NVDA trade ideas
Will you dare to short NVDIA at 122? Shorting NVDIA something no one would have dared to do in 2024 and rightfully so. It was having a massive uptrend and there was no reason to go against it.
2025 is completely different story. The emergence of DeepSeek has dampened its prospects and NVDIA saw a massive double top at 152 (The same time S&P reversed at 6144).
It has now fallen to a low of 107 and made its way back to 121 where there is a pattern to sell. Here is our thinking:
1) It is in a daily downtrend
2) It is following the H4 trend
3) There is a pattern to sell
4) RSI divergence is present
We will sell around 122 with a stop loss of 125.50 and target the low of 107.
Yes, we just follow the trend and not the news or sentiments.
NVDA - I'm not interested hereI was not interested when it dropped below the summer 2024 high. I'm also not interested now. I'd rather see a clear reclaim of that summer 2024 level. For now, European and Chinese stocks bring much needed gains where American stocks struggle. So I'd rather not put my money on the line here.
THE BATTLE FOR AI SUPREMACY....WHO WILL WIN???Chinese artificial intelligence model called DeepSeek sparked a selloff in Al related shares, with megacap stocks including Nvidia which has been hit the most. The DeepSeek has launched a free assistant that uses cheaper chips and less data.This move seems to challenge the common belief in financial market that AI will boost demand for everything from chipmakers to data centres. As this startup threatens the dominance of US AI companies the market has sharply declined making a major sell off across other assets. L
On the technical side, Nvidia has been trading in a rise channel which has broken further confirming a sell. COULD WE SEE IT SELL FURTHER DOWN PAST $70??? MHHH
WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ? CAN US AI BEAT THE DeepSeeK?
Will $NVDA see a 30% correction in April 2025?As of March 27, 2025, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is trading at $111.43.
NVDA's 50-day moving average has recently crossed below its 200-day moving average, forming a "death cross," a technical pattern that can indicate a potential downtrend. The last time this occurred was back in April of 2022. During this time we saw a 55% correction that lasted over 270 days plus.
Key support levels to monitor are approximately $105 for more of dynamic support $103 , aligning with the March low, and around $91, corresponding to previous peaks from last year.
On the upside, resistance may be encountered near $130, close to a descending trendline and moving averages, with a more significant resistance around $150, near prior peaks. Overall, we have a Double Top pattern in motion
Market Sentiment and Considerations:
Recent declines in NVDA's stock price are influenced by factors such as stricter energy regulations in China, which may impact sales of Nvidia's H20 chip. Additionally, geopolitical concerns, including new AI export restrictions set to take effect in mid-May, have contributed to investor caution.
Long-Term Investment Perspective:
Despite current market volatility, some analysts view NVDA's stock as attractively valued, trading at approximately 20 times estimated earnings, below its median forward level. For long-term investors, current price levels near key support zones may present potential buying opportunities. However, it's essential to consider the broader market environment, company fundamentals, and personal investment objectives.
While technical indicators suggest caution in the short term, NVDA's position in the AI and semiconductor sectors may offer long-term growth potential. Investors should monitor key support and resistance levels and stay informed about geopolitical developments affecting the company.
NVDA NVIDIA Price Target by Year-EndNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a dominant force in the AI and semiconductor markets, with its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio currently at 19.37—a reasonable valuation considering its growth trajectory and market position.
NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI sector, particularly through its cutting-edge GPUs, has driven strong demand from data centers, cloud providers, and AI developers. The company’s recent product launches, including the Hopper and Blackwell architectures, have further solidified its competitive edge.
Despite recent market volatility, NVIDIA's consistent revenue growth and expanding profit margins support the bullish case. The current P/E of 19.37 reflects a balanced risk-reward profile, suggesting that the stock is not overvalued despite its impressive performance.
A price target of $145 by year-end reflects approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by sustained AI demand and growing market penetration. Investors should watch for quarterly earnings reports and updates on AI chip demand, as these will likely act as key catalysts for upward momentum.
March Madness NVDA Bump?Hey Traders,
Breaking this one down to the fundamentals and it's actually pretty simple.
Starting off with the news here. NVDA is investing $500B with a "B" into US manufacturing alongside Apple Inc. as a 4 year plan to increase production in the US. Big news.
Jensen Huang is notably one of my favorite CEO's with a level head and after the big sell off, I was hoping to get in around $95-97 on calls going long, but it didn't happen.
Instead, we saw the floor coming in at 105 and the next stop was the "sticky note zone" around 114-116. After the break above, we had a recent pullback at 123.50 and this pullback was my chance to enter.
We are headed into the last remaining days of March and as the title says, "March Madness" is upon us. SPY seems to have found support after a 10% correction at 550 and the overall market sentiment seems to be bullish.
The target is simple, 130. If we can break above and hold 120, I am very confident we will see 130 by the end of next week, 3/28.
Thanks for reading 🙏
NVDA at a decision point, same area as September 2024Price as of my analysis: $113.76
NVDA is sitting at a major horizontal support zone around $113.50. This level acted as strong support in June 2024 and again in September 2024, where it launched a 34% rally toward the $152 range. Price is now testing that same level again — this is a key decision point.
If this support breaks, my first downside target is $104.70, followed by $100.96. The $100 level is also psychological support and could attract buyers if tested.
At the same time, NVDA is also pressing against a downtrend line that began in mid-February 2025, starting from the ~$143 level. Price rejected off this trendline again on Monday, confirming sellers are defending it.
The 10 EMA and 20 EMA on the daily chart sit around $119. For any upside to unfold, NVDA must reclaim these levels. Above that, we’re looking at resistance between $125–130, which is a confluence zone:
Downward-sloping 50 SMA
Flat 200 SMA
The prior uptrend line from May 2023, now acting as potential resistance
If the bounce begins here at $113.50, reclaiming the EMAs would be the first bullish signal. Clearing the $125–130 area could open the path back to $141, which was the breakdown candle from February.
On the weekly chart, the same $113.50 level shows as significant. The weekly EMAs are starting to turn down, and this week’s candle is showing signs of indecision — suggesting a potential reversal or further breakdown is brewing. Watching how this week closes will be key.
Summary:
Holding $113.50 = potential bounce toward $119 → $125–130 → $141
Losing $113.50 = likely flush to $104.70 → $100.96
$100 = psychological support and probable strong demand zone
Currently at the intersection of major support and downtrend resistance = high-stakes decision zone
Nvidia Update New levels to the downside Longs and shortsIn this video I discuss the market structure shift in Nvidia and highlight new levels to be aware of to the downside . Potential here for longs and shorts .
Tools used Fibs, Gann Square , Speed Fan , Order blocks .
Please Like and comment if you have any questions . Have a great Day and thanks for your support
Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Continues Bearish TrendNvidia (NVDA) Share Price Continues Bearish Trend
Earlier this month, our analysis of NVDA's share price led us to:
→ Establish a downward channel (marked in red).
→ Suggest that the lower boundary could act as support, which was confirmed (circled).
On 13 March, we anticipated the median line of this channel might serve as resistance, and yesterday’s ~5% drop in NVDA’s share price (marked by a red arrow) aligns with this scenario.
As a result, NVDA’s price has declined by approximately 17% since the start of 2025, despite being a market leader in 2024.
Why Did Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Drop Yesterday?
Market sentiment turned negative amid concerns that the Trump administration may soon impose previously delayed international trade tariffs.
Additionally, the Financial Times reported that Chinese regulators are encouraging firms to adopt data centre chips that meet stringent environmental standards. This raises concerns that Nvidia’s H20 chip, despite complying with U.S. export controls, may not meet China’s environmental regulations. Investors seemingly viewed this as a bearish signal for Nvidia’s future sales in China.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia’s Share Price
Currently, NVDA’s price is encountering resistance at the bullish gap formed on 12 March, around $112.50.
Given the broader market context, this setup could indicate an attempt by bears to resume the downtrend after a temporary rebound from oversold conditions. A consolidation pattern in the form of a narrowing triangle (marked in red) has also emerged.
If market conditions remain challenging, bears may push NVDA’s price towards the psychologically significant $100 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA Breakdown Confirmed! Will 110 Hold or Will Bears Target 105🔻 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday View
Current Price: ~$112.20
* NVDA suffered a Break of Structure (BOS) from the rising wedge pattern.
* Price broke below key CHoCH and consolidation areas, and is now hovering just above major PUT support near $110.
* Volume on breakdown was heavy — bearish pressure is strong, but we are approaching a potential reversal zone.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish, but histogram is slowing → early signs of bearish momentum loss.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, starting to curl up → bounce attempt possible if support holds.
🔐 Key Levels to Watch
Support:
* 110 → Strong GEX PUT support & 2nd PUT Wall.
* 105 → 3rd PUT Wall + prior demand zone.
* 104.77 → Swing low — a break here opens the door to 100 psychological level.
Resistance:
* 115 → Highest negative NetGEX zone (put support flipped resistance).
* 119 → Previous HVL & key breakdown level.
* 125.09 → CALL wall & prior rejection area.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Insights (TanukiTrade Pro)
* GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔵🔴 — Bearish bias overall
* IVR: 21.4 (low)
* IVx avg: 52.5 → Traders not aggressively pricing future volatility
* CALL$%: 11.1% — Weak call flow suggests downside hedging still dominant
* PUT Pressure Zones:
* 110 → High dealer support zone
* 105 → 2nd critical wall
* Gamma Resistance: 119 → strong reversal zone if a bounce occurs
📌 This setup shows potential for a short-term bounce, but overall bearish gamma structure still dominates.
🛠️ Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Setup – Reclaim 115 After Holding 110
* A bounce from 110 may attract dip buyers for short squeeze toward 119
* Entry: Above 113.50 with volume
* Target 1: 115
* Target 2: 118.50–119
* Stop-Loss: Below 110
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $115 Calls
* OR Call Debit Spread: Buy $112.5 / Sell $120
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 110
* If 110 fails with momentum, flush to 105 becomes likely
* Entry: Break below 110 with confirmation
* Target 1: 105
* Target 2: 100 (psych level)
* Stop-Loss: Above 112.5
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $105 Puts
* Bear Put Spread: Buy $110 / Sell $105
🧭 Final Bias & Outlook
* Bias: Bearish unless 115 is reclaimed.
* Strong breakdown structure, bearish GEX sentiment, and low IVR suggest continued weakness unless we see buyer absorption at 110.
* If 110 breaks, expect increased put gamma pressure to drag toward 105 or lower.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk carefully and do your own due diligence.
Where to buy NVDA based on previous cyclesPresented without comment.
Interested to see how this pans out, but previous cycles have both been of similar length and had roughly 50-60% pullbacks, so IF we see a repeat of previous cycles here, then the ideal buy point would be roughly in October as shown.
NVDA breaking supportSince June of last year NASDAQ:NVDA has been developing a $113 support level. Today we saw a retest of this level with strong momentum in accordance with a weakening market. I believe the Stock will break this level and continue down to its next significant support level at $96. Technically, the stock is bouncing off of a return to its 21 EMA below the 50 EMA which would have been the optimal entry point on this trade. Today also had a cross below the 14-day SMA in RSI. Finally, looking at the technical indicators provided by Trading View the stock is showing sell or neutral signals across all indicators except for 1.
130 seems like a clear path way target areaAt least to say that the 130 area is comfortably uncertain, but that's after it gets there. The reason is solidly a 100/200 cross and an exhausted oscillator, and as soon as the heikin is triggered, it could be the retest, but comfortable with this setup as we see it thus far.
NVDA at Critical Reversal Zone! Decisive Moves Ahead? Here's the latest detailed breakdown of NVDA on the 1-hour timeframe, emphasizing key reversal zones detected.
📈 Technical Analysis (TA):
* NVDA currently consolidating at around $121, showing signs of indecision at this upper reversal (green) zone, indicating potential profit-taking or reversal.
* Clear bullish structure with a recent Break of Structure (BOS) above $120, but momentum is fading slightly as shown by MACD trending lower.
* Critical bullish reversal support zone (red) detected clearly at $115-$116. A retest of this area could offer a potential entry for longs if buyers step in.
* If price loses momentum at the current resistance area ($121), watch for a retracement to test key support at the identified lower red reversal zone.
📊 GEX & Options Insights:
* Strongest gamma wall and highest positive NET GEX located significantly higher at $130. This remains a key upside target if bullish momentum resumes strongly.
* Immediate resistance at the 2nd call wall at $122 is currently acting as overhead pressure. Further bullish continuation requires a clear breakout above this level.
* Notable PUT support established at the $110 level, providing substantial downside protection if NVDA retraces sharply.
* IV Rank notably low at 11.2%, indicating low premium and relatively low volatility environment, favorable for strategic debit spread setups or long calls/puts based on directional bias.
💡 Trade Recommendations:
* Bullish Scenario: Consider long positions if NVDA holds above $120.50–$121 zone with a breakout confirmation targeting $124 initially, then $130.
* Bearish Scenario: Short-term put options could be favorable if rejection is confirmed at the current green reversal resistance around $121, targeting the red reversal support area around $116.
* Neutral Strategy: Potential for iron condor setups between clearly defined ranges ($115–$125), capitalizing on low IV environment.
🛑 Risk Management: Keep stops tight around recent highs or lows depending on directional bias. Watch volume and MACD closely for confirmation.
Trade carefully and stay alert!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.