FORD trade ideas
F: Breakout Incoming?I usually hate triangles but I'm playing this as a turtle soup setup and I like that market looks like it wants to fill the gap back upside before a leg down. I'm hoping/expecting we gap through this trend line liquidity and that'll be my confirmation that we can make it back upside. Already positioned in this one for 2 weeks out personally.
Ford - A Cautious Post-ER Long ScalpFord is one of the richest charts among all of the U.S. equities to chew and savour for an analyst.
The reason is, its relevant price action to today spans some 22 years, and we can only see it on the monthly:
Notably, $26~ was a curious place for price action to stop and reject 18 months ago, leaving monthly hallmarks of potential targets
And looking at the weekly:
The rejection was so gappy, closed in ranges not seen on the monthly, but left open ranges not seen on the weekly.
And yet in 18 months, the flat bottom formed under $12 is no cause for bullish continuation. "Support" as retail traders are taught to believe in, is made to be broken.
Therefore, this chart would absolutely never be a long, in my opinion, except that price action you can only see on the daily has created a set of goalposts.
And those goalposts are at the $15.42 level, which formed a perfect double top composing the July high.
Before we begin, I want to warn you that trading the markets right now come with significant geopolitical risks surrounding China.
The International Rules Based Order is frequently going off about "de-risking" from China, but not "decoupling," and the meaning of this is pretty significant.
You should note that the propaganda machine is always targeting "China" but not "The Chinese Communist Party."
Don't you think it's strange that despite the CCP's 100 years of murdering significantly more of its own people than Hitler did in general that the global Party doesn't take advantage of the CCP's heinous human rights abuses and totalitarianism to take it down?
Instead, they're always going after China, its 5,000 year old culture, and its 1.4 billion pre-Wuhan Pneumonia population?
It's because the IRBO wants to take control of China as the CCP falls. They won't take control of it directly, because they're not Chinese, but will install a puppet from Taiwan.
And this is where "War With Taiwan" garrling comes from. It's not that Xi Jinping is going to invade Taiwan, but that the IRBO intends to take control of China with Taiwan as a proxy.
But Xi can always weaponize the 24 year persecution of Falun Gong, started by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, to protect himself and China, because Wall Street and the World Government have been extensively visiting Shanghai (Shanghai Gigafactory what?) to train Marxism.
And training Marxism in Shanghai means depositing collateral with the CCP.
Xi has never persecuted Falun Gong. Instead, Xi has even protected Falun Gong from the Jiangling thugs in Hong Kong, and that was the real purpose of the National Security Law and the installation of John Lee as Chief Executive.
Notable that Lee was banned from attending the San Francisco APEC conference in November by Joe Biden, in that light, wouldn't you say?
So, back to trading.
Generally, the market makers will not leave this kind of double top in play, because short sellers love to go bigly short under them because "it's strong resistance," before taking new lows.
It's noteworthy that Ford is only a ~$50 billion company. Compare that to Tesla and decide which company is over/undervalued.
And all of that is just theoretical, but when we combine it with the fact that Friday's earnings were actually pretty good, but Ford dumped, and back into the box that preceeded its breakout, making it a classic breakout-retrace long, we have a trade setup.
So here's the idea.
Unfortunately, I believe that there is extremely high probabilities that the indexes are topping to end July or to begin August, which I go over here:
# SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
Ford would probably get drug down in a 200+ point SPX correction.
That means that while we have significant bullish upside targets, at the $18 and $22 levels, all of the long term price action considered, we probably have to raid the bottom under $10 before Ford can really and truly rally during an index recovery.
So what we have is a long from where we are on Friday, +/- $12.80, with a target of $16.
This is a pretty nice range to collect.
Rather than use a strict price based stop, what I would like to say is that if Ford does not trade up and away from this $13 level within the next two weeks, it would indicate that big money is up to something else, and a long trade is either not valid or too risky to bother with.
Conversely, if you're bold and brave, shorts/puts over $15.50 with a target under $10 before 2024 may equal an even better payout and risk reward setup.
This trade is something of a coinflip that I only have moderate confidence in. What I have confidence in is that the MMs will not leave $15.50 in tact before they really dump it.
I also don't believe they'll leave these perfect flat bottoms in tact before they pump it.
So, be careful, and good luck. Plays like this are a lot better than gambling on the latest dumpster fire coin (AMC, SPWR, lol) spread on Marxist messenger Reddit.
FORD fell after good earnings - now reverses LONGFORD on the 2H chart double topped in mid July and then descended as it had reached
the second deviation line above the mean anchored VWAP. It continued the fall had a bit
of pre-earnings run up and then paradoxically fell with very decent top and bottom line
earnings. If you know why please let me know. After earnings and the fall, FORD reached
the long-term mean VWAP and reversed as can be seen on lower time frames. I see this
as a VWAP bounce, the favorite place for institutional traders to make their trades. A volume
profile and its POC line find the highest trading volumes of the time interval. the MACD
and Price Momentum Oscillators are confirmatory with reversal signals. I will take a long
trade here. The stop loss will be 13 below VWAP. Targets are 14 (25%) 14.5 (50%) and 14.85
(25%). This is a simple trade with $0.25 risk which will be eliminated once price gets
to $13.5 making it risk and stress-free. I have an options trade in mind. Comment if
you want my specifics.
Technical and digital analysisWe notice that we are in a complex correction, and we notice that there is a buying momentum that increases, while the selling momentum decreases, and we see that there is a divergence
Ford is ready to growa prolonged triangle finished in May 2023, then there was an impulsive wave up followed by a correction that can be near its end soon. Expecting the second leg up from 13 to 17
F Ford Motor Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought F here:
Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of F Ford Motor Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $14.35 strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.47.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
F - Long Position IdeaHi everyone, I entered F with a price average of 13.16$. I don't plan to add any more shares to my current position; however, I believe that F has presented us with a good scalp/swing trade with the current chart. First of all, I'm liking the bounce off of support at around 13.10$. The fact that it found support and immediately reversed to 13.3$ says there is buying pressure. F has gapped down in today's session from 13.7$ to 13.04$, a considerable gap down. Prior to this trading session, we have seen the price per share decline a whole dollar in the span of this trading week. In general, I believe that Ford could possibly retest 13.52$ and even break above it. This is just an idea for a small scalp that I am currently involved in myself. EPS and Revenue estimates were both beats; however, the price dropped due to EV concerns within the company. I believe that there is room for upside, limited upside, but there is certainly money that can be made off of this dip. I did the same for LUV and EBAY, which were all good dip buys off of earnings reports. As seen on the RSI, F was oversold on today's session as it gapped down at the open. With that being said, this is just a long idea that looked decent to me. Have a good weekend and good luck trading everyone!
F CSPs sold 2, 3 DTE at $13.5, $13Two F CSPs sold with 3-DTE and 2-DTE at $13.5, $13 respectively.
Premium == +23, +9
Total Premium == $32
DCA == $13.25
If price close Friday > 13.5, then % == 1.2%:
Else let CSPs excersize and convert to sell CC 1week, 1-week, 2-week, 3-weeks, 5weeks....
Ford Looks bearish till September.NYSE:F
**Not A FINANCIAL ADVISOR**
I AM WRONG LOOK AT MY TRACK RECORD
Looking at Ford, it seems as if we are at a midterm range of 14.50-12.00$ too many gaps and blowoffs but strong support at 11.00$
3 out of 4 times the cycles seem to be pointing at a low. If true, September would be a great time to buy the dip.
I am bullish macro but too hard to identify scuffed pattern on the monthly chart.
**Not A FINANCIAL ADVISOR**
Ford going down News story with ford ask money from the government on top of that lowering there car prices can indicate a money problem with ford taking ford puts for sep 15 $13 puts waiting to wait out the week then going to buy by next week
FORD long entry setup
ford break out trend line and retesting now~~~~~~
it;s good to buy apportunity
potential buy 1 2 3 marked on the chart
^__^
FORD MTR CO - One last possible wave v/ to complete wave II The collapse in 2022 is hardly a buying opportunity if this calculation is accurate. Instead, it is most likely the start of another significant downtrend.
F new long entryF reacted today on these headlines:
Ford said it would cut the price of its F-150 Lightning electric truck by as much as 17% due to enhanced plant capacity and reduced battery raw material costs.
It is a bit of an overreacting, like always. Anyway, I think this will over the chance of a long trade (shown in the chart).
Oasis in the desert Market is about to correct (that's my guess), but check out this stock. I think is very close to a major break out. I have a large position here, not sure if it's going to do it soon but I'll wait patiently.
F - Falling Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Breakout the ceiling of falling trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹POSITIVE signal from Rectangle Formation at resistance 14.03 breakout: Next resistance at 17.97.
🔹Breaks through resistance at 14.40.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
FOnce we retest the level of 15.04, I expect the price to rise again to new levels
15.16
15.70
The fluctuation is at the strong resistance at 15.83, to find the price rising to the next level, which is 16.11.
F TO 15 (+30%)There is a high probability for the FORD price to go up to 15 which means profit +30%.
STOPLOSS 11.
Great setup on $F fordFord triggered an entry for a wonderful setup.
Green lines are targets, red is the stop.
I"m long on Ford!
Using Heikin Ashi Candles to Exploit the BIG REVERSAL on $FAs you can see, on NYSE:F there is a large area of supply on the daily timeframe from 14.72-15.00. The blue dotted line at 14.55 is a point of control. I have started a small position short on NYSE:F 1-2 months out. Notice the 1 and 4 hour Heikin Ashi candles already showing the start of a bearish trend. I'd like for the daily candles to confirm the bearish trend before adding to this position. Let it dump, I never liked Ford vehicles anyway!
Ford/TSLA breakout. Healthy Pullback before moves higher Ford has been riding a falling triangle for over 6 months. multiple head/shoulders patterns occurred inside that triangle, always pulling back to 11$ support and bouncing off downward trend line. When TSLA announced it would be opening its chargers to everyone, I knew due to Ford's patented charging cable for its F150 lightning and their announcement of over-air software updates that some kind of partnership was in the works. After fords breakout from the Triangle we have seen significant upward momentum, backed up by volume. However, Ford will have a hard time breaking above 15 mostly due to technicals. Given all the information we know about their partnership with TSLA, their plans to streamline their production and build a factory, we can reasonably assume Ford will have some sideways movement until next earnings report. Ford also had a mighty short covering rally. I believe it it may become subject to another short term short until earnings report for 3rd quarter. Their is a gap on ford around 18$ from a year or so ago, by the end of year, after the last 2 earnings reports, ford will be closing that gap and on its way to becoming a wonderful value stock and dividend yielder.
Ford at institutional resistanceBased on historical chart and looking at where banks and big money are sitting, I'm looking to enter short. NYSE:F has followed NASDAQ:TSLA , and even partnered with them on charger usage, and this $14.50 zone is respected on the monthly and weekly timeframe.
