I can only execute between 10:00 and 11:30 if am to trade the AM session even if there is a sweet setup, I don't engage into price I wait now this feels like you're missing out but this requires much discipline, now I wait for 08:30 even the 09:30 I let that show me honestly you're going to miss moves but be consistent in your model rules, in yesterday's screenshot the little gap wasn't visible because there was a segment i want you to focus on like our dealing range. And when you look on the 08:30 we got a sell stop raid of previous day PM session then at 09:30 we trade into the WEN's gap the there was also an SMT it was a failed lower low showing weakness in bearish market on ES during all this times was observing it watching it, waiting for my model and my draw on liquidity was WEN's high at 20,914.9 . Am going to take you to the time were my model delivered in the next published ides. PD TRADERS
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by pd_traders
NEW IDEA FOR NDXUSD The increase in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region can lead to a decrease in risk tolerance By examining the trend in the one-hour time frame, the Nasdaq-100 index has hit the resistance of the upper range of the Bollinger Band indicator, and now, due to the geopolitical risk in the region, there is a possibility of risk aversion and the fall of stock indices. In general, this scenario is reinforced that the Nasdaq-100 index, provided it maintains the resistance of 20955, can decrease in price until the lower range of the Bollinger Band indicator in the range of 20739.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by arongroups
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Wednesday 27 Nov 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None News - None Directional bias - BUY Morning analysis: D TF - Noted a potential D neckline (which will form if market comes down, marked in neon green line) 4H TF - Noted a potential 4H neckline. If the 7am candle closes below the neckline, then price might be moving down and I would have to be patient and wait for quality confirmations before entering a good buy (marked in orange line) Difficult to identify areas of confluence, but highlighted two green areas: 1. The 4H EMA was roughly in the same area as the pivot point and 4H 0.382 fib level 2. The D 0.50 fib area was roughly in the same area as the D EMA Note: EMAs are marked on the chart where they were at a point in time on Wednesday. They have now moved due to passage of time. As the day progressed: Entered a buy at the hand icon Z. - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - DB formed on the 15min TF, with neckline (+ pivot) broken upwards with a strong momentum candle 2. S&R - pivot broken upwards 3. Trend - Buy is in the same direction as the overall trend. The trend is your friend! 4. Fib - DB formed right at the 4H 0.382 fib level, indicating that price is reacting to this level and because neckline is broken up with a strong momentum candle, price is indicating that buyers are stepping in and price is ready to move up. 5. Candlesticks - On the 1H TF, price is managing to close above the 4H 0.382 fib level with wicks sticking out below. Mental SL placed at the thick pink line, which is below the 4H EMA for extra protection, i.e. hoping that price will indeed react to the dynamic support offered by the EMA. Price moved up, luckily more that 250 pips, and I secured at entry (placed actual stop loss at my trade's entry position). This is one of the rules of my system - place SL at entry after 250 pips. And Wednesday reminded me again how important it is to be super disciplined and always stick to your trade rules. I would never have expected Nas to make such a huge and aggressive correction. If I was sloppy with my discipline, I could have lost months and months of hard work building my account. So whatever your trade rules are, this is a reminder to stick with them EVERY TIME, because you created them to protect you and they will save you when you least expect it. Price dropped drastically, I was taken out at entry and then price proceeded to fall through the floor rapidly. I entered an aggressive entry at hand icon X. - Confirmations: Double bottom formed on the 15min TF right at the D EMA + W 0.50 fib level + D 0.618 fib level Price moved up and I closed at the end of the day at the blue arrow, making 637 pips for the day. I closed because I thought Thanksgiving would be slow trading and decided that I would not trade Thursday and Friday because I don't like slow trading. Looking at the charts now, I see trading was anything but slow!! Hope you had a good trading week! :) See you next week for some exciting trading! Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Nasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising OptimismNasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising Optimism The Nasdaq index bounced back with a 0.48% gain today. The market’s performance reflects ongoing digestion of mixed US economic data, supportive seasonality, and cautious optimism among investors. US Economic Data Highlights Recent economic data provided a mixed picture of the US economy, driving market fluctuations: - **EIA Crude Oil Inventories:** Fell by -1.844M barrels, exceeding the forecast of -1M, signaling tighter supply conditions. - **US GDP Growth (Q3, Second Estimate):** Remained steady at 2.8%, unchanged from the previous estimate, highlighting consistent economic expansion. - **Personal Consumption and Spending:** October’s real personal consumption rose by just 0.1% (forecast: 0.2%), while consumer spending grew by 0.4%, meeting expectations but slowing from revised data of 0.6%. - **Durable Goods Orders:** Increased by 0.2%, falling short of the 0.5% forecast, reflecting weaker demand for long-term goods. - **PCE Price Index (YoY):** Increased to 2.3%, matching expectations but higher than the prior 2.1%, underscoring persistent inflationary pressures. Market Sentiment and Seasonality Seasonality continues to work in favor of the Nasdaq, as historical trends during this time of year often support equities. The **Fear & Greed Index**, currently at **64 points**, indicates moderate optimism and a "Greed" sentiment, encouraging risk-on behavior among investors. Rate Cut Expectations Markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting on **December 18th**, with a **66.3% probability** currently priced in for a **25 basis-point rate cut**. If realized, this could provide additional support for equities by easing financial conditions, though its long-term effects remain uncertain. Geopolitical Risks Despite today’s recovery, geopolitical risks linger in the background. The ongoing war in Ukraine remains a significant concern, with potential implications for global energy prices, supply chains, and economic stability. Long-Term Trend Intact, but Volatility May Persist The Nasdaq’s long-term upward trend remains intact, supported by strong fundamentals, favorable seasonality, and investor optimism. However, the current environment of mixed economic data and rising policy uncertainty suggests that short-term volatility may persist. Broader Context Recent data highlights a steady but moderating US economy, while forward-looking risks remain: - **Global Economic Outlook:** The S&P Global forecast projects global GDP growth of approximately 3% by 2025, with US growth slowing to below 2% next year and China toward 4%. - **US Policy Risks:** Potential policy changes under the new administration could elevate inflation pressures and tighten financial conditions, introducing further uncertainty for equity markets. Implications for Nasdaq Supportive seasonality and the potential for a December rate cut may provide short-term stability. However, investors should remain cautious as geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties could lead to continued market volatility. What’s your outlook for the Nasdaq after today’s recovery? Can the index build on these gains, or will headwinds from economic data and global risks limit its upside? Share your thoughts in the comments!*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
3
US 100 Trade LogUS100 1H Buy Signal: Entry: Target relative discount levels within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). Risk Management: 1% account risk, factoring in trading commissions. RRR: 1:2 (Stop-loss placed just below the FVG; take-profit at twice the stop-loss distance). Confirmation: Look for bullish CVD divergence (higher CVD lows against lower price lows), indicating increasing buy pressure. Additional Filters: Ensure alignment with overall trend or key support levels to enhance trade validity.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Fondera
THANK GOD IT'S FRIDAY Now on this day we anticipate to get a close within the week range, so the power of three also works on higher timeframes we don't just only use it on daily, with that out of the way the ending of NOV. 2024 was kind challenging but as we need to be we keep calm and don't lose trust in our models. Today am just tape reading price not doing any trades but just tape reading it and get a feel for the delivery in such market conditions because they are really tricky and high resistance liquidity run, they close up the imbalance, delay in movement and during low resistance days we don't want to see such price action. The market a cut my tooth on is NAS100 its the rich market for me and it's good to handle one market at a time, for other assets I follow that ES & DOW JONES also called the US3O. The last Nov - Dec were not as this season the moved like since 2015 - 2023 the NOV to DEC were not that bad as this NOV has been not saying that folks didn't make money and other asset classes, I don't know am talking for the asset I trade and that is the US100. Let's wait for the ending of JAN 2025... PD TRADERS
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by pd_traders
US 100 CFD: Key Levels & Trading StrategiesPEPPERSTONE:NAS100 AlexGoldHunter Analysis of US 100 Cash CFD on a 1-hour Timeframe Current Market Structure Break of Structure (BOS): Significant changes in trend are indicated by BOS. Change of Character (CHoCH): Suggests a potential trend reversal or continuation. Fair Value Gap (FVG) and New Gap (NG): Highlight areas where price may return to fill gaps, acting as potential support or resistance. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key Fibonacci levels are used to identify potential support and resistance areas: 0.382: 20,740.19 0.5: 20,777.2 0.618: 20,814.2 0.705: 20,841.2 0.786: 20,866.8 The 0.5 and 0.618 levels are particularly noteworthy as they often act as strong support or resistance zones. Volume Profile: The Volume Profile on the right side of the chart shows the traded volume at different price levels. Higher volume areas indicate strong support or resistance zones. The highest volume node around the 20,886.7 level suggests a significant resistance area. Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 56.72, indicating neutral to slightly bullish momentum. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Shows a bullish crossover, indicating potential upward momentum. Buy Strategy with Confirmation: Price Action: Look for a bullish CHoCH or BOS, indicating a potential upward trend. RSI Confirmation: RSI should be above 50 and ideally moving upwards. MACD Confirmation: MACD line crossing above the signal line, with a positive histogram. Volume Confirmation: Increasing volume on bullish candlesticks. Entry Point: Enter a buy position if the price breaks above the recent high at 20,886.7 with strong volume. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent low at 20,772.4. Take Profit: Set a take profit at the next resistance level around 20,904.6 or based on a favorable risk-reward ratio. Sell Strategy with Confirmation: Price Action: Look for a bearish CHoCH or BOS, indicating a potential downward trend. RSI Confirmation: RSI should be below 50 and ideally moving downwards. MACD Confirmation: MACD line crossing below the signal line, with a negative histogram. Volume Confirmation: Increasing volume on bearish candlesticks. Entry Point: Enter a sell position if the price breaks below the recent low at 20,772.4 with strong volume. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent high at 20,886.7. Take Profit: Set a take profit at the next support level around 20,661.8 or based on a favorable risk-reward ratio. Conclusion: This chart provides a comprehensive view of the US 100 Cash CFD's current market structure, highlighting key levels and indicators for potential trading opportunities. The buy and sell strategies are based on confirmations from price action, volume, and technical indicators to increase the probability of successful trades. If you have any further questions or need additional analysis, feel free to ask! Happy trading! 🚀✨
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Alexgoldhunter
US100 Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for US100. Time Frame: 5h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 20,844.8. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 21,155.0 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by SignalProvider
2
Nasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising OptimismNasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising Optimism The Nasdaq index bounced back with a 0.37% gain today, recovering some ground after yesterday’s 0.5% decline. The market’s performance reflects ongoing digestion of mixed US economic data, supportive seasonality, and cautious optimism among investors. US Economic Data Highlights Recent economic data provided a mixed picture of the US economy, driving market fluctuations: - **EIA Crude Oil Inventories:** Fell by -1.844M barrels, exceeding the forecast of -1M, signaling tighter supply conditions. - **US GDP Growth (Q3, Second Estimate):** Remained steady at 2.8%, unchanged from the previous estimate, highlighting consistent economic expansion. - **Personal Consumption and Spending:** October’s real personal consumption rose by just 0.1% (forecast: 0.2%), while consumer spending grew by 0.4%, meeting expectations but slowing from revised data of 0.6%. - **Durable Goods Orders:** Increased by 0.2%, falling short of the 0.5% forecast, reflecting weaker demand for long-term goods. - **PCE Price Index (YoY):** Increased to 2.3%, matching expectations but higher than the prior 2.1%, underscoring persistent inflationary pressures. Market Sentiment and Seasonality Seasonality continues to work in favor of the Nasdaq, as historical trends during this time of year often support equities. The **Fear & Greed Index**, currently at **64 points**, indicates moderate optimism and a "Greed" sentiment, encouraging risk-on behavior among investors. Rate Cut Expectations Markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting on **December 18th**, with a **70% probability** currently priced in for a **25 basis-point rate cut**. If realized, this could provide additional support for equities by easing financial conditions, though its long-term effects remain uncertain. Geopolitical Risks Despite today’s recovery, geopolitical risks linger in the background. The ongoing war in Ukraine remains a significant concern, with potential implications for global energy prices, supply chains, and economic stability. Long-Term Trend Intact, but Volatility May Persist The Nasdaq’s long-term upward trend remains intact, supported by strong fundamentals, favorable seasonality, and investor optimism. However, the current environment of mixed economic data and rising policy uncertainty suggests that short-term volatility may persist. Broader Context Recent data highlights a steady but moderating US economy, while forward-looking risks remain: - **Global Economic Outlook:** The S&P Global forecast projects global GDP growth of approximately 3% by 2025, with US growth slowing to below 2% next year and China toward 4%. - **US Policy Risks:** Potential policy changes under the new administration could elevate inflation pressures and tighten financial conditions, introducing further uncertainty for equity markets. Implications for Nasdaq Today’s modest gain shows resilience in the Nasdaq as it rebounds from yesterday’s decline. Supportive seasonality and the potential for a December rate cut may provide short-term stability. However, investors should remain cautious as geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties could lead to continued market volatility. What’s your outlook for the Nasdaq after today’s recovery? Can the index build on these gains, or will headwinds from economic data and global risks limit its upside? Share your thoughts in the comments!*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
1
US100 daily time frameGood morning traders, I have been quiet for a while, I hope everything has been going well. My US100 daily tf analysis. I have posted the daily analysis on this pair before, hoever this is an update on how it is playing out. If you look at the left of the chart, you can see that market reversed after an uptrend(cant be seen) I want to point out the 3 levels that price moved down after this reversal(marked on the chart). After these 3 levels of retest and fall, The market then formed a massive double bottom, which was made up of 2 smaller double bottoms as shown on the chart. We have been buying this pair for over a month now, with sells in between(because market always has to retrace) So as it stands now, market had formed the double bottom on the daily time frame, so we are in for very strong buy, for the next few months if this reversal is respected as analysed. Price at the moment has broken above the 200 and 800 ema resistance, making it a support. Price went down to retest that zone the day before yesterday, and yesterday it began the move up. So I expect buys on this pair, and will wait for the correct signal to enter, as I closed my sell trades yesterday from the day before.
ULong
by faddy
5