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NFLX trade ideas

Concerns about Netflix's Future Subscription GrowthOver the past few years, Netflix has undoubtedly revolutionized how we consume entertainment. Its vast library of content and the convenience of on-demand streaming have attracted millions of subscribers worldwide. However, recent trends and market indicators raise questions about the sustainability of Netflix's exponential growth. Firstly, the streaming landscape has become increasingly competitive. With the emergence of new players such as Disney+, Apple TV+, and Amazon Prime Video, the market has become saturated, leading to a fragmented audience. This intense competition poses a significant challenge for Netflix, as it struggles to retain its subscriber base while attracting new ones. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has temporarily boosted Netflix's subscriber numbers due to lockdown measures and increased demand for home entertainment. However, as the world gradually returns to normalcy, we cannot ignore the possibility of a decline in Netflix's subscriber growth. The return of outdoor activities, cinemas reopening, and live events resumption may divert consumer attention away from streaming platforms, affecting Netflix's long-term growth potential. Additionally, the rising cost of content production and licensing rights is a significant financial burden for Netflix. While the company has successfully created original content, the competition for exclusive rights to popular shows and movies has become increasingly fierce, leading to soaring expenses. This escalating cost may hinder Netflix's ability to invest in new content and maintain its competitive edge in the long run. Considering these concerns, I urge you to pause and reevaluate any long-term investment plans for Netflix. It is essential to assess the company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory amidst fierce competition, changing consumer preferences, and mounting financial pressures. Concerns about Netflix's Future Subscription Growth - A Call to Pause Long-term Investment As traders, we make informed decisions based on a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics. I encourage you to explore alternative investment opportunities within the streaming industry or diversify your portfolio to mitigate potential risks associated with Netflix's uncertain future. In conclusion, the future subscription growth of Netflix remains uncertain, given the intensifying competition, shifting consumer habits, and mounting financial challenges. It is crucial to exercise caution and carefully assess the risks before making any long-term investment commitments.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by bryandowningqln
2
NFLX ANALYSIS: NETFLIX ENDING BULL SEASON?In mid-October 2022, the NFLX share price was about $250; in those days we wrote the post “Is Netflix starting a new bull season?”. Since then, the NFLX stock has more than doubled in price. But after the publication of yesterday's news, everything has changed, hence the headline. The company added nearly 6 million subscribers in the quarter, with a forecast of 1.9 million. As of the end of June, Netflix had 238.4 million subscribers worldwide. This is positive news. Some negative news: the decline in revenue. While 8.3bn was expected, the actual number is 8.1bn. “While we have made steady progress this year, we still have a lot of work to do to accelerate our growth again,” the company said in a quarterly letter to shareholders. However, the most serious argument lies in the behavior of the price on the NFLX chart. On the eve of the earnings report, we witnessed an increase in the price on rumors of an increase in subscribers. The price of NFLX was close to USD 500, but fell almost 9% post-market after the news. So today the trading session is likely to open below USD 440 per share. This abrupt change in market behavior provides an argument to suggest that the months-long rally has reached a culminating phase. A surge in volatility will help large stockholders take profits — perhaps they see Netflix's difficulties with the strike of actors and authors, increased competition, restrictions on the prospects for further growth. The median line of the rising channel is now seen as the nearest support, the breakdown of which will confirm the change in market sentiment. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by FXOpen
$NFLX approaching a topI do think there is likely a small move higher coming next week prior to topping. I'm looking for one last push higher into $457, at which time I think is a good time to go short, because after that, the move down should be a big one. Most likely scenario IMO is that we break the previously lows in the $170ish range and form new lows down between $139-$111 before bottoming. All of this should play out within the next 6-9 months. Let's see what happens.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by benjihyam
NFLX builds more momentum LONG for nowNFLX has been trending up for three weeks. If the trend is getting old it is now showing. Based on a set of two anchored VWAP bands originating June 1 and June 15, Netflix is breaking through VWAP bands from the lower -2 standard deviation lines to the +2 standard deviation lines and nearly the third upper deviation lines. This is a clear and convincing VWAP breakout with buyers in overwhelming control Trading volume today is about 4 or 5 times the running average and about 1M. Volume support for price action is obvious. The dual time frame RSI shows 1 hr TF RSI (blue line) shot up crossed over the daily TF RSI (black line) and is retreating a bit. The daily RS is below 80 and still trending up. The MACD shows a classical bullish momentum pattern with the lines well above the histograms. Overall NFLX has the risk of overextension and possible topping with a fade afterwards. The mass index indicator shows a value into the reversal zone but until the value rises and the drops to 26.5, the trend is still intact. I will take a long trade here, hoping for a quick 5% ROI between now and the end of the week and about 50% on an options trade with a strike of $500 expiring July 28th which I will close upon a confirmed reversal and use the profits realized therefrom to buy a put option to take a ride down.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
NFLX testing significant overhead resistanceNetflix Inc. (NFLX) testing significant overhead resistance, able to absorb monthly buying pressures. From here (NFLX) can fall back to channel support eliciting losses of 15 - 20% over the following 2 - 3 months. A settlement below a near-term channel bottom would be the signal of this downward trajectory. Inversely, a weekly settlement above the significant overhead resistance occurs, gains of 20% would be anticipated over the following 2 - 5 months time.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by SpecialeAnalysis
NETFLIX is heavily bullish. Buy this pullback.Netflix is trading inside a Channel Up for more than 1 year and is headed for the historic January 20th 2022 Gap of 508.45. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. 2. Buy on the MA50 (1d). Targets: 1. 508.45 (Resistance 1 and January 2022 gap). 2. 621.00 (Resistance 2). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) resembles the late August 2022 consolidation that led to a Higher High. Another bullish indication. Please like, follow and comment!!
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by TradingBrokersView
1
NFLX holding on, but for how long?NASDAQ:NFLX had a run after finally finding a way to stop and monetize password sharing via an ad-based subscription. Now, where does it go from here? In this content war, where companies are jockeying for the best scripts and distribution rights, NFLX still has a leg up being the first one with legacy viewers. NYSE:DIS has the most content, but it still faces a challenge balancing the profit of that segment compared to NFLX. Bullish Case - The trendline is a little sharp, but it is still holding. The price is trapped against resistance but can retest 450 after breaking the 442.47 resistance. It looks like a scallop breakout, and this should stay on path. The worst-case scenario would be consolidation to gain support before the retest. Bearish Case - A double top is ready to break down, yet bulls are still holding onto this weak trendline in hope. When we break down from 411.91, we can test 400. There's no way to consolidate because the measured move provides a better risk-to-reward ratio. Conclusion - This is looking for support. It could find it, but the trendline is too far up. Playing it based on the breakout is the best way to trade here. Getting in early is a guessing game, let the chart be your guide. Bullish above - 442.47 Bearish below - 411.91
NASDAQ:NFLX
by JDTheGreat
NFLX Entry, Volume, Target, Stop, ResistanceWhen price clears: 379.43 With daily volume greater than 9.4M Target: 452 area Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; 355.22 gets you 3/1 Risk/Reward. Resistance: 396 area This swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not take this trade based on my idea, do not follow anyone blindly, do your own analysis and due diligence. I am not a professional trader.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by tradepatiently
2