JSE Top 40 Index (Spot) The JSE Top 40 spot index has advanced strongly since developing a bottom in late August. Off the lows of 47618, the index has appreciated by 3527 points or 7.4%. At current levels, the price trades at prior support of 51336 and is nearing the prior breakdown level of 51546 which took place on 30 July. While it is possible that these level could be breached, it would also be natural to expect some consolidation following the strong recent move higher and while there is no clear short/sell signal at present, traders who took a long from the late August lows may want to partially reduce their long positions. I will be monitoring the index for a potential short/sell.
XJSE_TOP40_CFD trade ideas
TOP 40 - Bears in ControlWe may derive the following from the Weekly J200 chart:
1. Price has fallen as previously analysed (See linked idea).
2. Some profit can be taken.
3. A correction phase over the next few weeks is likely.
4. Keep holding.
5. As always - maintain your risk.
Note: The views provided herein do not constitute financial advice.
JSE:J200 Top 40 Effort without responseLast week there was some high volume (effort) but with no progress in price (response). This indicates that some selling is taking place. After breaking the channel there has been a low volume pullback. Now after a retest, there is some volume and now I am expecting a decline in the next week.
TOP 40 - Simple AnalysisLooking at the TOP40 Index, we may derive the following from the weekly chart:
1. Price is at a notable resistance level where many rejections have occurred.
2. Prince is backtesting the weekly trend line break (purple line).
3. I am favouring a move to downside.
4. Since we are at a high, the risk is far less than trying to short once the move has occurred (if it does).
5. As always - maintain your risk management.
Let's see what happens.
Note: The views provided herein do not constitute financial advice.
J200 - TOP40 JSE:J200
For people that like fractals.
Drop in October 2018 was 12 days long and drop 9% from the top or some 5000 points
Current drop is 13 days long same 9% and almost same 5000 points.
So if history repeats itself TOP40 should bounce for the first pull back.
But as it stands now this will be just pullback and more downside is on cards.
$TOP40 Head & Shoulder Breakdown (bearish)The top40 index (J200) has now broken two very important levels and is not looking healthy at all! Firstly we have broken down from the rising channel which has been in place for the best part of this year. Secondly, we have today broken below the 49200 level which is the neckline and horizontal support of the head & shoulder pattern. Based on the break of this neckline, the pattern projects a target of 45000.
Top40 - How I miss the good old days!This is not a pretty sight. Should we close at current levels (below 48950), next support levels only seem to be at 47000, which is very much where we started the year. We can clearly see that since the support channel broke on 9 May 2019, that the $JTopi’s momentum turned negative and still worsen every day. The Index is finding itself at extreme oversold levels according to its 14-day RSI.
Personally, over the short-term, I will wait for momentum to turn a bit. If not, I will most probably re-evaluate at around 47000 points.