CITI trade ideas
OPENING: C JULY 17TH 35 SHORT PUT... for a 1.22/contract credit.
Notes: Taking a small directional shot here in relatively high implied for a financial (42/53) that's been #CoronaHammered. Would also be fine with taking on shares and then proceeding to cover with a cost basis of 33.78, since it has dividends (4.4% yield).
CCITIGROUP INC
Potential Profit: ~5% based on Resistance level of $46.52
Potential Profit 2: ~15.77% based on resistance of $51.18
Support Level: $42.62
To enter the 5% profit area:
RSI: Oversold in the 1 Month
MACD: It is currently towards up in the 1 Month
I would say this is a good entry point(currently $44.07) if you are looking to get a high percentage 5% profit.
To enter potential profit 2 I would take profits at close to resistance of $46.52.
Watch if it breaks above $46.52 and then confirm if $46.52 validates as the new support level and then decide if you would like to participate in the 16% upside, just note that this is a bank and is affected heavily by fundamentals and overall economy, so the 16% upside has a lower chance of reoccurring but it is
not impossible to happen since it happened around April 29.
C calls set to expire on Friday (5/8/2020)I think C could make a move up to 50 or above this week. I saw some really cheap calls on C this afternoon just before market close. At a 0.03 premium, I picked up call contracts for the 52 strike set to expire 8 May 2020.
I'll be looking to sell the contracts if price makes a move to 50 or above.
I'm risking less than 1% (0.0935%) of my account balance.
C - watch yellow line - swing calls or putsHere on the daily chart you can easily see the case for put options if stock closes below yellow line. There is one lower support on a line chart (dashed line connecting closing prices). For the bigger picture, see a long term monthly chart.
Citigroup stock can head down to 30, up to 60. Keep watch on the daily RSI. Right now indicators are leaning towards puts.
CITIGROUP (C) IN A CLASSIC FLAG FORMATION
after a strong bearish wave, we see a steady recovery on CITI.
the price is steadily going up within a rising parallel channel called a bearish flag pattern.
its called bearish because even if the sentiment is locally bullish, on a long run stock is falling and we keep our bearish bias.
we don't know how long the price will be within, the only trigger for us is the breakout.
daily candle close below is the perfect signal to look for a short trade, expecting a continuation to current structure low
with a potential rally to the downside!
keep watching citi and try to catch a perfect swing short!
good luck!
Expecting a bounce for Y) wave b4 it may make a low 32 again?Market Commentary:
First have an look for the positional trend i shared here previous....if you are a follower of me...and sometimes i will share the counter trend trade also in 15 mins and 1hr...but that is risky ones...so if the trend is bearish or bullish, if i am expecting the correction...book the profit there and wait the correction to end and again go with the trend....DONT TRADE THE COUNTER TRADE SETUP...you will took loss too...try to identify the sort term pull back and the long term pull back after that took small lots in the short term PB with strict stop and go with big lots in the trend side that is long term.
Read the market commentary inside the chart what i shared here carefully and try to learn Elliott waves...otherwise its tough to understand the market commentary and my analysis. I wont give a entry, stop loss and take profit in my chart...it is only for EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE and i am sharing how i am analysing the pair and labelling them according to the Elliott wave theory...I AM JUST SHOWING THE TREND HOW IT MAY GO AND MY VIEW(it may wrong too)..so DON'T FOLLOW BLINDLY MY CHART..take this as a reference and if it correlate to you strategy took the trade as per your strategy...DON'T ASK ABOUT YOUR RUNNING TRADES i wont comment on them and I WONT SUGGEST TO TAKE MY TRADE SETUP.