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AAPL trade ideas

AAPL downside trade to 182?AAPL remains in a clear downtrend on the daily timeframe, with lower highs and lower lows intact. It gapped below yesterday’s low and is trading beneath all daily moving averages. The broader market (SPX) is also showing weakness, supporting the short thesis. What I See: Price has failed to reclaim the 10EMA and rejected at prior breakdown zones. There’s room for a continuation move toward 182, which is a pivot point before it's decline in 2022 and aligns with last years gap up in May. If momentum continues, AAPL may eventually test the broader uptrend line, which intersects with the area near 175–178, depending on timing. Or back to retest the pivot from earlier this month. Key Profit Levels: First target: 182 Remainder: Leave some on to see if it can break lower toward the monthly uptrend support zone Contextual Note: While the trend is currently down, this move could still be part of a higher low formation on the daily chart. Even a drop to 182 would be higher than the early April low, meaning buyers could still step in there. So while the trade favors continuation, I’m staying open to the idea that a base or reversal could form instead. Invalidation: A sustained move back above 198.70 (recent intraday high + above the open) would invalidate the current short thesis. If it continues down I'll update my stop.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by emanuelaelias
2
Apple Inc. Stock Price Target Lowered Amid Tariff ConcernsApple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is trading at $208.37 after climbing 4.32% in the latest session. Despite the recent bounce, analysts have made downward adjustments to its price outlook ahead of the company’s March 2025 quarterly earnings report. UBS analyst David Vogt has revised Apple’s price target from $236 to $210 while maintaining a ‘Neutral’ rating. This adjustment comes in response to anticipated U.S. tariffs and potential pressure on production costs. UBS reported that Apple expedited about one million iPhone shipments during the quarter. This strategy contributed to a modest increase in iPhone revenue, despite flat demand. With the U.S. dollar weakening against major currencies, UBS also raised its March quarter revenue estimate to $95.5 billion, up from $93.5 billion. EPS forecasts were adjusted accordingly. On the other hand, MoffettNathanson Research downgraded its price target from $184 to $141 and reiterated a “Sell” rating. The firm highlighted risks related to trade tensions, increasing manufacturing costs due to tariffs, and slowing innovation. According to their analysis, Apple faces difficult choices—either absorb high tariff costs or reconfigure supply chains at a premium. Both options are expected to affect profitability. Technical Analysis The stock has rebounded from a key support level near $170, which aligns with a long-term demand zone visible on the 3-day chart. It has broken above the 200-day moving average of $192.82 and now trades slightly below the 100-day moving average of $213.53 and 50-day MA at $229.03. Momentum indicators suggest a possible continuation. The RSI stands at 45.67, showing recovering strength. If AAPL holds above $200, it may retest the $197 support level before targeting $260.10. A rejection could lead to a retest of the $170 support area.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by DEXWireNews
AAPL Eyes 212+ After Strong Momentum Breakout! Key Gamma Levels in Focus 🚀 GEX (Options Sentiment) Insight
AAPL has surged toward a key gamma resistance zone. The GEX map shows the Gamma Wall at $210, with a possible stretch target to $212. This level has the highest positive NET GEX, making it a strong magnet if bulls continue pressing. IVR is moderate at 51.8, while the options flow shows bullish bias with 3 green dots and only 21.7% in PUT pressure, giving calls the edge short term. Suggested Options Trade (Short-Term Swing) Setup: Bullish continuation
Calls: 205c or 210c for 04/25 expiration
Risk Zone: Below $198
Target Zones: 1. 210 (Gamma Wall) 2. 212–213 (Extension if momentum holds) Thoughts: With volume increasing and option flows tilting bullish, this looks like a clear push toward the gamma wall. However, price may need to consolidate if volume dries up. Only invalidation is a sharp reversal below $198 (prior support zone). Price Action + Co-Pilot Scalping View
From the second chart (SMC-based), we’re in a confirmed bullish trend, with CHoCH and BOS aligning across the 1H chart. The structure is strong, but entry caution is warranted until a pullback or retest forms. Key Trading Levels & Bias * Above 201.79 = Bullish continuation * Break below 198.95 = Trend invalidation * Targets: * T1: 212 (RRR 1) * T2: 219 (RRR 2) * Stop: Below 198 * Note: Momentum is currently extended—wait for either consolidation or a CHoCH/BOS on lower timeframes to re-enter confidently. My Take
This move feels like the beginning of a broader trend reversal off deep discount zones. AAPL has lagged behind the recent tech bounce, and this breakout above $200 could invite more call buyers. The risk-reward is solid, but as always—don’t chase highs. Let the setup come to you. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
Apple Inc.: A Long Trade Opportunity for Next Week - Key Insights: Apple has demonstrated relative strength amid broader market weakness. Buyers have shown interest at key support levels ($193-$190), reinforcing a bullish setup. Speculative interest in the options market between $200-$220 indicates potential upside. The stock remains a promising long trade idea, contingent on breaking resistance above $210-$221. - Price Targets: - T1: $210 - T2: $219 - S1: $190 - S2: $185 - Recent Performance: Apple continues to outperform peers like Amazon, Tesla, and Nvidia as sector-wide weakness persists. The stock has rebounded off critical support around $193, signaling accumulating buyer interest. However, it remains capped below resistance at $210-$219, holding potential for further upside. - Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain long-term optimism for Apple, citing its strong fundamentals, operational flexibility, and premium brand positioning. Technical experts identify Apple as a speculative long idea, with gamma exposure in the options market signaling interest between $200-$220. - News Impact: Geopolitical concerns, including U.S.-China trade tensions, weigh on Apple’s sentiment. Production costs have increased due to tariffs, yet temporary exemptions highlight Apple's strategic resilience. Analysts advise monitoring macro trends, including shifts in sector rotation, for continued price momentum.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Trading Analysis for Apple**Current Price:** $208.37 **Direction:** **LONG** **LONG Targets:** - **T1 = $213.50** - **T2 = $216.80** **Stop Levels:** - **S1 = $206.10** - **S2 = $202.85** --- **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Apple. **Key Insights:** Apple is showing short-term bullish momentum supported by favorable technical indicators, including a rising RSI, MACD convergence, and strong stochastic oscillator trends. Sector-wide optimism in the technology space has further buoyed the stock’s performance, creating opportunities for upside gains. Key resistance levels will be pivotal in determining the stock's trajectory, especially as Apple approaches its earnings release. In the longer term, challenges remain, with persistent selling pressure keeping the price below critical moving averages. **Recent Performance:** Apple's price recently rebounded off its lows, supported by both sector-wide recovery and anticipation for its upcoming earnings. Despite the positive trends, the stock has been constrained by resistance near $212-$213, which has historically capped price breaks during periods of volatility. On the downside, support levels near $208 have held firm, signaling a consolidation phase that could precede a breakout if market conditions align favorably. **Expert Analysis:** Market analysts are closely watching Apple ahead of its pivotal earnings announcement, which could serve as a defining moment for the stock's short-term trajectory. Positive earnings results, highlighting growth in earnings per share (EPS) and revenue, are expected to drive Apple toward higher targets. However, analysts caution that macroeconomic uncertainties and valuation risks should remain on traders’ radars. From a technical analysis perspective, a breach of the $213 resistance level paired with increased bullish sentiment in the sector could act as catalysts for further upward moves. **News Impact:** Apple's anticipated earnings release is expected to showcase moderate positive growth (+5.2% YoY in EPS, +3.6% YoY in revenue). These results could reset market sentiment and drive enhanced optimism in the stock. Additionally, with key earnings reports from Meta and Microsoft setting the tone earlier in the week, Apple has the potential to confirm or extend this bullish sentiment for the tech sector. Strong earnings and upbeat guidance could help Apple nullify resistance above $213, whereas weaker-than-expected results may amplify downside risks and lead to a reevaluation of its support levels. --- **Trading Recommendation:** Based on aggregated insights and recent momentum indicators, Apple represents a solid LONG opportunity for traders. The stock is positioned to benefit from favorable sector trends and upcoming earnings, with potential upside targets set at $213.50 and $216.80. Traders should consider the stop levels at $206.10 and $202.85 for risk management, while keeping an eye on earnings results and broader market developments to adjust strategies accordingly. ```
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
SPX and AAPL. A breakdown of key levels and potential trades.If this is a repeat of 2020, then I am going with the bulls on this. In this video I walk through what I am seeing in the overall market and how I chart my stocks. I have personally been in and out of trades and it was chipping away at my profits, so it was time to reset! The best way for me to do that is to to walk through my charts, update my levels as needed, and remember that my plan is my plan bc it works!
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by emanuelaelias
2
Apple – More Pain to come? Apple’s NASDAQ:AAPL chart right now? Honestly, it’s a mess. It’s one of those setups where you can’t confidently say much with conviction , but one thing feels clear to me: it should go lower before it gets better. Zooming out to the 3-day timeframe , you can spot something interesting: the downtrend from 2022 to 2023 looks almost identical to the one we’ve seen from July 2023 to April 2024 — same structure, same slow bleed, and almost the exact same duration. That kind of symmetry doesn’t happen by accident. After that, we had a massive rally from April/May 2024 , but now we’re already seeing a sharp retracement — down over 35%. My take? We probably need one more leg lower to really shake things out before Apple makes a meaningful move higher, maybe toward $250–$260 . To get there, I think we still need to retest the $160–$150 zone. If we break below that and head toward $120, then we’re in real trouble structurally — that would shift the whole outlook. Yes, the recent bounce from the VWAP level was clean , and it looked strong — but I wouldn’t rule out one more flush before we get the real recovery. Apple is in no-man’s-land right now, and until we hit key levels or reclaim broken structure, it’s caution over confidence.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by stromm
3
AAPL should you wait out the chop? Still overall downtrendWhen in doubt, leave it out < I remember being in a training class for my first job out of college and my teacher said that. She was talking about dress codes, and that if we had a doubt like...is this work appropriate, then the answer was no. This quote has stayed with me and even proven useful in trading. Right now we are in indecision on a lot of names. No clear uptrends, and still most stocks remain in overall downtrends. Most of us are impatient, we want to catch the bottom, even though we know when we wait for a clear direction the profits flow effortlessly. It's ok to put on a small position, but just know where we are at in the trend and range. What's your position on AAPL for the next few days or weeks? For me, I am really leaning sideways, but am testing small positions. It is important to wait after the morning noise dies down before committing. In fact, yesterday I broke my 11am rule of no decisions or trades til after 11am, and closed a put on another name. Then within the hour, the position flipped. Talk about regret. What was worse was that I had hedged it the day before with a call, and closed the call at a loss too. Amateur moves, but hey, new day and fresh eyes will make a killing.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by emanuelaelias
Apple ($AAPL): Shares Jump After Tariff Exemption on ElectronicsApple Inc. (AAPL) experienced a significant rally on Monday, climbing as high as $212.94 before settling around $206.05 as of writing, reflecting a 4.5% intraday gain. The spike followed the U.S. government's decision over the weekend to exclude smartphones and other electronics from the latest round of tariffs on Chinese imports. This move provided relief for tech companies like Apple that rely on global supply chains. As of 3:38 PM EDT, Apple shares Volume reached 258.63 million shares, indicating heightened investor interest. The favorable news also triggered substantial profits for derivatives traders. One bullish options trade worth $5 million, opened on Friday, was reportedly valued at around $14 million by Monday morning—a 180% gain as per Reuters. According to Capital Market Laboratories CEO Ophir Gottlieb, the trade may have been a calculated bet anticipating favorable policy moves affecting Apple or broader China-related tariffs. Technical Analysis The 2-day chart shows a strong bullish reaction from a major support zone near $172, where the price rebounded sharply following the news. The current price at $206 is trading slightly below key moving averages, including the 50-day at $231.81, 100-day MA at $228.36, and 200-day MA at $205.91 Price action also broke above a previous resistance area of $196, turning that level into new support. If momentum holds, Apple could aim for a move toward the $260.10 recent high. However, technical structure suggests a possible pullback before further upside continuation. Overall, the rebound and volume surge indicate strong buyer interest in the wake of the tariff announcement.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by DEXWireNews
Apple Rebounds, But Faces Overhead Resistance in Supply ZoneAAPL DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊 OVERALL TREND 📈 UPTREND — Multiple higher lows forming since early April. Bullish sentiment is active, but nearing overhead resistance. 🔴RESISTANCE ZONE 🔴 260.1000 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH 🔴 255.6074 — SELL ORDER 2 🔴 246.5146 — SELL ORDER 1 🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS 🎯 241.9220 — BUY ORDER & TP 4 🎯 225.3843 — BUY ORDER & TP 3 🎯 214.6555 — BUY ORDER & TP 2 | Mid Pivot 🎯 199.2067 — BUY ORDER | TP 1 🟢SUPPORT ZONE 🟢 183.4116 — BUY ORDER 1 🟢 173.7546 — BUY ORDER 2 🟢 169.0100 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW 🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES Price bounced sharply off the Pivot Low at 169, reclaiming ground quickly and confirming new bullish structure. Currently approaching a high-density supply area between 244–260, with multiple sell orders stacked. SMA and EMA clusters between 198–203 offer strong dynamic support. MACD and Momentum show bullish crossover, backing the recovery. Ichimoku Base Line remains neutral, signaling consolidation risk without volume. 📈OSCILLATOR SUMMARY RSI (60.70) and Stoch %K (75.49) remain Neutral , but hovering near bullish zones. MACD and Momentum both signal Buy — early signs of bullish energy. Most other indicators remain neutral, suggesting waiting for confirmation above 214. 📊MOVING AVERAGES OVERVIEW Strong Buy sentiment on all short and mid-term EMAs & SMAs (10–100 day). Slight divergence at the 200 EMA/SMA — both still signaling Sell , capping long-term trend bias. Hull MA is bearish (204.73), indicating some volatility or short-term rejection potential. TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📈 Bullish bias remains above 199.20 — next targets sit at 204 → 214 → 225 📉 Bearish reversal only activates below 199 with strong volume and daily close under 183 ⚠️ High-confluence SELL ZONE at 244–260 may halt or reverse price temporarily 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE SWING ENTRY (Trend Continuation): — Buy Entry: 199.20 — TP Levels: 204.00 / 214.65 / 225.38 / 241.92 — SL: Below 183.00 HIGH-RISK SCALP REVERSAL (Inside Sell Zone): — Sell Orders: 244.00 / 255.60 — TP: 225.38 / 214.65 — SL: Above 260.10 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience”
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ProfessorCEWard
Nebulain: Cantor Fitzgerald Launches $3B Crypto Fund — A New EraThe Largest Crypto Fund of the Year: Cantor, SoftBank, Tether & Bitfinex Join Forces Cantor Fitzgerald, a major U.S. brokerage firm led by Brendan Latnik, has announced the formation of a $3 billion cryptocurrency investment fund, Cantor Equity Partners, in collaboration with SoftBank, Tether, and Bitfinex. The fund's goal is to make large-scale investments in Bitcoin, aiming to replicate the playbook of MicroStrategy, which dramatically grew its valuation by pivoting into crypto. Breakdown of capital contributions: Tether: $1.5 billion in BTC SoftBank: $900 million Bitfinex: $600 million Convertible bonds offering: $350 million Private share placement: $200 million All assets are expected to be consolidated under a new holding company called 21 Capital, with shares priced at $10, implying a Bitcoin valuation of $85,000 per coin. Market Impact: Bitcoin Surges with Institutional Support Following the announcement, Bitcoin is trading near $92,000, holding close to its all-time highs. Initiatives like Cantor Equity Partners reinforce institutional confidence in crypto and contribute to a broader acceptance of digital assets in mainstream finance. Nebulain Analyst Insight According to Nebulain's analysts, the participation of global financial giants marks a new level of maturity for the crypto space. It also signals a potential shift in asset allocation strategy for traditional investors. “We're seeing more than just speculative enthusiasm. These moves are backed by structured capital, long-term outlooks, and a readiness to treat Bitcoin as a reserve-grade asset,” Nebulain stated. However, the firm also points to ongoing regulatory uncertainty and inherent market volatility as key risk factors to monitor. Conclusion The launch of Cantor Equity Partners represents a milestone in the institutionalization of crypto. With heavyweights like SoftBank and Tether at the table, the industry is entering a new phase where digital assets are no longer niche — they are a strategic allocation. This article was prepared by Nebulain Analytics for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. BINANCE:BTCUSDT
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by HCN-News12
Why this strategy works so well (Ticker Pulse Meter + Fear EKG) Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor, and this is not financial advice. Consult a professional before investing real money. I strongly encourage paper trading to test any strategy. The Ticker Pulse + Fear EKG Strategy is a long-term, dip-buying investment approach that balances market momentum with emotional sentiment. It integrates two key components: Ticker Pulse: Tracks momentum using dual-range metrics to pinpoint precise entry and exit points. Fear EKG: Identifies spikes in market fear to highlight potential reversal opportunities. Optimized for the daily timeframe, this strategy also performs well on weekly or monthly charts, making it ideal for dollar-cost averaging or trend-following with confidence. Visual cues—such as green and orange dots, heatmap backgrounds, and SMA/Bollinger Bands—provide clear signals and context. The strategy’s default settings are user-friendly, requiring minimal adjustments. Green dots indicate high-confidence entry signals and do not repaint. Orange dots (Fear EKG entries), paired with a red “fear” heatmap background, signal opportunities to accumulate shares during peak fear and market sell-offs. Now on the the educational part that is most fascinating. Load XLK on your chart and add a secondary line by plotting the following on a secondary axis: INDEX:SKFI + INDEX:SKTH / 2 Now, you should see something like this: Focus on the INDEX:SKFI + INDEX:SKTH / 2 line, noting its dips and spikes. Compare these movements to XLK’s price action and the corresponding dot signals: Green and Orange Dots: Opportunities to scale into long positions. Red Dots: Opportunities to start scaling out of positions. This concept applies not only to XLK but also to major stocks within a sector, such as AAPL, a significant component of XLK. Chart AAPL against INDEX:SKFI + INDEX:SKTH / 2 to observe how stock and sector indices influence each other. Now, you should see something like this: Long-Term Investing Considerations By default, the strategy suggests exiting 50% of open positions at each red dot. However, as long-term investors, there’s no need to follow this rule strictly. Instead, consider holding positions until they are profitable, especially when dollar-cost averaging for future retirement. In prolonged bear markets, such as 2022, stocks like META experienced significant declines. Selling 50% of positions on early red dots may have locked in losses. For disciplined long-term investors, holding all open positions through market recoveries can lead to profitable outcomes. The Importance of Context Successful trading hinges on context. For example, using a long-term Linear Regression Channel (LRC) and buying green or orange dots below the channel’s point-of-control (red line) significantly improves the likelihood of success. Compare this to buying dots above the point-of-control, where outcomes are less favorable. Why This Strategy Works The Ticker Pulse + Fear EKG Strategy excels at identifying market dips and tops by combining momentum and sentiment analysis. I hope this explanation clarifies its value and empowers you to explore its potential through paper trading. Anyway, I thought I would make a post to help explain why the strategy is so good at identifying the dips and the tops. Hope you found this write up as educational. The strategy: The Companion Indicator:
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by chuckaschultz
Dollar-Yen Compression Coil: A Breakout is Brewing🧠 Why This Matters Right Now USD/JPY has been tightly range-bound for the past 7 sessions, hugging the underside of 154.50, a historically significant resistance level. With U.S. inflation coming in hotter than expected and the Bank of Japan stepping back from policy tightening, this tug-of-war has compressed price action into a tight coil. A volatility eruption is right around the corner. 🔍 Breakdown of the Strategy This is a volatility compression breakout setup based on the logic that low volatility precedes expansion. The ingredients: Bollinger Bands (20, 2) for detecting squeeze zones ADX (14) under 15 to confirm low trend strength Price range compressing within 0.5% Entry Logic: 📈 Long: Close above upper Bollinger Band + ADX > 20 📉 Short: Close below lower Bollinger Band + ADX > 20 Stops & Targets: Stop Loss: Just inside the opposite Bollinger Band Take Profit: 2× ATR(14) 🚀 Why This Works in Today’s Market The policy divergence between the U.S. and Japan is creating a classic fundamental standoff, but the price can't stay neutral for long. Volatility is compressed to its limits. When the breakout comes, it's likely to run fast and clean in the direction of the imbalance. 🤖 Automate It with PineScriptAI With PineScriptAI, you can instantly: Detect when Bollinger Band width narrows Monitor ADX thresholds Set up conditional breakout logic with smart alerts and backtests Create a dual-trigger script that catches either direction — no need to guess the breakout side. ⚡ From Trend to Code — Instantly This isn’t just a chart pattern — it’s a recurring market phenomenon. With PineScriptAI, you can adapt this same logic to GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY, or even gold compressions with zero manual tweaking. 🧭 Final Insight FX:USDJPY When price coils, energy builds. Don’t just watch it break — code it, trade it, and scale it across markets with PineScriptAI.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by PineScriptsAI
AAPL Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16AAPL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is a synthesized analysis of the AAPL data and the five model reports: ────────────────────────────── SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS • Grok/xAI Report  – Observes a slightly recovered 5‐minute bounce but a generally volatile, declining daily trend.  – Notes bearish technicals (price below EMAs, RSI recovering from oversold levels but MACD still below signal) and mixed sentiment (max pain at $202.50 with heavy put volume).  – Recommends a trade on the $190 PUT given its attractive liquidity and proximity (–2.60% from current price). • Claude/Anthropic Report  – Highlights AAPL trading below key EMAs with persistent bearish momentum on both short and daily timeframes and a downtrend of –17% over 30 days.  – Points out oversold conditions on the 5‑minute chart with continuing bearish pressure on the daily charts, alongside caution from negative news.  – Chooses the $190 PUT as the best blend of risk and reward given its liquidity and technical setup. • Gemini/Google Report  – Emphasizes AAPL’s price below intraday and daily EMAs, with the short-term bounce near the lower Bollinger Band offering a minor contradiction.  – Underlines strong bearish sentiment supported by high VIX and negative news, while noting resistance at the call side.  – Recommends a bearish pick – the $187.50 PUT – though with a similar rationale as the others (i.e. trading just out‐of‐the‐money to capture a move). • Llama/Meta Report  – Notes bearish indicators including price under moving averages, low RSI, and MACD below the signal line.  – Recognizes key support and resistance levels (supports near $194 and resistance near $197) and the opposing pressure suggested by max pain.  – Ends up favoring a moderately bearish setup with the $190 PUT given its attractive liquidity and risk profile. • DeepSeek Report  – Reviews the technical and sentiment picture and concludes a moderately bearish position, underscored by negative news and broad put interest.  – Emphasizes that a break from near-term support (around $194) could steer the price toward the $190 area.  – Also recommends the $190 PUT, noting that its setup offers a reasonable risk/reward profile. ────────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT • Agreement:  – All reports agree that AAPL is trading in a bearish environment overall, with price below key moving averages and a downtrend on daily charts.  – There is a common focus on the options chain, where puts at or below $190 are highly liquid and carry significant open interest.  – Every model, despite minor nuances, leans toward buying a naked PUT as the trade idea for this weekly options expiry.  – All analysts recommend an entry at market open. • Disagreement:  – One model (Gemini/Google) slightly deviates by suggesting a $187.50 PUT as an alternative to $190, while the majority favor the $190 strike.  – The exact profit target and stop‐loss levels differ somewhat between models, but all align on the general risk controls and short-term nature due to weekly expiration. ────────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDED TRADE Overall Market Direction: • Consensus is moderately bearish. Despite a brief short-term bounce noted on the intraday charts, the dominant trend and negative news sentiment favor further downside. Recommended Trade: • Trade: Buy a single-leg, naked PUT option on AAPL • Expiration: Weekly (April 17, 2025) • Strike and Price: The $190 PUT (with an Ask around $0.83; it is about 2.60% below the current price) • Strategy Rationale:  – This strike is liquid (high volume and open interest) and is supported by the bearish bias from momentum indicators and negative sentiment.  – Although the premium of ~$0.83 is a bit above the preferred $0.30–$0.60 band, it is justified by the sharper risk/reward setup in this environment. • Entry Timing: At market open • Proposed Risk/Reward:  – Profit Target: Approximately a 50% gain on the premium (target near $1.25)  – Stop-Loss: Approximately a 50% loss on the premium (stop-loss near $0.42) • Confidence Level: 70% • Key Risks and Considerations:  – A brief intraday bounce (short-term oversold recovery) could push prices above support, triggering the stop-loss.  – Any unexpected news or a reversal in overall market sentiment may rapidly alter the risk profile given the short-dated expiration.  – Monitor price action closely at open, as weekly options are particularly sensitive to early volatility. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AAPL", "direction": "put", "strike": 190.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.25, "stop_loss": 0.42, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.83, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by quantsignals