LONG IDEA DISNEYLONG IDEA DISNEY,
Technically it has undergone a deep retracement, but in the long term the trend has not changed.
DIS trade ideas
Disney at Critical Level, but Which Way Will it Break?I'm neither long nor short on Disney currently, but its hard to argue that its not at a critical price point
Starting w/ 1W chart, price action bounced off of the significant COVID low VWAP, but failed to break above the gap down vwap handoff on the earnings candle before losing momentum on low volume. Confluence between the 1W RSI and Stochastic indicators suggests more upside, but moving down to the 1D timeframe suggests something else entirely.
1W CHART SNAPSHOT: s3.tradingview.com
On the 1D chart the VWAPs lead to the exact same conclusion as the 1W, however the RSI and Stoch point to another selloff in the short term. Stochastic signals overbought as well as a bearish crossover. RSI failed to break above 50, which is a telltale sign of the start of a bear trend, or in this case the continuation of one.
If we see a break above the VWAP earnings handoff, fundamentally we likely wont see any price action above the ATH VWAP resistance. On the other hand if we break below the COVID low VWAP, price action is in freefall anywhere below the .618 fib level at $127.18
DIS setup with potential magic mountain profitsThere is a wolfe wave setup on thed daily time frame. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the green perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is 189 with potential psych 200 tgt. These targets are expected before March 10, 2021.
Disney | Fundamental Analysis | Long Setup | Must Read ⚡️Walt Disney Company may have a variety of businesses under its corporate aegis, but almost every one of them has been severely affected by the onset of the pandemic. Disney management quickly rebuilt, accelerating the launch of its streaming strategy (led by Disney+) and strengthening its balance sheet.
Investors kept the faith through 2020, believing that tourism and travel would recover and, as a result, the company would have a tiered growth strategy for the future. But now a slowdown in streaming subscriber growth, as well as recent pandemic-related uncertainty, has caused Disney stock to pull back in 2021.
However, a deeper look at the situation will show that this is a great opportunity for investors to get into a company with unparalleled brands and a truly unique franchise.
The company said it expects Disney+ subscriber growth to slow down from the level it reached during the pandemic. But when the company reported Q4 earnings for fiscal 2021 on Nov. 10, investors were still surprised. In the three months ended Oct. 2, 2021, the company had attracted only 2.1 million additional paid subscribers. This accelerated a downtrend that saw the company's stock fall 17% year over year.
For investors who believe in the company's long-term outlook, this presents an opportunity that doesn't often fall to blue-chip stocks.
In addition, let's turn to the subscriber growth situation.
The news that investors paid the most attention to in Disney's recent quarterly report was the slowdown in Disney+ subscriber growth. But that single data point aside, we can see that the streaming service and other direct-to-consumer (DTC) streaming options offered by Disney are performing well. Until November 2019, Disney only offered ESPN+ and Hulu services. Last year, the rollout of Disney+ was accelerated, and it grew quickly along with the entire DTC segment.
While the flattening of the growth trend may have spooked investors, Disney itself wasn't embarrassed. In a fourth-quarter earnings call, company executives assured investors that the company was still on track for its overall goal. Disney CEO Bob Chapek said: "We are confident that we are on the right trajectory to achieve the forecast we presented at last year's Investor Day - reaching 230 million to 260 million paid Disney+ subscribers worldwide by the end of the fiscal year 2024 and achieving Disney+ profitability in the same year."
With all the attention on Disney+ and the growing cable TV market, some investors seem to have completely forgotten about Disney's traditional businesses. The company relies heavily on travel, tourism, and consumers' desire for entertainment. Although recovery from the pandemic has been intermittent, there should eventually be a complete resurgence of a desire to visit theme parks, go on cruises, play sports and have fun. U.S. travel data show that air travel is now returning to near pre-pandemic levels, which is nothing short of encouraging.
Disney relies on cross-selling in various areas of its business. Sales of toys and character puppets keep kids interested in movies and television. Kids and parents want to visit theme parks, where the company continues to add new rides and attractions, such as Star Wars: Galaxy's Edge.
The Disney brand is unmatched, and its franchisees are also impossible to replicate. The recent stock decline should be seen as a buying opportunity for investors looking to hold onto the stock through 2022 and beyond.
lets see what happens first🧐a couple out comes here on dis
we are are currently under trendline support but it is bouncing off 2020 resistance.
we either reclaim trendline and slowly head back towards highs, or we are rejected after this small push and head lower.
goodluck! like and follow for more!💘
#DIS is clearly in a downtrend #DIS is clearly in a downtrend it is possible price action will retrace back to $163.00 and meet the 200 EMA this is roughly the 63% fib retracement level.
NYSE:DIS
DIS Long after Selloff?DIS has sold off heavily post earnings. It is understood to be overextended to the downside if RSI reads below 30. The RSI is currently showing a reading of about 24. On the weekly chart, we are resting on the 100ma (~$150). I believe if buyers step in, shorts will begin to cover causing a relief rally. Historically, when DIS has shown an RSI reading below 25 near support, it has produced an upside move of about 6% off the lows. A 6% bounce from current levels is around a $160 price target. I would wait for a confirmation before going long such as a close above the 5ema.
Walt Disney" Dis" , seasonality is in big time but earning down!Don't want to go fully tactical on this
H&S patters but it has the look of H&S :-)
DIS closing in on 2 supports. Fibs W=Y & Channel's line Monday !If this plays out as WXY, then W = X at 151.65
IF this channel plays out the touch down =151.02
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DIS bottom into Seasonal Strength December and JanuaryThere is a daily wolfe wave setup in DIS. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is 186 which is expected to reach this price target before March 24 (apex).
Disney is ready for the reversal, buy the dip $DISIt hit the floor along with SPY last week and with the rising 5 day and 20 trend about to reverse. This will pop back up really soon. RSI 39 with 50 resistance that it needs to break, momentum is currently on its side. Current support at $148. Buy and keep adding on any dips you see. This is a big swing position. $DIS
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Good R/R for shorting here. TP 127$Disney looks nasty. It broke down its donward sloping trend channel. Now has restested it. If it fails to re-enter the channel then 127$ is the next target and where you take profit. That also makes a gap-fill. That also coinsides with fib 0.618 from the top. 127$ should be magnetic. SL over fib 50 at ~156$.
$DIS also looks ready to rip...If we get continuation on all these non-COVID plays, DIS is ready to return to something closer to the $180's, maybe not all the way there until 2022 sometime...
$DIS - Possible long term scoopsIdeally 100-115 we find support for a reversal. Good potential long term idea.
Is $DIS exhausted yet?I can tell we are soon will face a great reversal in DIS unless the market decide otherwise.
I have two scenarios marked in white and yellow both are bullish but am expected second gap to be closed.
$DIS - fresh countHere is a semi revised count for the house of mouse.
From covid lows, there is a pretty clean 5 wave move in progress, and wave 3 can be subdivided into 5 waves as well. There is a potential 20% move (3.73:1 RR) here with a stop below the 50% fib at 139. The daily RSI is still oversold and macd is curling up. Both could still reverse however if market continues to act up, however tapering fears will not effect disney the same way it will affect small cap growth names.
Shares are the safest option, but the 200c for next year would be a sweet play as well. I'm currently holding one of those but may get more.
The move is invalidated below 127.82.
$DIS with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $DIS after a Negative Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D.
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DIS stopped selling annual passes101 bad news101 lose customers Walt Disney World has temporarily stopped selling most annual passes less than two months after reviving the program following a pandemic-related pause.
Of the four types of annual passes that theme-park visitors can purchase at Walt Disney World, the three most expensive options are now listed as currently unavailable but are expected to return at some point next year.
The one annual pass that is still being sold, the Pixie Dust Pass, is only available for Florida residents and comes with blackout dates during the holidays when it cannot be used to enter the parks.
When Disney DIS, -2.13% announced that it was overhauling the annual-pass program at Walt Disney World in September, it warned that it could pause sales periodically. Travel experts are now calling this the new normal, thanks to a new system put in place amid the pandemic that requires visitors to Disney theme parks to make reservations in advance of their visit — even if they have purchased tickets or annual passes already.
“Unfortunately, the end result is less people will be able to visit Walt Disney World during the holiday season, and many that were planning to give annual passes as Christmas gifts will have to come up with something else,” said Alicia Stella, owner of travel website Theme Park Stop. “Next time, a little warning from the company would be nice.”
Disney’s theme parks are still operating at a limited capacity, though the number of people admitted into the parks each day is much higher now than it was earlier in the pandemic. Earlier this year, Disney CEO Bob Chapek signaled that the company expected the Florida parks to be back to full capacity by the end of 2021, but that was before the Delta variant caused a surge in cases nationwide.
According to Walt Disney World’s website, the company has also suspended ticket sales for select dates throughout the holiday season.
DIS, getting close to a trough somewhere close by.These analyst opinion is something to consider nothing more nothing less, don't you go relying on it or making your investments solely on it.
-Based on 23 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Walt Disney in the last 3 months. The average price target is $205.43 with a high forecast of $263.00 and a low forecast of $172.00. The average price target represents a 30.65% change from the last price of $157.24.
