Down Nearly -5.5% The Nvidia Death Cross. Formed and Diverging?!NVIDIA (NVDA) Looks to be showing a formed death cross of the 65 Day and 200 Day Exponential Moving Averages . Price is down almost -5.50% by Midday.
What could happen next?
NVDA trade ideas
NVIDIA (NVDA) investors should knowHello NVIDIA (NVDA) investors,
Looking at the daily chart below, we see that NVDA briefly broke out of its long‑standing yellow descending channel only to be pulled back in; price is now testing horizontal support in the $100–150 range. In the lower pane, RSI remains negative and has yet to break its downtrend line around the 41 level.
Technical Analysis
Descending Channel:
The stock has been trading inside a long‑term descending channel. Selling pushed it back inside after a false breakout near $137–142. The upper channel line sits around $115—until we see a daily close above that, a true trend reversal is unlikely.
Horizontal Support/Resistance:
Support: $95-100 (confluence of past lows and the channel’s lower boundary)
Resistance: $147-150 (channel upper line), then $145–150 (early‑April highs)
RSI:
Currently ~41. A break above the RSI downtrend near 45–50 would signal improving momentum; if it fails, we could retest oversold territory.
Fundamental & Macro Factors
Quarterly Results:
NVDA reported strong revenue and margin growth last quarter, driven primarily by AI/data‑center demand.
AI & Data‑Center Demand:
Demand from AI‑focused servers and cloud providers remains very high, and this secular trend is expected to persist.
Trump’s Latest Tariffs:
In early March 2025, an additional %145 tariff on China‑origin semiconductors was announced. This measure may raise NVDA’s export costs to China and exert short‑term margin pressure. It also risks demand swings as Chinese buyers adjust their inventory strategies.
Strategic Recommendations
Stop‑Loss:
Consider a stop‑loss on daily closes below $90 to protect long positions.
Position Sizing:
Scale into longs near support, and take profits incrementally near resistance.
Tariff Watch:
Monitor any further U.S. export restrictions or tariff changes on China—each announcement can drive volatility
-Celil Adıgüzel
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)
Below is our integrated analysis based on all available model reports.
──────────────────────────────
SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS FROM EACH MODEL
• Grok/xAI Report
– Technical indicators on lower timeframes (5‐minute) have shown short‑term weakness (price below the 10‑period EMA and bearish MACD) while the daily chart remains more neutral to slightly bullish.
– The max pain level ($110.00) lies below the current price ($112.20), suggesting there could be some pull‐back pressure.
– With mixed signals and elevated volatility, the analysis does not provide a strong directional conviction – hence no trade was recommended.
• Llama/Meta Report
– The shorter‑term (5‑minute) technicals indicate a bearish setup (MACD below signal, RSI near 45) despite the daily chart’s support from above‑average prices, supporting a slight downside bias.
– The report favors a put option (near ATM), suggesting that an option between the current price and the max pain level may capture a potential move downwards.
– Their setup initially mentioned the possibility of a trade “if premium is acceptable.”
• Gemini/Google Report
– Detailed multi‑timeframe analysis points to:
○ Immediate (M5) weakness (price trading below very short‑term EMAs and with bearish MACD signal),
○ Negative catalyst from export restrictions and the high–yet falling–VIX, and
○ A gravitational pull toward $110 (the max pain).
– This model’s analysis is moderately bearish and recommends buying a weekly naked put.
– Their trade plan suggests buying a put with a strike near $111 (which sits between the current price and max pain) with an entry at market open, a target premium gain of roughly 80–100% and a stop loss at about 50% of the premium.
• DeepSeek Report
– Also reviews technicals and sentiment inputs but concludes that conflicting signals and incomplete options data render a clear trade decision uncertain f
or today.
• The report leans toward “no trade” until further clarity is available.
──────────────────────────────
AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
• Agreement points:
– Most analyses agree that NVDA is trading a strong 5‑day rally and that, with the max pain level set at $110.00, there’s potential for a pullback.
– All reports also note the mixed technical picture when viewing short‑term versus daily charts.
– The immediate (intraday) indicators (M5 MACD, EMAs) lean toward weakness, even if the longer‑term trend remains less clear.
• Disagreements:
– Grok/xAI and DeepSeek lean toward “no trade” given the ambiguity and risk, whereas Llama/Meta and Gemini/Google see a moderate bearish opportunity.
– The recommended strike levels differ slightly: one report referenced the ATM region near $112 while the more detailed Gemini/Google plan suggests a slightly lower strike ($111) to better capture a potential move toward max pain.
──────────────────────────────
CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE
Overall Market Direction Consensus:
• Although there is no unanimity, the preponderance of evidence—especially the short‑term technical weakness, the negative export restrictions news, elevated (but falling) volatility, and the max pain setup—leans toward a moderately bearish bias for today’s session.
Recommended Trade:
• We recommend a weekly naked put option trade (using only weekly options) if NVDA trades within or near our expected range at the open.
• Best execution is near market open provided the premium falls into or near our target range ($0.30–$0.60, allowing for slight flexibility).
• Specifically, purchase a $111 put expiring on April 17, 2025, which places you between the current trading level and the $110 max pain level.
• Entry Timing: At market open.
• Confidence Level: Approximately 65%
• Key risk factors include:
– The inherent conflict between short‐term and longer‐term signals,
– Possibility of the stock continuing its r
ecent rally (or failing to reach down near $110), and
– Extreme theta decay and premium volatility with only one day to expiration.
• Trade Parameters (example):
– Entry premium target about $0.50 per contract (if within acceptable range),
– Profit target set around $0.90 (roughly an 80% gain on premium), and
– Stop loss around $0.25 (50% of entry premium).
──────────────────────────────
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 111.0,
"expiry": "2025-04-17",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 0.90,
"stop_loss": 0.25,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.50,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
NVDA plan over the next few monthsNVDA is one of the key players in the A.I. revolution, but it looks like it is going to get caught up in the macro news and the China trade war. The chart below is my general plan on NVDA going forward.
Is it finally time for a rally?Looking at NVIDIA (NVDA) on the weekly chart over the past two years, a significant gap up becomes apparent around April, which persisted for much of the year. Considering the recent news and the stock's pullbacks lately, this may be the moment for NVDA to resume its upward grind. The coming weeks will reveal its direction.
Additionally, it's worth noting the formation of a massive bull pennant on the weekly chart. If history repeats itself and this pattern holds, the next 2 to 6 weeks could prove to be a thrilling period for NVDA.
NVIDIA ---> The jorney TO ---> 90s and 80s (UPDATED) PART 2Okay guys. Here is my UPDATED idea (just dont know how to insert an updated chart in the previous exsiting idea).
I think it could be usful, CAUSE many guys burning for bullish.
I was straight bearish in the first part of idea, but here is some corrections cause of Trump canceled the additonal tarrifs for import from China, for critical technologies such as semiconductors, chips, smartphones and laptops.
So I assume the price can go first up to 113 and go down or even touch 117 and then the "Journey" at least to 90s and even 80s. As we see the lines of resistance in that areas on the chart.
The dead line for the price reversal is Tuesday, April 15
(in my opinion).
My technical analysis telling me this.
Let's watch what will happen.
ArtSun (YoY) Trend
Major Trend
***
Celestial bodies outside the Earth shapes help us to frame phenomena...
The Sun is a good example on how we translate a natural proccess to the markets, we use yearly terms...
Sorry for my english.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Oversold or Start of a Larger Correction?Overview & Market Context
NVIDIA just saw a major sell-off, dropping around 7% in a single session and slicing below key support levels. This abrupt move has raised questions: Is NVDA oversold enough for a bounce, or are we at the onset of a broader bearish trend? High trading volume suggests significant institutional distribution, so caution is warranted for both bulls and bears.
1. Price Action & Volume
* NVDA closed near the $94.31 mark after the sharp decline.
* Volume spiked (~532M), confirming that large players have been active—often a sign of heightened volatility and potential trend changes.
2. Moving Averages
* The 200-day SMA sits near $127.07, which NVDA fell below decisively. Historically, losing the 200-day often signals a medium-term bearish bias, making it a key level to watch on any rebound attempts.
3. RSI & Momentum
* The RSI on the daily timeframe is hovering around the high-20s, indicating oversold conditions. While this can lead to a short-term bounce, oversold can remain oversold if negative momentum persists.
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance:
* $96–$100 Range: Minor overhead supply; if price rallies here, watch to see if it rolls over again.
* $105–$110: This region aligns with prior support-turned-resistance. A strong push above $110 would challenge the bearish thesis.
Primary Support Targets
* $90 (Psychological Marker): Could be the first zone for a pause or bounce.
* $82.89 (“Half 1 Short” from algorithmic levels): A logical next stop if the sell-off continues.
* $76 Area: Deep support from earlier consolidation zones; if selling intensifies, the stock may reach these levels.
Potential Trade Setups
1. Bearish Continuation (Short)
Entry:
* On a weak bounce into the $96–$100 zone, or
* A breakdown below $94 on strong volume.
Stop Loss:
* Conservative approach: Above $105–$110, where a bullish reversal could invalidate the short setup.
Profit Targets:
* $90 (near-term psychological level),
* $82.89 (algorithmic short target),
* $76 (longer-term support).
2. Contrarian Bounce (Long)
* Entry: Around $90 or upon a clear intraday reversal signal (e.g., a bullish engulfing candle on strong volume).
* Stop Loss: Below $88 to reduce risk of a deeper flush.
* Profit Targets:
* $96–$100 (short-term push),
* Extended target near $105–$110 if momentum sharply reverses.
Thought Process & Strategy
* The extreme volume and steep decline reflect a high-conviction move. Usually, when you see volume spikes on a breakdown, it suggests institutional selling, meaning rallies may be met with further supply.
* However, the oversold reading (RSI in the high-20s) hints that a bounce might come soon—though it could be short-lived unless macro or fundamental conditions shift.
* Clearly defining both bullish and bearish scenarios—along with exact stop-loss levels—removes emotion and helps avoid “decision paralysis.” Trading is about probabilities, not certainties.
Final Notes
* Risk Management: Always size positions so that a single trade does not jeopardize your account.
* Emotional Control: These levels are algorithmically defined, aiming to reduce subjective bias. Watch how price reacts at each support/resistance zone.
* Stay Vigilant: With elevated volatility, rapid intraday swings are possible. Monitor real-time price action for confirmation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Perform your own due diligence, and trade responsibly.
NVDA 09-04-2025NVDA fighting for its life trying not to establish confirmation on another bearish trend but price movement will probably continue lower. How much lower remains uncertain but the old support is turning into an established resistance line more and more by the day. If price does a retest and now established a down trend price movement will probably gain enough momentum to move down quite strong. However i will wait and see what price trend the price movement establishes into and then make my position. I would much rather just wait til the bearish trend reverses and buy many shares then for a greater profit margin on my bullish entry then hold a bad short position with uncertain price movements as the NVDA chart right stands as.
NASDAQ:NVDA
An end to Jensen Huang's prancing.Jensen Huang is one hang of a gasbag. Have you ever seen a human gasconading like that? Saying AI will eliminate the need for coding was Huang hell of an idiotic statement. And the the leather jacket is like a tiny tube on a mole. Just like his company's oversized stock price. Final target is around 50 usd.
Nvidia Price target $90 by July 2025Nvidia Price target $90 by July 2025.
If a recession hits, Nvidia could fall to $90. GET READY
NVIDIA Support Breakdown, Targeting Lower LevelsFrom a technical perspective, the chart shows a break of daily support at 126.86 and 129.51. This could lead to a long squeeze and increased selling pressure, targeting levels of 109.9, 100.44, and 90.56. A sell position between 135.05 and 129.51 might be considered, but a stop loss at 148.95 is crucial.
NVDA Flash Crashed! Will $90 Hold or More Blood Ahead?The market took a violent turn after Trump’s tariff bombshell, and high-flyers like NVDA are now in a fragile freefall. Is this a dead-cat bounce or a rare buying opportunity?
📉 Technical Breakdown (1H Smart Money Concepts)
* Bearish structure confirmed via BOS at $103 and $95.
* Trading inside a well-defined downward channel—respecting trendlines.
* Currently in a consolidation box near $92, inside potential demand.
🔑 Key Levels:
* Support: $90 (must hold) → below that, $87 and $85.
* Resistance: $95.60 (highest negative NETGEX), then $102–$104 (gap fill).
* MACD & Stoch RSI showing early signs of reversal—but no confirmation yet.
🧲 Options Sentiment via GEX (1H)
* Highest Negative NETGEX at $95.60 → massive short interest.
* PUT Wall: $90 (crucial support), next level at $85.
* CALL Wall: $108–$110 = strong rejection zone this week.
* Options Oscillator:
* IVR: 65.2 | IVx avg: 92.9 → volatility priced in.
* Calls%: Only 8.7% bullish participation → extremely bearish positioning.
* GEX color: 🔴🔴🔵 = bearish zone, but potential for volatility-based reversal.
🧠 Scenarios to Watch
🔻 Bearish Trade Setup:
* Short rejection from $95–$96
* Target: $90 → $87
* Stop: $98
🔼 Bullish Scalp Idea:
* Long on confirmed reclaim of $95.60
* Target: $102–$104 (gap-fill)
* Stop: $92.50
🧳 Investor Perspective
We’re entering accumulation zones. Start building long positions below $90 in steps. Major long-term support lies between $85 and $80. Use time-based entries, not emotion.
📌 NVDA Takeaway:
* Market sentiment is fear-driven, but AI fundamentals are still intact.
* $95 = battlefield. $90 = line in the sand.
* Stay nimble. Be patient. Watch volume and flow.
🔔 Follow for daily TA with SMC + GEX setups
💬 Drop a comment: Bullish or Bearish NVDA this week?
❗Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This post is for educational purposes only. Do your own research and manage your risk.
🧵 Hashtags:
#NVDA #NVIDIA #OptionsFlow #GammaExposure #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #GEX #TradingView #StockMarketCrash #TariffNews #InvestorMindset #BearMarketBounce
Head & Shoulders Pattern + 0.786 Fib + Gap WIndowThe measured move off the Head & Shoulders pattern presents a measured move target of $73 if price continues to fall on NVDA. The 0.786 Fib 0.786 retrace had a perfect touch on Friday. Expect a 11% bounce from the 0.786 to the gap fill above. Retrace target = 0.618 Fib. This would establish another Lower High. Trend still presents with downward momentum. Then, expect the next move down towards $75.04
NVIDIA short then longI still think NVIDIA has about 10% downside to go, then enjoy a nice long ride up. Hope the chart makes sense. Have a great day!!
Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
Next term.In my opinion, the uptrend was already over before the trade wars started.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
NVDA’s Final Act: A Breakout Waiting to HappenNVDA appears to be nearing the completion of its corrective phase, setting the stage for a potential move to new highs. The current pattern resembles a falling wedge, indicative of an ending diagonal formation, which often signals a reversal and the start of an upward trend.
The structure of the corrective channel, along with the termination of the diagonal pattern, suggests a high likelihood of a running flat formation. Buyers are likely to intensify demand pressure as the price approaches the lower boundary of the trendline. A trend reversal may occur if there is a decisive breakout above the Wave 4 level of the ending diagonal.
Buying opportunity with minimal stop is possible after the reversal from lower side of the channel. Targets can be 112 - 120 - 132 - 140.
I'll be sharing more details shortly.
$NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge PatternVANTAGE:NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge Pattern
Although Rising wedge turning into more like Rising Channel distribution idea is still valid.
#2 Long Trade TP1 Hit so far 🔥
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Note: This is the most positive outcome possible.
As always, my play is:
✅ 50% out at TP1
✅ Move SL to entry
✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs
It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade.
Nvidia long on 2 paths to 117 Great R/R on NVidia here .. that's it really easy trade, Hard part is do you sell it all at 117 or keep some
Nvidia monthly chartAt highest pick I seen a mid or long term decrease. very high p/e and pomped prices didn't keep trend 📈 upward
