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Price Retest Scenarios and Key Levels for Trend ConfirmationTechnical Analysis The price has surged to a new historic high. It is now expected to retest 21900. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below 21900 will indicate a bearish move toward 21770. On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 22120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it will support a bullish trend toward 22230. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 22120 Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510 Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Momentum with stability below 22120 - Bullish Momentum by stability above 22120
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
NAS100 NAS100 price is still in a strong uptrend, but we expect that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will correct in the 22195-22247 zone. If the price cannot break through the 22247 level, the price may decline. Consider selling in the red zone. *Very Risky Trade 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by Serana2324
NASDAQ Before FOMC - New Chance For Bears?The NASDAQ has staged an impressive rally in recent weeks. We had pointed out bearish divergences in the volume, which the market ignored with a brilliant upward movement - this was not unexpected, as we remember from the aforementioned analysis. Nevertheless, these bearish divergences are still present and are now also clearly visible in the long-term cumulative volume delta chart. With tomorrow's FED meeting and signs of weakness, the chances of a short-term correction to one of the various open gaps are not bad.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ochlokrat
NASDAK 1HTFShort-term outlook: Positive (bullish) scenario: In case of a clear break and stability above 22,050, the upward momentum may continue towards 22,400 and then 22,600 levels. Negative (bearish) scenario: In case the price fails to stabilize above 22,000, a decline may occur towards the support levels at 21,600. Recommendation: Scalpers: Follow the price closely around 22,000 levels, and enter with confirmation of resistance breakout or wait for a bounce from support. Investors: Maintain a positive outlook as long as the uptrend continues and higher highs and lows are formed
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by absiko
NASDAQ / Price at Critical Levels Amid Rate Decision SpeculationTechnical Analysis The price completed its correction to 21,900 and then pushed back up to the all-time high (ATH). Now, a drop toward 21,900 is possible, with a break below this level signaling a bearish zone. This movement will depend on Jerome Powell's speech and whether there is an indication of a rate decrease in the next meeting. A rate decrease would likely have a bullish impact on the indices. Conversely, if the price stabilizes above 22,120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it would support a bullish trend toward 22,290 and 22,410. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 22120 Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510 Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Momentum: Stability below 22,120 - Bullish Momentum: Stability above 22,120
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
My expectations to Nasdaq!Hello guys, on the chart you will find my target and it could go higher to 22150 but i would say 20000 due that it broke the downtrend purple line My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:NAS100Long
by moustafa_marei
2
US 100 Index – Fed to Bring Christmas Cheer or Fear?The US 100 has been on a roll over the last 2 weeks adding around 800 points or about 3.5% since its opening level of 20,950 on Monday December 2nd. This week however, the US 100’s December rally faces a tough test on Wednesday in the form of the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (1900 GMT) and the Press Conference led by Chairman Jerome Powell (1930 GMT). Ahead of these events, it’s not so much the actual interest rate decision that stock index traders are nervous about, as the Fed are widely expected to cut rates another 25bps (0.25%) at this meeting. Their concerns are focused on whether recent resilient US economic data, sticky inflation readings and Trump taking office are enough for Fed policymakers to feel the need to slow the pace of rate cuts as markets move into 2025. Constituents of the US 100 index, often known as growth stocks, can be more sensitive to US interest rate changes, so this latest Fed meeting may have important implications for the US 100 index. This could well determine if the Tech sector is to see Christmas cheer in the shape of a ‘Santa rally’, or if the Fed Grinch is set to install fear and uncertainty into traders during the final 2 weeks of 2024. Technical Backdrop: Of course, it has already been a strong advance since the August 5th spike low, but what are the levels we can monitor into and over the announcement? Resistance Points to Watch While it has been a positive pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price for the US 100 index, resistance has been found at the trendline connecting highs since August 1st, which continued to limit last week’s attempts at strength. This line starts the new week at 21833, and the daily closing defence of this level will be watched closely. Successful closing breaks above this level, while not a guarantee of future price strength, may see a further phase of upside moves, once again pushing into uncharted territory of new all-time highs. Fibonacci extension measurements of the November 11th to November 19th correction, offers a possible first resistance level after the trendline, marked by the 38.2% extension at 22151. This may prove to be a stumbling block to any future advance, but if breached price activity could possibly test 23010, the higher 61.8% level. Support Levels If corrective themes emerge either into, or after the Fed announcement, a first support level to focus on could be 21286, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of November 19th to December 13th strength. While this type of level has in the past limited price weakness, it may not again, but traders could be looking for this area to limit declines once more. If this first retracement support is unsuccessful in holding any weakness in price, the uptrend connecting the lows since August 5th downside extremes, currently stands at 21111. In the past this level has been able to hold and reverse selling pressure, so daily closes below this level, may be a sign of further price weakness materialising. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
Nas fundamental idea, sell now 22033, target 21700Tomorrow we will have FOMC. So today US session can be pretty volatile, because of "repositioning". Be careful with opening new positions and especially with sizing. Personally Im expecting a pause in December and cut 0.25-0.50 in January. Contrary to market expecting 0.25 tomorrow. The reasons are two. Sticky inflation + Donald. Inflation is higher than in forecasts(also NFP, GDP are higher) and these alltogether giving FED "free hand" to get inflation under control by a pause. Second reason, Donald will push FED(however independent) to cut, cut, cut. So this is the last chance not to cut, because Joe really does not care nowadays. Donald wants american cars, products, tits not EU, CAD or Chinese. It means duty. Also wants lower taxes = higher consuption. All these steps are super inflatory. Sounds good for voters, bad for economy. These are the reasons Im expecting a pause. You can think about them but surely do your own plan to trade FOMC. This is mine.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Rendon1
Bullish momentum to extend?USTEC is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 21,631.48 1st Support: 21,398.63 1st Resistance: 21,909.69 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
2
How to flip $2,000 into a million in a bubble. In this post I want to share with you an idea I've shared with my friends irl who have market exposure. Heading into the 2022 high I strongly encouraged my friends to sell stocks. We were heading into a multi decade resistance level and I'd put the odds somewhere around 80% there'd be a notable reaction to this level. Could be a pullback, could be a crash. If it's a pullback it's easy to get back in, not so easy to get out in a crash. So, no brainer. Late 2022 I started to tell them it was worth getting back in as long as they used good stop loss rules and then when we got to a 76% retracement of the 2022 drop I started to explain the concept I'll discuss in this post to them. First let's lay the groundwork for this. We can focus on the things we know. It's a known that indices have uptrended for a long time. And it's a known of trend development that trends do not get slower. A trend is always increasing in velocity. It goes up faster and faster and then when it comes down it comes down faster than it went up. This is always what happens. Trends speed up. Regardless of the direction. Now, in 2022 we hit a multiple decade resistance. This was evidenced by a local market top. Confirming the market also seems to care about this level. Whatever happens, this is likely to be a major pivot point in the trend. Either we'll top out here or well head into a stage of hyper overperformance. In this overperformance, we will likely see indices up 100% from the current highs. 200 - 300% is on the table, 100% is a number that would have high odds of hitting, based on historical breaks like this. And if the resistance is actionable, this could all come crashing down in a horrific way. If you accept these premises that the market is due to either crash up or crash down, then it makes no sense at all to have common stock exposure (Or whatever you prefer). If the long bet is wrong, you can take crippling losses and if the long bet is right you can make a lot more money betting on the hyper aggressive breakout. Around 4500 I started to tell my friends this. I told them if I was them I'd drop my stocks. Bank the profits on those and then I'd take 10 - 20% of what I'd made in profits and use these to buy a portfolio of aggressive OTM calls. My thinking here is if the market yanks, no big deal. SPX could drop 90% and my friends would take rather nominal losses. Giving back a fraction of what they made in the rally rather than seeing all their positions go from profits top negative. On the other side of the coin, if the breakout comes - they'd make a lot more on the calls than they'd make with common. Depending on aggression level, they'd make a crazy amount more. A rally similar to the Nasdaq breakout would translate as something like this on SPX. At this moment in time you can buy Jan 2027 calls for under $150. In the event this move happened, these would be worth min over $65,000. A bit under $75,000 if the move is completed faster and this is not even accounting for the potential of an IV boost if the market goes into hyper performance. $2,000 into a series of bets on that happening would return over a million in the event that it did actually happen. This is not without risk. The plan I proposed to my friends has one main risk and that is the market slowly continues to uptrend. Making good gains but not hitting the bubble conditions to make it realistic these deep OTMs actually trade (For context, the statistical probability of profit on these right now is 0.2% - something would have to change). In that scenario, they'd take some small losses on the call portfolio and they'd have missed out on whatever the gain of just owning the underlying asset would be. That's the potential cost of the bet. On the upside of that, my friends who had 10s or even 100s of thousands exposure to the bear move can covert this to a few grand risk and still make mega bank if the bubble thesis comes into play. If SPX hits the 100% move inside of 2 years, these calls pay somewhere around $25,000 per $130 risked. In the event this heads into a blow off event they start to get up to close to $100,000 on those positions. This is hyper high RR way to bet on a developing bubble. Ensure you do not have excessive losses in a crash and the price of this is basically you convert your bet into a bet that the market will not range. If the market ranges for a year or two, this idea suffers. I think this is the wise thing to do at this point if speculating in stocks. We're into a binary level in my opinion. A polarising decision will come in this area. The smart thing to do is to put a hard cap on risk exposure so all bearish tail events do not hurt you and have the potential to make 1,000s of % of profit in the event of a bullish tail event. I think the probability of a tail event in the coming years is high now. Rarely is the probability of a tail event high, but rarely do we test multiple decades of resistance in indices. There is so much that can be made or lost in a tail event, that it makes a lot of sense to think about how you can structure bets to survive or thrive in the different outcomes. If this proves to not be the end stages of a bubble, then I think it's only reasonable to assume we're actually somewhere in the middle of a bubble. Which means something exceptional is likely to come in the following years - whatever way this inflection point resolves itself. In my opinion, if you want to bet on continued up moves in indices, you might as well bet on a full fledged bubble. The odds of indices breaking resistance and slowly limping higher I consider super low. I think we reverse or we fly. I have my bets structured to benefit from either one.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by holeyprofit
1
Analysis of NASDAQ 100 index Analysis of the NASDAQ 100 based on moving averages (MA) reveals a predominantly bullish sentiment in the short to long term. Current Trend: The NASDAQ 100 is currently in a short-term rising trend, indicating positive market sentiment and increasing buying interest. Key Observations: Support: The index has support at approximately 21100 points. Momentum: Strong positive momentum is present, with the RSI currently above 70, suggesting overbought conditions. Resistance: There is no clear resistance in the price chart, indicating potential for further upside. Technical Indicators: Prediction for Next Week: Despite overbought conditions, the NASDAQ 100 is expected to maintain its upward trajectory in the next week. However, traders should be cautious of a potential short-term correction due to the high RSI. Disclaimer: This is a concise technical analysis report for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Markets4Traders
2
NAS/NQ are also preparing for the yearly transitionIf we are flexing daily Fib levels, I used the 21600 swing low as the base. If so we have achieved 75% today. It's also interesting that the volume profile POC (dashed) lies within the golden zone, which is also containing the Broken high retest point I believe we have down here over the next few weeks into mid January. Using the space between the broken support (breaker) and the new low as consolidation, we should be able to build a nice base for entry ticket into this coming year's candle high
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by HollywooodTrades
US100 Is Very Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for US100. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,766.7. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 20,570.5 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by SignalProvider
5