USTEC trade ideas
Nasdaq educational The structure above is showing how nasdaq was trending in previous years n how it breaks zone n retest n continue with the trend,according to my view n how I follow trend,this market is been under pressure n keep on rejecting to move further up but as i check previous bull run,this market is ready for another leg up it retest highs 2 times n never try to breakdown bcz the trend is bullish for incase you are seeing overbought there is no such thing,you can only see it in H1 n H4 but if you wanna follow the right trend D1,W1,M1_this time frames will makes follow the right trend always you won't just draw weird graphs but you will see trend n follow it n understanding it's pull back,this is not a signal am doing this for educational purposes,the trend is just started is not overbought,sit down n study this chart n check how I mark zones how I see price if is gonna continue or drop,if it was abt to crash it should've breakdown previous high but it hold steady n keep on rejecting soo I already bought to hold from Thursday but am not advising anyone to buy cz I bought,you do your back test n Check everything on your own n take decisions,don't make this difficult,but if you stick to smaller time frames you will never know were market is trending.
NAS100 SHORT TRADE IDEA>We have a Rally-Base-Drop(RBD) Weekly Supply Zone coverage for the RBD Daily Supply Zone
>We have a high quality Leg-out(Imbalance) from Weekly TF an Explosive leg-out from Daily Supply
>Current Price has already broke previous Higher high
>US Election seasonality is down-trending for next week (Sept 23-27, 2024)
>S&P500 and Dow Jones are also going down but NASDAQ has a better structure and have a Supply Zone to take.
*Stochastic RSI confirmation (This is not a Timing tool, We always follow the Law of Supply and Demand): Stoch RSI is at Overvalued Zone, meaning price is looking for a Supply Zone to Drop the price.
Entry, Stop Loss(Entry zone plus -33%), Target(2R) is shown on the chart via Fib Retracement
Trade Safe
Nas100 H4Downtrend Trend: Bearish
- Support: 12,500 - 12,800
- Resistance: 13,200 - 13,500
- Indicators:
- RSI (14): 40-50 (neutral to oversold)
- MACD (12, 26): Bearish crossover
- Moving Averages: Below 50-period MA Chart
- Trend: Downtrend
- Support: 12,000 - 12,400
- Resistance: 13,800 - 14,200
- Indicators:
- RSI (14): 30-40 (oversold)
- MACD (12, 26): Bearish crossover
- Moving Averages: Below 50-period MA
Key Levels to Watch
NASDAQ: Clear path to 21,150. Checked all bullish signals.Nasdaq is on very healthy bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 60.054, MACD = 172.430, ADX = 25.087) as not only it crossed and closed over the LH trendline of the previous Top but kept the 4H MA50 as support and formed a 4H Golden Cross. The driving pattern seems to be yet again a Channel Up and this is its second bullish wave structure. Keeping the 4H MA50 intact should technically push the price to a HH. The previous wave topped a +15.55%, which is the basis for our target (TP = 21,150).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NAS BuyRecommended trading levels:
Entry Level(Buy Limit): 19585.1
Stop Loss Level: 19216.4
Take Profit Level 1: 19953.8
Take Profit Level 2: 20322.5
Reasons for bullish bias:
- DOW theory, entry at HL
- Price testing trendline
- Entry at Fib 0.618 level
- RSI is synched, no divergence
US100I have a idea to short it becuase the stability of the stock marker it is not really good , traders are worried about stock Bubble
Long position after DJ100 enters the fair value gapAfter the ATH a correction has occured which has now come to an end as we see the the break of structure of the local down trend. Here a fair value gap occured. We can expect the course to enter this gap again to then make a bullish run to the liquidity at LQ1 and LQ1.
This would be a good ratio for a trade over some days to a week.
NAS100 9/20/24💹
👁️ Outlook
30m Context Time Frame: Price has re-accumulating and surfing the 10/20/50 and is now making a run higher. Looking for opportunities on the lower time frames for longs. Lets see if we can get some trades today to end the week.
Daly Bias: Bullish re-acc
Keeping an eye on this. 👁️
NASDAQ near the buyers' zone. H4 04.09.2024NASDAQ near the buyers' zone
The NASDAQ stock index is forming a correction and is approaching the strong zone of buyers 18293-18579 from which I expect its rebound upwards. So far the move down is within the correction and now the price is trading in the margin zone. But as for me, there is not enough downward manipulation and then we will look at the buyback volumes. If they appear, we will act.
shorts loadingNASDAQ 100
We are looking for selling opportunities at this daily and 4 hour supply, should price trade above this current swing high it will invalidate our setup and further rally to be expected. We are targeting the 4 hour swing low price as this set up is counter the current market trend. We have a large number of buying pressure in the market as we received rates cuts of 50 basis points by the FED. We are looking at the DXY as a guide for this trade to work out as a rally in DXY will cause an acceleration in the drop within the indices market.
NAS100 H4 | Uptrend to resume?NAS100 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 19,632.80 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 19,250.0 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 20,203.96 which is a pullback resistance.
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Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 2 ExamplesGreetings Traders!
In today's video, we'll continue our deep dive into Quarter Theory Intraday Trading Mastery—a model rooted in the algorithmic nature of price delivery within the markets. We’ll explore the concept of draw on liquidity through premium and discount price delivery, equipping you to identify optimal trading sessions and execute high-probability trades, all while aligning with market bias.
This video is part of our ongoing High Probability Trading Zones playlist on YouTube. If you haven't watched the previous videos, I highly recommend doing so. They provide essential insights into identifying and acting on market bias, which Quarter Theory enhances further.
I highly recommend you watch ICT2022 Mentorship model on YouTube, it will really help you in your trading journey, the link to the mentorship is provided below.
I’ll attach the links to those videos in the description below.
Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 1 Intro:
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
ICT 2022 Mentorship: www.youtube.com
High Probability Trading Zones: www.youtube.com
Best Regards,
The_Architect
NAS100 (NASDAQ 100 index)Left Chart: 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis (NAS100, 4H)
This section illustrates the market structure with a combination of Wyckoff methodology and Elliott Wave Theory, highlighting significant levels of resistance, supply, and possible market movements.
Wyckoff Schematic (Phase B):
The Phase B of a Wyckoff distribution process is depicted, suggesting a market shift from an accumulation phase towards distribution. This stage indicates that market participants, particularly institutional players, are preparing for a markdown.
The LPSY (Last Point of Supply) is located at 20,219.3, indicating the final rally attempt before the downward movement. This level is significant as it often signals the exhaustion of buying pressure.
Markup Phase (4H) is indicated after a reaction from the AR (Automatic Rally). The price action demonstrates a clear upward movement as the market seeks liquidity above previous highs before distributing.
BOS (Break of Structure) occurs internally, confirming the weakness in demand, leading to further price reductions.
Elliott Wave Count:
The Elliott Wave structure reveals a developing Wave (3) upward with a projected termination near the 20,219.3 level. This aligns with the Wave 5 completion, signaling a possible reversal.
Wave (4) retracement is expected, with Fibonacci levels such as the 0.236 retracement (19,900) offering support, followed by 0.382 (19,600) in case of further downside.
A critical Invalidation Point for Wave (4) is marked at 19,322.9. Should the price break below this level, the current wave count will be invalidated, confirming a more significant shift in sentiment.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extensions:
The price has interacted with key Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.786 (20,007.6) and 0.826 (20,147.9). These levels serve as significant areas of resistance, suggesting that the price may face selling pressure.
A potential extension to the 2.49 level (20,219.3), completing Wave 5, indicates the final phase of the upward movement before distribution unfolds.
Price Objectives:
An important sell-side liquidity zone is highlighted at 19,523.7, indicating potential targets for downside moves. This zone acts as a significant area for institutional sellers to offload positions.
The Mark Up (4H) phase targets a failure near this level, leading to a possible decline towards the support levels marked by Fibonacci retracement (19,500 and below).
Right Chart: 1-Hour Timeframe Analysis (NAS100, 1H)
This section offers a more granular view of the price action, focusing on shorter-term wave counts and market structure shifts.
Elliott Wave Count:
The Wave 1 impulse upward is visible on this timeframe, followed by a corrective Wave 2, providing opportunities to enter the market as the trend resumes.
The anticipated Wave (3) move higher aligns with the larger timeframe projections, aiming for new highs near the 20,219.3 level.
Wave (4) is expected to form after the completion of Wave (3), with retracement levels highlighted at 0.5 (19,642.0) and 0.618 (19,566.7), marking possible pullback areas where buying interest may resume.
Market Structure and Fibonacci Levels:
BOS Internal (4H) is noted on this timeframe, confirming the shift in market structure. The violation of previous lows supports the bearish sentiment for upcoming moves once the current wave concludes.
The chart shows significant Fibonacci levels acting as resistance and support, which traders often use to gauge the strength of retracements and reversals.
The Invalidation Point for Wave 4 is at 19,322.9, with a clear demarcation for where the Elliott Wave count would no longer be valid. This serves as a critical risk-management level for participants.
Future Price Projections:
Price action is expected to retest resistance around 20,219.3 before a potential decline. The projection outlines a series of corrective waves after this point, with the possibility of lower lows forming.
The anticipated corrective waves, indicated by Wave (4), will likely test the 0.382 retracement at 19,566.7 and then potentially lower levels.
Conclusion:
The NAS100 analysis provided in this chart suggests a cautious approach as the market nears key resistance and distribution zones. The LPSY level and the Wyckoff distribution signal a potential top, aligning with the Elliott Wave count projecting the completion of a final Wave 5 upward move. The presence of major Fibonacci retracement levels and breaks of structure further confirm the likelihood of upcoming downside pressure, with key support levels identified at 19,500 and lower. The critical Invalidation Point at 19,322.9 should be monitored closely as a breach of this level would invalidate the current wave count and signal a more significant trend reversal.
