ALBE trade ideas
Investing in Albemarle (ALB): A Strategic OpportunityAlbemarle (ALB) stock has been decimated recently, but this presents a prime opportunity for savvy investors.
If you, like me, believe in the future of lithium and electric vehicles, ALB is a stock you cannot afford to overlook.
As a leading lithium producer, Albemarle is integral to the EV revolution. The stock is a key component in many ETFs focused on batteries and lithium, alongside giants like Tesla, BYD, Panasonic, and Samsung.
With the growing demand for EVs, Albemarle's pivotal role in the supply chain ensures it is well-positioned for substantial long-term growth. Invest in ALB now to capitalize on the future of sustainable transportation.
Trading at 65% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 55% per year
Falling knife tradePotential bounce at the monthly but I wouldn’t touch this until we break the downtrend on the RSI. I think we are more likely to see a touch of the Naked Point of Control, there’s a lot of volume there around the $65 level and buyers should step in.
This is worth keeping an eye on if you’re trying to bottom fish. Just don’t catch the falling knife right now, you don’t want to be the butcher’s block!
Lithium prices are being suppressed by the Chinese, it’s hurting Albermarle’s business. There could be a lot more pain to go, be careful.
Lithium SelloffIt's difficult to determine whether or not you're catching a falling knife or buying something at a discount after a steep selloff.
Although ALB bulls have been on the wrong side of the market for the last few years, there is no time in the near future where lithium will not be an essential chemical.
Plus, on a logged chart, ALB has recently tagged its long-term trendline, now with what appears to be more upside potential than downside for those that can afford to bear the risk.
ALB - Congratulations if you got in today below $110!! I added more to my long term account and I believe we hit hard support today at $107.67! I have a hard stop at $100 and my targets are on the chart. We've hit the bottom of this Marathon Descending Triangle .. AGAIN and it should be time for blast off. Happy Trading..
ALB falling wedge - short then long?Starting from a weekly timeframe a falling wedge nearly 7 months in the making is observed on ALB charts. Notably the wedge formation appears beside rising momentum, drawing the supposition a price bottom could be forming.
Considering trades, the question is whether a breakout is imminent or if the price will break down once more to retest the bottom of the wedge. Drilling down a 4 hour timeframe provides some insight. Has momentum failed to reach overbought, portending a drawdown? It could also be we're waiting for the final push of the current thrust...
Overbought on the 4 hour chart could be nice for a couple reasons
opportunity for short term short position (buy PUTs)
setup to sell PUTs/buy CALLs at the bottom of the wedge, especially if momentum remains in an uptrend on longer duration charts (weekly, monthly)
I recently traded the bottom side of a wedge on UNG, could there be a double trade opportunity on ALB? A drop first, then a big push through the top of the wedge?
Albemarle Corp - ALB end of correctionAlbemarle Corp has been in an Elliott steep ABC correction all the way down from ATH 335 and might have bottomed at 106 forming a cypher like pattern with:
AB = .5 of XA,
C extended 1.18 of XA &
CD retraced .798 of XC, while this is a minor deviation from a classic cypher .786 (due to a wild wick of a red candle on a day when they announced shareholder dilution) What I don’t really like is ATH C point which should be at least 1.272 of XA.
Would consider it to be a correction, and not a major downtrend coz out of ABC wave set, Wc has retraced not more than 1.618 of Wa i.e. length is 186 vs 126, hence – it’s a correction and per cypher pattern it should end as the stock observed several minor swings from 106-110 lows to resistance levels of 130-140.
110-112 recently was a demand zone being an upper band of earlier demand zone 90-112 (Sep’20 – Oct’20 candles)
To prove the cypher end of CD retracement I looked more broadly at ALB monthly chart. Over decades history it retraced twice: Apr’09 at fibo .854 and Mar’20 (pandemic) .764 meaning historically the stock gives up 75-85 per cent of preceding growth
As of March 24 point D also stands at 80 per cent retracement
Tactically it is trading within a downward channel. I would consider long once it breaks the resistance line (the upper green line) with a target first somewhere 194
ALB - Looking massive, ready for a big move?NYSE:ALB retracing inside the 0.786 and 0.709 zone from it's ATH, price doing accumulation and seemly on the search of change of trend. Massive bullish divergences on the RSI. Price currently inside and over a huge demand zone and touching exactly over the 200 EMA on monthly chart. RSI looks oversold.
Huge fundamentals on this company.
ALB Albemarle Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ALB Albemarle Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-2-16,
for a premium of approximately $3.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Probably it`s the last dip before the reversal.
One of Albemarle's Biggest Drawdowns in HistoryAlbemarle is in the midst of one of its biggest retracements in history. It has only fallen this far from its all time high three times in the last thirty years and has had a massive recovery after each of these dips.
Still fundamentally sound, profitable, and trading at some of its lowest multiples ever, it doesn't get much better than this.
ALB.NYSE Albemarle Corp IH&SAlbemarle could be printing an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern as seen on the Chart.
While this is early, positive trend signals that it might complete this formation.
As we know, this pattern is a Bullish signal for more possible Upside to come.
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Regards Graham.