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NVDA trade ideas

Bad News from NVDA and ASML Put Pressure on AI StocksTwo pieces of bad news hit the chip sector in a single day. First, the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia, blocking the sale of its H20 chip to China. H20 was the only AI chip Nvidia could legally sell to China under existing regulations. The company stated the new restrictions could cost up to $5.5 billion. The second blow came from ASML’s earnings report. ASML is the sole producer of EUV machines, which are critical for manufacturing advanced chips, including those used in AI. ASML's revenue miss, combined with the Nvidia news, weighed heavily on technology stocks. However, there is a silver lining: the revenue miss was due to weaker DUV machine sales, which are used for more basic chips. EUV sales actually beat market expectations by 33.54%, indicating that investment in AI infrastructure remains strong. Nvidia shares are down more than 6% in premarket trading. This downward pressure may continue after the market opens. If the price drops below 100, it could present a buying opportunity for medium- to long-term investors. AI investment continues globally, and countries outside the U.S. are likely to accelerate their efforts to catch up. Despite the recent negative sentiment, there is no major change in the long-term outlook for the sector.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ftdsystem
NVIDIA Plunges After $5.5B Writedown! GEX + TA Outlook 📰 News Catalyst: NVIDIA (NVDA) crashed over 6% after-hours following the disclosure of a $5.5B charge related to U.S. export restrictions. The company’s H20 AI chips, intended for China, have been rendered unsellable due to newly enforced licensing restrictions — prompting a massive writedown and raising investor concerns. 📊 Technical Analysis – 1H Chart: Market Structure: * Breakdown from an ascending support line signals short-term bearish momentum. * Strong bounce attempt at the 105 level, which aligns with prior structure and GEX PUT support. * Resistance now firmly stacked at 113, 114, and especially 115.44, where price previously rejected hard. Indicators: * EMA/VWAP rejection confirms trend shift. * MACD has crossed bearish with increasing momentum. * RSI dropped into oversold territory (below 35), confirming selling pressure. 🔮 GEX Insights – Options Sentiment: * Heavy CALL Walls sit at 113–116, with the strongest wall at 115.44, now acting as a firm ceiling unless a gamma flip occurs. * PUT Support builds around 105, with the next wall lower at 100. This structure suggests downside remains open if 105 breaks again. * IVR is at 33.3, and IVx is falling by 20%, hinting at possible IV crush risk despite price volatility. * Dealers are likely net short gamma, meaning continued downward movement could fuel more forced selling. 🧠 Thoughts & Strategy: Bias remains bearish unless bulls can reclaim and close above the 109.2–110 area. If 105 fails again on high volume, momentum likely drives price toward 100, where the next major PUT Wall sits. Beyond that, 92.64 is the next major structure from previous swing lows. A bounce is only favorable if 105 holds firm with a high-volume reclaim above VWAP and a bullish signal from RSI or MACD. 🎯 Trade Setups: Bearish Setup: * Entry below 105 * Target 1: 100 * Target 2: 92.64 * Stop Loss: Above 109.2 Bullish Countertrend (Risky): * Entry: 105.50 reclaim with confirmation * Target: 109.2, then 113 * Stop Loss: Below 104.8 ⚠️ Final Take: NVDA is under serious pressure from both a fundamental shock and a gamma-driven technical breakdown. With GEX showing strong PUT dominance and CALL walls stacked above, the path of least resistance remains down unless bulls reclaim key zones. Keep risk tight and let price confirm. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk wisely.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVDA short trap may be set..!boost and follow for more! thanks ❤️‍🔥 Yesterday NVDA broke the trend support that's its held in this downtrend, but it quickly climbed back above.. was that drop the final short trap before the move higher? it's trying to reclaim the pink support zone now, if it can and we cross 107, then the move higher to my upside targets is likely.🎯 side note: I added 110 weekly NVDA while it was in the 90s yesterday, they hit 100%+ gain this morning and I secured, but I will look to trade this again on the cross of 107 or so, for now I will put my focus elsewhere. GLTA ⚡
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Aura_Trades
6
NVDA Stock – Bullish Outlook Based on Technical & FundamentalI'm bullish on Nvidia (NVDA) and currently see a strong opportunity to enter the stock at $114.32, targeting a take profit at $137.22, with a conservative stop loss set at $105.00. Technical Analysis At present, NVDA is trading within a consolidation range between $75.61 and $152.78. Historically, this zone has shown consistent buying pressure on dips, while selling pressure has remained weak, indicating that bulls are firmly in control during this accumulation phase. Most notably, the last weekly candle closed with a strong bullish signal, reinforcing our confidence in a potential breakout or upward continuation within the current range. With buyers showing dominance in this zone and no significant bearish momentum on the horizon, the technical setup supports a favorable risk-to-reward long trade. Trade Setup Entry: $114.32 Stop Loss: $105.00 Take Profit: $137.22 This setup offers a clear structure for both risk management and profit-taking as we anticipate further upside momentum. Fundamental Analysis Nvidia continues to be the undisputed leader in the AI revolution. As the maker of the world’s highest-performance GPUs, NVDA is powering cutting-edge technologies from AI to gaming, data centers, and autonomous driving. Its recently launched Blackwell architecture already generated $11 billion in its first quarter — demand is so intense that customers are willing to wait for access. What sets Nvidia apart is its aggressive innovation cycle. The company has committed to annual GPU updates and maintains a clear roadmap through the next two years. This rapid pace ensures it stays ahead of competitors and keeps customer interest high. Beyond GPUs, Nvidia offers a complete suite of AI products and services, positioning itself as a holistic AI ecosystem provider. Even more exciting is its entry into quantum computing, with a research center under construction in Boston — a long-term bet that could pay off massively in the next tech era. While short-term tariff-related volatility could cause minor pullbacks, Nvidia’s fundamentals remain incredibly strong. Trading at just 23x forward earnings, this stock still looks like a bargain considering its future growth potential.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SupertradeOfficial
NVIDIA Rounding Top: Bearish Swings Q1 2025TA Nvidia demonstrated strong growth throughout 2024. However, this year, it has shown rather a poor performance. When an uptrend started to weaken, it gave off subtle signals before a full reversal happened on the horizon. One of the first clues is that the highs collectively begin to appear curved compared with initial rough growth. This reflects the loss of aggressive bullish intent, showing hesitation and vulnerability to a reversal. The price still makes higher highs, but the incremental gain between each peak shrinks. This declining magnitude in price advancement suggests that buyers are gradually losing strength with each move. These shallow bullish waves often get sold into quickly, showing early distribution behavior. Simultaneously, it takes longer time for price to reach each successive high . When higher highs occur at reduced frequency, the rally phases become stretched out. This indicates buyers are struggling, and sellers are gaining time-based control. Extended Rounding Top Pattern Price crosses above the rounding top Indicates a failed reversal and potential bullish breakout. Suggests renewed buying strength and possible trend continuation. I'd recommend using confirmation tools like volume spikes and momentum indicators which are essential to validate the breakout. Price reaches the rounding top and stalls or reverses Confirms the bearish reversal signal of the pattern. Acts as a strong resistance zone, often leading to a downtrend. Alongside with fibs, it can be used as a cue to take profits, exit long trades, or enter short positions. FUNDAMENTALS Catalysts of Bearish Swings A transition phase characterized by a series of sharp bearish swings, marked by a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, shaping a well-defined downward channel. Drop #1: ATH → Higher Low (Early January 2025) After Nvidia’s euphoric 2024 AI hype rally, it was a matter of time as some institutional Investors locked in profits, causing initial drop. Valuation metrics (P/E; P/S) reached extremes creating grounds for a correction. The Fed’s January meeting hinted at fewer rate cuts than the market expected. Rising Treasury yields pressured tech stocks. The U.S. government has imposed strict export controls on advanced semiconductors, AI chips and related technology to China. Drop #2: Lower High → Lower Low (Late January to February 2025) While Nvidia beat Q4 earnings expectations, its forward guidance disappointed. Management cited softening data center orders and consumer GPU inventory corrections. Concerns about potential erosion in gross margins due to increasing costs and competitive pricing pressure from AMD and Intel. AI infrastructure spending was plateauing faster than expected, leading to re-ratings across the sector. Drop #3: Second Lower High → Second Lower Low (Mid to Late February through Early March 2025) Several investment banks downgraded semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, amid fears of a cyclical slowdown and oversupply risks in H2 2025. In early March, broader indices dropped due to hot inflation prints in February. Fed’s stance during testimony to Congress indicated a higher interest rate outlook. Reports emerged about delays in next-gen chip production due to yield issues at TSMC and logistics constraints, fueling investor anxiety. Renewed export control tightening and U.S.-China friction were again cited as major concerns earlier this year. These concerns were part of the bearish narrative during Nvidia’s downward structure, especially during Drop #1 and Drop #2 where investors began pricing in geopolitical and regulatory headwinds. Events & Economic catalysts to monitor (before buying heavy): Nvidia Earnings Q1 2025 Mid to Late May 2025 Why it matters: Forward guidance, Data Center/AI segment growth, margin updates, and China sales commentary will heavily impact sentiment and trend direction. U.S. CPI (Inflation) Reports April 10, 2025 (March CPI) Remember: Hot inflation = higher rate expectations → tech sector sell-off. Watch for YoY core CPI trends. U.S. Jobs Report (NFP) April 4, 2025 Keep in mind: Strong labor = sticky inflation = Fed hawkishness → higher discount rates on growth stocks. Semiconductor Industry Conferences ・NVIDIA GTC (GPU Technology Conference) – usually held Spring or Fall ・Semicon West 2025 – typically July Track the progress: Product launches, AI roadmaps, new partnerships, and forward tech strategy updates often revealed.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by fract
2
NVIDIA on Bear Market territory. Will the 1W MA100 save the day?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has officially entered Bear Market territory as it has declined by almost -45% from the January 2025 All Time High (ATH) and just hit its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the week of January 30 2023. This is the strongest correction the stock has seen since the 2022 Inflation Crisis and based on the Time Cycle Indicator of the last two Cycle Tops, the week of Jan 06 2025 falls indeed on the third count. This high degree of symmetry isn't only present on the price action but on the 1W RSI sequence itself as the current time range from the RSI High (March 18 2024) to today's Low is fairly consistent (54 weeks, 378 days) with the top-to-bottom range of the previous two Bear Markets, 2022 and 2018 (red Channel Down patterns). So far the current correction looks similar to the September - December 2018 as not only their RSI counts are similar but both are more aggressive and fast than the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The 2018 correction though didn't top on the 1W MA100 but almost reached the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before making a bottom, but it did so in less than 2 months and declined by -57.40%. The current correction is already running for 3 months. So what remains to be seen is if the 1W MA100 will manage to hold and kick-start a bullish reversal on its own, despite this correction being 'only' -43.39%. The 1W RSI dropped close enough to 30.00 (the oversold limit) though, which has historically been a very reliable indicator for a long-term buy on NVDA. If those work in favor of the 1W MA100 holding, expect to see a strong rebound, that will confirm the new Bull Cycle with a break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and can technically aim for at least a +1000% rise from the bottom, as both previous Bull Cycles did. If the 1W MA100 fails, we expect a bottom by the end of June 2025 around the 1W MA200 between $65-60. Again a +1000% rise from that level is technically plausible, potentially giving a Target estimate of at least $660. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingShot
2
IM BEARISH ON NVIDIA WITH A TARGET OF $55.00. HERE IS WHY:NVIDIA (NVDA) Known for their GPUs, recently has experienced a decline in asset price. Trump tariff's may have been a bearish news catalyst, but do the technicals show a bigger bearish picture? 1 Day chart: While the RSI recently signaled oversold conditions, the RSI line looks to be crossing down the RSI based moving average. Furthermore the 200 Day EMA and 65 Day EMAs appear to be forming a death cross. DMI is still indicating bearish, and the ADX is still above 20. With recent political news, the tech company has been working on bolstering their U.S based production. But with inflation cooling (6 month low) , I believe many high performing blue chip stocks may see a dip as traders and institutions price in deflation, new news and political events. My opinion on a target is $55.00 , and there is significant open interest on long puts for this price that are expiring in the coming months. Will NVIDIA pull out of this downtrend? Or will it become a great value buy for investors? Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
Trend Support and 18M AVWAP: Our Final Stronghold📜 Field Orders – Operation: Defensive Line Troops, listen up. We’re falling back to our key defenses—Trend Support and the 18M AVWAP. Hold your ground. Do not charge. We wait. 🎯 Your Orders: Stand down unless support is broken cleanly with force. If the red army pushes through and confirms—join the short side. Enter only with structure, never emotion. Protect your treasures—capital is your ammunition. Don’t waste it fighting in the chop. If this is a trap, and you’re caught in it—retreat immediately. Take the loss. Regroup. Redeploy with strength and clarity. If we bounce here—watch for signs of a counteroffensive near the AVWAP wall. But again—only enter with confirmation. Not hope.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by dburgos0127
1
3/20/25 - $nvda - Patient, but path to $10 tn (LONGER READ sry!)3/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA Patient, but path to $10 tn - as we reflect on this crack tape, i'd like to share a few thoughts here, hopefully keeping it a bit punchy and we can duke it out/ debate in the comments. - objectively, the level of HPC/ AI compute is accelerating up the S curve. - nvidia's customers are the most price inelastic buyers you could want in a recession. microsoft. tesla. amazon. nation states *cough*. these aren't BNPL customers ordering burritos and a side of GPU chips thru doordash. - NVIDIA's platform won. such that they don't screw the pooch and their 35k engineers all focused on a singular issue don't decide to go solve some unrelated market (/sarc bc we know Jensen's style), effectively there's no "rebuilding" NVIDIA. ASICs will eventually come, but they won't dominate. In the chip business, there's a reason each vertical tends toward 70... 80... 90% market share players. - the real issue here, when i run the math (and i've built out my own model tn to wrap my head around this all), is really *where* we are on this S-curve. the mkt is concerned about a few things, and actually, the macro/ risk assets and long-duration i.e. discount rate seem to be more important than fundamentals. that's a good thing, BUT, in the short-term it can really dislocate price. and price tells a story. and that story can distract. it can avert your attention. it can make you nervous (on the converse, fomo). so it's good to have a clear idea of what's going on here, which is why i underwent this exercise. - all-else equal, as beats, communication and sector dominance remain (and they don't need to be massive beats, just not misses that portend lower growth in the terminal), my estimates put NVDA's mkt cap close to 10 tn. - but at shy of $3 tn today, that 3x LIKELY will take 2-3 years to play out and will largely be driven by the short term climb of the S-curve, and more immediately driven by, again, terminal rates. - fair value today ex-beats but with lower terminal rates likely takes the stock toward $5 tn (and i'd expect this to be a reasonably year-end target) or a stock of $200. let's call that move 2/3 "macro" and 1/3 "fundamental" - and the remainder of the move toward doubling likely happens over the following 2 years because more data will need to be collected by the market to assess this dominance, cash generation etc. etc. - okay this isn't a punchy write up... at this pt. excuse me! - so what's the downside? again, there's a lot we can and should duke out in comments to shorten the conclusion here, but i'd suggest something closer to $2 tn for a variety of reasons. that's nearly 30% downside or a stock in the $80s. do we get there? no clue. but in this environment, we've seen how deepseek headlines, blackwell overheating rumors (which btw remain), asic announcements, chinese "competition" etc. etc. all affect the bid. and i'd suggest that a 30% downside for a potential 70% upside into year-end remains a great risk-reward here at $120 today. - my guess would be that long-term buyers accumulate at these levels and we probably get taken closer to the $130s... even $140s before this becomes more of a complicated equation. - that being said, it's a clear buy, IMO, at this price, in a YE context and especially in a multi-year context given downside to upside potential and the work i've put in here. truly a one-of-a-kind asset that has actually held it's own against BTC in the last 10 years (THE ONLY of any real market cap) TL;DR - still a great buy at $120 - downside below $100 and it's obvious. buying that fear, possibly on leverage in the $80s. - not using leverage ST in this environment - YE target of $200 - unfortunately more of a macro punching bag ST but fundamentals remain the meat of the 2-3 year move and so far, don't see any flaws. lmk what u think. V
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VROCKSTAR
Chips Down: What Shadows Loom Over Nvidia's Path?While Nvidia remains a dominant force in the AI revolution, its stellar trajectory faces mounting geopolitical and supply chain pressures. Recent US export restrictions targeting its advanced H20 AI chip sales to China have resulted in a significant $5.5 billion charge and curtailed access to a crucial market. This action, stemming from national security concerns within the escalating US-China tech rivalry, highlights the direct financial and strategic risks confronting the semiconductor giant. In response to this volatile environment, Nvidia is initiating a strategic diversification of its manufacturing footprint. The company is spearheading a massive investment initiative, potentially reaching $500 billion, to build AI infrastructure and chip production capabilities within the United States. This involves critical collaborations with partners like TSMC in Arizona, Foxconn in Texas, and other key players, aiming to enhance supply chain resilience and navigate the complexities of trade tensions and potential tariffs. Despite these proactive steps, Nvidia's core operations remain heavily dependent on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) for producing its most advanced chips, primarily in Taiwan. This concentration exposes Nvidia to significant risk, particularly given the island's geopolitical sensitivity. A potential conflict disrupting TSMC's Taiwanese fabs could trigger a catastrophic global semiconductor shortage, halting Nvidia's production and causing severe economic repercussions worldwide, estimated in the trillions of dollars. Successfully navigating these intertwined market, supply chain, and geopolitical risks is the critical challenge defining Nvidia's path forward.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by UDIS_View
Will NVDA Breaks 115 and Trigger the Next Leg?Technical Analysis (1H Chart) NVDA is riding a strong intraday uptrend within a clean ascending channel. Price is now sitting just under the key resistance zone around 115, which aligns with a prior high and the top of the current structure. This level also matches the upper boundary of the rising channel, making it a high-confluence breakout point. * Support zones: $103.07 (prior breakdown area), followed by $92.53 (major swing low). * Resistance: $115.05 — a critical decision zone. * Volume: Increasing on bullish candles, suggesting buyer interest. * RSI: Sitting just below overbought, indicating room for a breakout continuation before exhaustion. * Outlook: Holding above the mid-channel trendline signals strength. A push and close above 115 could unlock a rapid move toward 120–125. GEX Options Insight The options market is showing strong bullish positioning: * Highest positive NETGEX / Call Wall at 115 – this level acts as a magnet and resistance. * 80.79% Call Wall at 130, with stacked gamma walls at 120 and 125. * PUT Support sits at 100, reinforced by -51.01% and -29.42% put walls. Options Sentiment: * IVR: 61.2 — moderately elevated. * IVx Avg: 81 — above average. * Put Flow: 3.6% only — heavy CALL interest. * GEX Flow: 🔵🟢🟢 — indicating net bullish pressure. 🧠 Trade Setups For Stock Traders: * Breakout Entry: If NVDA breaks and holds above 115, target the next gamma wall at 120–125. * Support Bounce: Buy near 103 if it pulls back and confirms support. * Stop-loss: Below $100. For Options Traders: * Call Spread: Buy 115C / Sell 125C for 4/26 or 5/3 expiry. Defined risk, targeting gamma extension. * Put Credit Spread: Sell 100P / Buy 95P if expecting continued support at $100. * Avoid shorting calls — heavy bullish GEX tilt suggests further upside pressure. 🔍 Final Thoughts NVDA is one of the cleanest large-cap setups right now. Both the chart structure and GEX sentiment align for potential continuation trades to the upside, especially on a confirmed 115 breakout. While broad markets remain shaky, NVDA is flashing clear relative strength, backed by options flow and technical positioning. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Advances AI Strategy Amid Tariff PauseNvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is quickly strengthening its positions in artificial intelligence and data center technologies. This comes as the U.S. government temporarily halts new export restrictions, offering relief to the semiconductor sector. Nvidia will continue selling its H20 AI chips to China following a decision not to enforce new trade limits. This followed a key meeting between CEO Jensen Huang and former President Donald Trump. The announcement eased concerns over losing access to a major international market. Nvidia recently introduced its latest innovation, the Blackwell Ultra AI chips, at the GPU Technology Conference. These chips target the rising demand for high-performance computing used in AI systems. The move could boost Nvidia’s market lead as competition grows. Market volatility followed the government’s tariff update. Nvidia stock surged nearly 19% after the 90-day tariff pause announcement, excluding China-specific measures. The next day, the stock dropped 5.8% to close at $107.74. Technical Analysis Nvidia's price bounced sharply from the $92 support zone. This area has attracted strong buying activity. The RSI is currently at 44, showing neutral market momentum. The key resistance level to watch is $153.13. If the price breaks this level, it could rise toward a new all-time high. Failure to do so may lead to a pullback toward $92. Watch the $153 level closely for confirmation of trend direction. Nvidia's recent price movement leaves room for both uptrend continuation and short-term correction depending on upcoming market signals.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
NVDA Drops to $100: Volatility Squeeze Signals More DownsideNVDA Daily Chart Analysis Price Action: NVDA saw a strong uptrend from late 2023, peaking at $150 in mid-2024. It has since pulled back sharply to $100.33 as of May 2025, showing bearish momentum. Indicator: The Smart-Trend Indicator flagged multiple buy (blue X) and sell (red X) signals. The latest sell signal near $150 preceded the current drop, with sentiment marked as "Bullish" but showing a "Volatility Squeeze." Key Levels: Support: $90 (next major level). Resistance: $111.05 (recent high). Outlook: Bearish in the short term after the breakdown. A drop below $100 could target $90. A reclaim of $111.05 might signal a trend reversal. Trade Idea: Short on a bounce to $111 with a stop above $115, targeting $90. Alternatively, wait for $90 support confirmation for a long entry. #NVDA #Bearish #SmartTrend
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by tradingbauhaus
1
Nvidia Drops 9%+ Amid Export Curbs and Fed WarningNvidia Corporation (NVDA) saw its stock fall by 9.18%, trading at $101.68 as renewed fears over U.S.-China trade tensions and monetary policy signals shook investor confidence. The decline came after the company confirmed costly new restrictions on chip exports to China, intensifying market concerns about long-term demand and global supply chain disruptions. The broader market reacted sharply to these developments. The Nasdaq Composite dropped nearly 4.3%, while the S&P 500 shed around 3.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also lost more than 900 points, a drop of about 2.2%. Contributing further to the sell-off, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered remarks in Chicago, stating that the central bank would “wait for greater clarity” before making interest rate changes. Powell highlighted the conflicting effects of tariffs, warning that they could bring “higher inflation and slower growth,” placing the Fed’s dual mandate of stable prices and full employment under pressure. These comments, coupled with geopolitical uncertainty, pushed stocks to session lows. Technical Analysis Nvidia's price action shows a notable rebound from a major support zone near $92, which has historically attracted strong buying interest. Despite Wednesday’s sharp drop, the price trades above this level, suggesting traders are still defending it. The next key resistance lies at $153.13, a level that capped previous rallies. If Nvidia breaks above this zone, it could signal a bullish continuation, potentially leading to a move toward new all-time highs. However, rejection at this point could trigger a pullback, with a possible retest of the $92 support. The Relative Strength Index stands at 41, indicating a close to average momentum. This positions Nvidia at a crossroads, where upcoming price action around the resistance will determine the near-term trend.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
NVDA 2025 Descending Channel- My TakeNVDA has been staying in this descending for the past 3-months or so and without fail has been unable to breakout like it is trapped in a cell. For the near future and especially with the ping-pong trade and international policy approach by the administration I would take puts for 3+ weeks out on any rally. fade any rally. Building in the US is a nightmare for NVIDIA's profit margins as workers in china are simply more skillful and the country is much more adept at production and exports than we are. Huge gap to bridge.. and until we do I will be respecting the trend.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by mogulxtrades
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Shares Rally Amid AI Sector OptimismShares of Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) have gained over 3% on Friday 11th April. The positive results come after U.S. markets rallied on tariff news. President Trump announced a 90-day pause on new tariffs. Reciprocal tariffs for most countries dropped to 10%, sparking investor optimism. Major U.S. indices rose sharply following the announcement after being under pressure from rising trade tensions. The pause was seen as a welcome shift toward calmer negotiations. However, Trump excluded China from this relief. Instead, he stated that tariffs on Chinese goods would increase to 125%. This came after China announced new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports. The tough stance toward China contrasted with the softened approach to other countries. Despite the relief, market uncertainty remains. Investors are unsure whether the rally will last. Ongoing trade disputes, especially with China, could disrupt momentum. Nvidia's price rose to $110.78, gaining $14.99 on Friday's session. The stock reached an intraday high of $111.53 and a low of $107.48. The current resistance sits at $153.13 high. Technical Analysis Nvidia bounced sharply off the $92 support zone, highlighted by strong buying pressure. The RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum. A clear resistance lies near $153.13 high. If Nvidia breaks this level, a move toward $180 is likely. If it fails, price may revisit the $92 zone. Two scenarios are possible. The stock could either continue upward to $180 or face rejection and fall back. Watch the $153 level closely for confirmation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
What Technical and Fundamental Analysis Says about NvidiaNvidia NASDAQ:NVDA soared nearly 20% Wednesday before pulling back some later in the week, leaving the stock down roughly 25% over the past six months. Where does technical and fundamental analysis say the chip giant’s stock could go from here? Let’s take a look: Nvidia’s Fundamental Analysis Nvidia got a huge boost Wednesday from the Trump administration's decision to pause the tariffs it planned to impose on most nations’ U.S.-bound exports. Instead, the White House decided to delay most tariffs on countries other than China for the next 90 days while it conducts trade negotiations with some 70 nations. As an added benefit for Nvidia, the president's team separately paused an expected export ban that would have prohibited Nvidia from shipping its high-end H20 GPUs to China. Now, I don't know how many of these chips Nvidia would really sell to Beijing, as both nations recently placed almost prohibitive tariffs on each other's exports. But the market had probably already largely priced in the H20 export ban, which is now not moving ahead. The sale of these chips to Chinese customers in all likelihood remains legal. Nvidia's publicly known Chinese customers for those chips include such well-known names as Alibaba NYSE:BABA , Tencent OTC:TCEHY and privately held ByteDance. All of those three have placed large H20 orders this year. As for earnings, Nvidia won’t report fiscal Q1 results until probably May’s last week. However, the firm posted fiscal Q4 numbers in February that showed 82% year-over-year earnings growth on 72% y/y revenue gains. While those are big percentage increases, they nonetheless marked a deceleration from prior quarters’ y/y gains. Similarly, management’s latest forward sales guidance remains strong, but also reflects a continuance of this year-over-year percentage deceleration. The company’s midpoint projection calls for $43 billion in fiscal Q1 revenue, which would amount to about a 65% year-on-year revenue gain. NVDA also guided fiscal Q1 GAAP gross margin to 70.6% and adjusted gross margin at 71%, plus or minus 50 basis points. That was just a touch below analysts’ consensus view at the time. All in, the Street is looking for Nvidia to report $0.88 in GAAP earnings per share for its current quarter, as well as $0.93 in adjusted EPS and $43.3 billion in revenues. That would represent an 52.5% gain from the year-ago quarter’s $0.61 in adjusted EPS, while also reflecting 64% in year-over-year sales growth. This would beat of the firm's own guidance, as 25 of the 32 sell-side analysts that I can find that cover Nvidia have increased their estimates for the quarter since it began. (Seven have cut their forecasts.) Technically Speaking Now let’s check out NVDA’s chart going back to last September and running through midday on Thursday (April 10): Readers will see that NVDA recently came out of a so-called “double top” pattern of bearish reversal that spanned from last October into early January, as marked with the “Top 1” and “Top 2” red boxes above. However, the stock trended lower from that point on, as I capture above within the confines of an Andrews' Pitchfork model. Though the chipmaker’s stock has at times pierced both the pitchfork’s upper and lower trendlines, it hasn’t broken out in either direction so far. Even after NVDA’s 18.7% one-day rally on Wednesday, the stock immediately gave back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line above) on the very next day. The stock also remains well below both its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” denoted by a blue line) and its 200-day SMA (marked with a red line). This means that in all likelihood, Nvidia might very well remain an instrument of short-term trading rather than long-term investing. After all, portfolio managers generally don’t like to carry a lot of exposure below those two moving averages. As for Nvidia’s other technical indicators, the stock’s Relative Strength Index (or “RSI,” marked with a gray line at the chart’s top) remains unimpressive. Similarly, the company’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) looks bearish. All of its three components -- the histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars), the 12-day EMA (the black line) and the 26-day EMA (the gold line) -- are below zero. That’s usually a bearish technical indicator. From where I stand, Nvidia’s upside pivot is the stock’s 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a blue line and currently at around $119.30 vs. NVDA’s $107.57 close Thursday). Meanwhile, if the stock can hold its 21-day EMA (the green line above, currently at about $109.90) that could get the swing-trading crowd on board. However, a failure to hold there would likely make the odds of attracting capital flows from portfolio managers pretty weak. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in NVDA at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. 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NASDAQ:NVDA
by moomoo
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