Possible BUYI will be looking for the market the close that gap at NY session. once it has closed that gap ill be looking for buys to the previous high. The market does seem bearish still but this seems to a retracement.
USTEC trade ideas
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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NASDAQ 100 Short continuation or Start of next Bull Leg? 1. Top-Down Bias
• Weekly (Long-Term)
• Bias: Still in a primary uptrend (higher highs & higher lows, trading above key SMAs and the Ichimoku Cloud).
• Current Pressure: Latest weekly candle shows a sharp pullback; momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) are rolling over from positive territory.
• Daily (Intermediate)
• Bias: Turned short-term bearish (clearly below daily Ichimoku Cloud, 10/50/100-day SMAs; lower highs & lower lows formed).
• Key Pivot: 200-day SMA (~20,272). A sustained break below strengthens the intermediate downtrend; a defense of this level may spark a bounce.
• 4H & 2H (Short-Term & Intraday)
• Bias: Both are firmly bearish with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, supported by high ADX and negative momentum readings.
• Oversold Conditions: RSI and Stochastics are near oversold on lower timeframes, hinting at possible short-term bounces within a broader downtrend.
Net Takeaway:
• Long-term (Weekly) remains bullish.
• Intermediate to short-term (Daily/4H/2H) is currently bearish.
• Expect potential downward continuation unless the market reclaims key daily/4H resistance levels (around 21,000–21,200).
2. Key Levels & Confluences
1. Support Zones
• Weekly/Daily Major Support:
• 20,300–19,800 region: Aligns with the 200-day SMA (~20,272), 50% Fibonacci (~19,800), and previous bullish order blocks.
• 19,500–19,200 area: Next layer of institutional demand if the 20k handle fails.
• Deeper Weekly Support: 17,600–16,000 (if the sell-off becomes more pronounced).
2. Resistance Zones
• Daily/4H Supply & Bearish Order Blocks:
• 21,000–21,200: Confluence of broken support-turned-resistance, daily Ichimoku Cloud lower boundary, multiple SMAs overhead.
• 22,000–22,200: Higher-timeframe supply zone where previous rallies failed.
3. Fibonacci Confluence
• From the Weekly Swing (~17,378 low to ~22,206 high):
• 38.2% (~20,362) near current price.
• 50% (~19,796) is a critical deeper support.
• Daily Extensions: If below 20,272, watch potential extension toward 1.618 (~19,475).
4. Trend Lines / Channels
• Ascending Weekly Channel: Still intact overall, but price is testing lower bounds.
• Broken Daily/4H Channel: Price has slipped beneath shorter-term ascending channels, reinforcing the current correction.
3. Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation / Bounce)
Despite the short-term downtrend, there is a chance that the weekly uptrend reasserts itself if price stabilizes above major support (particularly near the 200-day SMA or 19,800–20,300). Here’s how different risk appetites might approach a bullish scenario:
3.1 Narrative
• Why Bullish? The weekly structure remains intact, and momentum oscillators (RSI, Stochastics) on lower timeframes are oversold. If price holds the 200-day SMA (~20,272) or the broader 19,800–20,300 demand zone, a relief rally could ensue—potentially aligning back with the higher-timeframe uptrend.
3.2 Aggressive / High-Risk Bullish Approach
1. Where/When to Enter
• Look for early signals on 2H/4H near 20,300–20,500 (if tested and shows a bullish engulfing or strong volume spike).
• Could also enter on a quick intraday bounce off 20,200–20,300 (if price wicks into that zone).
2. Stop-Loss Placement
• Tight stop just below the most recent intraday swing low (e.g., below 20,200 or 20,100), giving minimal room for volatility.
3. Confirmation Level
• Minimal confirmation: Possibly only a bullish candlestick pattern or a short-term RSI cross back above 30–35 (showing a slight momentum shift).
4. Pros & Cons
• Pros: Best potential reward if you catch the exact turning point.
• Cons: Higher chance of false break or whipsaw if price continues downward.
5. Target Levels & Profit Objectives
• T1: ~20,900–21,000 (overhead Fib confluence + broken support).
• T2: ~21,600–21,700 (daily middle Bollinger Band / cluster of SMAs).
• Partial take-profit at T1; consider moving stop to break-even and aiming for T2 if momentum continues.
6. Invalidation
• A decisive 4H close below 20,000 or the 200-day SMA being lost on a daily close with no immediate rebound.
3.3 Moderate-Risk Bullish Approach
1. Entry Conditions
• Wait for a 4H candle close above a minor resistance or pivot (e.g., reclaiming 20,700–20,800).
• Look for a bullish MACD cross or RSI returning above 40–45 on the 4H.
2. Stop-Loss Placement
• Slightly below the newly formed higher low (once price confirms an upward pivot)—for instance, below ~20,400 if that level becomes an intraday support again.
3. Pros & Cons
• Pros: Reduces the likelihood of entering on a dead-cat bounce.
• Cons: Potentially misses the lowest entry if price rebounds sharply from 20,300.
4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives
• T1: ~21,000–21,200 (near daily Ichimoku bottom/cloud edge).
• T2: ~21,700–22,000 (upper daily Bollinger / major daily supply).
• Scale out at T1 or tighten stop-loss; let the rest run if momentum persists.
5. Invalidation
• A return below the 4H pivot or a break under ~20,300 after you’ve entered.
3.4 Conservative / Low-Risk Bullish Approach
1. Entry Conditions
• Require a Daily close back above key resistance or the Ichimoku Cloud bottom (~21,200).
• Multiple indicators aligned bullishly: RSI > 50 on 4H/Daily, MACD crossing positive, etc.
2. Stop-Loss Placement
• Below the reclaimed pivot on the daily timeframe—e.g., below ~20,700–20,800 region—or beneath the 200-day SMA if you want an even wider stop.
3. Pros & Cons
• Pros: Higher probability that the correction has ended. Fewer false signals.
• Cons: Entering significantly higher reduces your initial risk/reward ratio.
4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives
• T1: ~21,700–22,000.
• T2: Retest of the most recent swing high around 22,200–22,400.
• Could move stop to break-even after T1.
5. Invalidation
• A Daily close back below ~20,700 or failing to hold the 200-day SMA on subsequent retests.
4. Scenario 2 (Bearish Reversal / Deeper Correction)
Should the short-term downtrend continue, or if weekly support fails near 20k, the path of least resistance is lower. Below are approaches for different risk appetites.
4.1 Narrative
• Why Bearish? Daily/4H/2H structure is decidedly bearish. If the 200-day SMA (~20,272) and nearby support (20,000–20,300) give way or fail to spark a sustained bounce, price could accelerate downward toward 19,800–19,500 or even lower.
4.2 Aggressive / High-Risk Bearish Approach
1. Entry Conditions
• Short on minor bounces/retests of intraday resistance (e.g., 20,700–20,800) with minimal confirmation.
• Possibly enter when 2H/4H candles show a quick rejection of the descending trend line or when RSI ticks back up to ~40 but fails to break higher.
2. Stop-Loss Placement
• Tight stop just above the local swing high (e.g., above 20,900 or a short-term pivot).
3. Pros & Cons
• Pros: Potentially large reward if price continues to drop swiftly.
• Cons: Higher false-break risk if a sudden short-covering rally occurs.
4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives
• T1: ~20,000–19,800 (major daily support, near 200-day SMA or Fib zone).
• T2: ~19,500 or even 19,200 if momentum accelerates.
• Consider partial profit at T1; let the remainder ride if the breakdown continues.
5. Invalidation
• A sustained 4H close above 20,900–21,000 indicates short-term momentum shifting against you.
4.3 Moderate-Risk Bearish Approach
1. Entry Conditions
• Wait for a 4H candle close below 20,400 or 20,300, confirming a new leg down.
• Check that RSI remains < 50, MACD is negative, and no immediate bullish divergence.
2. Stop-Loss Placement
• Above the retest zone near the breakdown point (~20,400–20,500), giving some room for volatility spikes.
3. Pros & Cons
• Pros: Avoids jumping in on whipsaws; the downtrend is confirmed by a fresh breakdown.
• Cons: May miss a portion of the initial move if price collapses quickly through 20,300.
4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives
• T1: 19,800–19,500 range.
• T2: 19,200 or lower, depending on volume flow and broader daily momentum.
• Move stops to break-even after T1 if momentum continues.
5. Invalidation
• A 4H close back above the breakdown level (~20,400–20,500) or a bullish crossover in MACD that breaks the downward structure.
4.4 Conservative / Low-Risk Bearish Approach
1. Entry Conditions
• Wait for a Daily close below the 200-day SMA (~20,272) and/or sub-20k, plus a retest of that broken support that fails.
• Indicators (RSI < 50, MACD negative) across Daily and 4H confirm sustained bearish control.
2. Stop-Loss Placement
• Above the well-defined structural daily high (e.g., near 20,700–20,800) or above any retest zone.
3. Pros & Cons
• Pros: High probability the trend is continuing downward without a sudden reversal.
• Cons: You may enter significantly lower, reducing R:R if the biggest chunk of the move has already happened.
4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives
• T1: ~19,500–19,200.
• T2: If the weekly structure fully shifts, possibly mid- to upper-18k or even 17k in extreme scenarios.
• Consider partial TP at T1, trailing the remainder for further downside.
5. Invalidation
• A Daily close back above 20,400–20,500 or the 200-day SMA, negating the breakdown.
5. Risk Management & Position Sizing Guidelines
1. Volatility Awareness (ATR)
• 4H ATR (~180) and Daily ATR (~379) indicate elevated volatility. If you choose tighter stops, consider reducing position size accordingly.
• Alternatively, widen stops to accommodate swings, but reduce overall leverage to keep risk consistent (e.g., risk 1–2% of account).
2. Reward-to-Risk Ratios
• Aim for at least 1:2 or better.
• If uncertain about the next directional move, trade smaller or wait for confirmation.
3. Timeframe Alignment
• When the Weekly and Daily align (bullish or bearish), you can consider a larger position size.
• Currently, Weekly is bullish while Daily is bearish, so either trade smaller or adopt intraday strategies until clarity emerges.
4. Partial Profit Strategies
• Scale out at T1 (first target) and trail your stop to break-even or near the entry.
• Let the remainder run to T2 if momentum continues in your favor.
6. Extra Notes / Contradictions
• Weekly vs. Intraday Mismatch:
• The long-term chart is still bullish, yet daily/intraday charts are in a firm downtrend. Some traders may opt to only short intraday rallies until price reclaims key daily levels that align with the weekly uptrend.
• News & Macro Catalysts:
• Any significant economic releases or global risk events could abruptly shift technical setups. Be mindful of volatility spikes.
• Ranging vs. Trending:
• If the market churns sideways near 20,300–20,700, you might see multiple false breaks. Use higher-timeframe closes for clarity or reduce trade size if in doubt.
7. Final Summary
1. Top-Down Bias
• Weekly: Bullish overall but momentum is fading.
• Daily & Below: Bearish structure, with oversold indicators that might spark a short-term bounce.
2. Key Levels & Confluences
• Support: 20,300–20,000 (incl. 200-day SMA), then 19,800–19,500.
• Resistance: 20,700–21,000 for intraday bounces; 21,200–22,000 from daily order blocks.
3. Scenario 1 (Bullish):
• Aggressive: Enter near 20,300–20,400 with minimal confirmation. Tight stops just below 20,200.
• Moderate: Wait for a 4H close above 20,700–20,800. Stop below the higher low.
• Conservative: A daily close above ~21,200 plus aligned indicators. Stop below the reclaimed pivot.
4. Scenario 2 (Bearish):
• Aggressive: Short near 20,700–20,800 intraday bounces. Tight stop above swing high.
• Moderate: Wait for a 4H close below 20,300–20,400. Stop above the retest zone.
• Conservative: A daily close below the 200-day SMA and a failed retest. Stop above a daily pivot.
5. Risk Management:
• Control position size based on ATR; keep R:R ≥ 1:2; consider scaling out at T1 and protecting capital.
6. Extra Notes / Contradictions:
• A short-term bounce can occur at any time due to oversold indicators. Weekly remains structurally bullish, so watch for strong buying interest near 20k or 19.8k.
Bottom line: The market is in a higher-timeframe uptrend but an active short-term correction. Traders can play a potential bounce off key support (Bullish Scenario) or join the short-term downtrend on rallies/fresh breakdowns (Bearish Scenario). As always, maintain disciplined stop-losses, manage position size relative to volatility, and let the market confirm your directional bias before committing significant capital.
Disclaimer: This framework focuses on potential probabilities and technical triggers. No outcome is guaranteed; always adjust trade size and stops according to personal risk tolerance.
Nasdaq scenario 26/02/2025English : there is possibility of a Bullish scenario after an oullback.
Morocan Darija : kanchof price idir whd pullback apres imchi BULLISH
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
About us100My option about us100 Is more bullish so that zone is good and strong support,if the price comes to that zone it can pullback
NAS100 at Key Support – Bullish Rebound Ahead?PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is currently testing a major demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support. The recent bearish move has brought price into this key area, increasing the probability of a potential bullish reversal.
If buyers step in and defend this zone, we could see a bounce toward the 21,655 level, aligning with a short-term recovery from the current dip. However, a break and close below this support zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
Traders should look for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or a shift in momentum before considering long positions.
Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts below!
Another bearish day!Yesterday NQ closed very bearish and if today's Consumer Confidence data is bad, we should see another red candle.
Market is showing signs of a bottoming-out rebound(This is solely a personal opinion, not investment advice. Please conduct your own judgment before making any decisions.)
NVIDIA's earnings report exceeded expectations. The market has declined for three consecutive trading days, with multiple support levels below. There is a high probability of a bottoming-out rebound.
If going long, the price needs to break above 21,409 today while staying above 20,800. If these conditions are met, buying on dips can be considered. The primary targets are 21,800 and 21,942. If market momentum is strong enough, a breakout above the previous high is possible.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY support retestThe NSDQ (USTec) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback after reaching the all-time high.
The key trading level is at 21230 level, the consolidation price range and also the support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21230 level could target the upside resistance at 21815 followed by the 21890 and 22033 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21230 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of the 21170 support level followed by 21050.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USNAS100| BEARISH CONSOLIDATION AND POTENTIAL BREAKOUTHELLO TRADERS
Last week has concluded. The US NAS100 index experienced a sharp decline and stabilised below the previous support zone, currently trading within this zone and around the 21570 level. There is also the possibility of prolonged consolidation in this area.
Market conditions are expected to remain bearish as long as prices remain below the last resistance zone. Furthermore, the bearish trend will be confirmed if the price falls below the strong support at 21570, as evidenced by a closing 4-hour candle and a break of the channel.
Conversely, if there is a strong upward push that allows the index to surpass the last resistance zone, it could reach an all-time high (ATH) and potentially set a new record.
If this analysis makes sense to you, let me know in the comments! Also, feel free to share your perspective on the market .
What will nasdaq do? What will nasdaq do?
Truthfully I have no clue however based on technicals we have hit daily support. -
On the 1h we have a gap that needs to be filled at level 20,712.2 which is where I’m planning on entering if I see smt .let’s keep it simple !!
Also on the Vix we have reached resistance levels rejecting from 22.55 and possibly going to slap support if we get passed 17.50 to around 13.00 with that we should see very big pushes to the upside on Nasdaq . Last Friday was a pain however I got a good entry so I am looking to add to my position. Good luck
Price may continue to decline, wait for market rebound and entry(The following is solely a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please conduct your own analysis before making any decisions.)
NVIDIA's earnings report exceeded expectations, yet the market saw a sharp decline on Thursday. The price broke below 20,800, indicating weakening bullish momentum and the potential for further downside.
Given the significant drop in price, it would be prudent to wait for a market rebound before considering short positions. I will closely monitor price action in the 21,300–21,481 range.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Rising into pullback resistanceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 20,775.39 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 21,000.00 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 50.0% retracements.
Take profit is at 20,354.08 which is a swing-low support.
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NAS100 BUY ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nas100 has foem a demand around area of 21023.33 which means more buyers are likely to come and push the price up so trader should go for long with expect profit target of 21568.63 and 22133.65 . Use money management
NDQNDQ - NASDAQ
Completed " 123 " Impulsive Waves
Break of Structure
Demand Zone
Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame
RSI - Divergence
Dollar Strength = Market Weakness ( MARKET REVIEW ) Dollar strength seems to be coming more into play this current week with a bullish close above 107 for last weeks candle .
This dollar strength has given us insight to look for positions in other markets for potential short trades. Take a look for more deeper insight or direct message me for more information.
US 100 bias long bullish indications:
making HHHL in day time frame,
4 hr : respected fib level 0.382 and retraced.
Major support respected with morning star candle formation.
Trend line resistance is broken.
Forming a inverted head and shoulder pattern in 1 hr with MA21 being respected.
There is a second formation of inverted head and shoulder in 30 min which indicates bullish move.
15 min shows clear bullish candle formation with IHS
Bearish indications:
Major resistance ahead to get the confluence for long .
Based on the confluences pair shows bullish indications hence going long .
Trade plan bias long @ 22106
SL:22050
TP1:22168
tp2:22211
NAS100 Analysis: Key Levels & Bearish Trade Setup📊 NAS100 Analysis and Trade Idea | Key Levels & Bearish Bias Explained 📉
Dive into a detailed analysis of the NAS100 (NZ 100) with a focus on key support zones, retracement levels, and a bearish trading bias. Learn how to identify overextended price movements, imbalances, and potential short setups using the daily and 4-hour timeframes. Perfect for traders looking to refine their strategies in indices trading! 💡 💬 Share your thoughts and trading ideas in the comments below!
Nasdaq sceenario 25/02/2025English description:
After our macroeconomic analysis, we see that Nasdaq remains bearish, but there is potential for a correction. Therefore, we should wait for a clear confirmation before taking a short position.
Moroccan Darija description:
F l'analyse dyalna Macroeconomie kanchofo bli Nasdaq mazal fih lhbot mais kayna la possibilite dyal une correction apres ihbet dakchi 3lach antsana tban liya chi confirmation bana bach nakhod position short .
ATTENTION : I SHARE JUST MY IDEAS, NOT A SIGNELS
NAS100 BUY ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nad100 price has form a demand around area of 21489.99 which means that more buyers are likely to push the price up and trader should go for long with expect profit target of 21827.63 and 22176.51 . Use money management
NAS100 Update - Rally or Deeper Short?Dear Friends,
How I see it:
1Day body closed below 7 Month trend for the first time yesterday.
Fake out or Legit? To be confirmed...
At this time price is testing the trend breakout area.
If price can find more support above 21345.00, we could see a rally
to fill imbalance as indicated.
Otherwise, a potential fall to 20600.00 is possible.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Sells for this week and buys by the end of this monthNasdaq providing us with some great opportunities over the next few weeks. very nice sale going into next week. I am hoping for an even further drop towards the end of the month then potentially a buying up on the last few days into early next month.
Could be promising.
